Severe Storms

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0730 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 051300Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER SABINE RIVER VALLEY TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and several tornadoes are expected from the Sabine River Valley northeastward into the lower to mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe gusts will be possible in parts of the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. ...Synopsis... Lead shortwave trough continues to progress northeastward across the southern High Plains, within the eastern periphery of upper trough over the Southwest. A large area of elevated thunderstorms has evolved ahead of this wave, covering much of central/north TX and central/eastern OK. As this deep upper trough continues to gradually shift eastward over the Southwest/northern Mexico, an embedded shortwave trough and associated jet streak will progresses through its base. General expectation is for this shortwave trough to continue quickly eastward across northern Mexico and then more northeastward as it enters the southern Plains. A second shortwave trough is expected to drop southward across AZ, with this overall evolution leading to an elongation of the upper trough throughout the period. Surface pattern currently consists of a sharp cold front from south TX through AR and the Mid MS Valley to a low over northern IL. A weakening convective line is ongoing well ahead of this front across western KY and western TN. The cold front is forecast to continue southeastward, as the upper troughing and associated shortwave move eastward, interacting with the moist and unstable airmass downstream to support strong to severe thunderstorms from southeast TX and Lower MS Valley into the Lower/Middle OH and TN Valleys today. ...East/Southeast TX through the Lower MS Valley Much of the ongoing elevated thunderstorms from central/north TX into eastern OK and western AR are forecast to continue northeastward over the next few hours while gradually weakening and transitioning to a broad stratiform precipitation field. Severe potential within this area of convection will be limited due to weak buoyancy and an unfavorable storm mode. The portion of the cold front in TX is expected to remain progressive as its gradually shifts southeastward with time. The airmass downstream is already uncapped and moderately to strong unstable. Thunderstorm development in the vicinity of this boundary has been largely anafrontal thus far, but that is expected to change during the late morning/early afternoon as large-scale forcing for ascent increases. Strengthening low-level flow is anticipated from southeast TX into LA during this time as well. These factors should lead to an increase in thunderstorm coverage along the front while also increasing the potential for more open warm-sector development. The combination of a deep moist layer, strong buoyancy, and robust low-level flow supports the potential for supercells capable of all hazards. However, the meridional, line-parallel character to the deep-layer flow suggests a trend towards a more linear mode will be favored, particularly along the front. However, any storms that can remain discrete and avoid disruptive storm interacts could mature quickly to produce large to very large hail and tornadoes, a few of which could be strong (EF2+). This tornado threat will be maximized from East TX and northern/central LA into southern AR, western MS, and southwestern TN. The potential for open warm-sector storms will lessen with time as the front moves across the Lower MS Valley and thunderstorms along the boundary become dominant. A linear storm mode will favor damaging gusts as the primary hazard, although the low-level flow will have enough strength and veering to support a risk for line-embedded tornadoes. ...Mid-South into the TN/OH Valleys... Farther north, the boundary will be less progressive throughout the morning/early afternoon, particularly north of a weak low currently over northeast TX. The boundary will likely sharpen during this time, before then becoming more progressive once again as the convectively augmented shortwave trough currently moving into western OK progresses into the region. This will likely result in a bowing line segment with damaging gusts as the primary severe risk. However, given the strength of the low-level flow, some embedded tornado potential exists as well. ..Mosier/Kerr.. 04/05/2025 Read more

MD 0408 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF E CNTRL OK INTO NWRN AR AND SWRN MO
