Severe Storms

WW 0462 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 462 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE ANB TO 25 SW ATL TO 35 NNW MCN TO 30 ENE MCN TO 25 NW VDI TO 25 SE VDI TO 25 E SSI. ..WENDT..06/26/25 ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...JAX...FFC...CHS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 462 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC001-005-011-017-021-031-037-045-047-051-061-067-069-081-085- 087-091-101-105-109-113-123-260640- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUTAUGA BARBOUR BULLOCK CHAMBERS CHILTON COFFEE COOSA DALE DALLAS ELMORE GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON LEE LOWNDES MACON MARENGO MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE RUSSELL TALLAPOOSA GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-021-023-025-027-037-039-049-053-061- 065-069-071-075-077-079-081-087-091-093-095-099-101-127-131-145- 149-153-155-161-171-173-175-177-185-193-197-199-201-205-207-209- 215-225-229-231-235-239-243-249-253-259-261-263-269-271-273-275- 277-285-287-289-293-299-305-307-309-315-321-260640- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

MD 1449 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 459...462... FOR EASTERN GEORGIA
Mesoscale Discussion 1449 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1012 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025 Areas affected...Eastern Georgia Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 459...462... Valid 260312Z - 260515Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 459, 462 continues. SUMMARY...A convective line will continue to push into eastern Georgia with a damaging wind and severe hail threat for the next few hours. DISCUSSION...A loosely organized MCS continues to push southwest into eastern GA with a recent history of producing 40-50 mph winds and swaths of wind damage. Additionally, a few severe hail reports have been noted with some of the deeper cores. However, the MCS remains outflow dominant, and GOES IR imagery over the past 2 hours shows slowly warming cloud-top temperatures, indicative of a gradual weakening trend. In general, the MCS should continue to slowly weaken over the next several hours as MLCIN slowly increases via continued nocturnal cooling. In the short term (next 1-2 hours), stronger embedded cells within the line will remain possible, as evidence by recent echo tops briefly reaching up to 50 kft, and transient, but intense, updrafts developing downstream across southern GA. These short-term trends suggests that the near-storm/downstream environment will continue to support deep convection. As such, the expectation is for a continuation of the MCS with embedded swaths of stronger winds and sporadic large hail associated with the development (and collapse) of deeper updrafts embedded within the line. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE... LAT...LON 33318240 33158169 32888123 32618092 32458081 32178090 31688129 31428177 31388230 31448277 31648328 31928355 32208370 32458368 32768352 33318240 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

WW 0459 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 459 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE CHA TO 15 NW AND TO 25 NNE OGB TO 60 ESE CHS. ..MOORE..06/26/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC...CAE...GSP...RAH...ILM...CHS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 459 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC011-013-033-059-073-085-105-117-119-125-133-135-137-139-141- 147-157-163-165-181-187-189-195-211-219-221-237-245-251-257-265- 297-301-303-311-317-260340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANKS BARROW BURKE CLARKE COLUMBIA DAWSON ELBERT FORSYTH FRANKLIN GLASCOCK GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM HALL HANCOCK HART JACKSON JEFFERSON JENKINS LINCOLN LUMPKIN MCDUFFIE MADISON MORGAN OCONEE OGLETHORPE PUTNAM RICHMOND SCREVEN STEPHENS TALIAFERRO WALTON WARREN WASHINGTON WHITE WILKES SCC001-003-005-009-011-013-017-019-029-035-037-047-049-053-063- 065-075-081-260340- SC Read more

WW 0459 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 459 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE CHA TO 15 NW AND TO 25 NNE OGB TO 60 ESE CHS. ..MOORE..06/26/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC...CAE...GSP...RAH...ILM...CHS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 459 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC011-013-033-059-073-085-105-117-119-125-133-135-137-139-141- 147-157-163-165-181-187-189-195-211-219-221-237-245-251-257-265- 297-301-303-311-317-260340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANKS BARROW BURKE CLARKE COLUMBIA DAWSON ELBERT FORSYTH FRANKLIN GLASCOCK GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM HALL HANCOCK HART JACKSON JEFFERSON JENKINS LINCOLN LUMPKIN MCDUFFIE MADISON MORGAN OCONEE OGLETHORPE PUTNAM RICHMOND SCREVEN STEPHENS TALIAFERRO WALTON WARREN WASHINGTON WHITE WILKES SCC001-003-005-009-011-013-017-019-029-035-037-047-049-053-063- 065-075-081-260340- SC Read more

WW 0459 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 459 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE CHA TO 15 NW AND TO 25 NNE OGB TO 60 ESE CHS. ..MOORE..06/26/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC...CAE...GSP...RAH...ILM...CHS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 459 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC011-013-033-059-073-085-105-117-119-125-133-135-137-139-141- 147-157-163-165-181-187-189-195-211-219-221-237-245-251-257-265- 297-301-303-311-317-260340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANKS BARROW BURKE CLARKE COLUMBIA DAWSON ELBERT FORSYTH FRANKLIN GLASCOCK GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM HALL HANCOCK HART JACKSON JEFFERSON JENKINS LINCOLN LUMPKIN MCDUFFIE MADISON MORGAN OCONEE OGLETHORPE PUTNAM RICHMOND SCREVEN STEPHENS TALIAFERRO WALTON WARREN WASHINGTON WHITE WILKES SCC001-003-005-009-011-013-017-019-029-035-037-047-049-053-063- 065-075-081-260340- SC Read more

