Severe Storms

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0102 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A positively tilted mid/upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward across the western CONUS on Thursday. Moisture associated with this system will remain limited, but cold temperatures aloft may support weak convection with sporadic lightning flashes from parts of central CA into the Great Basin and central/southern Rockies. Farther east, a surface cyclone will deepen during the day across the south-central High Plains, with low-level moisture return expected to commence during the evening near the Texas coast. However, instability and large-scale ascent are expected to remain too weak for deep convection within this early moisture-return regime through the end of the period. Dry/stable conditions in the wake of a cold frontal passage will preclude thunderstorm development across the eastern CONUS. ..Dean.. 03/04/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0102 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A positively tilted mid/upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward across the western CONUS on Thursday. Moisture associated with this system will remain limited, but cold temperatures aloft may support weak convection with sporadic lightning flashes from parts of central CA into the Great Basin and central/southern Rockies. Farther east, a surface cyclone will deepen during the day across the south-central High Plains, with low-level moisture return expected to commence during the evening near the Texas coast. However, instability and large-scale ascent are expected to remain too weak for deep convection within this early moisture-return regime through the end of the period. Dry/stable conditions in the wake of a cold frontal passage will preclude thunderstorm development across the eastern CONUS. ..Dean.. 03/04/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0102 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A positively tilted mid/upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward across the western CONUS on Thursday. Moisture associated with this system will remain limited, but cold temperatures aloft may support weak convection with sporadic lightning flashes from parts of central CA into the Great Basin and central/southern Rockies. Farther east, a surface cyclone will deepen during the day across the south-central High Plains, with low-level moisture return expected to commence during the evening near the Texas coast. However, instability and large-scale ascent are expected to remain too weak for deep convection within this early moisture-return regime through the end of the period. Dry/stable conditions in the wake of a cold frontal passage will preclude thunderstorm development across the eastern CONUS. ..Dean.. 03/04/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0102 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A positively tilted mid/upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward across the western CONUS on Thursday. Moisture associated with this system will remain limited, but cold temperatures aloft may support weak convection with sporadic lightning flashes from parts of central CA into the Great Basin and central/southern Rockies. Farther east, a surface cyclone will deepen during the day across the south-central High Plains, with low-level moisture return expected to commence during the evening near the Texas coast. However, instability and large-scale ascent are expected to remain too weak for deep convection within this early moisture-return regime through the end of the period. Dry/stable conditions in the wake of a cold frontal passage will preclude thunderstorm development across the eastern CONUS. ..Dean.. 03/04/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0102 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A positively tilted mid/upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward across the western CONUS on Thursday. Moisture associated with this system will remain limited, but cold temperatures aloft may support weak convection with sporadic lightning flashes from parts of central CA into the Great Basin and central/southern Rockies. Farther east, a surface cyclone will deepen during the day across the south-central High Plains, with low-level moisture return expected to commence during the evening near the Texas coast. However, instability and large-scale ascent are expected to remain too weak for deep convection within this early moisture-return regime through the end of the period. Dry/stable conditions in the wake of a cold frontal passage will preclude thunderstorm development across the eastern CONUS. ..Dean.. 03/04/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0102 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A positively tilted mid/upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward across the western CONUS on Thursday. Moisture associated with this system will remain limited, but cold temperatures aloft may support weak convection with sporadic lightning flashes from parts of central CA into the Great Basin and central/southern Rockies. Farther east, a surface cyclone will deepen during the day across the south-central High Plains, with low-level moisture return expected to commence during the evening near the Texas coast. However, instability and large-scale ascent are expected to remain too weak for deep convection within this early moisture-return regime through the end of the period. Dry/stable conditions in the wake of a cold frontal passage will preclude thunderstorm development across the eastern CONUS. ..Dean.. 03/04/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0102 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A positively tilted mid/upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward across the western CONUS on Thursday. Moisture associated with this system will remain limited, but cold temperatures aloft may support weak convection with sporadic lightning flashes from parts of central CA into the Great Basin and central/southern Rockies. Farther east, a surface cyclone will deepen during the day across the south-central High Plains, with low-level moisture return expected to commence during the evening near the Texas coast. However, instability and large-scale ascent are expected to remain too weak for deep convection within this early moisture-return regime through the end of the period. Dry/stable conditions in the wake of a cold frontal passage will preclude thunderstorm development across the eastern CONUS. ..Dean.. 03/04/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0102 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A positively