Severe Storms

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1249 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected across parts of central to southwest Wyoming Friday afternoon. Strengthening zonal flow over the northern Rockies will promote a more pronounced surface mass response across the northern High Plains on Friday compared to today/Thursday. Consequently, low-level winds will likely be slightly stronger across a broad swath of the eastern Great Basin and parts of the Four Corners region. In general, most locations from eastern NV into northern AZ, UT, southern ID, and WY will see breezy conditions with wind speeds generally in the mid teens. Across southwest to central WY, downslope flow into the WY Basin and in the lee of the Wind River Range will regionally augment surface winds to near 20 mph. Deep mixing will promote frequent gusts up to 25-30 mph by peak heating as RH values fall into the teens. Several hours of elevated conditions appear likely, and periods of critical conditions are possible. Fuels across much of WY are not as dry compared to locations southwest, but several hours of dry/windy conditions should promote adequate drying of dead finer fuels to support the fire weather concern. An expansion of the Elevated risk area appears possible if confidence in sustained/widespread 15+ mph winds increases across portions of the Great Basin/Four Corners region where fuels remain very dry. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1249 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected across parts of central to southwest Wyoming Friday afternoon. Strengthening zonal flow over the northern Rockies will promote a more pronounced surface mass response across the northern High Plains on Friday compared to today/Thursday. Consequently, low-level winds will likely be slightly stronger across a broad swath of the eastern Great Basin and parts of the Four Corners region. In general, most locations from eastern NV into northern AZ, UT, southern ID, and WY will see breezy conditions with wind speeds generally in the mid teens. Across southwest to central WY, downslope flow into the WY Basin and in the lee of the Wind River Range will regionally augment surface winds to near 20 mph. Deep mixing will promote frequent gusts up to 25-30 mph by peak heating as RH values fall into the teens. Several hours of elevated conditions appear likely, and periods of critical conditions are possible. Fuels across much of WY are not as dry compared to locations southwest, but several hours of dry/windy conditions should promote adequate drying of dead finer fuels to support the fire weather concern. An expansion of the Elevated risk area appears possible if confidence in sustained/widespread 15+ mph winds increases across portions of the Great Basin/Four Corners region where fuels remain very dry. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1249 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected across parts of central to southwest Wyoming Friday afternoon. Strengthening zonal flow over the northern Rockies will promote a more pronounced surface mass response across the northern High Plains on Friday compared to today/Thursday. Consequently, low-level winds will likely be slightly stronger across a broad swath of the eastern Great Basin and parts of the Four Corners region. In general, most locations from eastern NV into northern AZ, UT, southern ID, and WY will see breezy conditions with wind speeds generally in the mid teens. Across southwest to central WY, downslope flow into the WY Basin and in the lee of the Wind River Range will regionally augment surface winds to near 20 mph. Deep mixing will promote frequent gusts up to 25-30 mph by peak heating as RH values fall into the teens. Several hours of elevated conditions appear likely, and periods of critical conditions are possible. Fuels across much of WY are not as dry compared to locations southwest, but several hours of dry/windy conditions should promote adequate drying of dead finer fuels to support the fire weather concern. An expansion of the Elevated risk area appears possible if confidence in sustained/widespread 15+ mph winds increases across portions of the Great Basin/Four Corners region where fuels remain very dry. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1249 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected across parts of central to southwest Wyoming Friday afternoon. Strengthening zonal flow over the northern Rockies will promote a more pronounced surface mass response across the northern High Plains on Friday compared to today/Thursday. Consequently, low-level winds will likely be slightly stronger across a broad swath of the eastern Great Basin and parts of the Four Corners region. In general, most locations from eastern NV into northern AZ, UT, southern ID, and WY will see breezy conditions with wind speeds generally in the mid teens. Across southwest to central WY, downslope flow into the WY Basin and in the lee of the Wind River Range will regionally augment surface winds to near 20 mph. Deep mixing will promote frequent gusts up to 25-30 mph by peak heating as RH values fall into the teens. Several hours of elevated conditions appear likely, and periods of critical conditions are possible. Fuels across much of WY are not as dry compared to locations southwest, but several hours of dry/windy conditions should promote adequate drying of dead finer fuels to support the fire weather concern. An expansion of the Elevated risk area appears possible if confidence in sustained/widespread 15+ mph winds increases across portions of the Great Basin/Four Corners region where fuels remain very dry. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1249 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected across parts of central to southwest Wyoming Friday afternoon. Strengthening zonal flow over the northern Rockies will promote a more pronounced surface mass response across the northern High Plains on Friday compared to today/Thursday. Consequently, low-level winds will likely be slightly stronger across a broad swath of the eastern Great Basin and parts of the Four Corners region. In general, most locations from eastern NV into northern AZ, UT, southern ID, and WY will see breezy conditions with wind speeds generally in the mid teens. Across southwest to central WY, downslope flow into the WY Basin and in the lee of the Wind River Range will regionally augment surface winds to near 20 mph. Deep mixing will promote frequent gusts up to 25-30 mph by peak heating as RH values fall into the teens. Several hours of elevated conditions appear likely, and periods of critical conditions are possible. Fuels across much of WY are not as dry compared to locations southwest, but several hours of dry/windy conditions should promote adequate drying of dead finer fuels to support the fire weather concern. An expansion of the Elevated risk area appears possible if confidence in sustained/widespread 15+ mph winds increases across portions of the Great Basin/Four Corners region where fuels remain very dry. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1249 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected across parts of central to southwest Wyoming Friday afternoon. Strengthening zonal flow over the northern Rockies will promote a more pronounced surface mass response across the northern High Plains on Friday compared to today/Thursday. Consequently, low-level winds will likely be slightly stronger across a broad swath of the eastern Great Basin and parts of the Four Corners region. In general, most locations from eastern NV into northern AZ, UT, southern ID, and WY will see breezy conditions with wind speeds generally in the mid teens. Across southwest to central WY, downslope flow into the WY Basin and in the lee of the Wind River Range will regionally augment surface winds to near 20 mph. Deep mixing will promote frequent gusts up to 25-30 mph by peak heating as RH values fall into the teens. Several hours of elevated conditions appear likely, and periods of critical conditions are possible. Fuels across much of WY are not as dry compared to locations southwest, but several hours of dry/windy conditions should promote adequate drying of dead finer fuels to support the fire weather concern. An expansion of the Elevated risk area appears possible if confidence in sustained/widespread 15+ mph winds increases across portions of the Great Basin/Four Corners region where fuels remain very dry. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today across the country. Widespread rainfall over the eastern two-thirds of the country will limit fuel status for most locations. West of the Rockies, dry conditions will continue with afternoon RH minimums in the teens expected. However, the strongest low/mid-level flow is expected to remain across the Pacific Northwest (where RH reductions won't be as pronounced) ahead of a low-amplitude mid-level trough. Localized elevated conditions may materialize across portions of southern ID and northern NV where the overlap of dry conditions, receptive fuels, and modest surface winds (15-20 mph) is most probable. Latest high-res ensemble guidance generally shows a weak signal for widespread and/or persistent elevated conditions, which limits confidence in the overall fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today across the country. Widespread rainfall over the eastern two-thirds of the country will limit fuel status for most locations. West of the Rockies, dry conditions will continue with afternoon RH minimums in the teens expected. However, the strongest low/mid-level flow is expected to remain across the Pacific Northwest (where RH reductions won't be as pronounced) ahead of a low-amplitude mid-level trough. Localized elevated conditions may materialize across portions of southern ID and northern NV where the overlap of dry conditions, receptive fuels, and modest surface winds (15-20 mph) is most probable. Latest high-res ensemble guidance generally shows a weak signal for widespread and/or persistent elevated conditions, which limits confidence in the overall fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today across the country. Widespread rainfall over the eastern two-thirds of the country will limit fuel status for most locations. West of the Rockies, dry conditions will continue with afternoon RH minimums in the teens expected. However, the strongest low/mid-level flow is expected to remain across the Pacific Northwest (where RH reductions won't be as pronounced) ahead of a low-amplitude mid-level trough. Localized elevated conditions