Severe Storms

MD 0131 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 19... FOR ISOLATED WIND GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS MORNING.
Mesoscale Discussion 0131 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0856 AM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Areas affected...Isolated wind gusts remain possible through this morning. Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 19... Valid 041456Z - 041630Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 19 continues. SUMMARY...Isolated wind gusts remain possible through this morning. DISCUSSION...The intensity of the squall line across northeast Oklahoma has weakened over the past 30 minutes as it moves into an increasingly stable/cool downstream airmass. Some recovery may may continue to occur across northern Arkansas and southern Missouri which may provide just enough instability to maintain the squall line as it continues east. Given the very strong low-level flow, (60 knots at 1km per SRX VWP), some threat for isolated severe wind gusts may continue despite the less intense squall line, particularly in the southern portions of watch 19 where mid-50s dewpoints and slightly greater instability are present. ..Bentley.. 03/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA... LAT...LON 35399440 35989455 36439464 36769487 37229476 37409421 37399289 36939260 36299244 35639262 35209322 35169382 35219441 35399440 Read more

MD 0130 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR ARKLATEX INTO THE SABINE VALLEY AND VICINITY
Mesoscale Discussion 0130 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0749 AM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Areas affected...Arklatex into the Sabine Valley and vicinity Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 041349Z - 041545Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...A severe wind, and eventually tornado risk exists over the area, ahead of the cold front and near and south of the warm front. A watch may be considered. DISCUSSION...Although a greater threat of severe storms including tornadoes is expected into the afternoon, some severe risk may persist with the ongoing early day activity as a line of storms continues east out of TX and eastern OK. 12Z soundings indicate a capping inversion near 700 mb, by virtue of relatively cool surface conditions near the warm front. However, very strong southerly winds above the surface with the low-level jet, as well as areas of daytime heating will allow for a growing area of concern across the developing warm sector, including much of LA and into MS. In the near term, robust storms persist along the cold front over northeast TX, with a few counties width of warm sector west of the warm front. At least a few hours of severe risk likely remains in this area, prior to expected diurnal maximum, and a watch will likely be needed to address this early threat. ..Jewell/Smith.. 03/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...LCH...SHV...HGX... LAT...LON 31159476 31429509 31829522 32449501 33549478 33809458 33929411 33919374 33819323 33569266 33149227 32349199 31639206 31169219 30919278 30899330 30959413 31159476 Read more

WW 0019 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 19 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW FSM TO 5 SSE FYV TO 5 NNW HRO TO 20 NW FLP. ..BENTLEY..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC033-047-071-083-087-101-131-143-041640- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON LOGAN MADISON NEWTON SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0019 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 19 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW FSM TO 5 SSE FYV TO 5 NNW HRO TO 20 NW FLP. ..BENTLEY..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC033-047-071-083-087-101-131-143-041640- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON LOGAN MADISON NEWTON SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0019 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 19 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW FSM TO 5 SSE FYV TO 5 NNW HRO TO 20 NW FLP. ..BENTLEY..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC033-047-071-083-087-101-131-143-041640- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON LOGAN MADISON NEWTON SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0019 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 19 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW FSM TO 5 SSE FYV TO 5 NNW HRO TO 20 NW FLP. ..BENTLEY..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC033-047-071-083-087-101-131-143-041640- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON LOGAN MADISON NEWTON SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0019 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 19 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW FSM TO 5 SSE FYV TO 5 NNW HRO TO 20 NW FLP. ..BENTLEY..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC033-047-071-083-087-101-131-143-041640- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON LOGAN MADISON NEWTON SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0019 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 19 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW FSM TO 5 SSE FYV TO 5 NNW HRO TO 20 NW FLP. ..BENTLEY..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC033-047-071-083-087-101-131-143-041640- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON LOGAN MADISON NEWTON SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 19 SEVERE TSTM AR MO OK 041245Z - 041700Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 19 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 645 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northwest Arkansas Southwest Missouri Far Northeast Oklahoma * Effective this Tuesday morning from 645 AM until 1100 AM CST. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A severe squall line will continue northeast into the Watch area, and likely pose a risk for severe gusts (60-70 mph) and perhaps a threat for a brief tornado, with the more intense portions of the line. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles north northwest of Muskogee OK to 20 miles northeast of Harrison AR. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 18... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 350. Mean storm motion vector 23040. ...Smith Read more

WW 0020 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 20 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE UTS TO 30 SE GGG TO 35 SSE TXK TO 45 SW HOT TO 35 WNW HOT. ..BENTLEY..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...LCH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 20 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC001-003-011-013-017-019-025-027-039-041-043-053-057-059-069- 073-079-097-099-103-109-139-041640- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY CALHOUN CHICOT CLARK CLEVELAND COLUMBIA DALLAS DESHA DREW GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PIKE UNION LAC003-011-013-015-017-021-027-031-039-043-049-059-061-067-069- 073-079-081-083-085-111-115-119-123-127-041640- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO EVANGELINE Read more

WW 0020 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 20 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE UTS TO 30 SE GGG TO 35 SSE TXK TO 45 SW HOT TO 35 WNW HOT. ..BENTLEY..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...LCH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 20 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC001-003-011-013-017-019-025-027-039-041-043-053-057-059-069- 073-079-097-099-103-109-139-041640- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY CALHOUN CHICOT CLARK CLEVELAND COLUMBIA DALLAS DESHA DREW GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PIKE UNION LAC003-011-013-015-017-021-027-031-039-043-049-059-061-067-069- 073-079-081-083-085-111-115-119-123-127-041640- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO EVANGELINE Read more

