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MD 2236 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 711... FOR SOUTHEAST TX...CENTRAL LA
Mesoscale Discussion 2236 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0609 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Areas affected...Southeast TX...Central LA Concerning...Tornado Watch 711... Valid 190009Z - 190145Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 711 continues. SUMMARY...Scattered supercells will continue spreading northeast across the eastern half of ww711. DISCUSSION...Several long-lived supercells are noted within ww711 early this evening. One in particular is crossing Newton County TX into northwestern Vernon Parish. This activity appears partly aided by the right-entrance region of the mid-level jet, along with sustained low-level warm advection. While lapse rates are not that steep, low-mid 70s surface dew points are contributing to significant buoyancy. Until the LLJ lifts north of this air mass, organized supercell threat will likely continue. Primary risk continues to be damaging winds along with some tornado risk, especially for the next few hours. ..Darrow.. 11/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV... LAT...LON 30789387 32019304 32019223 30969261 30419330 30789387 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0635 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 190100Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EXTREME SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTH-CENTRAL ARKANSAS... ...SUMMARY... A risk for a couple of tornadoes and damaging winds will persist into late evening or the early overnight hours across the Lower Mississippi Valley. ...Mid-MO Valley to Lower MS Valley... Severe probabilities have been removed from most of east TX northward into MO/KS/NE/IA based on current location of the surface cold front and ongoing convection. Any remaining convection across the Mid-MO Valley vicinity will continue to weaken with eastward extent given a dearth of instability. Further south, severe probabilities remain unchanged (other than trimming behind ongoing QLCS) across the Lower MS Valley. A risk for isolated severe gusts and a couple of tornadoes remain possible, especially over the next few hours. By late evening into the overnight hours, severe potential is expected to become lower with eastward extent across southern MS/southeast LA and southern AL as large-scale ascent is rapidly becoming further displaced from better boundary layer moisture. Strong vertical shear will persist, but surface-based parcels likely will be unable to realize the favorable SRH environment, limiting severe potential with eastward extent. ..Leitman.. 11/19/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0635 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 190100Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EXTREME SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTH-CENTRAL ARKANSAS... ...SUMMARY... A risk for a couple of tornadoes and damaging winds will persist into late evening or the early overnight hours across the Lower Mississippi Valley. ...Mid-MO Valley to Lower MS Valley... Severe probabilities have been removed from most of east TX northward into MO/KS/NE/IA based on current location of the surface cold front and ongoing convection. Any remaining convection across the Mid-MO Valley vicinity will continue to weaken with eastward extent given a dearth of instability. Further south, severe probabilities remain unchanged (other than trimming behind ongoing QLCS) across the Lower MS Valley. A risk for isolated severe gusts and a couple of tornadoes remain possible, especially over the next few hours. By late evening into the overnight hours, severe potential is expected to become lower with eastward extent across southern MS/southeast LA and southern AL as large-scale ascent is rapidly becoming further displaced from better boundary layer moisture. Strong vertical shear will persist, but surface-based parcels likely will be unable to realize the favorable SRH environment, limiting severe potential with eastward extent. ..Leitman.. 11/19/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0635 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 190100Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EXTREME SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTH-CENTRAL ARKANSAS... ...SUMMARY... A risk for a couple of tornadoes and damaging winds will persist into late evening or the early overnight hours across the Lower Mississippi Valley. ...Mid-MO Valley to Lower MS Valley... Severe probabilities have been removed from most of east TX northward into MO/KS/NE/IA based on current location of the surface cold front and ongoing convection. Any remaining convection across the Mid-MO Valley vicinity will continue to weaken with eastward extent given a dearth of instability. Further south, severe probabilities remain unchanged (other than trimming behind ongoing QLCS) across the Lower MS Valley. A risk for isolated severe gusts and a couple of tornadoes remain possible, especially over the next few hours. By late evening into the overnight hours, severe potential is expected to become lower with eastward extent across southern MS/southeast LA and southern AL as large-scale ascent is rapidly becoming further displaced from better boundary layer moisture. Strong vertical shear will persist, but surface-based parcels likely will be unable to realize the favorable SRH environment, limiting severe potential with eastward extent. ..Leitman.. 