WW 459 SEVERE TSTM GA NC SC CW 251915Z - 260400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 459 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 315 PM EDT Wed Jun 25 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Georgia Central and Western North Carolina South Carolina Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 315 PM until Midnight EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A very moist and unstable air mass is in place across the watch area this afternoon. Scattered thunderstorms will develop, tracking slowly southwestward through the evening. Damaging wind gusts and some hail are possible in the more intense cores. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles east northeast of Fayetteville NC to 20 miles northwest of Athens GA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 02025. ...Hart Read more

WW 0462 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0462 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0460 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 460 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..06/26/25 ATTN...WFO...FSD...DMX...OAX...GID...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 460 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC027-047-085-133-260240- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARROLL CRAWFORD HARRISON MONONA NEC001-021-023-037-039-053-079-081-099-121-125-141-143-177- 260240- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BURT BUTLER COLFAX CUMING DODGE HALL HAMILTON KEARNEY MERRICK NANCE PLATTE POLK WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0460 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 460 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..06/26/25 ATTN...WFO...FSD...DMX...OAX...GID...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 460 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC027-047-085-133-260240- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARROLL CRAWFORD HARRISON MONONA NEC001-021-023-037-039-053-079-081-099-121-125-141-143-177- 260240- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BURT BUTLER COLFAX CUMING DODGE HALL HAMILTON KEARNEY MERRICK NANCE PLATTE POLK WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0460 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 460 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..06/26/25 ATTN...WFO...FSD...DMX...OAX...GID...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 460 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC027-047-085-133-260240- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARROLL CRAWFORD HARRISON MONONA NEC001-021-023-037-039-053-079-081-099-121-125-141-143-177- 260240- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BURT BUTLER COLFAX CUMING DODGE HALL HAMILTON KEARNEY MERRICK NANCE PLATTE POLK WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0461 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 461 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W LNR TO 20 SW VOK TO 10 NNE VOK. WW 461 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 260300Z. ..SQUITIERI..06/26/25 ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...MPX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 461 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS WIC023-103-260300- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAWFORD RICHLAND THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0461 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 461 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W LNR TO 20 SW VOK TO 10 NNE VOK. WW 461 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 260300Z. ..SQUITIERI..06/26/25 ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...MPX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 461 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS WIC023-103-260300- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAWFORD RICHLAND THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0461 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 461 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W LNR TO 20 SW VOK TO 10 NNE VOK. WW 461 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 260300Z. ..SQUITIERI..06/26/25 ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...MPX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 461 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS WIC023-103-260300- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAWFORD RICHLAND THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN GEORGIA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING FOR A SMALL AREA AROUND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN...AND INTO TONIGHT FROM SOUTH CAROLINA INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Damaging outflow gusts and isolated large hail will remain possible for the next several hours from South Carolina to southern Alabama. A couple of tornadoes will be possible in the short term in the vicinity of southwest Wisconsin. ...Southeast tonight... Clusters of storms are ongoing across SC, where outflow mergers have led to consolidation of a cold pool. The storms will likely persist for several more hours while spreading southwestward over the coastal plains of SC/GA, sustained by steeper-than-usual midlevel lapse rates and strong buoyancy. Isolated large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter will remain a possibility with the stronger embedded storms (especially with mergers), but damaging outflow gusts will be the main threat with collapsing cores in the steep lapse rate environment with strong downdraft potential (as suggested by DCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg). Farther southwest, a few strong-severe storms will be possible through about 02-03z along the conglomerate outflow from southwest GA into southern AL. ...Southwest WI/southeast MN/northeast IA this evening... Several