Aggregator

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0331 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Valid 131200Z - 181200Z ...DISCUSSION... Upper troughing is expected to deepen across the central and eastern CONUS from D4/Sunday through at least D6/Tuesday. At the same time, ridging will build across the western CONUS. This overall pattern will likely shift eastward by D7/Wednesday as another upper trough approaches the West Coast. As a result, an amplified trough/ridge/trough pattern will likely extend across the CONUS by early D7/Wednesday. Stable conditions are expected to prevail across the majority of the CONUS from D5/Monday through D8/Thursday. A few thunderstorms do appear possible from the middle to upper OH Valley into Upstate NY and central PA on D4/Sunday as a shortwave trough and associated surface low/cold front move through the region. Strong large-scale ascent is anticipated ahead of the shortwave, with robust mid-level flow moving across the region as well. However, the better low-level moisture and associated buoyancy will be displaced south, likely keeping the overall severe threat low. Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0213 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible across the Ohio Valley on Saturday, but the severe thunderstorm potential is low. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Enhanced westerly flow aloft is forecast to extend from the Canadian Prairies eastward across the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes into the Northeast, through the base of upper troughing covering much of eastern Canada. A series of shortwave troughs are expected to progress through these westerlies, including one that moves quickly northeastward across the Canadian Maritimes into the northern Atlantic and another that is expected to move across the Upper Midwest and Upper Great Lakes early Sunday morning. This overall evolution will contribute to deepening cyclonic flow across much of the central and eastern CONUS, while also reinforcing the continental airmass over the region. At the surface, a cold front is expected to extend across the OH Valley into the central Plains. This boundary is expected to sharpen throughout the day as the Upper Midwest/Upper Great Lakes shortwave trough progresses southeastward. Surface cyclogenesis appears likely in the northern MO/IL vicinity, with the resultant low then moving northeastward along the frontal zone across the OH Valley. Warm-air advection throughout the warm sector of this low combined with cooling mid-level temperatures will result in modest buoyancy. Warm-air advection will also combine with large-scale ascent to provide the lift needed for showers and thunderstorms. Mid-level flow will be strong enough to support updraft rotation and the potential for a few instances of hail. However, coverage will be minimized by limited buoyancy. ..Mosier.. 10/10/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0213 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible across the Ohio Valley on Saturday, but the severe thunderstorm potential is low. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Enhanced westerly flow aloft is forecast to extend from the Canadian Prairies eastward across the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes into the Northeast, through the base of upper troughing covering much of eastern Canada. A series of shortwave troughs are expected to progress through these westerlies, including one that moves quickly northeastward across the Canadian Maritimes into the northern Atlantic and another that is expected to move across the Upper Midwest and Upper Great Lakes early Sunday morning. This overall evolution will contribute to deepening cyclonic flow across much of the central and eastern CONUS, while also reinforcing the continental airmass over the region. At the surface, a cold front is expected to extend across the OH Valley into the central Plains. This boundary is expected to sharpen throughout the day as the Upper Midwest/Upper Great Lakes shortwave trough progresses southeastward. Surface cyclogenesis appears likely in the northern MO/IL vicinity, with the resultant low then moving northeastward along the frontal zone across the OH Valley. Warm-air advection throughout the warm sector of this low combined with cooling mid-level temperatures will result in modest buoyancy. Warm-air advection will also combine with large-scale ascent to provide the lift needed for showers and thunderstorms. Mid-level flow will be strong enough to support updraft rotation and the potential for a few instances of hail. However, coverage will be minimized by limited buoyancy. ..Mosier.. 10/10/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0213 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible across the Ohio Valley on Saturday, but the severe thunderstorm potential is low. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Enhanced westerly flow aloft is forecast to extend from the Canadian Prairies eastward across the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes into the Northeast, through the base of upper troughing covering much of eastern Canada. A series of shortwave troughs are expected to progress through these westerlies, including one that moves quickly northeastward across the Canadian Maritimes into the northern Atlantic and another that is expected to move across the Upper Midwest and Upper Great Lakes early Sunday morning. This overall evolution will contribute to deepening cyclonic flow across much of the central and eastern CONUS, while also reinforcing the continental airmass over the region. At the surface, a cold front is expected to extend across the OH Valley into the central Plains. This boundary is expected to sharpen throughout the day as the Upper Midwest/Upper Great Lakes shortwave trough progresses southeastward. Surface cyclogenesis appears likely in the northern MO/IL vicinity, with the resultant low then moving northeastward along the frontal zone across the OH Valley. Warm-air advection throughout the warm sector of this low combined with cooling mid-level temperatures will result in modest buoyancy. Warm-air advection will also combine with large-scale ascent to provide the lift needed for showers and thunderstorms. Mid-level flow will be strong enough to support updraft rotation and the potential for a few instances of hail. However, coverage will be minimized by limited buoyancy. ..Mosier.. 10/10/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0213 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible across the Ohio Valley on Saturday, but the severe thunderstorm potential is low. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Enhanced westerly flow aloft is forecast to extend from the Canadian Prairies eastward across the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes into the Northeast, through the base of upper troughing covering much of eastern Canada. A series of shortwave troughs are expected to progress through these westerlies, including one that moves quickly northeastward across the Canadian Maritimes into the northern Atlantic and another that is expected to move across the Upper Midwest and Upper Great Lakes early Sunday morning. This overall evolution will contribute to deepening cyclonic flow across much of the central and eastern CONUS, while also reinforcing the continental airmass over the region. At the surface, a cold front is expected to extend across the OH Valley into the central Plains. This boundary is expected to sharpen throughout the day as the Upper Midwest/Upper Great Lakes shortwave trough progresses southeastward. Surface cyclogenesis appears likely in the northern MO/IL vicinity, with the resultant low then moving northeastward along the frontal zone across the OH Valley. Warm-air advection throughout the warm sector of this low combined with cooling mid-level temperatures will result in modest buoyancy. Warm-air advection will also combine with large-scale ascent to provide the lift needed for showers and thunderstorms. Mid-level flow will be strong enough to support updraft rotation and the potential for a few instances of hail. However, coverage will be minimized by limited buoyancy. ..Mosier.. 10/10/2024 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A belt of enhanced westerlies is forecast to extend from the Canadian Prairie Province eastward across Ontario and southern Quebec into New England throughout the day on Friday. A shortwave trough embedded within these westerlies is forecast to progress quickly eastward across Ontario and Quebec and adjacent portions of the Upper Midwest and Upper Great Lakes. An associated surface low will move across Ontario just ahead of this shortwave, with an attendant cold front pushing southeastward across the northern/central Plains, the Upper/Mid MS Valley, and the Upper Great Lakes. Scant low-level moisture is expected ahead of this low, limiting the thunderstorm potential along most of the front. Some modest buoyancy may develop across the Upper Great Lakes region where low to mid-level moisture is expected to increase amid cooling mid-level temperatures. This may result in deep enough updrafts for a few lightning flashes between 18Z and 00Z. Farther south, a low-amplitude shortwave trough is expected to drift southeastward from OK into the Lower MS Valley. Cold mid-level temperatures will accompany this shortwave, and lingering warm-air advection showers and thunderstorms may result in a few lightning flashes across eastern OK and northeast TX Friday morning. Lastly, upper 60s to low 70s dewpoints are expected to persist across central and southern FL throughout the period. Some showers are likely throughout the day amid confluent low-level northeasterly flow. However, warm temperatures aloft will limit storm depth throughout much of the period across the region. The environment across south FL is expected to become more conducive to deep convection late Friday night/early Saturday morning as mid-level temperature cool slightly and low-level flow trends more southeasterly. Consequently, a few flashes are possible across south FL and/or the Keys after 00Z. ..Mosier.. 10/10/2024 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A belt of enhanced westerlies is forecast to extend from the Canadian Prairie Province eastward across Ontario and southern Quebec into New England throughout the day on Friday. A shortwave trough embedded within these westerlies is forecast to progress quickly eastward across Ontario and Quebec and adjacent portions of the Upper Midwest and Upper Great Lakes. An associated surface low will move across Ontario just ahead of this shortwave, with an attendant cold front pushing southeastward across the northern/central Plains, the Upper/Mid MS Valley, and the Upper Great Lakes. Scant low-level moisture is expected ahead of this low, limiting the thunderstorm potential along most of the front. Some modest buoyancy may develop across the Upper Great Lakes region where low to mid-level moisture is expected to increase amid cooling mid-level temperatures. This may result in deep enough updrafts for a few lightning flashes between 18Z and 00Z. Farther south, a