Tropical Storm Juliette Forecast Advisory Number 8

3 weeks 1 day ago
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 26 2025 820 WTPZ25 KNHC 261432 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102025 1500 UTC TUE AUG 26 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 116.5W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 4 M SEAS.... 90NE 90SE 45SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 116.5W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 116.2W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.1N 117.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 21.6N 119.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 22.9N 120.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.0N 121.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 24.8N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 25.6N 122.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 116.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
NHC Webmaster

Tropical Storm Juliette Public Advisory Number 8

3 weeks 1 day ago
Issued at 800 AM PDT Tue Aug 26 2025 819 WTPZ35 KNHC 261432 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Juliette Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102025 800 AM PDT Tue Aug 26 2025 ...JULIETTE A LITTLE STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.1N 116.5W ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM W OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Juliette was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 116.5 West. Juliette is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A slower north-northwestward motion is expected late Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Although not explicitly shown in the NHC forecast, Juliette could briefly become a hurricane today before a weakening trend commences on Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. A gust of 53 mph (85 km/h) was recently reported at Clarion Island, Colima, Mexico. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Roberts
NHC Webmaster

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

3 weeks 1 day ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 261115
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Aug 26 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Juliette, located in the east Pacific basin several hundred
miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
An area of low pressure located several hundred miles southeast of
the Hawaiian Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could
form late this week, while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across
the central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Well Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula:
An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few
hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico is associated
with a tropical wave. Some slow development of this system is
possible late this week and into the weekend while it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the central
part of the eastern Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend offshore of the
coast of Central America and southern Mexico. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system early next week while it moves generally west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts
NHC Webmaster

Tropical Storm Juliette Forecast Discussion Number 7

3 weeks 1 day ago
Issued at 200 AM PDT Tue Aug 26 2025 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 260836 TCDEP5 Tropical Storm Juliette Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102025 200 AM PDT Tue Aug 26 2025 Juliette's satellite appearance has remained fairly steady overnight with curved banding mainly to the south of the center. Recent microwave imagery shows that Juliette is still trying to develop a small inner core, which has not become better established since the previous advisory. Unfortunately, scatterometer missed tonight given the small size of the system it fell within the data gap. There is a bit of a range from subjective and objective intensity estimates this cycle between 44 to 65 kt. Using a blend of these estimates, the initial intensity for this advisory is held at 55 kt. The system is moving west-northwestward at an estimated motion of 290/ 11 kt. The storm is being steered along the southwestern edge of a mid-level ridge located to the north. A gradual turn to the northwest then north-northwest is anticipated as a weakness in the ridge develops over the next couple of days. The NHC forecast track was nudged slightly to the right in the short term between the consensus aids on the right with Google DeepMind and EMXI on the left. Juliette should remain within a favorable environment, with warm sea surface temperatures and light to moderate wind shear for the next 18-24 h , which will allow for some strengthening. However, by early Wednesday the system will be crossing into cooler sea surface temperatures, and into a drier airmass. Latest SHIPS model guidance depicts wind shear also increases in about 48 h. The latest NHC intensity forecast lies near the consensus aids, and shows some strengthening possible today, although since the inner core has not established, the peak intensity is now just below hurricane strength. A gradual weakening trend is then forecast between 24-36 h, followed by a faster rate of weakening beyond 36 h. Juliette is forecast to become a remnant low by 60 h, before opening into a trough and dissipating by day 4. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0900Z 18.3N 116.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 26/1800Z 19.3N 117.4W 60 KT 70 MPH 24H 27/0600Z 20.8N 119.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 27/1800Z 22.4N 120.4W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 28/0600Z 23.6N 121.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 60H 28/1800Z 24.6N 121.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 29/0600Z 25.3N 122.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Kelly
NHC Webmaster

Tropical Storm Juliette Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

3 weeks 1 day ago
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 26 2025 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 260834 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102025 0900 UTC TUE AUG 26 2025 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 115W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 120W 34 1 19(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 25N 120W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) $$ FORECASTER KELLY
NHC Webmaster

Tropical Storm Juliette Forecast Advisory Number 7

3 weeks 1 day ago
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 26 2025 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 260834 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102025 0900 UTC TUE AUG 26 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 116.3W AT 26/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 4 M SEAS.... 75NE 90SE 45SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 116.3W AT 26/0900Z AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 115.9W FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.3N 117.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.8N 119.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 22.4N 120.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 23.6N 121.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 24.6N 121.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 25.3N 122.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 116.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY
NHC Webmaster

