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Water levels in Wichita wells have been dropping since July, allowing wells to run dry. One woman made the decision to switch to city water after her well stopped producing water. Her next door neighbor lowered the pump in his well, which gave him water for a few days before the water level dropped lower. Drought conditions ramped up quickly in southeast Kansas this summer. KAKE-TV ABC 10 Wichita (Kan.), Sept 16, 2022

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 17 2022 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 171437 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM LESTER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132022 1500 UTC SAT SEP 17 2022 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ACAPULCO 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P MALDONADO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sat Sep 17 2022 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 171437 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Lester Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132022 1000 AM CDT Sat Sep 17 2022 Lester's overnight improvement in organization was short lived. Several microwave overpasses during the last few hours show a distinct lack of organized convective banding, and little evidence that a well-defined circulation still exists. It is possible that close proximity to land has severely disrupted Lester's structure since it has been very difficult to locate the cyclone's center in traditional IR or Visible imagery this morning. With the center of Lester well-hidden below higher clouds, the uncertainty in the initial position and motion are unusually high, which also translates to high uncertainty in the intensity estimate since the Dvorak technique is very dependent on center location. The initial intensity of 35 kt is based on a blend of recent Dvorak fixes, but should be considered within that uncertain context. Significant strengthening is not supported by any guidance and appears unlikely with Lester so close to land, so the biggest threat will be very heavy rain leading to flash and urban flooding across portions of the southwest coast of Mexico. Mudslides will also be possible in areas of high terrain. That threat will exist over a wide area regardless of Lester's position or intensity, and will persist today even after Lester dissipates. Users are therefore urged to not put much weight into the specifics of the NHC track and intensity forecasts, which shows Lester moving inland and dissipating later today. This scenario is supported by all of the dynamical models, with some (like the ECMWF, UKMET and CMC models) indicating that Lester may have already moved inland. Key Messages: 1. Heavy rains from Lester will continue for portions of coastal southern Mexico into Sunday. This rainfall may produce flash and urban flooding, along with possible mudslides in areas of higher coastal terrain. 2. Tropical storm conditions are possible along portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico today. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/1500Z 16.0N 99.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 18/0000Z 17.3N 99.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 24H 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 17 2022 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 171436 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132022 1500 UTC SAT SEP 17 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO ESCONDIDO TO ZIHUATANEJO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 99.0W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 70 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 150SE 120SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 99.0W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 98.7W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.3N 99.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 99.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPEP3...AT 17/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY

 On Sunday August 28th at 0700, the Klamath National Forest Type 3 Incident Command Team, assumed command of the McKinney

 The area and road closure for the Sawtell Peak Fire area have been lifted as of September 12,

Issued at 100 PM CDT Fri Sep 16 2022 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 161752 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Lester Intermediate Advisory Number 4A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132022 100 PM CDT Fri Sep 16 2022 ...LESTER EXPECTED TO SPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO THROUGH THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.0N 96.9W ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM SE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...18 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta Maldonado to Zihuatanejo A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of Punta Maldonado to Laguna de Chacahua * West of Zihuatanejo to Lazaro Cardenas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lester was located near latitude 14.0 North, longitude 96.9 West. Lester is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (18 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through early Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of the cyclone is expected to move near or over the coast of southwestern Mexico Saturday or Saturday night, and dissipate over southwestern Mexico on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next day or so. Rapid weakening is expected after the center crosses the coast of Mexico. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Lester can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP3.shtml. RAINFALL: Lester is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches with local maximum totals of 10 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican States of western Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco through Monday. These rains may produce flash and urban flooding, along with possible mudslides in areas of higher coastal terrain. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning areas and possible within the watch area beginning early Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Lester are affecting portions of the coast of southern Mexico and this will continue into the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Latto

...LESTER EXPECTED TO SPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO THROUGH THE WEEKEND... As of 1:00 PM CDT Fri Sep 16 the center of Lester was located near 14.0, -96.9 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 16 Sep 2022 17:52:08 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 16 Sep 2022 15:28:31 GMT

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Sep 16 17:49:02 UTC 2022.

No watches are valid as of Fri Sep 16 17:49:02 UTC 2022.

