Aggregator

No watches are valid as of Wed Oct 23 23:34:02 UTC 2024.

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Oct 23 23:34:02 UTC 2024.

Hazleton’s Drought Contingency Plan took effect because its reservoirs were below the recommended level. Under Stage 1 restrictions, water users are asked to voluntarily curb their nonessential water use by 25%. WNEP (Moosic, Pa.), Oct 23, 2024

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0430 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 251200Z - 311200Z Upper-level ridging will amplify briefly over the West late this week into the weekend before an upper-level trough breaks down the ridge this weekend into early next week. Above normal temperatures will stretch from the Deep South and Gulf Coast across much of the central and western US ahead of the upper-level trough. Deep upper-level troughing will move into the Great Lakes and Northeast this weekend into early next week further amplifying the upper-level pattern over the CONUS. ...Day 3/Friday... Dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are likely on portions of the southern/central Plains into the Midwest Day 3/Friday, but unlikely to meet critical criteria, with locally elevated conditions the most likely outcome. Recent and forecast rainfall will also help mitigate these fire weather concerns. ...Day 5/Sunday - Day 7/Tuesday... Dry/windy conditions are likely to develop across portions of the Great Basin Day 5/Sunday ahead of the upper-level trough. However, current forecast guidance indicates that these conditions are likely to overlap areas that received precipitation recently. On Day 6/Sunday, critical winds/RH are forecast across areas with dry fuels in southern Arizona/vicinity that missed the recent precipitation event. More widespread critical winds/RH are forecast on Day 6/Monday - Day 7/Tuesday from the southern Great Basin through the Southwest onto portions of the southern/central High Plains into the Midwest. However, recent rainfall and fuels conditions are currently precluding larger or additional 40% outlook areas. Additionally, there remains some uncertainty regarding the latitude and timing of the trough, which affects the moisture return, downslope winds, and dryline placement on the southern/central Plains. Above normal temperatures, low RH, and periods of breezy winds are forecast between now and this weekend, which could cure fuels enough to expand and add probabilities of critical conditions in future outlooks. Late in the outlook period, there is potential for northerly/offshore winds across portions of California. However, there remains too much uncertainty to introduce probabilities at this time. ..Nauslar.. 10/23/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0430 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 251200Z - 311200Z Upper-level ridging will amplify briefly over the West late this week into the weekend before an upper-level trough breaks down the ridge this weekend into early next week. Above normal temperatures will stretch from the Deep South and Gulf Coast across much of the central and western US ahead of the upper-level trough. Deep upper-level troughing will move into the Great Lakes and Northeast this weekend into early next week further amplifying the upper-level pattern over the CONUS. ...Day 3/Friday... Dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are likely on portions of the southern/central Plains into the Midwest Day 3/Friday, but unlikely to meet critical criteria, with locally elevated conditions the most likely outcome. Recent and forecast rainfall will also help mitigate these fire weather concerns. ...Day 5/Sunday - Day 7/Tuesday... Dry/windy conditions are likely to develop across portions of the Great Basin Day 5/Sunday ahead of the upper-level trough. However, current forecast guidance indicates that these conditions are likely to overlap areas that received precipitation recently. On Day 6/Sunday, critical winds/RH are forecast across areas with dry fuels in southern Arizona/vicinity that missed the recent precipitation event. More widespread critical winds/RH are forecast on Day 6/Monday - Day 7/Tuesday from the southern Great Basin through the Southwest onto portions of the southern/central High Plains into the Midwest. However, recent rainfall and fuels conditions are currently precluding larger or additional 40% outlook areas. Additionally, there remains some uncertainty regarding the latitude and timing of the trough, which affects the moisture return, downslope winds, and dryline placement on the southern/central Plains. Above normal temperatures, low RH, and periods of breezy winds are forecast between now and this weekend, which could cure fuels enough to expand and add probabilities of critical conditions in future outlooks. Late in the outlook period, there is potential for northerly/offshore winds across portions of California. However, there remains too much uncertainty to introduce probabilities at this time. ..Nauslar.. 