low-amplitude shortwave trough is expected to drift southeastward from OK into the Lower MS Valley. Cold mid-level temperatures will accompany this shortwave, and lingering warm-air advection showers and thunderstorms may result in a few lightning flashes across eastern OK and northeast TX Friday morning. Lastly, upper 60s to low 70s dewpoints are expected to persist across central and southern FL throughout the period. Some showers are likely throughout the day amid confluent low-level northeasterly flow. However, warm temperatures aloft will limit storm depth throughout much of the period across the region. The environment across south FL is expected to become more conducive to deep convection late Friday night/early Saturday morning as mid-level temperature cool slightly and low-level flow trends more southeasterly. Consequently, a few flashes are possible across south FL and/or the Keys after 00Z. ..Mosier.. 10/10/2024 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A belt of enhanced westerlies is forecast to extend from the Canadian Prairie Province eastward across Ontario and southern Quebec into New England throughout the day on Friday. A shortwave trough embedded within these westerlies is forecast to progress quickly eastward across Ontario and Quebec and adjacent portions of the Upper Midwest and Upper Great Lakes. An associated surface low will move across Ontario just ahead of this shortwave, with an attendant cold front pushing southeastward across the northern/central Plains, the Upper/Mid MS Valley, and the Upper Great Lakes. Scant low-level moisture is expected ahead of this low, limiting the thunderstorm potential along most of the front. Some modest buoyancy may develop across the Upper Great Lakes region where low to mid-level moisture is expected to increase amid cooling mid-level temperatures. This may result in deep enough updrafts for a few lightning flashes between 18Z and 00Z. Farther south, a low-amplitude shortwave trough is expected to drift southeastward from OK into the Lower MS Valley. Cold mid-level temperatures will accompany this shortwave, and lingering warm-air advection showers and thunderstorms may result in a few lightning flashes across eastern OK and northeast TX Friday morning. Lastly, upper 60s to low 70s dewpoints are expected to persist across central and southern FL throughout the period. Some showers are likely throughout the day amid confluent low-level northeasterly flow. However, warm temperatures aloft will limit storm depth throughout much of the period across the region. The environment across south FL is expected to become more conducive to deep convection late Friday night/early Saturday morning as mid-level temperature cool slightly and low-level flow trends more southeasterly. Consequently, a few flashes are possible across south FL and/or the Keys after 00Z. ..Mosier.. 10/10/2024 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A belt of enhanced westerlies is forecast to extend from the Canadian Prairie Province eastward across Ontario and southern Quebec into New England throughout the day on Friday. A shortwave trough embedded within these westerlies is forecast to progress quickly eastward across Ontario and Quebec and adjacent portions of the Upper Midwest and Upper Great Lakes. An associated surface low will move across Ontario just ahead of this shortwave, with an attendant cold front pushing southeastward across the northern/central Plains, the Upper/Mid MS Valley, and the Upper Great Lakes. Scant low-level moisture is expected ahead of this low, limiting the thunderstorm potential along most of the front. Some modest buoyancy may develop across the Upper Great Lakes region where low to mid-level moisture is expected to increase amid cooling mid-level temperatures. This may result in deep enough updrafts for a few lightning flashes between 18Z and 00Z. Farther south, a low-amplitude shortwave trough is expected to drift southeastward from OK into the Lower MS Valley. Cold mid-level temperatures will accompany this shortwave, and lingering warm-air advection showers and thunderstorms may result in a few lightning flashes across eastern OK and northeast TX Friday morning. Lastly, upper 60s to low 70s dewpoints are expected to persist across central and southern FL throughout the period. Some showers are likely throughout the day amid confluent low-level northeasterly flow. However, warm temperatures aloft will limit storm depth throughout much of the period across the region. The environment across south FL is expected to become more conducive to deep convection late Friday night/early Saturday morning as mid-level temperature cool slightly and low-level flow trends more southeasterly. Consequently, a few flashes are possible across south FL and/or the Keys after 00Z. ..Mosier.. 