Severe Storms

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER ALABAMA AND INTO PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a positive-tilt trough will move slowly east out of the southern Plains and across the lower to mid MS Valley, with gradually increasing southwesterlies aloft across the Gulf Coast states. A weak surface low will move out of MS and across northern AL during the day, then northeastward across the western Carolinas overnight. A rain-reinforced front will extend south from the low, from northern AL into eastern MS and LA, with another boundary extending from TN into VA. A very moist air mass will exist across the warm sector, with moderate shear supporting scattered severe storms. ...Eastern MS and LA...AL... A line of thunderstorms will be ongoing along the cold front early on Sunday where MUCAPE will be on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. Severe potential will be mitigated somewhat due to the relatively warm profiles aloft, however, veering winds with height and around 50 kt at 850 mb may support embedded supercells within the line, with both wind and brief tornado potential. Depending on the degree of outflow/convective contamination early in the day, a slightly better corridor of tornado threat could materialize. ..Jewell.. 04/05/2025 Read more

MD 0410 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA
Mesoscale Discussion 0410 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1006 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Areas affected...Southeast Texas into southwest Louisiana Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 051506Z - 051730Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The severe weather threat is increasing across southeast Texas this morning and will continue to increase into southwest Louisiana by this afternoon. DISCUSSION...A moist, uncapped airmass is in place across east Texas and Louisiana ahead of a strong frontal boundary. Extensive stratocumulus is in place this morning south of the front, but it is expected to thin through the morning with strong surface heating and destabilization expected by mid-day. As this occurs, more robust convective development is expected along the front in east Texas. Strong deep-layer shear and this strong instability should support the potential for supercells with a threat for all severe hazards including strong tornadoes. Despite the uncapped warm-sector, expect open warm sector storm development to be minimal given the warm 800-650mb temperatures sampled by the SHV and LCH 12Z RAOBs with primary storm development along and near the front where forcing is maximized. Deep layer flow parallel to this front may result in a messy storm mode, but the environment should support embedded supercells capable of large hail, severe wind gusts, and tornadoes (some which could be strong). ..Bentley/Guyer.. 04/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...CRP... LAT...LON 30729564 31209503 31249439 31209341 30919270 30459265 29829277 29649292 29679322 29709350 29659383 29429460 29109499 28879527 28439616 28669648 29129660 29599637 30309595 30729564 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more