3 weeks ago
Issued at 200 PM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025 000
WTPZ35 KNHC 272035
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Juliette Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102025
200 PM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025
...JULIETTE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.9N 120.2W
ABOUT 655 MI...1055 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Juliette was
located near latitude 23.9 North, longitude 120.2 West. Juliette is
moving toward the north-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn to
the north and a reduction in forward speed is expected on Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast, and Juliette is expected to degenerate into
a remnant low by Thursday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
...JULIETTE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... As of 2:00 PM PDT Wed Aug 27 the center of Juliette was located near 23.9, -120.2 with movement NNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 27 2025 000
WTPZ25 KNHC 272035
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102025
2100 UTC WED AUG 27 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 120.2W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 75NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 120.2W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 120.0W
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 25.2N 120.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 26.6N 120.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.3N 120.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 27.8N 120.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 120.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271719
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Juliette, located in the eastern Pacific basin several hundred
miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
Well South of the Hawaiian Islands:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the
Hawaiian Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive
for some slow development of this system over the next few days
while it moves westward at around 15 mph across the central Pacific
basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Well Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the
coast of southwestern Mexico continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear favorable for gradual development of this system toward the
end of the week, and a tropical depression could form over the
weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at
around 15 mph across the central to western part of the eastern
Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
South of Southern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure could form this weekend offshore of the
coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive
for some gradual development of this system during the early and
middle portions of next week while it moves generally
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 27 Aug 2025 14:36:27 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 27 Aug 2025 15:25:55 GMT
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 27 Aug 2025 14:36:27 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 27 Aug 2025 14:36:27 GMT
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
Issued at 800 AM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025 000
WTPZ45 KNHC 271435
TCDEP5
Tropical Storm Juliette Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102025
800 AM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025
Conventional satellite imagery this morning indicates that
Juliette's cloud pattern has begun to deteriorate. Deep convection
has diminished in areal coverage while the cloud tops have warmed,
particularly over the surface center. A blend of the subjective
Dvorak intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB (40-50 kt) and a
recent UW-CIMSS SATCON analysis of 48 kt yield an initial
intensity of 45 kt for this advisory.
Juliette is traversing a sharp sea surface temperature gradient
(less than 24 C) while moving into a drier, stable low- to
mid-tropospheric surrounding environment. These negative
contributions, along with increasing west-southwesterly deep-layer
shear should weaken Juliette and cause the cyclone to become
a remnant low in 36 hrs, if not sooner. Afterward, Juliette
should open into a trough by Friday. The NHC intensity forecast is
based on the IVCN intensity consensus model and the LGEM.
The initial motion is estimated to be north-northwestward, or 330/11
kt. This motion should continue for the next couple of days followed
by a gradual northward turn on Thursday evening, while Juliette
moves further into a growing weakness in the mid-level subtropical
high. As Juliette degenerates into a vertically shallow cyclone
toward the end of the period, a slower forward motion is expected
while being steered by the weaker low-level flow. The official
track forecast is similar to the previous one and is close to the
various consensus aids.
Global models predict that residual mid- to upper-tropospheric
moisture will be advected toward portions of northwestern Mexico and
the southwestern U.S., potentially increasing humidity conditions
and enhancing local monsoonal rainfall toward the end of the week.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 27/1500Z 23.0N 119.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 28/0000Z 24.4N 120.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 28/1200Z 26.0N 120.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 29/0000Z 27.1N 120.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 29/1200Z 27.8N 120.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Roberts
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2025 000
FOPZ15 KNHC 271435
PWSEP5
TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102025
1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2025
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
25N 120W 34 36 26(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
25N 120W 50 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
Issued at 800 AM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025 000
WTPZ35 KNHC 271435
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Juliette Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102025
800 AM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025
...JULIETTE MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD INTO HOSTILE ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS OF THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.0N 119.5W
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Juliette was
located near latitude 23.0 North, longitude 119.5 West. Juliette is
moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A general
north-northwestward to northward motion with a reduction in forward
speed is forecast over the next couple of days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast, and Juliette is expected to degenerate into
a remnant low by Thursday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
...JULIETTE MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD INTO HOSTILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS OF THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC... As of 8:00 AM PDT Wed Aug 27 the center of Juliette was located near 23.0, -119.5 with movement NNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2025 000
WTPZ25 KNHC 271434
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102025
1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 119.5W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 75NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 119.5W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 119.2W
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 24.4N 120.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 26.0N 120.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 27.1N 120.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 27.8N 120.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 119.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
087
ABPZ20 KNHC 271113
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Juliette, located in the eastern Pacific basin several hundred
miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
Well South of the Hawaiian Islands:
An area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the
Hawaiian Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some
slow development of this system over the next few days, while it
moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Well Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula:
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the coast of
southwestern Mexico continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear favorable for gradual development of this system toward the
end of the week, and a tropical depression could form over the
weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10
to 15 mph across the central to western part of the eastern Pacific
basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
South of Southern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure could form this weekend offshore of the
coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive
for some gradual development of this system into early next week
while it moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 27 Aug 2025 08:34:49 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 27 Aug 2025 09:26:51 GMT
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
Issued at 200 AM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025 984
WTPZ45 KNHC 270835
TCDEP5
Tropical Storm Juliette Discussion Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102025
200 AM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025
Juliette still has a relatively healthy presentation this morning on
satellite imagery, with a small, but symmetric area of deep
convection near its center. However, these cold cloud tops are
warming as the cyclone begins to move over the progressively cooler
ocean waters of the eastern North Pacific. Satellite intensity
estimates are decreasing, and we also received a helpful Metop-C
ASCAT pass at 0451 UTC which only had a peak wind retrieval of 36
kt in the eastern side of the tropical storm. The initial intensity
is only being lowered to 45 kt this advisory, assuming some
scatterometer undersampling of the small circulation.
