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Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 000 FOPZ12 KNHC 222044 PWSEP2 HURRICANE KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024 2100 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 110W 50 84 X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) 15N 110W 64 44 X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) ISLA CLARION 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 115W 34 1 84(85) 9(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 15N 115W 50 X 45(45) 24(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) 15N 115W 64 X 19(19) 23(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) 10N 120W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) 31(31) 59(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 57(61) 2(63) X(63) X(63) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 37(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 85(90) 1(91) X(91) 15N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 67(67) 1(68) X(68) 15N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 45(45) 1(46) X(46) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 14(21) 1(22) 15N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 46(47) 6(53) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 4(20) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER TORRES-VAZQUEZ/PAPIN

Issued at 200 PM MST Tue Oct 22 2024 000 WTPZ32 KNHC 222044 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Hurricane Kristy Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122024 200 PM MST Tue Oct 22 2024 ...KRISTY BECOMES A HURRICANE AND APPEARS POISED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.7N 108.5W ABOUT 590 MI...950 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM SSE OF SOCORRO ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Kristy was located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 108.5 West. Kristy is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h) and this westward motion is expected to continue for the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional intensification is expected and Kristy could rapidly intensify into a major hurricane by Wednesday afternoon. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Torres-Vazquez/Papin

...KRISTY BECOMES A HURRICANE AND APPEARS POISED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY... As of 2:00 PM MST Tue Oct 22 the center of Kristy was located near 14.7, -108.5 with movement W at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 988 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 000 WTPZ22 KNHC 222042 TCMEP2 HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024 2100 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 108.5W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 108.5W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 107.7W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.6N 111.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.4N 114.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.2N 118.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.2N 121.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.7N 123.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT... 95NE 70SE 70SW 95NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.7N 126.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 55NE 40SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 75SE 65SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.7N 130.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 70SE 60SW 100NW. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 21.0N 134.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 110NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 108.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER TORRES-VAZQUEZ/PAPIN=

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0311 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 222000Z - 231200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today through tonight. ...20z Update... The general thunderstorm areas have been removed from northern MN and the IL vicinity as lightning probabilities are expected to rapidly diminish over the next 1-2 hours. A few flashes are still possible across the TX Big Bend vicinity into early evening. Severe storms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 10/22/2024 Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0311 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 222000Z - 231200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today through tonight. ...20z Update... The general thunderstorm areas have been removed from northern MN and the IL vicinity as lightning probabilities are expected to rapidly diminish over the next 1-2 hours. A few flashes are still possible across the TX Big Bend vicinity into early evening. Severe storms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 10/22/2024 Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0311 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 222000Z - 231200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today through tonight. ...20z Update... The general thunderstorm areas have been removed from northern MN and the IL vicinity as lightning probabilities are expected to rapidly diminish over the next 1-2 hours. A few flashes are still possible across the TX Big Bend vicinity into early evening. Severe storms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 10/22/2024 Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0311 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 222000Z - 231200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today through tonight. ...20z Update... The general thunderstorm areas have been removed from northern MN and the IL vicinity as lightning probabilities are expected to rapidly diminish over the next 1-2 hours. A few flashes are still possible across the TX Big Bend vicinity into early evening. Severe storms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 10/22/2024 Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0311 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 222000Z - 231200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today through tonight. ...20z Update... The general thunderstorm areas have been removed from northern MN and the IL vicinity as lightning probabilities are expected to rapidly diminish over the next 1-2 hours. A few flashes are still possible across the TX Big Bend vicinity into early evening. Severe storms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 10/22/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0307 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST KANSAS INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN IOWA... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce hail on Thursday from far northeast Kansas across northern Missouri and into southern Iowa. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Thursday, a progressive upper trough will move from the central and northern Rockies into the Plains, as upper ridging briefly develops from the OH Valley into the Northeast. High pressure will be in place over much of the East in the wake of the previous days cold front, providing generally stable conditions there. In association with the Rockies/Plains trough, a cold front will push quickly southeastward across the northern and central Plains, extending roughly from MN into the TX Panhandle by 00Z. Modest boundary-layer moistening will occur with dewpoints in the low to mid 50s F as far north as southwest IA. As the cold front interacts with the narrow plume of instability, at least isolated surface-based storms are anticipated during the late afternoon, trending toward elevated through the evening, from northeast KS into northern MO and IA. Forecast soundings show steepening lapse rates aloft along with veering winds with height, suggesting a supercell, even if elevated, may occur, with hail risk. The favored zone for initiation will be the KS portion of the cold front where low-level lapse rates will be steepest. Overall, the main limiting factor for this event will be moisture quality as lift and shear will be favorable. ..Jewell.. 10/22/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0307 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST KANSAS INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN IOWA... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce hail on Thursday from far northeast Kansas across northern Missouri and into southern Iowa. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Thursday, a progressive upper trough will move from the central and northern Rockies into the Plains, as upper ridging briefly develops from the OH Valley into the Northeast. High pressure will be in place over much of the East in the wake of the previous days cold front, providing generally stable conditions there. In association with the Rockies/Plains trough, a cold front will push quickly southeastward across the northern and central Plains, extending roughly from MN into the TX Panhandle by 00Z. Modest boundary-layer moistening will occur with dewpoints in the low to mid 50s F as far north as southwest IA. As the cold front interacts with the narrow plume of instability, at least isolated surface-based storms are anticipated during the late afternoon, trending toward elevated through the evening, from northeast KS into northern MO and IA. Forecast soundings show steepening lapse rates aloft along with veering winds with height, suggesting a supercell, even if elevated, may occur, with hail risk. The favored zone for initiation will be the KS portion of the cold front where low-level lapse rates will be steepest. Overall, the main limiting factor for this event will be moisture quality as lift and shear will be favorable. ..Jewell.. 10/22/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0307 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST KANSAS INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN IOWA... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce hail on Thursday from far northeast Kansas across northern Missouri and into southern Iowa. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Thursday, a progressive upper trough will move from the central and northern Rockies into the Plains, as upper ridging briefly develops from the OH Valley into the Northeast. High pressure will be in place over much of the East in the wake of the previous days cold front, providing generally stable conditions there. In association with the Rockies/Plains trough, a cold front will push quickly southeastward across the northern and central Plains, extending roughly from MN into the TX Panhandle by 00Z. Modest boundary-layer moistening will occur with dewpoints in the low to mid 50s F as far north as southwest IA. As the cold front interacts with the narrow plume of instability, at least isolated surface-based storms are anticipated during the late afternoon, trending toward elevated through the evening, from northeast KS into northern MO and IA. Forecast soundings show steepening lapse rates aloft along with veering winds with height, suggesting a supercell, even if elevated, may occur, with hail risk. The favored zone for initiation will be the KS portion of the cold front where low-level lapse rates will be steepest. Overall, the main limiting factor for this event will be moisture quality as lift and shear will be favorable. ..Jewell.. 10/22/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0307 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST KANSAS INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN IOWA... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce hail on Thursday from far northeast Kansas across northern Missouri and into southern Iowa. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Thursday, a progressive upper trough will move from the central and northern Rockies into the Plains, as upper ridging briefly develops from the OH Valley into the Northeast. High pressure will be in place over much of the East in the wake of the previous days cold front, providing generally stable conditions there. In association with the Rockies/Plains trough, a cold front will push quickly southeastward across the northern and central Plains, extending roughly from MN into the TX Panhandle by 00Z. Modest boundary-layer moistening will occur with dewpoints in the low to mid 50s F as far north as southwest IA. As the cold front interacts with the narrow plume of instability, at least isolated surface-based storms are anticipated during the late afternoon, trending toward elevated through the evening, from northeast KS into northern MO and IA. Forecast soundings show steepening lapse rates aloft along with veering winds with height, suggesting a supercell, even if elevated, may occur, with hail risk. The favored zone for initiation will be the KS portion of the cold front where low-level lapse rates will be steepest. Overall, the main limiting factor for this event will be moisture quality as lift and shear will be favorable. ..Jewell.. 10/22/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0307 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST KANSAS INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN IOWA... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce hail on Thursday from far northeast Kansas across northern Missouri and into southern Iowa. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Thursday, a progressive upper trough will move from the central and northern Rockies into the Plains, as upper ridging briefly develops from the OH Valley into the Northeast. High pressure will be in place over much of the East in the wake of the previous days cold front, providing generally stable conditions there. In association with the Rockies/Plains trough, a cold front will push quickly southeastward across the northern and central Plains, extending roughly from MN into the TX Panhandle by 00Z. Modest boundary-layer moistening will occur with dewpoints in the low to mid 50s F as far north as southwest IA. As the cold front interacts with the narrow plume of instability, at least isolated surface-based storms are anticipated during the late afternoon, trending toward elevated through the evening, from northeast KS into northern MO and IA. Forecast soundings show steepening lapse rates aloft along with veering winds with height, suggesting a supercell, even if elevated, may occur, with hail risk. The favored zone for initiation will be the KS portion of the cold front where low-level lapse rates will be steepest. Overall, the main limiting factor for this event will be moisture quality as lift and shear will be favorable. ..Jewell.. 10/22/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0307 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST KANSAS INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN IOWA... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce hail on Thursday from far northeast Kansas across northern Missouri and into southern Iowa. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Thursday, a progressive upper trough will move from the central and northern Rockies into the Plains, as upper ridging briefly develops from the OH Valley into the Northeast. High pressure will be in place over much of the East in the wake of the previous days cold front, providing generally stable conditions there. In association with the Rockies/Plains trough, a cold front will push quickly southeastward across the northern and central Plains, extending roughly from MN into the TX Panhandle by 00Z. Modest boundary-layer moistening will occur with dewpoints in the low to mid 50s F as far north as southwest IA. As the cold front interacts with the narrow plume of instability, at least isolated surface-based storms are anticipated during the late afternoon, trending toward elevated through the evening, from northeast KS into northern MO and IA. Forecast soundings show steepening lapse rates aloft along with veering winds with height, suggesting a supercell, even if elevated, may occur, with hail risk. The favored zone for initiation will be the KS portion of the cold front where low-level lapse rates will be steepest. Overall, the main limiting factor for this event will be moisture quality as lift and shear will be favorable. ..Jewell.. 10/22/2024 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0255 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 10/22/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0124 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024/ ...Synopsis... Large-scale critical fire weather conditions are not anticipated across the contiguous United States on Wednesday. A very dry, continental airmass will remain entrenched across much of the central United States. As a surface ridge slides east toward the Great Lakes, a dry return flow pattern will develop across much of the Plains. At this point, critical fire weather conditions are not expected, but an increase in initial attack may occur. Areas across the Plains will be monitored for potential elevated highlights in later forecasts. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0255 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 10/22/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0124 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024/ ...Synopsis... Large-scale critical fire weather conditions are not anticipated across the contiguous United States on Wednesday. A very dry, continental airmass will remain entrenched across much of the central United States. As a surface ridge slides east toward the Great Lakes, a dry return flow pattern will develop across much of the Plains. At this point, critical fire weather conditions are not expected, but an increase in initial attack may occur. Areas across the Plains will be monitored for potential elevated highlights in later forecasts. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0255 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 10/22/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0124 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024/ ...Synopsis... Large-scale critical fire weather conditions are not anticipated across the contiguous United States on Wednesday. A very dry, continental airmass will remain entrenched across much of the central United States. As a surface ridge slides east toward the Great Lakes, a dry return flow pattern will develop across much of the Plains. At this point, critical fire weather conditions are not expected, but an increase in initial attack may occur. Areas across the Plains will be monitored for potential elevated highlights in later forecasts. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0255 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 10/22/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0124 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024/ ...Synopsis... Large-scale critical fire weather conditions are not anticipated across the contiguous United States on Wednesday. A very dry, continental airmass will remain entrenched across much of the central United States. As a surface ridge slides east toward the Great Lakes, a dry return flow pattern will develop across much of the Plains. At this point, critical fire weather conditions are not expected, but an increase in initial attack may occur. Areas across the Plains will be monitored for potential elevated highlights in later forecasts. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0255 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 10/22/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0124 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024/ ...Synopsis... Large-scale critical fire weather conditions are not anticipated across the contiguous United States on Wednesday. A very dry, continental airmass will remain entrenched across much of the central United States. As a surface ridge slides east toward the Great Lakes, a dry return flow pattern will develop across much of the Plains. At this point, critical fire weather conditions are not expected, but an increase in initial attack may occur. Areas across the Plains will be monitored for potential elevated highlights in later forecasts. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more