11/19/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0635 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 190100Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EXTREME SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTH-CENTRAL ARKANSAS... ...SUMMARY... A risk for a couple of tornadoes and damaging winds will persist into late evening or the early overnight hours across the Lower Mississippi Valley. ...Mid-MO Valley to Lower MS Valley... Severe probabilities have been removed from most of east TX northward into MO/KS/NE/IA based on current location of the surface cold front and ongoing convection. Any remaining convection across the Mid-MO Valley vicinity will continue to weaken with eastward extent given a dearth of instability. Further south, severe probabilities remain unchanged (other than trimming behind ongoing QLCS) across the Lower MS Valley. A risk for isolated severe gusts and a couple of tornadoes remain possible, especially over the next few hours. By late evening into the overnight hours, severe potential is expected to become lower with eastward extent across southern MS/southeast LA and southern AL as large-scale ascent is rapidly becoming further displaced from better boundary layer moisture. Strong vertical shear will persist, but surface-based parcels likely will be unable to realize the favorable SRH environment, limiting severe potential with eastward extent. ..Leitman.. 11/19/2024 Read more

WW 0711 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 711 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE HOU TO 5 NE SHV. ..LYONS..11/18/24 ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC011-013-031-043-049-069-079-081-085-115-127-182340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON NATCHITOCHES RAPIDES RED RIVER SABINE VERNON WINN TXC199-241-291-351-403-405-419-457-182340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HARDIN JASPER LIBERTY NEWTON SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY TYLER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0711 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 711 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE HOU TO 5 NE SHV. ..LYONS..11/18/24 ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC011-013-031-043-049-069-079-081-085-115-127-182340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON NATCHITOCHES RAPIDES RED RIVER SABINE VERNON WINN TXC199-241-291-351-403-405-419-457-182340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HARDIN JASPER LIBERTY NEWTON SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY TYLER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 711 TORNADO LA TX 182055Z - 190200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 711 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 255 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Western and Central Louisiana East and Southeast Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until 800 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will continue to develop and intensify this afternoon into the evening. A few of the stronger storms will evolve into supercells and pose a risk for a couple of tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north of Natchitoches LA to 90 miles southwest of Fort Polk LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 22035. ...Smith Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Nov 18 23:00:28 UTC 2024.

WW 0711 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 711 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE HOU TO 5 NE SHV. ..LYONS..11/18/24 ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC011-013-031-043-049-069-079-081-085-115-127-182340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON NATCHITOCHES RAPIDES RED RIVER SABINE VERNON WINN TXC199-241-291-351-403-405-419-457-182340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HARDIN JASPER LIBERTY NEWTON SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY TYLER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0711 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 711 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE HOU TO 5 NE SHV. ..LYONS..11/18/24 ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC011-013-031-043-049-069-079-081-085-115-127-182340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON NATCHITOCHES RAPIDES RED RIVER SABINE VERNON WINN TXC199-241-291-351-403-405-419-457-182340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HARDIN JASPER LIBERTY NEWTON SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY TYLER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 711 TORNADO LA TX 182055Z - 190200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 711 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 255 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Western and Central Louisiana East and Southeast Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until 800 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will continue to develop and intensify this afternoon into the evening. A few of the stronger storms will evolve into supercells and pose a risk for a couple of tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north of Natchitoches LA to 90 miles southwest of Fort Polk LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 22035. ...Smith Read more

MD 2235 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 711... FOR SOUTHEAST TX AND WESTERN LA