The tropical storm is now moving north-northwestward, estimated at
330/11 kt. This motion should continue for the next day or so with a
little more rightward turn as Juliette is steered poleward through a
weakness in the mid-level ridging produced by a deep-layer trough
located off the California coast. As the cyclone becomes vertically
shallow, its forward motion should slow substantially as it becomes
more steered by the light and variable low-level flow in this part
of the eastern North Pacific. The official track forecast this cycle
is fairly similar to the prior one, other than a little more
eastward shift after Juliette becomes a remnant low. This forecast
remains generally in the middle of the guidance envelope.
Juliette's tropical cyclone story is fading as it moves over
sea-surface temperatures below 25C which cool further over the next
24 hours. While vertical wind shear is currently low, it is expected
to increase substantially after 24 hours, stripping away the storm's
remaining convection by that time. Thus, Juliette is expected to
become a remnant low in about 36 h. The remnant low should
ultimately open up into a trough by the end of the week.
Even as Juliette becomes a remnant low, some of its mid- to
upper-level moisture will be advected poleward towards portions of
northwestern Mexico and the southwestern U.S., which could help to
enhance local monsoonal rainfall for these areas in the latter half
of this week.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 27/0900Z 21.9N 118.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 27/1800Z 23.3N 119.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 28/0600Z 25.0N 120.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 28/1800Z 26.3N 120.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 29/0600Z 27.1N 120.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 29/1800Z 27.5N 121.0W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Papin
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 27 Aug 2025 08:34:49 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 27 Aug 2025 08:34:49 GMT
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
Issued at 0900 UTC WED AUG 27 2025 755
FOPZ15 KNHC 270834
PWSEP5
TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102025
0900 UTC WED AUG 27 2025
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
25N 120W 34 1 34(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
25N 120W 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
Issued at 200 AM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025 924
WTPZ35 KNHC 270833
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Juliette Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102025
200 AM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025
...JULIETTE FADING AS IT MOVES INTO THE COOL OCEAN WATERS OF THE
EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 118.8W
ABOUT 570 MI...920 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Juliette was
located near latitude 21.9 North, longitude 118.8 West. Juliette is
moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A general
north-northwestward to northward motion with a slowdown in forward
speed is expected over the next couple of days.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Juliette is forecast to
degenerate into a remnant low by Thursday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.
$$
Forecaster Papin
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
...JULIETTE FADING AS IT MOVES INTO THE COOL OCEAN WATERS OF THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC... As of 2:00 AM PDT Wed Aug 27 the center of Juliette was located near 21.9, -118.8 with movement NNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks ago
Issued at 0900 UTC WED AUG 27 2025 000
WTPZ25 KNHC 270832
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102025
0900 UTC WED AUG 27 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 118.8W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 75NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 118.8W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 118.5W
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 23.3N 119.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 25.0N 120.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 26.3N 120.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.1N 120.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 27.5N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 118.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
NHC Webmaster
3 weeks 1 day ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 270526
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Aug 26 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Juliette, located in the eastern Pacific basin several hundred
miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
Well South of the Hawaiian Islands:
An area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the
Hawaiian Islands continues to produce an area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive
for some gradual development of this system over the next few days,
and a tropical depression could form late this week or weekend while
it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Well Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula:
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the coast of
southwestern Mexico continues to produce a broad area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear generally favorable for gradual development of this system
over the latter portion of this week, and a tropical depression
could from by this weekend while the system moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the central to western
part of the eastern Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
South of Southern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure could form this weekend offshore of the
coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive
for some gradual development of this system into early next week
while it moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
NHC Webmaster
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific
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