10/23/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0430 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 251200Z - 311200Z Upper-level ridging will amplify briefly over the West late this week into the weekend before an upper-level trough breaks down the ridge this weekend into early next week. Above normal temperatures will stretch from the Deep South and Gulf Coast across much of the central and western US ahead of the upper-level trough. Deep upper-level troughing will move into the Great Lakes and Northeast this weekend into early next week further amplifying the upper-level pattern over the CONUS. ...Day 3/Friday... Dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are likely on portions of the southern/central Plains into the Midwest Day 3/Friday, but unlikely to meet critical criteria, with locally elevated conditions the most likely outcome. Recent and forecast rainfall will also help mitigate these fire weather concerns. ...Day 5/Sunday - Day 7/Tuesday... Dry/windy conditions are likely to develop across portions of the Great Basin Day 5/Sunday ahead of the upper-level trough. However, current forecast guidance indicates that these conditions are likely to overlap areas that received precipitation recently. On Day 6/Sunday, critical winds/RH are forecast across areas with dry fuels in southern Arizona/vicinity that missed the recent precipitation event. More widespread critical winds/RH are forecast on Day 6/Monday - Day 7/Tuesday from the southern Great Basin through the Southwest onto portions of the southern/central High Plains into the Midwest. However, recent rainfall and fuels conditions are currently precluding larger or additional 40% outlook areas. Additionally, there remains some uncertainty regarding the latitude and timing of the trough, which affects the moisture return, downslope winds, and dryline placement on the southern/central Plains. Above normal temperatures, low RH, and periods of breezy winds are forecast between now and this weekend, which could cure fuels enough to expand and add probabilities of critical conditions in future outlooks. Late in the outlook period, there is potential for northerly/offshore winds across portions of California. However, there remains too much uncertainty to introduce probabilities at this time. ..Nauslar.. 10/23/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0430 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 251200Z - 311200Z Upper-level ridging will amplify briefly over the West late this week into the weekend before an upper-level trough breaks down the ridge this weekend into early next week. Above normal temperatures will stretch from the Deep South and Gulf Coast across much of the central and western US ahead of the upper-level trough. Deep upper-level troughing will move into the Great Lakes and Northeast this weekend into early next week further amplifying the upper-level pattern over the CONUS. ...Day 3/Friday... Dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are likely on portions of the southern/central Plains into the Midwest Day 3/Friday, but unlikely to meet critical criteria, with locally elevated conditions the most likely outcome. Recent and forecast rainfall will also help mitigate these fire weather concerns. ...Day 5/Sunday - Day 7/Tuesday... Dry/windy conditions are likely to develop across portions of the Great Basin Day 5/Sunday ahead of the upper-level trough. However, current forecast guidance indicates that these conditions are likely to overlap areas that received precipitation recently. On Day 6/Sunday, critical winds/RH are forecast across areas with dry fuels in southern Arizona/vicinity that missed the recent precipitation event. More widespread critical winds/RH are forecast on Day 6/Monday - Day 7/Tuesday from the southern Great Basin through the Southwest onto portions of the southern/central High Plains into the Midwest. However, recent rainfall and fuels conditions are currently precluding larger or additional 40% outlook areas. Additionally, there remains some uncertainty regarding the latitude and timing of the trough, which affects the moisture return, downslope winds, and dryline placement on the southern/central Plains. Above normal temperatures, low RH, and periods of breezy winds are forecast between now and this weekend, which could cure fuels enough to expand and add probabilities of critical conditions in future outlooks. Late in the outlook period, there is potential for northerly/offshore winds across portions of California. However, there remains too much uncertainty to introduce probabilities at this time. ..Nauslar.. 10/23/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0430 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 251200Z - 311200Z Upper-level ridging will amplify briefly over the West late this week into the weekend before an upper-level trough breaks down the ridge this weekend into early next week. Above normal temperatures will stretch from the Deep South and Gulf Coast across much of the central and western US ahead of the upper-level trough. Deep upper-level troughing will move into the Great Lakes and Northeast this weekend into early next week further amplifying the upper-level pattern over the CONUS. ...Day 3/Friday... Dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are likely on portions of the southern/central Plains into the Midwest Day 3/Friday, but unlikely to meet critical criteria, with locally elevated conditions the most likely outcome. Recent and forecast rainfall will also help mitigate these fire weather concerns. ...Day 5/Sunday - Day 7/Tuesday... Dry/windy conditions are likely to develop across portions of the Great Basin Day 5/Sunday ahead of the upper-level trough. However, current forecast guidance indicates that these conditions are likely to overlap areas that received precipitation recently. On Day 6/Sunday, critical winds/RH are forecast across areas with dry fuels in southern Arizona/vicinity that missed the recent precipitation event. More widespread critical winds/RH are forecast on Day 6/Monday - Day 7/Tuesday from the southern Great Basin through the Southwest onto portions of the southern/central High Plains into the Midwest. However, recent rainfall and fuels conditions are currently precluding larger or additional 40% outlook areas. Additionally, there remains some uncertainty regarding the latitude and timing of the trough, which affects the moisture return, downslope winds, and dryline placement on the southern/central Plains. Above normal temperatures, low RH, and periods of breezy winds are forecast between now and this weekend, which could cure fuels enough to expand and add probabilities of critical conditions in future outlooks. Late in the outlook period, there is potential for northerly/offshore winds across portions of California. However, there remains too much uncertainty to introduce probabilities at this time. ..Nauslar.. 10/23/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