10/10/2024 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A belt of enhanced westerlies is forecast to extend from the Canadian Prairie Province eastward across Ontario and southern Quebec into New England throughout the day on Friday. A shortwave trough embedded within these westerlies is forecast to progress quickly eastward across Ontario and Quebec and adjacent portions of the Upper Midwest and Upper Great Lakes. An associated surface low will move across Ontario just ahead of this shortwave, with an attendant cold front pushing southeastward across the northern/central Plains, the Upper/Mid MS Valley, and the Upper Great Lakes. Scant low-level moisture is expected ahead of this low, limiting the thunderstorm potential along most of the front. Some modest buoyancy may develop across the Upper Great Lakes region where low to mid-level moisture is expected to increase amid cooling mid-level temperatures. This may result in deep enough updrafts for a few lightning flashes between 18Z and 00Z. Farther south, a low-amplitude shortwave trough is expected to drift southeastward from OK into the Lower MS Valley. Cold mid-level temperatures will accompany this shortwave, and lingering warm-air advection showers and thunderstorms may result in a few lightning flashes across eastern OK and northeast TX Friday morning. Lastly, upper 60s to low 70s dewpoints are expected to persist across central and southern FL throughout the period. Some showers are likely throughout the day amid confluent low-level northeasterly flow. However, warm temperatures aloft will limit storm depth throughout much of the period across the region. The environment across south FL is expected to become more conducive to deep convection late Friday night/early Saturday morning as mid-level temperature cool slightly and low-level flow trends more southeasterly. Consequently, a few flashes are possible across south FL and/or the Keys after 00Z. ..Mosier.. 10/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not expected today. ...Discussion... With the center of Hurricane Milton forecast to be off the east coast of Florida at the start of the period, a much quieter severe weather day is forecast across the CONUS. An upper low centered over the St. Lawrence Valley early will move north-northeastward with time, with troughing extending south of the low crossing the eastern U.S. and shifting into the western Atlantic with time. Farther west, weak ridging aloft will prevail, with the faster belt of westerlies confined to the northern tier of states and into Canada. As a short-wave trough in this fast/northern belt of flow aloft shifts from the northern Intermountain region and into the northern Plains, an accompanying cold front will advance eastward across the northern Plains. Elsewhere, high pressure will largely prevail. Showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible across the Oklahoma vicinity, and also across parts of southern Arizona/southern New Mexico. A lightning flash or two will also be possible early in the period over eastern Florida, but will diminish as Milton continues eastward into the Atlantic. In all of these areas, storms should remain generally weak -- with severe weather not expected. ..Goss/Squitieri.. 10/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not expected today. ...Discussion... With the center of Hurricane Milton forecast to be off the east coast of Florida at the start of the period, a much quieter severe weather day is forecast across the CONUS. An upper low centered over the St. Lawrence Valley early will move north-northeastward with time, with troughing extending south of the low crossing the eastern U.S. and shifting into the western Atlantic with time. Farther west, weak ridging aloft will prevail, with the faster belt of westerlies confined to the northern tier of states and into Canada. As a short-wave trough in this fast/northern belt of flow aloft shifts from the northern Intermountain region and into the northern Plains, an accompanying cold front will advance eastward across the northern Plains. Elsewhere, high pressure will largely prevail. Showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible across the Oklahoma vicinity, and also across parts of southern Arizona/southern New Mexico. A lightning flash or two will also be possible early in the period over eastern Florida, but will diminish as Milton continues eastward into the Atlantic. In all of these areas, storms should remain generally weak -- with severe weather not expected. ..Goss/Squitieri.. 10/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not expected today. ...Discussion... With the center of Hurricane Milton forecast to be off the east coast of Florida at the start of the period, a much quieter severe weather day is forecast across the CONUS. An upper low centered over the St. Lawrence Valley early will move north-northeastward with time, with troughing extending south of the low crossing the eastern U.S. and shifting into the western Atlantic with time. Farther west, weak ridging aloft will prevail, with the faster belt of westerlies confined to the northern tier of states and into Canada. As a short-wave trough in this fast/northern belt of flow aloft shifts from the northern Intermountain region and into the northern Plains, an accompanying cold front will advance eastward across the northern Plains. Elsewhere, high pressure will largely prevail. Showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible across the Oklahoma vicinity, and also across parts of southern Arizona/southern New Mexico. A lightning flash or two will also be possible early in the period over eastern Florida, but will diminish as Milton continues eastward into the Atlantic. In all of these areas, storms should remain generally weak -- with severe weather not expected. ..Goss/Squitieri.. 