tornadoes have been reported with supercells in a broken band from northeast IA across far southeast MN into southwest WI. These storms have trended toward a more linear mode over time and the tornado threat appears to have already peaked. Prior to the storms weakening early tonight, the potential for a couple of tornadoes will persist for another 1-2 hours with the stronger embedded supercells interacting with the warm front, where low-level hodograph curvature/shear are maximized. ...Eastern NE/western IA this evening... Convection has been largely undercut by convective outflow from eastern NE into western IA. Moderate buoyancy remains immediately to the south of the aggregate outflow/effective frontal boundary, and profiles will remain sufficiently moist to maintain elevated convection into the overnight hours. However, the potential for severe storms appears to be diminishing with time, with only isolated strong outflow gusts and/or marginally severe hail expected beyond 01z. ...Northern High Plains through early tonight... Widely scattered storms, some with supercell structure, will be possible through about 03z. Thereafter, convection is expected to weaken consistently with diurnal stabilization. In the interim, isolated large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter will be possible. ..Thompson.. 06/26/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN GEORGIA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING FOR A SMALL AREA AROUND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN...AND INTO TONIGHT FROM SOUTH CAROLINA INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Damaging outflow gusts and isolated large hail will remain possible for the next several hours from South Carolina to southern Alabama. A couple of tornadoes will be possible in the short term in the vicinity of southwest Wisconsin. ...Southeast tonight... Clusters of storms are ongoing across SC, where outflow mergers have led to consolidation of a cold pool. The storms will likely persist for several more hours while spreading southwestward over the coastal plains of SC/GA, sustained by steeper-than-usual midlevel lapse rates and strong buoyancy. Isolated large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter will remain a possibility with the stronger embedded storms (especially with mergers), but damaging outflow gusts will be the main threat with collapsing cores in the steep lapse rate environment with strong downdraft potential (as suggested by DCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg). Farther southwest, a few strong-severe storms will be possible through about 02-03z along the conglomerate outflow from southwest GA into southern AL. ...Southwest WI/southeast MN/northeast IA this evening... Several tornadoes have been reported with supercells in a broken band from northeast IA across far southeast MN into southwest WI. These storms have trended toward a more linear mode over time and the tornado threat appears to have already peaked. Prior to the storms weakening early tonight, the potential for a couple of tornadoes will persist for another 1-2 hours with the stronger embedded supercells interacting with the warm front, where low-level hodograph curvature/shear are maximized. ...Eastern NE/western IA this evening... Convection has been largely undercut by convective outflow from eastern NE into western IA. Moderate buoyancy remains immediately to the south of the aggregate outflow/effective frontal boundary, and profiles will remain sufficiently moist to maintain elevated convection into the overnight hours. However, the potential for severe storms appears to be diminishing with time, with only isolated strong outflow gusts and/or marginally severe hail expected beyond 01z. ...Northern High Plains through early tonight... Widely scattered storms, some with supercell structure, will be possible through about 03z. Thereafter, convection is expected to weaken consistently with diurnal stabilization. In the interim, isolated large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter will be possible. ..Thompson.. 06/26/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN GEORGIA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING FOR A SMALL AREA AROUND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN...AND INTO TONIGHT FROM SOUTH CAROLINA INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Damaging outflow gusts and isolated large hail will remain possible for the next several hours from South Carolina to southern Alabama. A couple of tornadoes will be possible in the short term in the vicinity of southwest Wisconsin. ...Southeast tonight... Clusters of storms are ongoing across SC, where outflow mergers have led to consolidation of a cold pool. The storms will likely persist for several more hours while spreading southwestward over the coastal plains of SC/GA, sustained by steeper-than-usual midlevel lapse rates and strong buoyancy. Isolated large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter will remain a possibility with the stronger embedded storms (especially with mergers), but damaging outflow gusts will be the main threat with collapsing cores in the steep lapse rate environment with strong downdraft potential (as suggested by DCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg). Farther southwest, a few strong-severe storms will be possible through about 02-03z along the conglomerate outflow from southwest GA into southern AL. ...Southwest WI/southeast MN/northeast IA this evening... Several tornadoes have been reported with supercells in a broken band from northeast IA across far southeast MN into southwest WI. These storms have trended toward a more linear mode over time and the tornado threat appears to have already peaked. Prior to the storms weakening early tonight, the potential for a couple of tornadoes will persist for another 1-2 hours with the stronger embedded supercells interacting with the warm front, where low-level hodograph curvature/shear are maximized. ...Eastern NE/western IA this evening... Convection has been largely undercut by convective outflow from eastern NE into western IA. Moderate buoyancy remains immediately to the south of the aggregate outflow/effective frontal boundary, and profiles will remain sufficiently moist to maintain elevated convection into the overnight hours. However, the potential for severe storms appears to be diminishing with time, with only isolated strong outflow gusts and/or marginally severe hail expected beyond 01z. ...Northern High Plains through early tonight... Widely scattered storms, some with supercell structure, will be possible through about 03z. Thereafter, convection is expected to weaken consistently with diurnal stabilization. In the interim, isolated large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter will be possible. ..Thompson.. 