Tropical Storm Juliette Public Advisory Number 7

3 weeks 1 day ago
Issued at 200 AM PDT Tue Aug 26 2025 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 260834 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Juliette Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102025 200 AM PDT Tue Aug 26 2025 ...JULIETTE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 116.3W ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM W OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 520 MI...840 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Juliette was located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 116.3 West. Juliette is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through today. A turn toward the northwest is forecast by tonight, followed by a slower north-northwestward motion beginning late Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible today, a weakening trend is anticipated to begin Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Kelly
NHC Webmaster

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

3 weeks 2 days ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 260521
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Aug 25 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Juliette, located in the east Pacific basin several hundred
miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southeast of
the Hawaiian Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could
form late this week, while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across
the central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Well Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula:
A tropical wave off the coast of southern Mexico is producing
limited shower activity. Some slow development is possible late
this week and into the weekend as the system moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the central part of the
eastern Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly
NHC Webmaster

Tropical Storm Juliette Forecast Discussion Number 6

3 weeks 2 days ago
Issued at 800 PM PDT Mon Aug 25 2025 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 260232 TCDEP5 Tropical Storm Juliette Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102025 800 PM PDT Mon Aug 25 2025 Juliette continues to strengthen. A microwave pass from a few hours ago suggested that the storm was developing an inner core, and recent infrared satellite images indicate that banding features are increasing south of the center. The Dvorak estimates from TAFB, SAB, and CIMSS have all increased to 3.5/55 kt, and therefore, the initial wind speed is increased to that value. Juliette is expected to remain in favorable conditions to strengthen for about another day, and it seems likely that it will become a hurricane on Tuesday. However, the strengthening trend should end by Tuesday night when the storm is forecast to cross the 26 C SST isotherm and then move into an environment of drier air and stronger shear. Juliette is expected to become a remnant low in about 3 days when it is forecast to be over cool 22 C waters, and dissipate entirely this weekend. The NHC intensity forecast is a blend of the HCCA and IVCN models. The storm is moving west-northwestward at 12 kt on the southwest side of a mid-level ridge. A gradual turn to the northwest and then the north-northwest with a notable reduction in forward speed is expected over the next few days as Juliette moves toward a weakness in the ridge. The NHC track forecast is largely an update of the previous one and lies on the western side of the guidance envelope, in best agreement with EMXI and the Google DeepMind models. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0300Z 17.8N 115.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 26/1200Z 18.5N 116.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 27/0000Z 19.8N 118.3W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 27/1200Z 21.3N 119.7W 60 KT 70 MPH 48H 28/0000Z 22.8N 120.9W 50 KT 60 MPH 60H 28/1200Z 24.0N 121.6W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 29/0000Z 24.9N 122.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 30/0000Z 25.6N 122.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster

Tropical Storm Juliette Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

3 weeks 2 days ago
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE AUG 26 2025 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 260231 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102025 0300 UTC TUE AUG 26 2025 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 5 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 15N 115W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 115W 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 120W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 120W 34 3 21(24) 28(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) 20N 120W 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 7(16) 1(17) X(17) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NHC Webmaster

Tropical Storm Juliette Public Advisory Number 6

3 weeks 2 days ago
Issued at 800 PM PDT Mon Aug 25 2025 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 260231 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Juliette Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102025 800 PM PDT Mon Aug 25 2025 ...JULIETTE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.8N 115.5W ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM WSW OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 505 MI...815 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Juliette was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 115.5 West. Juliette is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. A turn toward the northwest is forecast by Tuesday night, followed by a slower north-northwestward motion beginning late Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected, and Juliette could become a hurricane on Tuesday. Weakening is expected to begin on Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. An automated Mexican Navy station on Clarion Island recently reported a sustained wind of 36 mph (58 km/h) and a gust to 46 mph (74 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster

Tropical Storm Juliette Forecast Advisory Number 6

3 weeks 2 days ago
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE AUG 26 2025 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 260231 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102025 0300 UTC TUE AUG 26 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 115.5W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 4 M SEAS.... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 115.5W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 115.1W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.5N 116.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.8N 118.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 21.3N 119.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 22.8N 120.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.0N 121.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 24.9N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 25.6N 122.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 115.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NHC Webmaster

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

3 weeks 2 days ago
262
ABPZ20 KNHC 252314
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Aug 25 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Juliette, located in the east Pacific basin several hundred
miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southeast of
the Hawaiian Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible
through the week and into the weekend while it moves westward at 10
to 15 mph across the central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Well Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula:
A tropical wave off the coast of southern Mexico is producing
limited shower activity. Some slow development is possible late
this week and into the weekend as the system moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the central part of the
eastern Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map
Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific
Subscribe to National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map feed