Severe Storms

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0126 PM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 282000Z - 291200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Synopsis... A surface cold front will continue to drift south across the far southern FL Peninsula and FL Keys the next few hours. A few thunderstorms near the southeast FL coast will shift offshore, and while a thunderstorm or two remains possible the next couple of hours, thunderstorm potential is expected to end by 00z. ..Leitman.. 01/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1027 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024/ ...Synopsis/Discussion... A midlevel low currently centered over the Ohio Valley will track eastward into the western Atlantic ocean as it devolves into an open wave through the period. A related cold front extending south-southwestward along the Gulf Stream into central Florida will continue southeastward across southern Florida into this evening. Along/immediately ahead of the southeastward-moving front, diurnal heating of a moist boundary layer (lower 70s dewpoints) should support isolated thunderstorm development across central/southern Florida despite poor midlevel lapse rates and dry air aloft. Organized severe thunderstorm potential appears low owing to veered surface winds/weak frontal convergence, weak instability, and modest deep-layer shear. Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 PM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No forecast changes are needed; latest observations and guidance continue to suggest low potential for fire weather concerns on Monday. See the previous discussion for details. ..Moore.. 01/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1116 PM CST Sat Jan 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... The upper-level ridge will continue to shift eastward on Monday into more of the Plains. While high surface pressure will remain in parts of the northern/central Rockies, the pressure pattern will become more diffuse from southern California into the southern Plains. Areas of dry conditions are probable, but light winds and poorly receptive fuels will continue to keep fire weather concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 PM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No forecast changes are needed; latest observations and guidance continue to suggest low potential for fire weather concerns on Monday. See the previous discussion for details. ..Moore.. 01/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1116 PM CST Sat Jan 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... The upper-level ridge will continue to shift eastward on Monday into more of the Plains. While high surface pressure will remain in parts of the northern/central Rockies, the pressure pattern will become more diffuse from southern California into the southern Plains. Areas of dry conditions are probable, but light winds and poorly receptive fuels will continue to keep fire weather concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 PM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No forecast changes are needed; latest observations and guidance continue to suggest low potential for fire weather concerns on Monday. See the previous discussion for details. ..Moore.. 01/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1116 PM CST Sat Jan 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... The upper-level ridge will continue to shift eastward on Monday into more of the Plains. While high surface pressure will remain in parts of the northern/central Rockies, the pressure pattern will become more diffuse from southern California into the southern Plains. Areas of dry conditions are probable, but light winds and poorly receptive fuels will continue to keep fire weather concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 PM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No forecast changes are needed; latest observations and guidance continue to suggest low potential for fire weather concerns on Monday. See the previous discussion for details. ..Moore.. 01/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1116 PM CST Sat Jan 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... The upper-level ridge will continue to shift eastward on Monday into more of the Plains. While high surface pressure will remain in parts of the northern/central Rockies, the pressure pattern will become more diffuse from southern California into the southern Plains. Areas of dry conditions are probable, but light winds and poorly receptive fuels will continue to keep fire weather concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 PM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No forecast changes are needed; latest observations and guidance continue to suggest low potential for fire weather concerns on Monday. See the previous discussion for details. ..Moore.. 01/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1116 PM CST Sat Jan 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... The upper-level ridge will continue to shift eastward on Monday into more of the Plains. While high surface pressure will remain in parts of the northern/central Rockies, the pressure pattern will become more diffuse from southern California into the southern Plains. Areas of dry conditions are probable, but light winds and poorly receptive fuels will continue to keep fire weather concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 PM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No forecast changes are needed; latest observations and guidance continue to suggest low potential for fire weather concerns on Monday. See the previous discussion for details. ..Moore.. 01/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1116 PM CST Sat Jan 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... The upper-level ridge will continue to shift eastward on Monday into more of the Plains. While high surface pressure will remain in parts of the northern/central Rockies, the pressure pattern will become more diffuse from southern California into the southern Plains. Areas of dry conditions are probable, but light winds and poorly receptive fuels will continue to keep fire weather concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1057 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A dry, continental airmass will envelop much of the CONUS in the wake of a cold frontal passage into the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic. Stable conditions will prevail given a dearth of boundary-layer moisture and thunderstorms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1057 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A dry, continental airmass will envelop much of the CONUS in