06/26/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN GEORGIA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING FOR A SMALL AREA AROUND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN...AND INTO TONIGHT FROM SOUTH CAROLINA INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Damaging outflow gusts and isolated large hail will remain possible for the next several hours from South Carolina to southern Alabama. A couple of tornadoes will be possible in the short term in the vicinity of southwest Wisconsin. ...Southeast tonight... Clusters of storms are ongoing across SC, where outflow mergers have led to consolidation of a cold pool. The storms will likely persist for several more hours while spreading southwestward over the coastal plains of SC/GA, sustained by steeper-than-usual midlevel lapse rates and strong buoyancy. Isolated large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter will remain a possibility with the stronger embedded storms (especially with mergers), but damaging outflow gusts will be the main threat with collapsing cores in the steep lapse rate environment with strong downdraft potential (as suggested by DCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg). Farther southwest, a few strong-severe storms will be possible through about 02-03z along the conglomerate outflow from southwest GA into southern AL. ...Southwest WI/southeast MN/northeast IA this evening... Several tornadoes have been reported with supercells in a broken band from northeast IA across far southeast MN into southwest WI. These storms have trended toward a more linear mode over time and the tornado threat appears to have already peaked. Prior to the storms weakening early tonight, the potential for a couple of tornadoes will persist for another 1-2 hours with the stronger embedded supercells interacting with the warm front, where low-level hodograph curvature/shear are maximized. ...Eastern NE/western IA this evening... Convection has been largely undercut by convective outflow from eastern NE into western IA. Moderate buoyancy remains immediately to the south of the aggregate outflow/effective frontal boundary, and profiles will remain sufficiently moist to maintain elevated convection into the overnight hours. However, the potential for severe storms appears to be diminishing with time, with only isolated strong outflow gusts and/or marginally severe hail expected beyond 01z. ...Northern High Plains through early tonight... Widely scattered storms, some with supercell structure, will be possible through about 03z. Thereafter, convection is expected to weaken consistently with diurnal stabilization. In the interim, isolated large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter will be possible. ..Thompson.. 06/26/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN GEORGIA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING FOR A SMALL AREA AROUND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN...AND INTO TONIGHT FROM SOUTH CAROLINA INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Damaging outflow gusts and isolated large hail will remain possible for the next several hours from South Carolina to southern Alabama. A couple of tornadoes will be possible in the short term in the vicinity of southwest Wisconsin. ...Southeast tonight... Clusters of storms are ongoing across SC, where outflow mergers have led to consolidation of a cold pool. The storms will likely persist for several more hours while spreading southwestward over the coastal plains of SC/GA, sustained by steeper-than-usual midlevel lapse rates and strong buoyancy. Isolated large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter will remain a possibility with the stronger embedded storms (especially with mergers), but damaging outflow gusts will be the main threat with collapsing cores in the steep lapse rate environment with strong downdraft potential (as suggested by DCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg). Farther southwest, a few strong-severe storms will be possible through about 02-03z along the conglomerate outflow from southwest GA into southern AL. ...Southwest WI/southeast MN/northeast IA this evening... Several tornadoes have been reported with supercells in a broken band from northeast IA across far southeast MN into southwest WI. These storms have trended toward a more linear mode over time and the tornado threat appears to have already peaked. Prior to the storms weakening early tonight, the potential for a couple of tornadoes will persist for another 1-2 hours with the stronger embedded supercells interacting with the warm front, where low-level hodograph curvature/shear are maximized. ...Eastern NE/western IA this evening... Convection has been largely undercut by convective outflow from eastern NE into western IA. Moderate buoyancy remains immediately to the south of the aggregate outflow/effective frontal boundary, and profiles will remain sufficiently moist to maintain elevated convection into the overnight hours. However, the potential for severe storms appears to be diminishing with time, with only isolated strong outflow gusts and/or marginally severe hail expected beyond 01z. ...Northern High Plains through early tonight... Widely scattered storms, some with supercell structure, will be possible through about 03z. Thereafter, convection is expected to weaken consistently with diurnal stabilization. In the interim, isolated large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter will be possible. ..Thompson.. 