10/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not expected today. ...Discussion... With the center of Hurricane Milton forecast to be off the east coast of Florida at the start of the period, a much quieter severe weather day is forecast across the CONUS. An upper low centered over the St. Lawrence Valley early will move north-northeastward with time, with troughing extending south of the low crossing the eastern U.S. and shifting into the western Atlantic with time. Farther west, weak ridging aloft will prevail, with the faster belt of westerlies confined to the northern tier of states and into Canada. As a short-wave trough in this fast/northern belt of flow aloft shifts from the northern Intermountain region and into the northern Plains, an accompanying cold front will advance eastward across the northern Plains. Elsewhere, high pressure will largely prevail. Showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible across the Oklahoma vicinity, and also across parts of southern Arizona/southern New Mexico. A lightning flash or two will also be possible early in the period over eastern Florida, but will diminish as Milton continues eastward into the Atlantic. In all of these areas, storms should remain generally weak -- with severe weather not expected. ..Goss/Squitieri.. 10/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not expected today. ...Discussion... With the center of Hurricane Milton forecast to be off the east coast of Florida at the start of the period, a much quieter severe weather day is forecast across the CONUS. An upper low centered over the St. Lawrence Valley early will move north-northeastward with time, with troughing extending south of the low crossing the eastern U.S. and shifting into the western Atlantic with time. Farther west, weak ridging aloft will prevail, with the faster belt of westerlies confined to the northern tier of states and into Canada. As a short-wave trough in this fast/northern belt of flow aloft shifts from the northern Intermountain region and into the northern Plains, an accompanying cold front will advance eastward across the northern Plains. Elsewhere, high pressure will largely prevail. Showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible across the Oklahoma vicinity, and also across parts of southern Arizona/southern New Mexico. A lightning flash or two will also be possible early in the period over eastern Florida, but will diminish as Milton continues eastward into the Atlantic. In all of these areas, storms should remain generally weak -- with severe weather not expected. ..Goss/Squitieri.. 10/10/2024 Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 100507
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Oct 9 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Mahoney/Reinhart

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1159 PM CDT Wed Oct 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will prevail east of the Rockies while a mid-level trough will impinge on the West Coast tomorrow (Friday). Though some surface troughing may develop across the Southern Plains, high pressure will dominate across most of the CONUS, encouraging dry conditions, but with light or variable winds, limiting widespread significant wildfire-spread concerns. The best chance for localized wildfire-spread conditions to develop would be the Great Basin by afternoon peak heating, where RH will be below 15 percent on a widespread basis. Still, doubts of a stronger surface wind field developing, combined with only modestly receptive fuels, suggest that fire weather highlights are not currently needed. ..Squitieri.. 10/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1159 PM CDT Wed Oct 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will prevail east of the Rockies while a mid-level trough will impinge on the West Coast tomorrow (Friday). Though some surface troughing may develop across the Southern Plains, high pressure will dominate across most of the CONUS, encouraging dry conditions, but with light or variable winds, limiting widespread significant wildfire-spread concerns. The best chance for localized wildfire-spread conditions to develop would be the Great Basin by afternoon peak heating, where RH will be below 15 percent on a widespread basis. Still, doubts of a stronger surface wind field developing, combined with only modestly receptive fuels, suggest that fire weather highlights are not currently needed. ..Squitieri.. 10/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1159 PM CDT Wed Oct 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will prevail east of the Rockies while a mid-level trough will impinge on the West Coast tomorrow (Friday). Though some surface troughing may develop across the Southern Plains, high pressure will dominate across most of the CONUS, encouraging dry conditions, but with light or variable winds, limiting widespread significant wildfire-spread concerns. The best chance for localized wildfire-spread conditions to develop would be the Great Basin by afternoon peak heating, where RH will be below 15 percent on a widespread basis. Still, doubts of a stronger surface wind field developing, combined with only modestly receptive fuels, suggest that fire weather highlights are not currently needed. ..Squitieri.. 10/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1159 PM CDT Wed Oct 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will prevail east of the Rockies while a mid-level trough will impinge on the West Coast tomorrow (Friday). Though some surface troughing may develop across the Southern Plains, high pressure will dominate across most of the CONUS, encouraging dry conditions, but with light or variable winds, limiting widespread significant wildfire-spread concerns. The best chance for localized wildfire-spread conditions to develop would be the Great Basin by afternoon peak heating, where RH will be below 15 percent on a widespread basis. Still, doubts of a stronger surface wind field developing, combined with only modestly receptive fuels, suggest that fire weather highlights are not currently needed. ..Squitieri.. 10/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more