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WW 0709 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 709 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE 6R6 TO 50 WSW ABI TO 55 S CDS. WW 709 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 18/10Z. REFER TO SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2230 FOR MORE INFORMATION. ..KERR..11/18/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC081-105-235-269-399-433-451-181000- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COKE CROCKETT IRION KING RUNNELS STONEWALL TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0709 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 709 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE 6R6 TO 50 WSW ABI TO 55 S CDS. WW 709 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 18/10Z. REFER TO SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2230 FOR MORE INFORMATION. ..KERR..11/18/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC081-105-235-269-399-433-451-181000- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COKE CROCKETT IRION KING RUNNELS STONEWALL TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0709 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 709 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE 6R6 TO 50 WSW ABI TO 55 S CDS. WW 709 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 18/10Z. REFER TO SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2230 FOR MORE INFORMATION. ..KERR..11/18/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC081-105-235-269-399-433-451-181000- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COKE CROCKETT IRION KING RUNNELS STONEWALL TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0709 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 709 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE 6R6 TO 50 WSW ABI TO 55 S CDS. WW 709 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 18/10Z. REFER TO SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2230 FOR MORE INFORMATION. ..KERR..11/18/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC081-105-235-269-399-433-451-181000- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COKE CROCKETT IRION KING RUNNELS STONEWALL TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 709 SEVERE TSTM TX 180345Z - 181000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 709 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 945 PM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West Texas * Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 945 PM until 400 AM CST. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms will intensify tonight over west Texas and accelerate northeastward across the watch area. Damaging wind gusts are the primary concern, although there will be an increasing risk of an embedded tornado or two with time. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles southeast of Fort Stockton TX to 90 miles north northwest of Abilene TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 23035. ...Hart Read more

MD 2229 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR MUCH OF NORTHWESTERN TEXAS INTO SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 2229 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0125 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Areas affected...much of northwestern Texas into southwestern Oklahoma Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 180725Z - 180930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Potential for damaging wind gusts and perhaps a few tornadoes may begin to increase with an evolving squall line accelerating northeast of the Texas South Plains through much of northwestern Texas and southwestern Oklahoma by 3-5 AM CDT. DISCUSSION...Downstream of a 90+ kt 500 mb jet streak beginning to nose northeast of the Texas Big Bend into the Pecos Valley, strong forcing for ascent continues to aid the evolution of a squall line in advance of a deepening surface low now near/southwest of Lubbock. Instability is still rather weak in the presence of thermodynamic profiles characterized by modest mid-level lapse rates, but weak low-level lapse rates and modest moisture. However, low-level and deep-layer shear is strong, and an ill-defined meso-beta scale mid-level cyclonic circulation is now progressing northeast of Lubbock. A number of better defined meso-gamma scale cyclonic circulations are evident along the line, which has been surging northeastward around 30 kt, to the northeast of the mid-level circulation. This appears likely to propagate into the Altus OK vicinity through 09-11Z, with the southern flank of the line progressing across the Abilene TX vicinity. In response to the deepening surface troughing, a gradual north-northwestward advection of mid 60s to near 70F surface dew points toward the upstream squall line will gradually contribute to somewhat more unstable updraft inflow. This may also contribute to a boundary-layer at least marginally more supportive of downward momentum transfer to the surface and potential for tornadoes, as low-level shear intensifies beneath an 850 mb jet forecast to strengthen in excess of 50 kt. ..Kerr/Gleason.. 11/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF... LAT...LON 33610035 34130064 35169968 35239810 34159800 32049873 31479966 31470050 32160084 33610035 Read more

WW 0709 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 709 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE 6R6 TO 40 W SJT TO 40 E BGS TO 55 S CDS. ..KERR..11/18/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 709 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC081-105-235-269-399-431-433-451-181040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COKE CROCKETT IRION KING RUNNELS STERLING STONEWALL TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms may develop on Wednesday across parts of the Carolinas, posing a risk for severe wind gusts. ...Carolinas... A mid-level trough is forecast to move eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the southern Atlantic Coastal states. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s F in the Carolinas will contribute to weak destabilization, with isolated thunderstorm development possible across parts of the moist sector during the afternoon. In spite of minimal instability, the low-level moisture combined with strong deep-layer shear, associated with an approaching mid-level jet, may be enough for a marginal severe threat. Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible in the central Carolinas as temperatures peak in the afternoon. ..Broyles.. 11/18/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms may develop on Wednesday across parts of the Carolinas, posing a risk for severe wind gusts. ...Carolinas... A mid-level trough is forecast to move eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the southern Atlantic Coastal states. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s F in the Carolinas will contribute to weak destabilization, with isolated thunderstorm development possible across parts of the moist sector during the afternoon. In spite of minimal instability, the low-level moisture combined with strong deep-layer shear, associated with an approaching mid-level jet, may be enough for a marginal severe threat. Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible in the central Carolinas as temperatures peak in the afternoon. ..Broyles.. 11/18/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms may develop on Wednesday across parts of the Carolinas, posing a risk for severe wind gusts. ...Carolinas... A mid-level trough is forecast to move eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the southern Atlantic Coastal states. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s F in the Carolinas will contribute to weak destabilization, with isolated thunderstorm development possible across parts of the moist sector during the afternoon. In spite of minimal instability, the low-level moisture combined with strong deep-layer shear, associated with an approaching mid-level jet, may be enough for a marginal severe threat. Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible in the central Carolinas as temperatures peak in the afternoon. ..Broyles.. 