WW 0019 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 19 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW FSM TO 20 SSW GMJ TO 40 SSE CNU. ..SUPINIE..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC007-009-015-033-047-071-083-087-101-131-143-041540- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON BOONE CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON LOGAN MADISON NEWTON SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON MOC009-043-097-109-119-145-209-213-041540- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARRY CHRISTIAN JASPER LAWRENCE MCDONALD NEWTON STONE TANEY OKC041-115-041540- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

MD 0129 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 18... FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO FAR WESTERN ARKANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0129 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0622 AM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Areas affected...eastern Oklahoma into far western Arkansas Concerning...Tornado Watch 18... Valid 041222Z - 041445Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 18 continues. SUMMARY...A squall line with history of damaging winds may remain severe as it approaches the Arkansas border. DISCUSSION...Surface analysis shows a warm front remains over northeast OK and extending southward roughly near the OK/AR border. Pressure falls are currently strong in this region with over 2 mb falls per hour noted. As such, it is likely that the low-level jet is transporting higher theta-e air northward, perhaps just off the surface. Therefore, while surface observations otherwise indicate weak/marginal instability extending into the northwest AR area, it is not inconceivable that the line remains severe into those areas with damaging wind potential. Depending on storm trends, an additional small watch cannot be ruled out. ..Jewell.. 03/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...OUN... LAT...LON 34919399 34539419 34389508 34209577 34819575 35529579 35799602 36229565 36349505 36409407 36259392 34919399 Read more

WW 0018 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 18 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW UTS TO 30 W TXK TO 30 NNW DEQ TO 20 WNW FSM. ..SUPINIE..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...SHV...LZK...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 18 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC061-081-091-113-127-133-041540- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HOWARD LITTLE RIVER MILLER POLK SCOTT SEVIER OKC001-079-135-041540- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR LE FLORE SEQUOYAH TXC037-067-073-183-203-315-343-401-459-041540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOWIE CASS CHEROKEE GREGG HARRISON MARION MORRIS RUSK UPSHUR Read more

WW 0018 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 18 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW UTS TO 30 W TXK TO 30 NNW DEQ TO 20 WNW FSM. ..SUPINIE..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...SHV...LZK...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 18 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC061-081-091-113-127-133-041540- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HOWARD LITTLE RIVER MILLER POLK SCOTT SEVIER OKC001-079-135-041540- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR LE FLORE SEQUOYAH TXC037-067-073-183-203-315-343-401-459-041540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOWIE CASS CHEROKEE GREGG HARRISON MARION MORRIS RUSK UPSHUR Read more

WW 0018 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 18 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW UTS TO 30 W TXK TO 30 NNW DEQ TO 20 WNW FSM. ..SUPINIE..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...SHV...LZK...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 18 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC061-081-091-113-127-133-041540- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HOWARD LITTLE RIVER MILLER POLK SCOTT SEVIER OKC001-079-135-041540- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR LE FLORE SEQUOYAH TXC037-067-073-183-203-315-343-401-459-041540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOWIE CASS CHEROKEE GREGG HARRISON MARION MORRIS RUSK UPSHUR Read more

WW 0018 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 18 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW UTS TO 30 W TXK TO 30 NNW DEQ TO 20 WNW FSM. ..SUPINIE..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...SHV...LZK...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 18 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC061-081-091-113-127-133-041540- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HOWARD LITTLE RIVER MILLER POLK SCOTT SEVIER OKC001-079-135-041540- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR LE FLORE SEQUOYAH TXC037-067-073-183-203-315-343-401-459-041540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOWIE CASS CHEROKEE GREGG HARRISON MARION MORRIS RUSK UPSHUR Read more

WW 0018 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 18 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW UTS TO 30 W TXK TO 30 NNW DEQ TO 20 WNW FSM. ..SUPINIE..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...SHV...LZK...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 18 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC061-081-091-113-127-133-041540- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HOWARD LITTLE RIVER MILLER POLK SCOTT SEVIER OKC001-079-135-041540- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR LE FLORE SEQUOYAH TXC037-067-073-183-203-315-343-401-459-041540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOWIE CASS CHEROKEE GREGG HARRISON MARION MORRIS RUSK UPSHUR Read more

WW 0018 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 18 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW UTS TO 30 W TXK TO 30 NNW DEQ TO 20 WNW FSM. ..SUPINIE..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...SHV...LZK...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 18 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC061-081-091-113-127-133-041540- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HOWARD LITTLE RIVER MILLER POLK SCOTT SEVIER OKC001-079-135-041540- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR LE FLORE SEQUOYAH TXC037-067-073-183-203-315-343-401-459-041540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOWIE CASS CHEROKEE GREGG HARRISON MARION MORRIS RUSK UPSHUR Read more

WW 18 TORNADO AR OK TX 041010Z - 041700Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 18 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 410 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southwest Arkansas Southern and Southeast Oklahoma Central into North and Northeast Texas * Effective this Tuesday morning from 410 AM until 1100 AM CST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A mature squall line will continue to quickly move eastward across the Watch area this morning. The potential for severe gusts (60-75 mph) and a tornado risk will accompany the squall line. A possibility also exists for a few storms to develop ahead of the squall line and a threat for tornadoes and large hail may occur with this potential activity. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 105 statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles west northwest of Poteau OK to 25 miles southeast of Waco TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 17... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 23045. ...Smith Read more