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1234 PM CDT Fri Sep 16 2022 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MINNESOTA/IOWA AREA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms -- and local/all-hazards severe potential -- are expected Saturday from parts of the Upper Mississippi Valley area/Upper Midwest into/across portions of the Mid Missouri Valley. ...Synopsis... An initially low-amplitude upper flow pattern over the U.S. will gradually amplify, especially over the West. This amplification will result from a broad low from British Columbia to just off the Pacific Northwest Coast early in the day, that is expected to strengthen/consolidate as it shifts southward to just off the northern California coast late. As this occurs, ridging will begin to expand across the south-central U.S., while a belt of fast southwesterly flow in between the two features persists from the Intermountain West to the Upper Great Lakes. At the surface, the primary feature of interest will be a weak low -- forecast to evolve over the eastern South Dakota/southwestern Minnesota border area during the afternoon. A weak cool front should extend south-southwestward across eastern Nebraska and into Kansas, while the warm front extends east-northeastward across northern Minnesota. The main severe potential Saturday should reside in the vicinity of the warm sector of this system. ...Minnesota to southwestern Wisconsin/Iowa, and southwestward across northeastern Kansas... Though hindered in some areas by ongoing/remnant clouds/convection early in the period, daytime heating and low-level moist advection within the southerly flow regime will result in moderate afternoon airmass destabilization from the Upper Midwest into Kansas. As a short-wave trough crosses the Dakotas early and eventually approaches Minnesota, ascent -- focused near a weak low progged to evolve near the South Dakota/Minnesota border -- will likely result in isolated storm development by late afternoon. Farther south, focus for convective initiation appears more nebulous, without a clear low-level focusing mechanism. Still, low-level warm advection across this region should result in isolated to scattered convective development -- initially during the afternoon, with a second round of storms possible as a southerly low-level jet intensifies overnight. With 35 to 40 kt west-southwesterly mid-level flow spreading across the area with time, atop low-level southerlies, a few of the stronger storms will likely acquire rotation -- posing risk for hail and/or locally damaging wind gusts. A tornado or two may also occur -- with a favored area possibly over central/northern Minnesota near the anticipated low/warm frontal position. Storms will likely continue -- especially across the Iowa vicinity -- overnight, aided by persistent low-level warm advection, though any lingering severe potential should wane gradually through late evening. ..Goss.. 09/16/2022 Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161726
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Sep 16 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Lester, located about 150 miles south of Puerto Angel, Mexico.

Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form within the next couple of days. This disturbance is forecast to
meander off the southwestern coast of Mexico through the end of this
week, and then begin to move northwestward early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Lester are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Lester
are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Latto

9/15/2022 Will be the last update for the Middle Fire.Great Basin Incident Management Team 4 assumed command of the Middle Fire at 6:00 a.m. on September 9/11/22. Team 4 is also managing the Tenmile Fire.The Middle Fire was ignited by the thunderstorms that passed over the area on September 7th.  It is burning in the West Fork of Rapid River – Jackley Mountain Area on the New Meadows Ranger District, near the Nez Perce-Clearwater National Forest. The fire is 54 acres and burning in light ground-based fuels with low fire intensity.    The Middle Fire received wetting rain over the fire area on Tuesday, September 13, which reduced fire activity to minimal creeping and smoldering. Hotshot crews engaged in direct suppression efforts on the fire and were able to gain 85% containment. Crews will continue working to achieve 100% containment, anticipated over the next couple of days. 

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Sep 16 2022 Valid 161700Z - 171200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Some dry and breezy conditions are expected across portions of New Mexico, but fuels are very moist across the region. Therefore, fire weather concerns remain low. ..Bentley.. 09/16/2022 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Fri Sep 16 2022/ ...Synopsis... An upper-level shortwave trough currently over Nevada is forecast to move east-northeastward toward the central/northern Plains today. Meanwhile, another upper-level shortwave trough will move onto the Pacific Northwest coast as an upper low deepens offshore. At the surface, a lee trough will deepen over the High Plains throughout the day. Overall, the overlap of strong winds and low RH with dry fuels appears minimal across the CONUS, limiting the fire-weather concerns today. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1053 AM CDT Fri Sep 16 2022 Valid 161630Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WESTERN TO CENTRAL NEBRASKA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to perhaps scattered severe thunderstorms are anticipated across a portion of the central Great Plains, centered on 3 to 10 PM CDT. ...Central Great Plains... A low-amplitude shortwave trough over the central Rockies will move east-northeast into the Dakotas by tomorrow morning. Large-scale ascent associated with this wave will impinge on a destabilizing downstream air mass to aid in scattered thunderstorms over the higher terrain spreading across the High Plains later this afternoon. This initial activity will be high-based, forming over weak but sufficient moisture and deep/well-mixed sub-cloud layers. Wind profiles west of the lee trough will be nearly unidirectional, limiting effective shear, despite gradually increasing mid/upper-level speeds. Scattered strong to isolated severe gusts and small to marginally severe hail will be the main hazards this afternoon amid moderate mid-level lapse rates. Thunderstorms forming on or crossing the lee trough may eventually gain greater severe potential in the early evening, as activity impinges on a more favorably moist boundary layer, currently evident in GOES PW imagery across the eastern half of NE. While the expectation is for the character of convection to be outflow-dominant/cold-pool-driven by this point, sufficient veering and strengthening of the wind profile with height will yield an elongated hodograph that would support potential for a few embedded supercells. The more probable evolution is for this to maintain persistence of a mostly isolated and marginal severe wind/hail threat after dusk into the late evening, before convective intensities subside overnight. ...Southern High Plains... Isolated thunderstorms should develop along a portion of the dryline centered on the Panhandles where surface temperatures breach 90 F. Modest mid-level lapse rates and weak buoyancy will be limiting factors to storm intensity. But 20-25 kt effective shear and steep low-level lapse rates could support locally strong gusts in the more robust storms during the late afternoon to early evening. ..Grams/Moore.. 09/16/2022 Read more