Mesoscale Discussion 0408 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0423 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Areas affected...parts of e cntrl OK into nwrn AR and swrn MO Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 050923Z - 051130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Small to marginally severe hail and potentially damaging surface gusts may continue at least another hour or two into the 6-7 AM CDT time frame, before probably diminishing. DISCUSSION...Warmer elevated mixed-layer air, atop the potentially buoyant elevated moist layer, appears to responsible for suppressing ongoing convective development near and south of the Red River. The more intense convection has remained focused in a short arcing band to the north, roughly within the thermal gradient around 700 mb, on the northern edge of the elevated mixed-layer. This has been accompanied by sustained small to marginally severe hail, and it appears that this could persist at least another couple hours. Additionally, it does appear that this activity has generated an appreciable surface pressure perturbation, based on recent ASOS observations from Pauls Valley, where a 6-7 mb 2 hourly surface pressure fall was noted. This has accelerated already strong northerly near surface wind fields, with several gusts in excess of severe limits being observed across south central Oklahoma during the past couple of hours. As convection fills in across eastern Oklahoma into western Oklahoma, in response to large-scale ascent, it remains unclear how much longer this will continue, but it is possible that it could persist into the 11-12Z time frame. ..Kerr/Mosier.. 04/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...OUN... LAT...LON 35629677 36339537 36569405 35059351 33949603 35059589 35629677 MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough is forecast to move across the Atlantic Coastal states on Tuesday, as a dry airmass moves across the eastern and southern U.S. From Wednesday to Friday, a mid-level trough is forecast move southeastward from the central states into the eastern U.S., becoming increasingly amplified with time. Ahead of this feature, instability is forecast to remain weak. Isolated severe storms would be possible ahead of the trough in the lower Missouri and mid Mississippi Valleys Wednesday night. The severe threat is forecast to shift eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Thursday, and to the Carolinas on Friday. One of these days could be a potentially more active severe weather day, but predictability remains low concerning trough timing, magnitude of instability and convective mode. In the Great Plains from Friday into Saturday, model forecasts suggest a moist airmass will advect northward across the southern and central Plains. At mid-levels, a ridge is forecast to move eastward across the central U.S. from Friday into Saturday. Isolated severe storms that develop in the vicinity of the ridge should be marginalized due to a lack of large-scale ascent. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough is forecast to move across the Atlantic Coastal states on Tuesday, as a dry airmass moves across the eastern and southern U.S. From Wednesday to Friday, a mid-level trough is forecast move southeastward from the central states into the eastern U.S., becoming increasingly amplified with time. Ahead of this feature, instability is forecast to remain weak. Isolated severe storms would be possible ahead of the trough in the lower Missouri and mid Mississippi Valleys Wednesday night. The severe threat is forecast to shift eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Thursday, and to the Carolinas on Friday. One of these days could be a potentially more active severe weather day, but predictability remains low concerning trough timing, magnitude of instability and convective mode. In the Great Plains from Friday into Saturday, model forecasts suggest a moist airmass will advect northward across the southern and central Plains. At mid-levels, a ridge is forecast to move eastward across the central U.S. from Friday into Saturday. Isolated severe storms that develop in the vicinity of the ridge should be marginalized due to a lack of large-scale ascent. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough is forecast to move across the Atlantic Coastal states on Tuesday, as a dry airmass moves across the eastern and southern U.S. From Wednesday to Friday, a mid-level trough is forecast move southeastward from the central states into the eastern U.S., becoming increasingly amplified with time. Ahead of this feature, instability is forecast to remain weak. Isolated severe storms would be possible ahead of the trough in the lower Missouri and mid Mississippi Valleys Wednesday night. The severe threat is forecast to shift eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Thursday, and to the Carolinas on Friday. One of these days could be a potentially more active severe weather day, but predictability remains low concerning trough timing, magnitude of instability and convective mode. In the Great Plains from Friday into Saturday, model forecasts suggest a moist airmass will advect northward across the southern and central Plains. At mid-levels, a ridge is forecast to move eastward across the central U.S. from Friday into Saturday. Isolated severe storms that develop in the vicinity of the ridge should be marginalized due to a lack of large-scale ascent. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough is forecast to move across the Atlantic Coastal states on Tuesday, as a dry airmass moves across the eastern and southern U.S. From Wednesday to Friday, a mid-level trough is forecast move southeastward from the central states into the eastern U.S., becoming increasingly amplified with time. Ahead of this feature, instability is forecast to remain weak. Isolated severe storms would be possible ahead of the trough in the lower Missouri and mid Mississippi Valleys Wednesday night. The severe threat is forecast to shift eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Thursday, and to the Carolinas on Friday. One of these days could be a potentially more active severe weather day, but predictability remains low concerning trough timing, magnitude of instability and convective mode. In the Great Plains from Friday into Saturday, model forecasts suggest a moist airmass will advect northward across the southern and central Plains. At mid-levels, a ridge is forecast to move eastward across the central U.S. from Friday into Saturday. Isolated severe storms that develop in the vicinity of the ridge should be marginalized due to a lack of large-scale ascent. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough is forecast to move across the Atlantic Coastal states on Tuesday, as a dry airmass moves across the eastern and southern U.S. From Wednesday to Friday, a mid-level trough is forecast move southeastward from the central states into the eastern U.S., becoming increasingly amplified with time. Ahead of this feature, instability is forecast to remain weak. Isolated severe storms would be possible ahead of the trough in the lower Missouri and mid Mississippi Valleys Wednesday night. The severe threat is forecast to shift eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Thursday, and to the Carolinas on Friday. One of these days could be a potentially more active severe weather day, but predictability remains low concerning trough timing, magnitude of instability and convective mode. In the Great Plains from Friday into Saturday, model forecasts suggest a moist airmass will advect northward across the southern and central Plains. At mid-levels, a ridge is forecast to move eastward across the central U.S. from Friday into Saturday. Isolated severe storms that develop in the vicinity of the ridge should be marginalized due to a lack of large-scale ascent. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough is forecast to move across the Atlantic Coastal states on Tuesday, as a dry airmass moves across the eastern and southern U.S. From Wednesday to Friday, a mid-level trough is forecast move southeastward from the central states into the eastern U.S., becoming increasingly amplified with time. Ahead of this feature, instability is forecast to remain weak. Isolated severe storms would be possible ahead of the trough in the lower Missouri and mid Mississippi Valleys Wednesday night. The severe threat is forecast to shift eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Thursday, and to the Carolinas on Friday. One of these days could be a potentially more active severe weather day, but predictability remains low concerning trough timing, magnitude of instability and convective mode. In the Great Plains from Friday into Saturday, model forecasts suggest a moist airmass will advect northward across the southern and central Plains. At mid-levels, a ridge is forecast to move eastward across the central U.S. from Friday into Saturday. Isolated severe storms that develop in the vicinity of the ridge should be marginalized due to a lack of large-scale ascent. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough is forecast to move across the Atlantic Coastal states on Tuesday, as a dry airmass moves across the eastern and southern U.S. From Wednesday to Friday, a mid-level trough is forecast move southeastward from the central states into the eastern U.S., becoming increasingly amplified with time. Ahead of this feature, instability is forecast to remain weak. Isolated severe storms would be possible ahead of the trough in the lower Missouri and mid Mississippi Valleys Wednesday night. The severe threat is forecast to shift eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Thursday, and to the Carolinas on Friday. One of these days could be a potentially more active severe weather day, but predictability remains low concerning trough timing, magnitude of instability and convective mode. In the Great Plains from Friday into Saturday, model forecasts suggest a moist airmass will advect northward across the southern and central Plains. At mid-levels, a ridge is forecast to move eastward across the central U.S. from Friday into Saturday. Isolated severe storms that develop in the vicinity of the ridge should be marginalized due to a lack of large-scale ascent. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough is forecast to move across the Atlantic Coastal states on Tuesday, as a dry airmass moves across the eastern and southern U.S. From Wednesday to Friday, a mid-level trough is forecast move southeastward from the central states into the eastern U.S., becoming increasingly amplified with time. Ahead of this feature, instability is forecast to remain weak. Isolated severe storms would be possible ahead of the trough in the lower Missouri and mid Mississippi Valleys Wednesday night. The severe threat is forecast to shift eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Thursday, and to the Carolinas on Friday. One of these days could be a potentially more active severe weather day, but predictability remains low concerning trough timing, magnitude of instability and convective mode. In the Great Plains from Friday into Saturday, model forecasts suggest a moist airmass will advect northward across the southern and central Plains. At mid-levels, a ridge is forecast to move eastward across the central U.S. from Friday into Saturday. Isolated severe storms that develop in the vicinity of the ridge should be marginalized due to a lack of large-scale ascent. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough is forecast to move across the Atlantic Coastal states on Tuesday, as a dry airmass moves across the eastern and southern U.S. From Wednesday to Friday, a mid-level trough is forecast move southeastward from the central states into the eastern U.S., becoming increasingly amplified with time. Ahead of this feature, instability is forecast to remain weak. Isolated severe storms would be possible ahead of the trough in the lower Missouri and mid Mississippi Valleys Wednesday night. The severe threat is forecast to shift eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Thursday, and to the Carolinas on Friday. One of these days could be a potentially more active severe weather day, but predictability remains low concerning trough timing, magnitude of instability and convective mode. In the Great Plains from Friday into Saturday, model forecasts suggest a moist airmass will advect northward across the southern and central Plains. At mid-levels, a ridge is forecast to move eastward across the central U.S. from Friday into Saturday. Isolated severe storms that develop in the vicinity of the ridge should be marginalized due to a lack of large-scale ascent. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough is forecast to move across the Atlantic Coastal states on Tuesday, as a dry airmass moves across the eastern and southern U.S. From Wednesday to Friday, a mid-level trough is forecast move southeastward from the central states into the eastern U.S., becoming increasingly amplified with time. Ahead of this feature, instability is forecast to remain weak. Isolated severe storms would be possible ahead of the trough in the lower Missouri and mid Mississippi Valleys Wednesday night. The severe threat is forecast to shift eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Thursday, and to the Carolinas on Friday. One of these days could be a potentially more active severe weather day, but predictability remains low concerning trough timing, magnitude of instability and convective mode. In the Great Plains from Friday into Saturday, model forecasts suggest a moist airmass will advect northward across the southern and central Plains. At mid-levels, a ridge is forecast to move eastward across the central U.S. from Friday into Saturday. Isolated severe storms that develop in the vicinity of the ridge should be marginalized due to a lack of large-scale ascent. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough is forecast to move across the Atlantic Coastal states on Tuesday, as a dry airmass moves across the eastern and southern U.S. From Wednesday to Friday, a mid-level trough is forecast move southeastward from the central states into the eastern U.S., becoming increasingly amplified with time. Ahead of this feature, instability is forecast to remain weak. Isolated severe storms would be possible ahead of the trough in the lower Missouri and mid Mississippi Valleys Wednesday night. The severe threat is forecast to shift eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Thursday, and to the Carolinas on Friday. One of these days could be a potentially more active severe weather day, but predictability remains low concerning trough timing, magnitude of instability and convective mode. In the Great Plains from Friday into Saturday, model forecasts suggest a moist airmass will advect northward across the southern and central Plains. At mid-levels, a ridge is forecast to move eastward across the central U.S. from Friday into Saturday. Isolated severe storms that develop in the vicinity of the ridge should be marginalized due to a lack of large-scale ascent. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough is forecast to move across the Atlantic Coastal states on Tuesday, as a dry airmass moves across the eastern and southern U.S. From Wednesday to Friday, a mid-level trough is forecast move southeastward from the central states into the eastern U.S., becoming increasingly amplified with time. Ahead of this feature, instability is forecast to remain weak. Isolated severe storms would be possible ahead of the trough in the lower Missouri and mid Mississippi Valleys Wednesday night. The severe threat is forecast to shift eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Thursday, and to the Carolinas on Friday. One of these days could be a potentially more active severe weather day, but predictability remains low concerning trough timing, magnitude of instability and convective mode. In the Great Plains from Friday into Saturday, model forecasts suggest a moist airmass will advect northward across the southern and central Plains. At mid-levels, a ridge is forecast to move eastward across the central U.S. from Friday into Saturday. Isolated severe storms that develop in the vicinity of the ridge should be marginalized due to a lack of large-scale ascent. Read more

