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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0709 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 709 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW 6R6 TO 20 N MAF TO 50 NW BGS. ..KERR..11/18/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC033-081-103-105-107-115-125-151-169-173-207-227-235-253-263- 269-305-317-329-335-353-371-383-399-415-431-433-441-443-451-461- 180740- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN COKE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS FISHER GARZA GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD IRION JONES KENT KING LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS REAGAN RUNNELS SCURRY STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR TERRELL TOM GREEN UPTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1233 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with isolated severe gusts and perhaps a tornado will be possible across parts of the central Gulf states on Tuesday. ...Central Gulf Coast States... Southwesterly mid-level flow will remain in place over much of the Southeast on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the region. A moist airmass will be in place ahead of the front in the Gulf Coast states, with surface dewpoints from the mid 60s to lower 70s F. As surface heating takes place during the day, thunderstorm development is expected from near the front eastward across the much of the moist sector. Although instability will be weak, strong low-level flow will aid convective development, and a few severe storms will be possible. The greatest severe threat will exist in the vicinity of the central Gulf Coast, where the combination of low-level shear and moisture may be enough for an isolated tornado threat. ..Broyles.. 11/18/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1233 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with isolated severe gusts and perhaps a tornado will be possible across parts of the central Gulf states on Tuesday. ...Central Gulf Coast States... Southwesterly mid-level flow will remain in place over much of the Southeast on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the region. A moist airmass will be in place ahead of the front in the Gulf Coast states, with surface dewpoints from the mid 60s to lower 70s F. As surface heating takes place during the day, thunderstorm development is expected from near the front eastward across the much of the moist sector. Although instability will be weak, strong low-level flow will aid convective development, and a few severe storms will be possible. The greatest severe threat will exist in the vicinity of the central Gulf Coast, where the combination of low-level shear and moisture may be enough for an isolated tornado threat. ..Broyles.. 11/18/2024 Read more