06/26/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN GEORGIA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING FOR A SMALL AREA AROUND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN...AND INTO TONIGHT FROM SOUTH CAROLINA INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Damaging outflow gusts and isolated large hail will remain possible for the next several hours from South Carolina to southern Alabama. A couple of tornadoes will be possible in the short term in the vicinity of southwest Wisconsin. ...Southeast tonight... Clusters of storms are ongoing across SC, where outflow mergers have led to consolidation of a cold pool. The storms will likely persist for several more hours while spreading southwestward over the coastal plains of SC/GA, sustained by steeper-than-usual midlevel lapse rates and strong buoyancy. Isolated large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter will remain a possibility with the stronger embedded storms (especially with mergers), but damaging outflow gusts will be the main threat with collapsing cores in the steep lapse rate environment with strong downdraft potential (as suggested by DCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg). Farther southwest, a few strong-severe storms will be possible through about 02-03z along the conglomerate outflow from southwest GA into southern AL. ...Southwest WI/southeast MN/northeast IA this evening... Several tornadoes have been reported with supercells in a broken band from northeast IA across far southeast MN into southwest WI. These storms have trended toward a more linear mode over time and the tornado threat appears to have already peaked. Prior to the storms weakening early tonight, the potential for a couple of tornadoes will persist for another 1-2 hours with the stronger embedded supercells interacting with the warm front, where low-level hodograph curvature/shear are maximized. ...Eastern NE/western IA this evening... Convection has been largely undercut by convective outflow from eastern NE into western IA. Moderate buoyancy remains immediately to the south of the aggregate outflow/effective frontal boundary, and profiles will remain sufficiently moist to maintain elevated convection into the overnight hours. However, the potential for severe storms appears to be diminishing with time, with only isolated strong outflow gusts and/or marginally severe hail expected beyond 01z. ...Northern High Plains through early tonight... Widely scattered storms, some with supercell structure, will be possible through about 03z. Thereafter, convection is expected to weaken consistently with diurnal stabilization. In the interim, isolated large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter will be possible. ..Thompson.. 06/26/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0804 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN GEORGIA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING FOR A SMALL AREA AROUND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN...AND INTO TONIGHT FROM SOUTH CAROLINA INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Damaging outflow gusts and isolated large hail will remain possible for the next several hours from South Carolina to southern Alabama. A couple of tornadoes will be possible in the short term in the vicinity of southwest Wisconsin. ...Southeast tonight... Clusters of storms are ongoing across SC, where outflow mergers have led to consolidation of a cold pool. The storms will likely persist for several more hours while spreading southwestward over the coastal plains of SC/GA, sustained by steeper-than-usual midlevel lapse rates and strong buoyancy. Isolated large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter will remain a possibility with the stronger embedded storms (especially with mergers), but damaging outflow gusts will be the main threat with collapsing cores in the steep lapse rate environment with strong downdraft potential (as suggested by DCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg). Farther southwest, a few strong-severe storms will be possible through about 02-03z along the conglomerate outflow from southwest GA into southern AL. ...Southwest WI/southeast MN/northeast IA this evening... Several tornadoes have been reported with supercells in a broken band from northeast IA across far southeast MN into southwest WI. These storms have trended toward a more linear mode over time and the tornado threat appears to have already peaked. Prior to the storms weakening early tonight, the potential for a couple of tornadoes will persist for another 1-2 hours with the stronger embedded supercells interacting with the warm front, where low-level hodograph curvature/shear are maximized. ...Eastern NE/western IA this evening... Convection has been largely undercut by convective outflow from eastern NE into western IA. Moderate buoyancy remains immediately to the south of the aggregate outflow/effective frontal boundary, and profiles will remain sufficiently moist to maintain elevated convection into the overnight hours. However, the potential for severe storms appears to be diminishing with time, with only isolated strong outflow gusts and/or marginally severe hail expected beyond 01z. ...Northern High Plains through early tonight... Widely scattered storms, some with supercell structure, will be possible through about 03z. Thereafter, convection is expected to weaken consistently with diurnal stabilization. In the interim, isolated large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter will be possible. ..Thompson.. 06/26/2025 Read more