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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 PM CDT Wed Aug 21 2024 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEVADA INTO WESTERN UTAH AND SOUTHERN IDAHO... ...Synopsis... A deepening mid-level trough will progress across the Interior West as upper ridging continues across the Plains to the Eastern Seaboard tomorrow (Friday). Strong mid-level flow aloft and associated upper support, amid a deep, dry boundary layer, will foster Elevated to Critical conditions across the Great Basin, with sustained southwesterly surface winds approaching 25 mph in spots, and RH dipping into the 15-20 percent range. Furthermore, upper support amid adequate buoyancy will promote the development of both wet and dry thunderstorms across portions of the Pacific Northwest (mainly central into eastern Oregon). Given receptive fuels in the area, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been added. ..Squitieri.. 08/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 PM CDT Wed Aug 21 2024 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEVADA INTO WESTERN UTAH AND SOUTHERN IDAHO... ...Synopsis... A deepening mid-level trough will progress across the Interior West as upper ridging continues across the Plains to the Eastern Seaboard tomorrow (Friday). Strong mid-level flow aloft and associated upper support, amid a deep, dry boundary layer, will foster Elevated to Critical conditions across the Great Basin, with sustained southwesterly surface winds approaching 25 mph in spots, and RH dipping into the 15-20 percent range. Furthermore, upper support amid adequate buoyancy will promote the development of both wet and dry thunderstorms across portions of the Pacific Northwest (mainly central into eastern Oregon). Given receptive fuels in the area, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been added. ..Squitieri.. 08/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 1972 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 643... FOR EASTERN MONTANA/WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1972 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1113 PM CDT Wed Aug 21 2024 Areas affected...eastern Montana/western North Dakota Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 643... Valid 220413Z - 220545Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 643 continues. SUMMARY...Severe threat continues to gradually diminish across eastern Montana/WW 643. DISCUSSION...Over the last couple of hours, a noted/gradual decrease in convective coverage -- and particularly intensity -- has occurred, as the low-level airmass gradually stabilizes. While convection will likely linger over the next couple of hours, including a stronger storm or two at times capable of producing marginally severe hail and/or wind, new WW issuance is not anticipated. As storms move eastward into North Dakota with time, WW 643 will likely be able to be cancelled prior to its scheduled 22/07Z expiration. ..Goss.. 08/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BIS...UNR...BYZ...GGW... LAT...LON 49000430 48990278 47380222 46400279 45890399 46060468 48000518 49000430 Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 PM CDT Wed Aug 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO EASTERN NEVADA... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West as an upper ridge persists across the central U.S. today. Strong mid-level flow from the upper trough, overspreading a deepening boundary layer over the Great Basin, will support dry and windy conditions through the afternoon. 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface winds, overlapping with 15-20 percent RH and fuels receptive to fire spread, will result in widespread Elevated conditions for several hours. However, portions of central Nevada may also experience higher sustained southerly surface winds (i.e. over 25 mph), warranting Critical highlights. ..Squitieri.. 08/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 PM CDT Wed Aug 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO EASTERN NEVADA... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West as an upper ridge persists across the central U.S. today. Strong mid-level flow from the upper trough, overspreading a deepening boundary layer over the Great Basin, will support dry and windy conditions through the afternoon. 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface winds, overlapping with 15-20 percent RH and fuels receptive to fire spread, will result in widespread Elevated conditions for several hours. However, portions of central Nevada may also experience higher sustained southerly surface winds (i.e. over 25 mph), warranting Critical highlights. ..Squitieri.. 08/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 PM CDT Wed Aug 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO EASTERN NEVADA... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West as an upper ridge persists across the central U.S. today. Strong mid-level flow from the upper trough, overspreading a deepening boundary layer over the Great Basin, will support dry and windy conditions through the afternoon. 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface winds, overlapping with 15-20 percent RH and fuels receptive to fire spread, will result in widespread Elevated conditions for several hours. However, portions of central Nevada may also experience higher sustained southerly surface winds (i.e. over 25 mph), warranting Critical highlights. ..Squitieri.. 08/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 PM CDT Wed Aug 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO EASTERN NEVADA... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West as an upper ridge persists across the central U.S. today. Strong mid-level flow from the upper trough, overspreading a deepening boundary layer over the Great Basin, will support dry and windy conditions through the afternoon. 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface winds, overlapping with 15-20 percent RH and fuels receptive to fire spread, will result in widespread Elevated conditions for several hours. However, portions of central Nevada may also experience higher sustained southerly surface winds (i.e. over 25 mph), warranting Critical highlights. ..Squitieri.. 08/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 PM CDT Wed Aug 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO EASTERN NEVADA... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West as an upper ridge persists across the central U.S. today. Strong mid-level flow from the upper trough, overspreading a deepening boundary layer over the Great Basin, will support dry and windy conditions through the afternoon. 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface winds, overlapping with 15-20 percent RH and fuels receptive to fire spread, will result in widespread Elevated conditions for several hours. However, portions of central Nevada may also experience higher sustained southerly surface winds (i.e. over 25 mph), warranting Critical highlights. ..Squitieri.. 08/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 PM CDT Wed Aug 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO EASTERN NEVADA... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West as an upper ridge persists across the central U.S. today. Strong mid-level flow from the upper trough, overspreading a deepening boundary layer over the Great Basin, will support dry and windy conditions through the afternoon. 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface winds, overlapping with 15-20 percent RH and fuels receptive to fire spread, will result in widespread Elevated conditions for several hours. However, portions of central Nevada may also experience higher sustained southerly surface winds (i.e. over 25 mph), warranting Critical highlights. ..Squitieri.. 08/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 1971 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 642...643... FOR EASTERN MONTANA SOUTHEASTWARD TO CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...AND INTO WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1971 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0853 PM CDT Wed Aug 21 2024 Areas affected...eastern Montana southeastward to central South Dakota...and into western North Dakota Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 642...643... Valid 220153Z - 220400Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 642, 643 continues. SUMMARY...Severe risk -- including potential for large hail and damaging gusts -- continues across the northern High Plains vicinity. DISCUSSION...Latest radar composite loop across the northern High Plains region shows clusters of strong/severe storms moving east-northeastward, within a favorably unstable/sheared environment. While hail and damaging gusts are possible with any of the stronger storms, convection appears to be evolving into a semi-organized band across northeastern Montana. This cluster bears watching, as continued organization/intensification could result in the storms becoming sufficiently long-lived to bring risk for severe weather east of WW 643 into western North Dakota over the next couple of hours. This could require downstream WW consideration. ..Goss.. 08/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ABR...BIS...UNR...BYZ...GGW...TFX... LAT...LON 48970909 48990278 47380222 44230058 43580099 44070251 44930360 44920473 45280638 46420731 47540940 48970909 Read more

WW 0643 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 643 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW MLS TO 20 ENE OLF TO 65 NNE OLF. ..GOSS..08/22/24 ATTN...WFO...TFX...GGW... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 643 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MTC021-079-083-085-091-109-220440- MT . MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DAWSON PRAIRIE RICHLAND ROOSEVELT SHERIDAN WIBAUX THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0643 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 643 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW MLS TO 20 ENE OLF TO 65 NNE OLF. ..GOSS..08/22/24 ATTN...WFO...TFX...GGW... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 643 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MTC021-079-083-085-091-109-220440- MT . MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DAWSON PRAIRIE RICHLAND ROOSEVELT SHERIDAN WIBAUX THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 643 SEVERE TSTM MT 220025Z - 220700Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 643 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 625 PM MDT Wed Aug 21 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Montana * Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 625 PM until 100 AM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should continue to intensify this evening across parts of northeast Montana, while posing a threat for large to very large hail around 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter, along with severe/damaging winds up to 65-75 mph. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 120 statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north of Glasgow MT to 95 miles south of Glasgow MT. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 642... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26025. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0642 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 642 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW PHP TO 35 ESE 2WX TO 25 N 4BQ TO 5 N MLS. ..GOSS..08/22/24 ATTN...WFO...BYZ...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 642 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MTC011-017-025-220440- MT . MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARTER CUSTER FALLON SDC007-055-063-071-095-105-121-137-220440- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENNETT HAAKON HARDING JACKSON MELLETTE PERKINS TODD ZIEBACH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0642 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 642 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW PHP TO 35 ESE 2WX TO 25 N 4BQ TO 5 N MLS. ..GOSS..08/22/24 ATTN...WFO...BYZ...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 642 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MTC011-017-025-220440- MT . MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARTER CUSTER FALLON SDC007-055-063-071-095-105-121-137-220440- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENNETT HAAKON HARDING JACKSON MELLETTE PERKINS TODD ZIEBACH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 642 SEVERE TSTM MT SD 212100Z - 220400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 642 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 400 PM CDT Wed Aug 21 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Montana Western South Dakota * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will develop across southeast Montana and western South Dakota through the afternoon and evening. The strongest cells may produce damaging winds and large hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 145 miles west northwest of Broadus MT to 25 miles north northeast of Philip SD. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25030. ...Hart Read more

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 22 Aug 2024 02:34:30 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 22 Aug 2024 03:22:59 GMT

Issued at 800 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2024 000 WTPZ42 KNHC 220232 TCDEP2 Hurricane Gilma Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072024 800 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2024 Infrared and visible satellite imagery of Gilma this evening continues to depict a strong inner core with a well-defined eye. Deep convection with cold cloud tops near -80C have been persistent in the southern eye wall. Over the last hour or so the northern portion of the inner core has become a little more broken in infrared imagery, which suggests the rapid intensification has stopped. Subjective Dvorak satellite intensity estimates for this cycle remained unchanged from TAFB and SAB, both T5.0/90-kt. The objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS range from 90 to 100 kt. Using a blend of theses estimates, Gilma's initial intensity is set to 95 kt for this advisory. Gilma is moving slowly west-northwestward with an estimated motion of 290/6 kt. A large subtropical ridge will continue to steer Gilma generally westward to west-northwestward during the next few days, with a gradual acceleration by the weekend. The latest NHC track is slightly to the right of the previous forecast, and lies between the previous forecast and the latest consensus aids. Gilma is expected to continue to strengthen over the next day or so as the system moves over warm sea surface temperature with low vertical wind shear. The main change this cycle is that the peak and entire forecast period intensity guidance is much lower compared to 6 hours ago. The NHC peak intensity forecast is slightly lower than previous but still shows steady strengthening over the next 24h. However, the system should then begin to traverse cooler waters and a drier more stable airmass, with a faster weakening trend compared to the previous advisory. Note that the NHC intensity forecast is above most of the intensity guidance, primarily due to continuity constraints, and additional changes in the intensity forecast may be needed in subsequent forecasts if intensity aid trends continue. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0300Z 16.5N 123.8W 95 KT 110 MPH 12H 22/1200Z 16.8N 124.7W 105 KT 120 MPH 24H 23/0000Z 17.1N 125.9W 110 KT 125 MPH 36H 23/1200Z 17.3N 127.2W 100 KT 115 MPH 48H 24/0000Z 17.5N 128.7W 95 KT 110 MPH 60H 24/1200Z 17.8N 130.4W 90 KT 105 MPH 72H 25/0000Z 18.0N 132.2W 85 KT 100 MPH 96H 26/0000Z 18.5N 135.9W 75 KT 85 MPH 120H 27/0000Z 19.1N 140.0W 65 KT 75 MPH $$ Forecaster Kelly

Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 22 2024 000 FOPZ12 KNHC 220231 PWSEP2 HURRICANE GILMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072024 0300 UTC THU AUG 22 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 34 6(40) 2(42) 2(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) 15N 125W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 125W 34 2 4( 6) 5(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) 15N 130W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 10(15) 8(23) 2(25) X(25) 20N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 15(20) 26(46) 2(48) X(48) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 1(13) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 39(54) 3(57) 20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 3(22) 20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 36(43) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 20N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) $$ FORECASTER KELLY