Mesoscale Discussion 2235 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0329 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Areas affected...southeast TX and western LA Concerning...Tornado Watch 711... Valid 182129Z - 182300Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 711 continues. SUMMARY...A couple tornadoes are possible through early evening with semi-discrete warm-sector storms ahead of an eastward-moving cold front. DISCUSSION...Deep convection intensified during the past hour with multiple supercells ahead of a cold front marching east in Deep East to southeast TX. The most favorable thermodynamic/kinematic environmental overlap through 01Z appears to be centered on the Sabine Valley. Here, surface winds remain southerly amid increasing low-level flow from south to north. Surface temperatures within this corridor are approaching the low 80s from the west, with dew points holding in the low to mid 70s. Ongoing semi-discrete storms across southeast TX will have the opportunity to maintain sustained supercell structures. Low-topped convection over western LA might intensify as well, but seemingly the more probable severe threat should emanate from the southeast TX storms before these cells get undercut by the impinging cold front. ..Grams.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX... LAT...LON 30319470 30819439 31529379 31989331 32179307 32229279 32069245 31489274 30979301 30209390 30169449 30319470 Read more

WW 0711 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0711 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0711 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0711 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0241 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 261200Z Fire weather concerns will generally be minimal across much of the country through the extended period, though regional concerns may emerge across portions of the Plains mid-week. An active upper-level regime will persist through the remainder of the week, characterized by the amplification of the upper trough currently over the Pacific Northwest in the wake of today's trough ejection into the Plains. This regime will maintain an unseasonably strong (1000-1005 mb) surface low across the broader Midwest/Great Lakes region, which will support several days of windy conditions across the Plains, Midwest, and the OH River Valley regions. Despite the windy conditions, widespread rainfall will eliminate fuel concerns for most locations with the exception of western NE/SD where the probability of wetting rainfall through mid-week is low. Elsewhere, upper ridging over the Four Corners and northern Rockies will help maintain rain chances along the West coast, and dry, but relatively calm, conditions across the Southwest and southern Plains through next weekend. ...D3/Wed - Western SD/NE... Breezy gradient winds are expected again on D3/Wednesday across much of the Plains. While the strongest winds are expected to reside across the central Dakotas into the lower MO River Valley, portions of western SD/NE will likely see 15-20 mph winds. Relative humidity values are expected to remain somewhat marginal (generally in the 25-35% range) due to cool temperatures, but may fall to near 20% for some locations. Additionally, recent reports suggest fine fuels are sufficiently dry to support fire spread. While critical conditions are possible, the general expectation is for areas of elevated wind/RH conditions during peak heating hours. Areas further north and east where winds will be strongest should see limited fire concerns given recent and/or anticipated precipitation over the next 48 hours. ..Moore.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0241 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 261200Z Fire weather concerns will generally be minimal across much of the country through the extended period, though regional concerns may emerge across portions of the Plains mid-week. An active upper-level regime will persist through the remainder of the week, characterized by the amplification of the upper trough currently over the Pacific Northwest in the wake of today's trough ejection into the Plains. This regime will maintain an unseasonably strong (1000-1005 mb) surface low across the broader Midwest/Great Lakes region, which will support several days of windy conditions across the Plains, Midwest, and the OH River Valley regions. Despite the windy conditions, widespread rainfall will eliminate fuel concerns for most locations with the exception of western NE/SD where the probability of wetting rainfall through mid-week is low. Elsewhere, upper ridging over the Four Corners and northern Rockies will help maintain rain chances along the West coast, and dry, but relatively calm, conditions across the Southwest and southern Plains through next weekend. ...D3/Wed - Western SD/NE... Breezy gradient winds are expected again on D3/Wednesday across much of the Plains. While the strongest winds are expected to reside across the central Dakotas into the lower MO River Valley, portions of western SD/NE will likely see 15-20 mph winds. Relative humidity values are expected to remain somewhat marginal (generally in the 25-35% range) due to cool temperatures, but may fall to near 20% for some locations. Additionally, recent reports suggest fine fuels are sufficiently dry to support fire spread. While critical conditions are possible, the general expectation is for areas of elevated wind/RH conditions during peak heating hours. Areas further north and east where winds will be strongest should see limited fire concerns given recent and/or anticipated precipitation over the next 48 hours. ..Moore.