Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map
9 months 3 weeks ago

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 092332
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Oct 9 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99):
Showers and thunderstorms have mostly dissipated with an area of
low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental
conditions are becoming increasingly unfavorable, and additional
development is no longer anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Mahoney
NHC Webmaster

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map
9 months 3 weeks ago

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 091738
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Oct 9 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99):
Showers and thunderstorms have become less organized in association
with an elongated area of low pressure located a couple hundred
miles southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. By tonight, increasing upper-level winds and dry air
should end the chances for any further development as the
disturbance drifts toward the northwest or north-northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
NHC Webmaster

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map
9 months 3 weeks ago

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 091132
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Oct 9 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
a weak low pressure system located about 230 miles southeast of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Slight development
of this system is possible today while it moves slowly north-
northwestward to northwestward. By tonight, increasing upper-level
winds and dry air should end the chances for any further
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
NHC Webmaster

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map
9 months 3 weeks ago

341
ABPZ20 KNHC 090532
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Oct 8 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
a low pressure system located about 250 miles southeast of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Gradual development
of this system is possible while it moves slowly north-northwestward
to northwestward. By late Wednesday, increasing upper-level winds
and dry air should end the chances for any further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

NHC Webmaster

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map
9 months 3 weeks ago

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 082325
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Oct 8 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99):
Showers and thunderstorms remain limited in association with a small
but well-defined area of low pressure located a little over one
hundred miles west-southwest of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico. The
proximity of very dry environmental air to the west of the system
may continue to limit shower and thunderstorm activity and its
chances to become a tropical depression are decreasing. This system
is forecast to move slowly north-northwestward to northwestward,
just offshore of the coast of Mexico and by late Wednesday,
upper-level winds are also forecast to become unfavorable, ending
its chances for further development. Regardless of development, the
system could bring areas of heavy rain to portions of southwestern
Mexico during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin
NHC Webmaster
Checked
5 years 10 months ago
National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map
Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific
URL
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
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