Aggregator

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI AUG 23 2024 894 FOPZ12 KNHC 230233 PWSEP2 HURRICANE GILMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072024 0300 UTC FRI AUG 23 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 125W 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 130W 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) 20N 130W 34 1 8( 9) 49(58) 12(70) 2(72) X(72) X(72) 20N 130W 50 X 1( 1) 11(12) 10(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 64(73) 4(77) X(77) 20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 34(35) 4(39) X(39) 20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 2(17) X(17) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 32(36) 6(42) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) 20N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) $$ FORECASTER BERG

Issued at 500 PM HST Thu Aug 22 2024 874 WTPZ32 KNHC 230233 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Hurricane Gilma Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072024 500 PM HST Thu Aug 22 2024 ...GILMA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE INTO FRIDAY BUT MORE WEAKENING LIES AHEAD... SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.3N 125.5W ABOUT 1080 MI...1740 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 1945 MI...3125 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gilma was located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 125.5 West. Gilma is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). Gradual acceleration toward the west-northwest and then west is expected during the next several days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Gilma is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional weakening is forecast during the next several days, but Gilma is expected to remain a hurricane through much of the upcoming weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 959 mb (28.32 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST. $$ Forecaster Berg

...GILMA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE INTO FRIDAY BUT MORE WEAKENING LIES AHEAD... As of 5:00 PM HST Thu Aug 22 the center of Gilma was located near 17.3, -125.5 with movement WNW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 959 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 120 mph.

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI AUG 23 2024 000 WTPZ22 KNHC 230232 TCMEP2 HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072024 0300 UTC FRI AUG 23 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 125.5W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 959 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 125.5W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 125.2W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.6N 126.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.0N 128.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.4N 129.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.8N 131.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.0N 133.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.2N 135.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 19.8N 139.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 70NW. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 20.5N 145.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 125.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

WW 0644 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 644 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE ITR TO 10 ESE ITR TO 20 NNW ITR TO 25 SSE AKO TO 25 W AKO. ..SPC..08/23/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 644 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC121-125-230240- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE WASHINGTON YUMA KSC023-071-109-153-181-193-199-203-230240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE GREELEY LOGAN RAWLINS SHERMAN THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA NEC057-087-230240- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DUNDY HITCHCOCK Read more

WW 0644 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 644 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE ITR TO 10 ESE ITR TO 20 NNW ITR TO 25 SSE AKO TO 25 W AKO. ..SPC..08/23/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 644 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC121-125-230240- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE WASHINGTON YUMA KSC023-071-109-153-181-193-199-203-230240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE GREELEY LOGAN RAWLINS SHERMAN THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA NEC057-087-230240- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DUNDY HITCHCOCK Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2024 Valid 230100Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and isolated hail remain possible over parts of the central High Plains this evening. ...Central High Plains... Storms have intensified early this evening across eastern CO, with several measured severe gusts (including 68 kt at Lamar, CO), and large hail reported west of Goodland near the CO/KS border. Moderate to locally strong buoyancy and sufficient deep-layer shear will continue to support organized convection through the evening. Isolated supercells with a short-term threat of hail, severe gusts, and possibly a brief tornado will continue to be possible in the vicinity of a stationary surface boundary across northwest KS. A continued tendency toward one or more outflow-driven clusters is expected with time, with a threat of 60-80 mph wind gusts spreading across parts of western KS. An eventual weakening trend is expected with time later tonight, as MLCINH increases with time and eastward extent. ..Dean.. 08/23/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2024 Valid 230100Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and isolated hail remain possible over parts of the central High Plains this evening. ...Central High Plains... Storms have intensified early this evening across eastern CO, with several measured severe gusts (including 68 kt at Lamar, CO), and large hail reported west of Goodland near the CO/KS border. Moderate to locally strong buoyancy and sufficient deep-layer shear will continue to support organized convection through the evening. Isolated supercells with a short-term threat of hail, severe gusts, and possibly a brief tornado will continue to be possible in the vicinity of a stationary surface boundary across northwest KS. A continued tendency toward one or more outflow-driven clusters is expected with time, with a threat of 60-80 mph wind gusts spreading across parts of western KS. An eventual weakening trend is expected with time later tonight, as MLCINH increases with time and eastward extent. ..Dean.. 08/23/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2024 Valid 230100Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and isolated hail remain possible over parts of the central High Plains this evening. ...Central High Plains... Storms have intensified early this evening across eastern CO, with several measured severe gusts (including 68 kt at Lamar, CO), and large hail reported west of Goodland near the CO/KS border. Moderate to locally strong buoyancy and sufficient deep-layer shear will continue to support organized convection through the evening. Isolated supercells with a short-term threat of hail, severe gusts, and possibly a brief tornado will continue to be possible in the vicinity of a stationary surface boundary across northwest KS. A continued tendency toward one or more outflow-driven clusters is expected with time, with a threat of 60-80 mph wind gusts spreading across parts of western KS. An eventual weakening trend is expected with time later tonight, as MLCINH increases with time and eastward extent. ..Dean.. 08/23/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2024 Valid 230100Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and isolated hail remain possible over parts of the central High Plains this evening. ...Central High Plains... Storms have intensified early this evening across eastern CO, with several measured severe gusts (including 68 kt at Lamar, CO), and large hail reported west of Goodland near the CO/KS border. Moderate to locally strong buoyancy and sufficient deep-layer shear will continue to support organized convection through the evening. Isolated supercells with a short-term threat of hail, severe gusts, and possibly a brief tornado will continue to be possible in the vicinity of a stationary surface boundary across northwest KS. A continued tendency toward one or more outflow-driven clusters is expected with time, with a threat of 60-80 mph wind gusts spreading across parts of western KS. An eventual weakening trend is expected with time later tonight, as MLCINH increases with time and eastward extent. ..Dean.. 08/23/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2024 Valid 230100Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and isolated hail remain possible over parts of the central High Plains this evening. ...Central High Plains... Storms have intensified early this evening across eastern CO, with several measured severe gusts (including 68 kt at Lamar, CO), and large hail reported west of Goodland near the CO/KS border. Moderate to locally strong buoyancy and sufficient deep-layer shear will continue to support organized convection through the evening. Isolated supercells with a short-term threat of hail, severe gusts, and possibly a brief tornado will continue to be possible in the vicinity of a stationary surface boundary across northwest KS. A continued tendency toward one or more outflow-driven clusters is expected with time, with a threat of 60-80 mph wind gusts spreading across parts of western KS. An eventual weakening trend is expected with time later tonight, as MLCINH increases with time and eastward extent. ..Dean.. 08/23/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2024 Valid 230100Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and isolated hail remain possible over parts of the central High Plains this evening. ...Central High Plains... Storms have intensified early this evening across eastern CO, with several measured severe gusts (including 68 kt at Lamar, CO), and large hail reported west of Goodland near the CO/KS border. Moderate to locally strong buoyancy and sufficient deep-layer shear will continue to support organized convection through the evening. Isolated supercells with a short-term threat of hail, severe gusts, and possibly a brief tornado will continue to be possible in the vicinity of a stationary surface boundary across northwest KS. A continued tendency toward one or more outflow-driven clusters is expected with time, with a threat of 60-80 mph wind gusts spreading across parts of western KS. An eventual weakening trend is expected with time later tonight, as MLCINH increases with time and eastward extent. ..Dean.. 08/23/2024 Read more