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0241 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 261200Z Fire weather concerns will generally be minimal across much of the country through the extended period, though regional concerns may emerge across portions of the Plains mid-week. An active upper-level regime will persist through the remainder of the week, characterized by the amplification of the upper trough currently over the Pacific Northwest in the wake of today's trough ejection into the Plains. This regime will maintain an unseasonably strong (1000-1005 mb) surface low across the broader Midwest/Great Lakes region, which will support several days of windy conditions across the Plains, Midwest, and the OH River Valley regions. Despite the windy conditions, widespread rainfall will eliminate fuel concerns for most locations with the exception of western NE/SD where the probability of wetting rainfall through mid-week is low. Elsewhere, upper ridging over the Four Corners and northern Rockies will help maintain rain chances along the West coast, and dry, but relatively calm, conditions across the Southwest and southern Plains through next weekend. ...D3/Wed - Western SD/NE... Breezy gradient winds are expected again on D3/Wednesday across much of the Plains. While the strongest winds are expected to reside across the central Dakotas into the lower MO River Valley, portions of western SD/NE will likely see 15-20 mph winds. Relative humidity values are expected to remain somewhat marginal (generally in the 25-35% range) due to cool temperatures, but may fall to near 20% for some locations. Additionally, recent reports suggest fine fuels are sufficiently dry to support fire spread. While critical conditions are possible, the general expectation is for areas of elevated wind/RH conditions during peak heating hours. Areas further north and east where winds will be strongest should see limited fire concerns given recent and/or anticipated precipitation over the next 48 hours. ..Moore.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0241 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 261200Z Fire weather concerns will generally be minimal across much of the country through the extended period, though regional concerns may emerge across portions of the Plains mid-week. An active upper-level regime will persist through the remainder of the week, characterized by the amplification of the upper trough currently over the Pacific Northwest in the wake of today's trough ejection into the Plains. This regime will maintain an unseasonably strong (1000-1005 mb) surface low across the broader Midwest/Great Lakes region, which will support several days of windy conditions across the Plains, Midwest, and the OH River Valley regions. Despite the windy conditions, widespread rainfall will eliminate fuel concerns for most locations with the exception of western NE/SD where the probability of wetting rainfall through mid-week is low. Elsewhere, upper ridging over the Four Corners and northern Rockies will help maintain rain chances along the West coast, and dry, but relatively calm, conditions across the Southwest and southern Plains through next weekend. ...D3/Wed - Western SD/NE... Breezy gradient winds are expected again on D3/Wednesday across much of the Plains. While the strongest winds are expected to reside across the central Dakotas into the lower MO River Valley, portions of western SD/NE will likely see 15-20 mph winds. Relative humidity values are expected to remain somewhat marginal (generally in the 25-35% range) due to cool temperatures, but may fall to near 20% for some locations. Additionally, recent reports suggest fine fuels are sufficiently dry to support fire spread. While critical conditions are possible, the general expectation is for areas of elevated wind/RH conditions during peak heating hours. Areas further north and east where winds will be strongest should see limited fire concerns given recent and/or anticipated precipitation over the next 48 hours. ..Moore.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0241 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 261200Z Fire weather concerns will generally be minimal across much of the country through the extended period, though regional concerns may emerge across portions of the Plains mid-week. An active upper-level regime will persist through the remainder of the week, characterized by the amplification of the upper trough currently over the Pacific Northwest in the wake of today's trough ejection into the Plains. This regime will maintain an unseasonably strong (1000-1005 mb) surface low across the broader Midwest/Great Lakes region, which will support several days of windy conditions across the Plains, Midwest, and the OH River Valley regions. Despite the windy conditions, widespread rainfall will eliminate fuel concerns for most locations with the exception of western NE/SD where the probability of wetting rainfall through mid-week is low. Elsewhere, upper ridging over the Four Corners and northern Rockies will help maintain rain chances along the West coast, and dry, but relatively calm, conditions across the Southwest and southern Plains through next weekend. ...D3/Wed - Western SD/NE... Breezy gradient winds are expected again on D3/Wednesday across much of the Plains. While the strongest winds are expected to reside across the central Dakotas into the lower MO River Valley, portions of western SD/NE will likely see 15-20 mph winds. Relative humidity values are expected to remain somewhat marginal (generally in the 25-35% range) due to cool temperatures, but may fall to near 20% for some locations. Additionally, recent reports suggest fine fuels are sufficiently dry to support fire spread. While critical conditions are possible, the general expectation is for areas of elevated wind/RH conditions during peak heating hours. Areas further north and east where winds will be strongest should see limited fire concerns given recent and/or anticipated precipitation over the next 48 hours. ..Moore.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more