A burn ban has been in effect for East Feliciana Parish since Oct. 16 due to drought conditions. Days later on Oct. 22, parish firefighters responded to 15 separate fires along the side of Hwy 67 north of Clinton. Since the burn ban took effect, 30 blazes have occurred. Baton Rouge Advocate (La.), Oct 23, 2024

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 232000Z - 241200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms remain unlikely through tonight. ...20z Update... Thunderstorm chances remain low through tonight, and no changes are needed for the 20z update. ..Leitman.. 10/23/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1125 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024/ ...Synopsis and Discussion... An upper trough will continue moving eastward today from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. A related surface cold front will likewise advance eastward across these areas, with shallow convection possible along its length. Limited low-level moisture and poor lapse rates aloft will likely hinder the development of sufficient instability to support charge separation and lightning. Very isolated convection may also develop late this afternoon through tonight across parts of the Ozarks, along/near the southern flank of the surface cold. Although some low-level moisture and instability will be present along/south of the front, large-scale ascent is forecast to remain minimal across this region. Accordingly, overall thunderstorm chances still appear less than 10% through the end of the period. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 232000Z - 241200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms remain unlikely through tonight. ...20z Update... Thunderstorm chances remain low through tonight, and no changes are needed for the 20z update. ..Leitman.. 10/23/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1125 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024/ ...Synopsis and Discussion... An upper trough will continue moving eastward today from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. A related surface cold front will likewise advance eastward across these areas, with shallow convection possible along its length. Limited low-level moisture and poor lapse rates aloft will likely hinder the development of sufficient instability to support charge separation and lightning. Very isolated convection may also develop late this afternoon through tonight across parts of the Ozarks, along/near the southern flank of the surface cold. Although some low-level moisture and instability will be present along/south of the front, large-scale ascent is forecast to remain minimal across this region. Accordingly, overall thunderstorm chances still appear less than 10% through the end of the period. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 232000Z - 241200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms remain unlikely through tonight. ...20z Update... Thunderstorm chances remain low through tonight, and no changes are needed for the 20z update. ..Leitman.. 10/23/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1125 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024/ ...Synopsis and Discussion... An upper trough will continue moving eastward today from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. A related surface cold front will likewise advance eastward across these areas, with shallow convection possible along its length. Limited low-level moisture and poor lapse rates aloft will likely hinder the development of sufficient instability to support charge separation and lightning. Very isolated convection may also develop late this afternoon through tonight across parts of the Ozarks, along/near the southern flank of the surface cold. Although some low-level moisture and instability will be present along/south of the front, large-scale ascent is forecast to remain minimal across this region. Accordingly, overall thunderstorm chances still appear less than 10% through the end of the period. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 232000Z - 241200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms remain unlikely through tonight. ...20z Update... Thunderstorm chances remain low through tonight, and no changes are needed for the 20z update. ..Leitman.. 10/23/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1125 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024/ ...Synopsis and Discussion... An upper trough will continue moving eastward today from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. A related surface cold front will likewise advance eastward across these areas, with shallow convection possible along its length. Limited low-level moisture and poor lapse rates aloft will likely hinder the development of sufficient instability to support charge separation and lightning. Very isolated convection may also develop late this afternoon through tonight across parts of the Ozarks, along/near the southern flank of the surface cold. Although some low-level moisture and instability will be present along/south of the front, large-scale ascent is forecast to remain minimal across this region. Accordingly, overall thunderstorm chances still appear less than 10% through the end of the period. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 232000Z - 241200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms remain unlikely through tonight. ...20z Update... Thunderstorm chances remain low through tonight, and no changes are needed for the 20z update. ..Leitman.. 