11/18/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms may develop on Wednesday across parts of the Carolinas, posing a risk for severe wind gusts. ...Carolinas... A mid-level trough is forecast to move eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the southern Atlantic Coastal states. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s F in the Carolinas will contribute to weak destabilization, with isolated thunderstorm development possible across parts of the moist sector during the afternoon. In spite of minimal instability, the low-level moisture combined with strong deep-layer shear, associated with an approaching mid-level jet, may be enough for a marginal severe threat. Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible in the central Carolinas as temperatures peak in the afternoon. ..Broyles.. 11/18/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms may develop on Wednesday across parts of the Carolinas, posing a risk for severe wind gusts. ...Carolinas... A mid-level trough is forecast to move eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the southern Atlantic Coastal states. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s F in the Carolinas will contribute to weak destabilization, with isolated thunderstorm development possible across parts of the moist sector during the afternoon. In spite of minimal instability, the low-level moisture combined with strong deep-layer shear, associated with an approaching mid-level jet, may be enough for a marginal severe threat. Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible in the central Carolinas as temperatures peak in the afternoon. ..Broyles.. 11/18/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms may develop on Wednesday across parts of the Carolinas, posing a risk for severe wind gusts. ...Carolinas... A mid-level trough is forecast to move eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the southern Atlantic Coastal states. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s F in the Carolinas will contribute to weak destabilization, with isolated thunderstorm development possible across parts of the moist sector during the afternoon. In spite of minimal instability, the low-level moisture combined with strong deep-layer shear, associated with an approaching mid-level jet, may be enough for a marginal severe threat. Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible in the central Carolinas as temperatures peak in the afternoon. ..Broyles.. 11/18/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms may develop on Wednesday across parts of the Carolinas, posing a risk for severe wind gusts. ...Carolinas... A mid-level trough is forecast to move eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the southern Atlantic Coastal states. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s F in the Carolinas will contribute to weak destabilization, with isolated thunderstorm development possible across parts of the moist sector during the afternoon. In spite of minimal instability, the low-level moisture combined with strong deep-layer shear, associated with an approaching mid-level jet, may be enough for a marginal severe threat. Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible in the central Carolinas as temperatures peak in the afternoon. ..Broyles.. 11/18/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms may develop on Wednesday across parts of the Carolinas, posing a risk for severe wind gusts. ...Carolinas... A mid-level trough is forecast to move eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the southern Atlantic Coastal states. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s F in the Carolinas will contribute to weak destabilization, with isolated thunderstorm development possible across parts of the moist sector during the afternoon. In spite of minimal instability, the low-level moisture combined with strong deep-layer shear, associated with an approaching mid-level jet, may be enough for a marginal severe threat. Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible in the central Carolinas as temperatures peak in the afternoon. ..Broyles.. 11/18/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms may develop on Wednesday across parts of the Carolinas, posing a risk for severe wind gusts. ...Carolinas... A mid-level trough is forecast to move eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the southern Atlantic Coastal states. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s F in the Carolinas will contribute to weak destabilization, with isolated thunderstorm development possible across parts of the moist sector during the afternoon. In spite of minimal instability, the low-level moisture combined with strong deep-layer shear, associated with an approaching mid-level jet, may be enough for a marginal severe threat. Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible in the central Carolinas as temperatures peak in the afternoon. ..Broyles.. 11/18/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms may develop on Wednesday across parts of the Carolinas, posing a risk for severe wind gusts. ...Carolinas... A mid-level trough is forecast to move eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the southern Atlantic Coastal states. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s F in the Carolinas will contribute to weak destabilization, with isolated thunderstorm development possible across parts of the moist sector during the afternoon. In spite of minimal instability, the low-level moisture combined with strong deep-layer shear, associated with an approaching mid-level jet, may be enough for a marginal severe threat. Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible in the central Carolinas as temperatures peak in the afternoon. ..Broyles.. 11/18/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms may develop on Wednesday across parts of the Carolinas, posing a risk for severe wind gusts. ...Carolinas... A mid-level trough is forecast to move eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the southern Atlantic Coastal states. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s F in the Carolinas will contribute to weak destabilization, with isolated thunderstorm development possible across parts of the moist sector during the afternoon. In spite of minimal instability, the low-level moisture combined with strong deep-layer shear, associated with an approaching mid-level jet, may be enough for a marginal severe threat. Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible in the central Carolinas as temperatures peak in the afternoon. ..Broyles.. 11/18/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms may develop on Wednesday across parts of the Carolinas, posing a risk for severe wind gusts. ...Carolinas... A mid-level trough is forecast to move eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the southern Atlantic Coastal states. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s F in the Carolinas will contribute to weak destabilization, with isolated thunderstorm development possible across parts of the moist sector during the afternoon. In spite of minimal instability, the low-level moisture combined with strong deep-layer shear, associated with an approaching mid-level jet, may be enough for a marginal severe threat. Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible in the central Carolinas as temperatures peak in the afternoon. ..Broyles.. 11/18/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms may develop on Wednesday across parts of the Carolinas, posing a risk for severe wind gusts. ...Carolinas... A mid-level trough is forecast to move eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the southern Atlantic Coastal states. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s F in the Carolinas will contribute to weak destabilization, with isolated thunderstorm development possible across parts of the moist sector during the afternoon. In spite of minimal instability, the low-level moisture combined with strong deep-layer shear, associated with an approaching mid-level jet, may be enough for a marginal severe threat. Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible in the central Carolinas as temperatures peak in the afternoon. ..Broyles.. 11/18/2024 Read more