MD 0407 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 119...120... FOR NORTHEAST AR...WRN TN...ADJACENT SWRN KY
Mesoscale Discussion 0407 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0211 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Areas affected...northeast AR...wrn TN...adjacent swrn KY Concerning...Tornado Watch 119...120... Valid 050711Z - 050915Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 119, 120 continues. SUMMARY...Risk for additional tornadoes and locally damaging wind gusts may persist into the 4-5 AM CDT time frame. A new WW may be issued or Tornado Watch 119 locally extended. DISCUSSION...A developing mesoscale convective vortex is now near the Jonesboro AR vicinity and migrating northeastward around 40 kt, with a narrow vigorous line of convection arcing southward toward the Greater Memphis area. To the south of stalling convective outflow, near the lower/mid-tropospheric vorticity center east-northeastward toward areas near/north of Hopkinsville and Bowling Green, one notable supercell has evolved within the convective line and may have recently produced a tornado to the west-northwest of Memphis. Along and south of the stalled outflow, there appears a narrowing corridor of modest potential boundary-layer instability to main a continuing risk for tornadoes and/or locally damaging wind gusts another several hours, in the presence of strong low-level and deep-layer shear. ..Kerr.. 04/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG... LAT...LON 35969029 36488900 36778690 35508870 35238963 35109030 35589021 35969029 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

WW 0119 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 119 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S JBR TO 30 SSW JBR TO 40 N DYR. ..KERR..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 119 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC093-050940- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MISSISSIPPI MOC155-050940- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PEMISCOT TNC005-017-033-045-053-075-079-095-097-131-167-183-050940- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CARROLL CROCKETT DYER GIBSON HAYWOOD HENRY LAKE LAUDERDALE OBION TIPTON WEAKLEY Read more

WW 0119 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 119 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S JBR TO 30 SSW JBR TO 40 N DYR. ..KERR..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 119 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC093-050940- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MISSISSIPPI MOC155-050940- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PEMISCOT TNC005-017-033-045-053-075-079-095-097-131-167-183-050940- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CARROLL CROCKETT DYER GIBSON HAYWOOD HENRY LAKE LAUDERDALE OBION TIPTON WEAKLEY Read more

WW 0119 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 119 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S JBR TO 30 SSW JBR TO 40 N DYR. ..KERR..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 119 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC093-050940- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MISSISSIPPI MOC155-050940- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PEMISCOT TNC005-017-033-045-053-075-079-095-097-131-167-183-050940- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CARROLL CROCKETT DYER GIBSON HAYWOOD HENRY LAKE LAUDERDALE OBION TIPTON WEAKLEY Read more

WW 119 TORNADO AR LA MO TN TX 050150Z - 050900Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 119 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 850 PM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Arkansas Northwest Louisiana Missouri Bootheel Northwest Tennessee Northeast Texas * Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 850 PM until 400 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A line of occasionally intense thunderstorms with embedded supercells will track slowly eastward across the watch area overnight. Favorable instability and shear profiles will maintain a risk of a few tornadoes, along with damaging winds and large hail. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles south of Longview TX to 40 miles northeast of Walnut Ridge AR. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 113...WW 115...WW 118... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 23035. ...Hart Read more

WW 0121 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 121 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W HDO TO 20 ENE BWD. ..KERR..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 121 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-027-029-031-053-091-093-099-171-193-209-259-265-281-299- 319-325-333-411-453-463-491-050940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA BELL BEXAR BLANCO BURNET COMAL COMANCHE CORYELL GILLESPIE HAMILTON HAYS KENDALL KERR LAMPASAS LLANO MASON MEDINA MILLS SAN SABA TRAVIS UVALDE WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more