10/23/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1125 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024/ ...Synopsis and Discussion... An upper trough will continue moving eastward today from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. A related surface cold front will likewise advance eastward across these areas, with shallow convection possible along its length. Limited low-level moisture and poor lapse rates aloft will likely hinder the development of sufficient instability to support charge separation and lightning. Very isolated convection may also develop late this afternoon through tonight across parts of the Ozarks, along/near the southern flank of the surface cold. Although some low-level moisture and instability will be present along/south of the front, large-scale ascent is forecast to remain minimal across this region. Accordingly, overall thunderstorm chances still appear less than 10% through the end of the period. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 232000Z - 241200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms remain unlikely through tonight. ...20z Update... Thunderstorm chances remain low through tonight, and no changes are needed for the 20z update. ..Leitman.. 10/23/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1125 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024/ ...Synopsis and Discussion... An upper trough will continue moving eastward today from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. A related surface cold front will likewise advance eastward across these areas, with shallow convection possible along its length. Limited low-level moisture and poor lapse rates aloft will likely hinder the development of sufficient instability to support charge separation and lightning. Very isolated convection may also develop late this afternoon through tonight across parts of the Ozarks, along/near the southern flank of the surface cold. Although some low-level moisture and instability will be present along/south of the front, large-scale ascent is forecast to remain minimal across this region. Accordingly, overall thunderstorm chances still appear less than 10% through the end of the period. Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No severe thunderstorms are expected on Friday. ...Synopsis... Minimal thunderstorms will occur across the CONUS on Friday, with high pressure over much of the Plains and East. The exception will be from the Ozarks into the OH Valley where a narrow plume of low 60s F dewpoints will exist ahead of a weak cold front. Here, a few hundred J/kg of MUCAPE may develop during the afternoon, with weak lift possibly aiding isolated thunderstorm activity. The most favorable large-scale ascent will be during the first half of the day in association with a shortwave trough moving across the Great Lakes. Thereafter, lift becomes quite weak. ..Jewell.. 10/23/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No severe thunderstorms are expected on Friday. ...Synopsis... Minimal thunderstorms will occur across the CONUS on Friday, with high pressure over much of the Plains and East. The exception will be from the Ozarks into the OH Valley where a narrow plume of low 60s F dewpoints will exist ahead of a weak cold front. Here, a few hundred J/kg of MUCAPE may develop during the afternoon, with weak lift possibly aiding isolated thunderstorm activity. The most favorable large-scale ascent will be during the first half of the day in association with a shortwave trough moving across the Great Lakes. Thereafter, lift becomes quite weak. ..Jewell.. 10/23/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No severe thunderstorms are expected on Friday. ...Synopsis... Minimal thunderstorms will occur across the CONUS on Friday, with high pressure over much of the Plains and East. The exception will be from the Ozarks into the OH Valley where a narrow plume of low 60s F dewpoints will exist ahead of a weak cold front. Here, a few hundred J/kg of MUCAPE may develop during the afternoon, with weak lift possibly aiding isolated thunderstorm activity. The most favorable large-scale ascent will be during the first half of the day in association with a shortwave trough moving across the Great Lakes. Thereafter, lift becomes quite weak. ..Jewell.. 10/23/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No severe thunderstorms are expected on Friday. ...Synopsis... Minimal thunderstorms will occur across the CONUS on Friday, with high pressure over much of the Plains and East. The exception will be from the Ozarks into the OH Valley where a narrow plume of low 60s F dewpoints will exist ahead of a weak cold front. Here, a few hundred J/kg of MUCAPE may develop during the afternoon, with weak lift possibly aiding isolated thunderstorm activity. The most favorable large-scale ascent will be during the first half of the day in association with a shortwave trough moving across the Great Lakes. Thereafter, lift becomes quite weak. ..Jewell.. 10/23/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No severe thunderstorms are expected on Friday. ...Synopsis... Minimal thunderstorms will occur across the CONUS on Friday, with high pressure over much of the Plains and East. The exception will be from the Ozarks into the OH Valley where a narrow plume of low 60s F dewpoints will exist ahead of a weak cold front. Here, a few hundred J/kg of MUCAPE may develop during the afternoon, with weak lift possibly aiding isolated thunderstorm activity. The most favorable large-scale ascent will be during the first half of the day in association with a shortwave trough moving across the Great Lakes. Thereafter, lift becomes quite weak. ..Jewell.. 10/23/2024 Read more