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Fri Sep 16 2022 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 161436 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Lester Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132022 1000 AM CDT Fri Sep 16 2022 Lester remains a sheared tropical cyclone, with the low-level center occasionally becoming exposed to the east of the deep convection. The overall appearance of the storm has changed little since early this morning, and the latest subjective and objective Dvorak intensity estimates support keeping the advisory intensity at 35 kt. The storm has made its anticipated turn to the northwest and is on on a heading of 310/7 kt. Lester should continue to move in this direction for the next couple of days with a slight increase in forward speed by later today as the cyclone is steered within the flow between a cyclonic gyre to its west and a building ridge over Texas. The latest NHC forecast track is little changed from the previous one, and is near the GFS and ECMWF ensemble means. On this track, the center of Lester should reach the coastline of Mexico by Saturday afternoon or evening. Although Lester is within a thermodynamic environment of very high atmospheric moisture and over warm waters of of 28-29 degrees Celsius, the moderate (15-20 kt) east-northeasterly shear currently affecting the cyclone is forecast to persist through landfall. Therefore, only gradual intensification is expected during that time. After landfall, Lester should rapidly weaken over the rugged terrain of western Mexico, and the cyclone is forecast to dissipate on Sunday. The latest NHC intensity forecast is unchanged from the previous one and is close to the various intensity consensus aids. Key Messages: 1. Heavy rains from Lester will reach portions of coastal southern Mexico by this evening, increasing in coverage and intensity Saturday and Saturday night, spreading farther west on Sunday. This rainfall may produce flash and urban flooding, along with possible mudslides in areas of higher coastal terrain. 2. Tropical storm conditions are expected along the coast of southern Mexico on Saturday within the Tropical Storm Warning area. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/1500Z 13.7N 96.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 17/0000Z 14.4N 97.6W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 17/1200Z 15.7N 99.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 18/0000Z 17.2N 100.8W 50 KT 60 MPH...ON THE COAST 48H 18/1200Z 18.7N 102.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 60H 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 16 2022 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 161435 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM LESTER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132022 1500 UTC FRI SEP 16 2022 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) 13(13) 15(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 15N 100W 34 X 12(12) 6(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ACAPULCO 34 X 3( 3) 30(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) ACAPULCO 50 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ACAPULCO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) P MALDONADO 34 X 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER LATTO

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 16 2022 707 WTPZ23 KNHC 161435 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132022 1500 UTC FRI SEP 16 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUNTA MALDONADO TO ZIHUATANEJO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA MALDONADO TO LAGUNA DE CHACAHUA * WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 96.5W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 40SE 50SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 96.5W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 96.1W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.4N 97.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.7N 99.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.2N 100.8W...ON THE COAST MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.7N 102.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 96.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPEP3...AT 16/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO

The Washakie Park Fire is located west of Ft. Washakie, WY in the Washakie Park area of the Wind River Indian Reservation.   The fire was first reported at approximately 1430 on September 6, 2022 with an initial size up of 300 acres.  The cause of the fire is currently under investigation.  The local Bureau of Indian Affairs, Fremont County resources and Federal resources responded to the initial attack and managed the fire until the Wyoming Type 3 Incident Management Team assumed command of the fire on Friday September 9th at 0600.     The fire is being managed under a full suppression strategy, ensuring all actions reflect a commitment to incident personnel safety and public safety.The Shoshone and Arapaho Fish and Game have issued a road closure for the Washakie Park Road and Sage Creek Road to St. Lawrence located within the Wind River Indian