tilted mid/upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward across the western CONUS on Thursday. Moisture associated with this system will remain limited, but cold temperatures aloft may support weak convection with sporadic lightning flashes from parts of central CA into the Great Basin and central/southern Rockies. Farther east, a surface cyclone will deepen during the day across the south-central High Plains, with low-level moisture return expected to commence during the evening near the Texas coast. However, instability and large-scale ascent are expected to remain too weak for deep convection within this early moisture-return regime through the end of the period. Dry/stable conditions in the wake of a cold frontal passage will preclude thunderstorm development across the eastern CONUS. ..Dean.. 03/04/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0102 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A positively tilted mid/upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward across the western CONUS on Thursday. Moisture associated with this system will remain limited, but cold temperatures aloft may support weak convection with sporadic lightning flashes from parts of central CA into the Great Basin and central/southern Rockies. Farther east, a surface cyclone will deepen during the day across the south-central High Plains, with low-level moisture return expected to commence during the evening near the Texas coast. However, instability and large-scale ascent are expected to remain too weak for deep convection within this early moisture-return regime through the end of the period. Dry/stable conditions in the wake of a cold frontal passage will preclude thunderstorm development across the eastern CONUS. ..Dean.. 03/04/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0102 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A positively tilted mid/upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward across the western CONUS on Thursday. Moisture associated with this system will remain limited, but cold temperatures aloft may support weak convection with sporadic lightning flashes from parts of central CA into the Great Basin and central/southern Rockies. Farther east, a surface cyclone will deepen during the day across the south-central High Plains, with low-level moisture return expected to commence during the evening near the Texas coast. However, instability and large-scale ascent are expected to remain too weak for deep convection within this early moisture-return regime through the end of the period. Dry/stable conditions in the wake of a cold frontal passage will preclude thunderstorm development across the eastern CONUS. ..Dean.. 03/04/2025 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Update... The forecast remains unchanged for Wednesday. Please see the previous discussion below. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CST Tue Mar 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will build over the Plains states as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic and a second upper trough amplifies across the Southwest tomorrow (Wednesday). As such, relatively more quiescent wildfire-spread conditions are likely across the southern Plains compared to previous days. Broad northwesterly mid-level flow may transport downward via a mixed boundary-layer mixing across the southern Plains. However, marginal RH and the recent occurrence of appreciable rainfall accumulations precludes Elevated highlights at this time. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions will also return to eastern New Mexico ahead of the aforementioned approaching upper trough. However, surface winds appear too weak on a widespread basis to justify the addition of fire weather highlights this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Update... The forecast remains unchanged for Wednesday. Please see the previous discussion below. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CST Tue Mar 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will build over the Plains states as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic and a second upper trough amplifies across the Southwest tomorrow (Wednesday). As such, relatively more quiescent wildfire-spread conditions are likely across the southern Plains compared to previous days. Broad northwesterly mid-level flow may transport downward via a mixed boundary-layer mixing across the southern Plains. However, marginal RH and the recent occurrence of appreciable rainfall accumulations precludes Elevated highlights at this time. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions will also return to eastern New Mexico ahead of the aforementioned approaching upper trough. However, surface winds appear too weak on a widespread basis to justify the addition of fire weather highlights this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Update... The forecast remains unchanged for Wednesday. Please see the previous discussion below. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CST Tue Mar 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will build over the Plains states as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic and a second upper trough amplifies across the Southwest tomorrow (Wednesday). As such, relatively more quiescent wildfire-spread conditions are likely across the southern Plains compared to previous days. Broad northwesterly mid-level flow may transport downward via a mixed boundary-layer mixing across the southern Plains. However, marginal RH and the recent occurrence of appreciable rainfall accumulations precludes Elevated highlights at this time. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions will also return to eastern New Mexico ahead of the aforementioned approaching upper trough. However, surface winds appear too weak on a widespread basis to justify the addition of fire weather highlights this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Update... The forecast remains unchanged for Wednesday. Please see the previous discussion below. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CST Tue Mar 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will build over the Plains states as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic and a second upper trough amplifies across the Southwest tomorrow (Wednesday). As such, relatively more quiescent wildfire-spread conditions are likely across the southern Plains compared to previous days. Broad northwesterly mid-level flow may transport downward via a mixed boundary-layer mixing across the southern Plains. However, marginal RH and the recent occurrence of appreciable rainfall accumulations precludes Elevated highlights at this time. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions will also return to eastern New Mexico ahead of the aforementioned approaching upper trough. However, surface winds appear too weak on a widespread basis to justify the addition of fire weather highlights this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Update... The forecast remains unchanged for Wednesday. Please see the previous discussion below. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CST Tue Mar 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will build over the Plains states as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic and a second upper trough amplifies across the Southwest tomorrow (Wednesday). As such, relatively more quiescent wildfire-spread conditions are likely across the southern Plains compared to previous days. Broad northwesterly mid-level flow may transport downward via a mixed boundary-layer mixing across the southern Plains. However, marginal RH and the recent occurrence of appreciable rainfall accumulations precludes Elevated highlights at this time. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions will also return to eastern New Mexico ahead of the aforementioned approaching upper trough. However, surface winds appear too weak on a widespread basis to justify the addition of fire weather highlights this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Update... The forecast remains unchanged for Wednesday. Please see the previous discussion below. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CST Tue Mar 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will build over the Plains states as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic and a second upper trough amplifies across the Southwest tomorrow (Wednesday). As such, relatively more quiescent wildfire-spread conditions are likely across the southern Plains compared to previous days. Broad northwesterly mid-level flow may transport downward via a mixed boundary-layer mixing across the southern Plains. However, marginal RH and the recent occurrence of appreciable rainfall accumulations precludes Elevated highlights at this time. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions will also return to eastern New Mexico ahead of the aforementioned approaching upper trough. However, surface winds appear too weak on a widespread basis to justify the addition of fire weather highlights this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Update... The forecast remains unchanged for Wednesday. Please see the previous discussion below. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CST Tue Mar 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will build over the Plains states as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic and a second upper trough amplifies across the Southwest tomorrow (Wednesday). As such, relatively more quiescent wildfire-spread conditions are likely across the southern Plains compared to previous days. Broad northwesterly mid-level flow may transport downward via a mixed boundary-layer mixing across the southern Plains. However, marginal RH and the recent occurrence of appreciable rainfall accumulations precludes Elevated highlights at this time. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions will also return to eastern New Mexico ahead of the aforementioned approaching upper trough. However, surface winds appear too weak on a widespread basis to justify the addition of fire weather highlights this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Update... The forecast remains unchanged for Wednesday. Please see the previous discussion below. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CST Tue Mar 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will build over the Plains states as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic and a second upper trough amplifies across the Southwest tomorrow (Wednesday). As such, relatively more quiescent wildfire-spread conditions are likely across the southern Plains compared to previous days. Broad northwesterly mid-level flow may transport downward via a mixed boundary-layer mixing across the southern Plains. However, marginal RH and the recent occurrence of appreciable rainfall accumulations precludes Elevated highlights at this time. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions will also return to eastern New Mexico ahead of the aforementioned approaching upper trough. However, surface winds appear too weak on a widespread basis to justify the addition of fire weather highlights this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Update... The forecast remains unchanged for Wednesday. Please see the previous discussion below. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CST Tue Mar 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will build over the Plains states as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic and a second upper trough amplifies across the Southwest tomorrow (Wednesday). As such, relatively more quiescent wildfire-spread conditions are likely across the southern Plains compared to previous days. Broad northwesterly mid-level flow may transport downward via a mixed boundary-layer mixing across the southern Plains. However, marginal RH and the recent occurrence of appreciable rainfall accumulations precludes Elevated highlights at this time. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions will also return to eastern New Mexico ahead of the aforementioned approaching upper trough. However, surface winds appear too weak on a widespread basis to justify the addition of fire weather highlights this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Update... The forecast remains unchanged for Wednesday. Please see the previous discussion below. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CST Tue Mar 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will build over the Plains states as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic and a second upper trough amplifies across the Southwest tomorrow (Wednesday). As such, relatively more quiescent wildfire-spread conditions are likely across the southern Plains compared to previous days. Broad northwesterly mid-level flow may transport downward via a mixed boundary-layer mixing across the southern Plains. However, marginal RH and the recent occurrence of appreciable rainfall accumulations precludes Elevated highlights at this time. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions will also return to eastern New Mexico ahead of the aforementioned approaching upper trough. However, surface winds appear too weak on a widespread basis to justify the addition of fire weather highlights this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more