MD 1974 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 1974 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0551 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2024 Areas affected...Central High Plains Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 222251Z - 230045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Convection is expected to increase in areal coverage across the central High Plains over the next few hours. Hail/wind are possible with these storms as they spread across eastern Colorado toward northwest Kansas. DISCUSSION...Strong surface heating has contributed to very steep 0-3km lapse rates across eastern Colorado. Scattered robust convection has developed off the higher terrain which is now propagating over lower elevations where temperatures remain in the 90s. Over the next few hours, this activity will spread into a corridor of somewhat stronger low-level convergence characterized by higher boundary-layer moisture and stronger instability. Diagnostic data suggests MLCAPE values are near 2000 J/kg near the CO/KS border where surface dew points are holding above 60F. While satellite imagery does not explicitly reflect any short-wave troughs, modest 500mb southwesterly flow does extend across this region and 0-6km bulk shear is at least 30kt. This environment is supportive of supercells and ongoing activity should continue to grow upscale into the early evening. With time, LLJ is forecast to increase across the TX Panhandle into western KS so a larger complex of storms could emerge. Hail/wind are the primary threats. ..Darrow/Gleason.. 08/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU... LAT...LON 39290438 40480325 39570110 37690229 39290438 Read more

WW 0644 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 644 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW LAA TO 30 ESE LIC TO 20 ENE LIC TO 10 N LIC. ..SPC..08/23/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 644 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC017-063-121-125-230140- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE KIT CARSON WASHINGTON YUMA KSC023-071-109-153-181-193-199-203-230140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE GREELEY LOGAN RAWLINS SHERMAN THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA NEC057-087-230140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DUNDY HITCHCOCK Read more

Drought was hard on the newly planted trees at a Christmas tree farm in Pettyville. The owner said that they would be lucky if 25% of the trees survived, although roughly 80% survive in a normal year. WTAP (Parkersburg, W.V.), Aug 22, 2024

Ellis County authorities issued a 90-day burn ban to prevent wildfires and protect scarce resources. The ban took effect on Aug. 20. Hoodline Dallas (Texas), Aug 22, 2024

MD 1974 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 1974 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0551 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2024 Areas affected...Central High Plains Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 222251Z - 230045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Convection is expected to increase in areal coverage across the central High Plains over the next few hours. Hail/wind are possible with these storms as they spread across eastern Colorado toward northwest Kansas. DISCUSSION...Strong surface heating has contributed to very steep 0-3km lapse rates across eastern Colorado. Scattered robust convection has developed off the higher terrain which is now propagating over lower elevations where temperatures remain in the 90s. Over the next few hours, this activity will spread into a corridor of somewhat stronger low-level convergence characterized by higher boundary-layer moisture and stronger instability. Diagnostic data suggests MLCAPE values are near 2000 J/kg near the CO/KS border where surface dew points are holding above 60F. While satellite imagery does not explicitly reflect any short-wave troughs, modest 500mb southwesterly flow does extend across this region and 0-6km bulk shear is at least 30kt. This environment is supportive of supercells and ongoing activity should continue to grow upscale into the early evening. With time, LLJ is forecast to increase across the TX Panhandle into western KS so a larger complex of storms could emerge. Hail/wind are the primary threats. ..Darrow/Gleason.. 08/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU... LAT...LON 39290438 40480325 39570110 37690229 39290438 Read more

WW 0644 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0644 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 644 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE 222325Z - 230500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 644 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 525 PM MDT Thu Aug 22 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern Colorado Western Kansas Far Southwest Nebraska * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 525 PM until 1100 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should continue to congeal into a cluster this evening while moving eastward across eastern Colorado into western Kansas, with mainly a threat for scattered severe/damaging winds around 60-70 mph. Isolated gusts up to 75 mph appear possible, along with occasional large hail around 1-1.75 inches in diameter. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles north northwest of Limon CO to 50 miles east northeast of Goodland KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25025. ...Gleason Read more