the wake of a cold frontal passage into the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic. Stable conditions will prevail given a dearth of boundary-layer moisture and thunderstorms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1057 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A dry, continental airmass will envelop much of the CONUS in the wake of a cold frontal passage into the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic. Stable conditions will prevail given a dearth of boundary-layer moisture and thunderstorms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1057 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A dry, continental airmass will envelop much of the CONUS in the wake of a cold frontal passage into the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic. Stable conditions will prevail given a dearth of boundary-layer moisture and thunderstorms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1057 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A dry, continental airmass will envelop much of the CONUS in the wake of a cold frontal passage into the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic. Stable conditions will prevail given a dearth of boundary-layer moisture and thunderstorms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1057 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A dry, continental airmass will envelop much of the CONUS in the wake of a cold frontal passage into the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic. Stable conditions will prevail given a dearth of boundary-layer moisture and thunderstorms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1057 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A dry, continental airmass will envelop much of the CONUS in the wake of a cold frontal passage into the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic. Stable conditions will prevail given a dearth of boundary-layer moisture and thunderstorms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A midlevel low currently centered over the Ohio Valley will track eastward into the western Atlantic ocean as it devolves into an open wave through the period. A related cold front extending south-southwestward along the Gulf Stream into central Florida will continue southeastward across southern Florida into this evening. Along/immediately ahead of the southeastward-moving front, diurnal heating of a moist boundary layer (lower 70s dewpoints) should support isolated thunderstorm development across central/southern Florida despite poor midlevel lapse rates and dry air aloft. Organized severe thunderstorm potential appears low owing to veered surface winds/weak frontal convergence, weak instability, and modest deep-layer shear. ..Weinman/Hart.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A midlevel low currently centered over the Ohio Valley will track eastward into the western Atlantic ocean as it devolves into an open wave through the period. A related cold front extending south-southwestward along the Gulf Stream into central Florida will continue southeastward across southern Florida into this evening. Along/immediately ahead of the southeastward-moving front, diurnal heating of a moist boundary layer (lower 70s dewpoints) should support isolated thunderstorm development across central/southern Florida despite poor midlevel lapse rates and dry air aloft. Organized severe thunderstorm potential appears low owing to veered surface winds/weak frontal convergence, weak instability, and modest deep-layer shear. ..Weinman/Hart.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A midlevel low currently centered over the Ohio Valley will track eastward into the western Atlantic ocean as it devolves into an open wave through the period. A related cold front extending south-southwestward along the Gulf Stream into central Florida will continue southeastward across southern Florida into this evening. Along/immediately ahead of the southeastward-moving front, diurnal heating of a moist boundary layer (lower 70s dewpoints) should support isolated thunderstorm development across central/southern Florida despite poor midlevel lapse rates and dry air aloft. Organized severe thunderstorm potential appears low owing to veered surface winds/weak frontal convergence, weak instability, and modest deep-layer shear. ..Weinman/Hart.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A midlevel low currently centered over the Ohio Valley will track eastward into the western Atlantic ocean as it devolves into an open wave through the period. A related cold front extending south-southwestward along the Gulf Stream into central Florida will continue southeastward across southern Florida into this evening. Along/immediately ahead of the southeastward-moving front, diurnal heating of a moist boundary layer (lower 70s dewpoints) should support isolated thunderstorm development across central/southern Florida despite poor midlevel lapse rates and dry air aloft. Organized severe thunderstorm potential appears low owing to veered surface winds/weak frontal convergence, weak instability, and modest deep-layer shear. ..Weinman/Hart.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A midlevel low currently centered over the Ohio Valley will track eastward into the western Atlantic ocean as it devolves into an open wave through the period. A related cold front extending south-southwestward along the Gulf Stream into central Florida will continue southeastward across southern Florida into this evening. Along/immediately ahead of the southeastward-moving front, diurnal heating of a moist boundary layer (lower 70s dewpoints) should support isolated thunderstorm development across central/southern Florida despite poor midlevel lapse rates and dry air aloft. Organized severe thunderstorm potential appears low owing to veered surface winds/weak frontal convergence, weak instability, and modest deep-layer shear. ..Weinman/Hart.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A midlevel low currently centered over the Ohio Valley will track eastward into the western Atlantic ocean as it devolves into an open wave through the period. A related cold front extending south-southwestward along the Gulf Stream into central Florida will continue southeastward across southern Florida into this evening. Along/immediately ahead of the southeastward-moving front, diurnal heating of a moist boundary layer (lower 70s dewpoints) should support isolated thunderstorm development across central/southern Florida despite poor midlevel lapse rates and dry air aloft. Organized severe thunderstorm potential appears low owing to veered surface winds/weak frontal convergence, weak instability, and modest deep-layer shear. ..Weinman/Hart.. 01/28/2024 Read more