Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

1 hour 32 minutes ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 170509
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

7 hours 11 minutes ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 162330
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven

NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

13 hours 29 minutes ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 161712
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

19 hours 11 minutes ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 161131
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

1 day 1 hour ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 160500
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

1 day 7 hours ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 152321
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

1 day 13 hours ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 151702
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

1 day 19 hours ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 151127
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brennan
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2 days 1 hour ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 150500
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower activity over portions of Hispaniola, the Turks
and Caicos Islands, and the adjacent waters is associated with
a tropical wave interacting with an upper-level low. Although
development of this system is not expected, locally heavy rainfall
will likely continue over portions of Hispaniola, the Turks and
Caicos Islands, and the southeastern Bahamas during the next day or
two while the system moves northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2 days 7 hours ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 142303
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower activity over portions of the Virgin Islands,
Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the adjacent waters is associated with
a tropical wave interacting with an upper-level low. Development of
this system is not expected due to unfavorable upper-level winds and
interaction with islands of the Greater Antilles. However, locally
heavy rainfall will continue over portions of Puerto Rico and
Hispaniola for another day or so. This rainfall will also spread
across portions of the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern
Bahamas tonight and Thursday as the system turns northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2 days 13 hours ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 141703
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level low continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the adjacent waters.
Development of this system is not expected due to unfavorable
upper-level winds and interaction with islands of the Greater
Antilles. However, locally heavy rainfall will continue over
portions of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during
the next day or so as it moves generally west-northwestward. This
rainfall will spread across portions of the Turks and Caicos Islands
and the southeastern Bahamas by Thursday as the system turns
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2 days 19 hours ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 141125
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level low is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of the Leeward
Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the
adjacent waters. Significant development of this system is not
expected due to unfavorable upper-level winds and interaction with
islands of the Greater Antilles. However, this system could produce
locally heavy rainfall over portions of the Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during the next day
or so as it moves generally west-northwestward. This rainfall will
then spread across portions of the Turks and Caicos Islands and the
southeastern Bahamas by Thursday as the system turns northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

3 days 1 hour ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 140500
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave and an upper-level low are producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms over portions of the Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the adjacent waters. Significant
development of this system is not expected due to unfavorable
upper-level winds and the interaction with islands of the Greater
Antilles. Even though development is not anticipated, locally heavy
rainfall is expected to continue over portions of the Leeward
Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next day or so
as the system moves generally west-northwestward. This activity
will then spread over the Turks and Caicos Islands and the
southeastern Bahamas by Thursday as the system turns northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

3 days 7 hours ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 132307
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of the Leeward
Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the adjacent waters
are associated with a tropical wave interacting with an upper-level
low. Significant development of this system is not expected due to
unfavorable upper-level winds and interaction with the islands of
the Greater Antilles. Even though development is unlikely, locally
heavy rainfall is expected to continue over portions of the Leeward
Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next day or so
as the system moves generally west-northwestward. This activity
will then spread over the Turks and Caicos Islands and the
southeastern Bahamas Wednesday night and Thursday as the system
turns northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

3 days 13 hours ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 131704
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms extending from the
Leeward Islands to Puerto Rico are associated with a tropical wave
interacting with an upper-level low. Significant development of
this system is not expected due to unfavorable upper-level winds and
interaction with the islands of the Greater Antilles. Regardless of
development, this system is expected to bring locally heavy rainfall
to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto
Rico over the next couple of days as it moves generally westward to
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

3 days 19 hours ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 131129
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms moving through the
Leeward Islands are associated with a tropical wave interacting
with an upper-level low. Strong upper-level winds and interaction
with the islands of the Greater Antilles, while the system moves
generally westward, should inhibit tropical cyclone formation.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring locally
heavy rainfall to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin
Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

4 days 1 hour ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 130502
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave
that is moving through the Leeward Islands has continued to become
less organized tonight. Environmental conditions are not expected
to become significantly better for development, and the system is
also expected to interact with the islands of the Greater Antilles
during the next few days. Therefore, the potential for this
system to become a tropical or subtropical cyclone continues to
decrease. Regardless of development, this system is forecast to
bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

4 days 7 hours ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 122326
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave that is interacting with an upper-level trough
continues to produce a large area of disturbed weather that
extends from near the Leeward Islands northeastward over the
tropical Atlantic for several hundred miles. This system has
not become any better organized over the past 24 hours, and
environmental conditions may not become as conducive as
previously anticipated. Therefore, the potential for this system
to become a tropical or subtropical cyclone has decreased.
Regardless of development, this system is forecast to bring locally
heavy rainfall to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin
Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

4 days 13 hours ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 121725
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave located about 200 miles east of the Leeward Islands
continues to produce a large area of disturbed weather over much
of the western tropical Atlantic Ocean. Although environmental
conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for a
tropical depression to form during the next few days, interaction
with land could inhibit tropical cyclone formation. The disturbance
is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward for the next few
days, passing near or north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico,
Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas. Interests in these areas
should closely monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

&&
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header
NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at
https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
NHC Webmaster
Checked
21 minutes 39 seconds ago
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