may materialize across portions of southern ID and northern NV where the overlap of dry conditions, receptive fuels, and modest surface winds (15-20 mph) is most probable. Latest high-res ensemble guidance generally shows a weak signal for widespread and/or persistent elevated conditions, which limits confidence in the overall fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today across the country. Widespread rainfall over the eastern two-thirds of the country will limit fuel status for most locations. West of the Rockies, dry conditions will continue with afternoon RH minimums in the teens expected. However, the strongest low/mid-level flow is expected to remain across the Pacific Northwest (where RH reductions won't be as pronounced) ahead of a low-amplitude mid-level trough. Localized elevated conditions may materialize across portions of southern ID and northern NV where the overlap of dry conditions, receptive fuels, and modest surface winds (15-20 mph) is most probable. Latest high-res ensemble guidance generally shows a weak signal for widespread and/or persistent elevated conditions, which limits confidence in the overall fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today across the country. Widespread rainfall over the eastern two-thirds of the country will limit fuel status for most locations. West of the Rockies, dry conditions will continue with afternoon RH minimums in the teens expected. However, the strongest low/mid-level flow is expected to remain across the Pacific Northwest (where RH reductions won't be as pronounced) ahead of a low-amplitude mid-level trough. Localized elevated conditions may materialize across portions of southern ID and northern NV where the overlap of dry conditions, receptive fuels, and modest surface winds (15-20 mph) is most probable. Latest high-res ensemble guidance generally shows a weak signal for widespread and/or persistent elevated conditions, which limits confidence in the overall fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today across the country. Widespread rainfall over the eastern two-thirds of the country will limit fuel status for most locations. West of the Rockies, dry conditions will continue with afternoon RH minimums in the teens expected. However, the strongest low/mid-level flow is expected to remain across the Pacific Northwest (where RH reductions won't be as pronounced) ahead of a low-amplitude mid-level trough. Localized elevated conditions may materialize across portions of southern ID and northern NV where the overlap of dry conditions, receptive fuels, and modest surface winds (15-20 mph) is most probable. Latest high-res ensemble guidance generally shows a weak signal for widespread and/or persistent elevated conditions, which limits confidence in the overall fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today across the country. Widespread rainfall over the eastern two-thirds of the country will limit fuel status for most locations. West of the Rockies, dry conditions will continue with afternoon RH minimums in the teens expected. However, the strongest low/mid-level flow is expected to remain across the Pacific Northwest (where RH reductions won't be as pronounced) ahead of a low-amplitude mid-level trough. Localized elevated conditions may materialize across portions of southern ID and northern NV where the overlap of dry conditions, receptive fuels, and modest surface winds (15-20 mph) is most probable. Latest high-res ensemble guidance generally shows a weak signal for widespread and/or persistent elevated conditions, which limits confidence in the overall fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today across the country. Widespread rainfall over the eastern two-thirds of the country will limit fuel status for most locations. West of the Rockies, dry conditions will continue with afternoon RH minimums in the teens expected. However, the strongest low/mid-level flow is expected to remain across the Pacific Northwest (where RH reductions won't be as pronounced) ahead of a low-amplitude mid-level trough. Localized elevated conditions may materialize across portions of southern ID and northern NV where the overlap of dry conditions, receptive fuels, and modest surface winds (15-20 mph) is most probable. Latest high-res ensemble guidance generally shows a weak signal for widespread and/or persistent elevated conditions, which limits confidence in the overall fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today across the country. Widespread rainfall over the eastern two-thirds of the country will limit fuel status for most locations. West of the Rockies, dry conditions will continue with afternoon RH minimums in the teens expected. However, the strongest low/mid-level flow is expected to remain across the Pacific Northwest (where RH reductions won't be as pronounced) ahead of a low-amplitude mid-level trough. Localized elevated conditions may materialize across portions of southern ID and northern NV where the overlap of dry conditions, receptive fuels, and modest surface winds (15-20 mph) is most probable. Latest high-res ensemble guidance generally shows a weak signal for widespread and/or persistent elevated conditions, which limits confidence in the overall fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today across the