SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 709 Status Reports

9 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0709 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 709 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW 6R6 TO 15 NW BGS TO 35 E LBB. ..KERR..11/18/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC033-081-105-125-151-169-173-207-227-235-253-263-269-335-353- 383-399-415-431-433-441-443-451-461-180840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN COKE CROCKETT DICKENS FISHER GARZA GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD IRION JONES KENT KING MITCHELL NOLAN REAGAN RUNNELS SCURRY STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR TERRELL TOM GREEN UPTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC MD 2228

9 months 3 weeks ago
MD 2228 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 709... FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 2228 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 PM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Areas affected...portions of western Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 709... Valid 180536Z - 180730Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 709 continues. SUMMARY...Strong storms continue in a frontal band crossing western Texas, where damaging winds and marginal hail are possible. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a broken band of locally vigorous convection occurring ahead of a cold front organizing/moving eastward across far West Texas at this time. Very strong flow aloft -- including winds in excess of 50 kt just 1km AGL -- continues to support local storm organization, including bowing segments at least transiently organizing within the convective band. At this time, weak instability remains a limiting factor, in terms of more robust severe risk. With that said, a surface warm front continues shifting rapidly northward/northwestward across central Texas, at the leading edge of a high theta-e (low 70s dewpoints) airmass. As storms advance slowly eastward, and higher theta-e air continues advecting northwestward, an eventual uptick in risk is expected. ..Goss.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 30500320 32180266 34000133 33730002 33019896 31559970 30510143 30500320 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...Synopsis... A surface high pressure system will be most intense on Tuesday morning within the southern Great Basin. An increase in offshore winds in southern California can be expected during the morning into perhaps the early afternoon. The pressure gradient is expected to weaken through the day and upper-level winds will not be overly favorable as well. RH of 15-20% does appear probable, at least in the immediate lee of the terrain. With the strongest winds being somewhat offset from the lowest RH, the overall fire weather threat should be somewhat brief. Elevated fire weather is expected to occur, particularly within the terrain-favored areas. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... While fire weather concerns will generally be minimal today, there will be some potential for locally elevated conditions along the Santa Barbara Coast. The upper-level trough will progress along the California coast before shifting eastward. At least for some portion of the day this will place stronger mid-level winds with some component across the western Transverse Ranges. Coupled with low-level surface ridging north of the terrain, downslope winds will increase during part of the afternoon. RH reductions to sufficiently dry levels are the primary uncertainty. Values near 20-25% appear possible at least briefly in the lee of the terrain. Elsewhere in southern California, offshore winds will intensify towards Tuesday morning, though RH will remain too high for any appreciable fire weather threat. ..Wendt.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more