country. Widespread rainfall over the eastern two-thirds of the country will limit fuel status for most locations. West of the Rockies, dry conditions will continue with afternoon RH minimums in the teens expected. However, the strongest low/mid-level flow is expected to remain across the Pacific Northwest (where RH reductions won't be as pronounced) ahead of a low-amplitude mid-level trough. Localized elevated conditions may materialize across portions of southern ID and northern NV where the overlap of dry conditions, receptive fuels, and modest surface winds (15-20 mph) is most probable. Latest high-res ensemble guidance generally shows a weak signal for widespread and/or persistent elevated conditions, which limits confidence in the overall fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today across the country. Widespread rainfall over the eastern two-thirds of the country will limit fuel status for most locations. West of the Rockies, dry conditions will continue with afternoon RH minimums in the teens expected. However, the strongest low/mid-level flow is expected to remain across the Pacific Northwest (where RH reductions won't be as pronounced) ahead of a low-amplitude mid-level trough. Localized elevated conditions may materialize across portions of southern ID and northern NV where the overlap of dry conditions, receptive fuels, and modest surface winds (15-20 mph) is most probable. Latest high-res ensemble guidance generally shows a weak signal for widespread and/or persistent elevated conditions, which limits confidence in the overall fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today across the country. Widespread rainfall over the eastern two-thirds of the country will limit fuel status for most locations. West of the Rockies, dry conditions will continue with afternoon RH minimums in the teens expected. However, the strongest low/mid-level flow is expected to remain across the Pacific Northwest (where RH reductions won't be as pronounced) ahead of a low-amplitude mid-level trough. Localized elevated conditions may materialize across portions of southern ID and northern NV where the overlap of dry conditions, receptive fuels, and modest surface winds (15-20 mph) is most probable. Latest high-res ensemble guidance generally shows a weak signal for widespread and/or persistent elevated conditions, which limits confidence in the overall fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today across the country. Widespread rainfall over the eastern two-thirds of the country will limit fuel status for most locations. West of the Rockies, dry conditions will continue with afternoon RH minimums in the teens expected. However, the strongest low/mid-level flow is expected to remain across the Pacific Northwest (where RH reductions won't be as pronounced) ahead of a low-amplitude mid-level trough. Localized elevated conditions may materialize across portions of southern ID and northern NV where the overlap of dry conditions, receptive fuels, and modest surface winds (15-20 mph) is most probable. Latest high-res ensemble guidance generally shows a weak signal for widespread and/or persistent elevated conditions, which limits confidence in the overall fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 1450 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 462... FOR CENTRAL GEORGIA
Mesoscale Discussion 1450 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1044 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025 Areas affected...Central Georgia Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 462... Valid 260344Z - 260545Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 462 continues. SUMMARY...Outflow boundaries pushing into an unstable environment will promote an increase in thunderstorm coverage over the next few hours. Transient, but strong thunderstorms will support damaging downburst winds and isolated large hail. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm coverage continues to slowly increase across central GA as two outflow boundaries - one associated with an MCS moving across eastern GA, and another pushing north out of a convective cluster originating in the FL Panhandle/southwest GA - continue to push into a very unstable air mass. Based on the 00 UTC FFC sounding, mid-level lapse rates on the order of 7.5 C/km reside over the region, and little in the way of convective overturning has occurred thus far. Based on surface observations, nocturnal cooling has resulted in a relatively shallow stable layer near the surface, but the depth/intensity of the outflows will continue to be sufficient to lift surface-based parcels to their LFCs. As such, additional thunderstorm development is anticipated across central GA. Weak deep layer shear is promoting transient cells/clusters with the potential for damaging downbursts and perhaps sporadic large hail. The severe threat will be locally maximized where the two outflow boundaries converge, which based on recent storm tracks, will likely occur in the vicinity of the I-75 corridor in the coming hours. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FFC... LAT...LON 32608375 32558413 32808484 33088516 33428517 33818505 34078489 34228464 34228416 33918371 33618345 33218328 33088324 32898333 32828351 32608375 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more