SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions will persist through the end of the week, and into next week, as several mid to upper-level troughs move through an amplified pattern. ...Southern Plains and New Mexico... By early Day3/Thursday an upper ridge is expected to traverse the Central and Southern Plains, while a progressive trough enters the Southwest. Breezy west to southwest downslope winds and warm temperatures will accompany this feature, as a lee surface low deepens over eastern CO and the pressure gradient tightens across NM. Although some mid-layer cloud cover may initially inhibit mixing through the first half of the day, deeper mixing will allow for stronger gusts during the late afternoon hours. This will especially be true across southeastern NM, where low RH will overlap with deteriorating fuel states. A continuation of this pattern is expected D4/Friday as the first trough progresses eastward and another Pacific trough behind it digs southeastward over southern CA. The critical conditions D4/Friday will shift more over West TX, however, and wind speeds should decrease with far less of a pressure gradient present. These speeds appear they will be just high enough to continue with critical probabilities during this time across West TX. Fairly good agreement between global deterministic and extended ensemble solutions continues into D5/Saturday with the aforementioned trough and it's associated mid-level jet max impacting the Big Bend and Hill Country of TX. However, there is some disagreement at the surface concerning the progression of a cold front and placement of the tightest pressure gradient. For this reason only minor adjustments have been made to the low critical probabilities, and an increase in probabilities is not warranted at this time. By D8/Tuesday most solutions suggest yet another progressive trough impacting the Southwest and Southern Plains. Although there are still uncertainties regarding the depth and exact timing of this wave, confidence is high enough to conclude breezy and dry conditions will likely be present from southern NM, to West TX, and the TX Panhandle. A low Critical probability area has been included to account for this persistent pattern. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions will persist through the end of the week, and into next week, as several mid to upper-level troughs move through an amplified pattern. ...Southern Plains and New Mexico... By early Day3/Thursday an upper ridge is expected to traverse the Central and Southern Plains, while a progressive trough enters the Southwest. Breezy west to southwest downslope winds and warm temperatures will accompany this feature, as a lee surface low deepens over eastern CO and the pressure gradient tightens across NM. Although some mid-layer cloud cover may initially inhibit mixing through the first half of the day, deeper mixing will allow for stronger gusts during the late afternoon hours. This will especially be true across southeastern NM, where low RH will overlap with deteriorating fuel states. A continuation of this pattern is expected D4/Friday as the first trough progresses eastward and another Pacific trough behind it digs southeastward over southern CA. The critical conditions D4/Friday will shift more over West TX, however, and wind speeds should decrease with far less of a pressure gradient present. These speeds appear they will be just high enough to continue with critical probabilities during this time across West TX. Fairly good agreement between global deterministic and extended ensemble solutions continues into D5/Saturday with the aforementioned trough and it's associated mid-level jet max impacting the Big Bend and Hill Country of TX. However, there is some disagreement at the surface concerning the progression of a cold front and placement of the tightest pressure gradient. For this reason only minor adjustments have been made to the low critical probabilities, and an increase in probabilities is not warranted at this time. By D8/Tuesday most solutions suggest yet another progressive trough impacting the Southwest and Southern Plains. Although there are still uncertainties regarding the depth and exact timing of this wave, confidence is high enough to conclude breezy and dry conditions will likely be present from southern NM, to West TX, and the TX Panhandle. A low Critical probability area has been included to account for this persistent pattern. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions will persist through the end of the week, and into next week, as several mid to upper-level troughs move through an amplified pattern. ...Southern Plains and New Mexico... By early Day3/Thursday an upper ridge is expected to traverse the Central and Southern Plains, while a progressive trough enters the Southwest. Breezy west to southwest downslope winds and warm temperatures will accompany this feature, as a lee surface low deepens over eastern CO and the pressure gradient tightens across NM. Although some mid-layer cloud cover may initially inhibit mixing through the first half of the day, deeper mixing will allow for stronger gusts during the late afternoon hours. This will especially be true across southeastern NM, where low RH will overlap with deteriorating fuel states. A continuation of this pattern is expected D4/Friday as the first trough progresses eastward and another Pacific trough behind it digs southeastward over southern CA. The critical conditions D4/Friday will shift more over West TX, however, and wind speeds should decrease with far less of a pressure gradient present. These speeds appear they will be just high enough to continue with critical probabilities during this time across West TX. Fairly good agreement between global deterministic and extended ensemble solutions continues into D5/Saturday with the aforementioned trough and it's associated mid-level jet max impacting the Big Bend and Hill Country of TX. However, there is some disagreement at the surface concerning the progression of a cold front and placement of the tightest pressure gradient. For this reason only minor adjustments have been made to the low critical probabilities, and an increase in probabilities is not warranted at this time. By D8/Tuesday most solutions suggest yet another progressive trough impacting the Southwest and Southern Plains. Although there are still uncertainties regarding the depth and exact timing of this wave, confidence is high enough to conclude breezy and dry conditions will likely be present from southern NM, to West TX, and the TX Panhandle. A low Critical probability area has been included to account for this persistent pattern. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions will persist through the end of the week, and into next week, as several mid to upper-level troughs move through an amplified pattern. ...Southern Plains and New Mexico... By early Day3/Thursday an upper ridge is expected to traverse the Central and Southern Plains, while a progressive trough enters the Southwest. Breezy west to southwest downslope winds and warm temperatures will accompany this feature, as a lee surface low deepens over eastern CO and the pressure gradient tightens across NM. Although some mid-layer cloud cover may initially inhibit mixing through the first half of the day, deeper mixing will allow for stronger gusts during the late afternoon hours. This will especially be true across southeastern NM, where low RH will overlap with deteriorating fuel states. A continuation of this pattern is expected D4/Friday as the first trough progresses eastward and another Pacific trough behind it digs southeastward over southern CA. The critical conditions D4/Friday will shift more over West TX, however, and wind speeds should decrease with far less of a pressure gradient present. These speeds appear they will be just high enough to continue with critical probabilities during this time across West TX. Fairly good agreement between global deterministic and extended ensemble solutions continues into D5/Saturday with the aforementioned trough and it's associated mid-level jet max impacting the Big Bend and Hill Country of TX. However, there is some disagreement at the surface concerning the progression of a cold front and placement of the tightest pressure gradient. For this reason only minor adjustments have been made to the low critical probabilities, and an increase in probabilities is not warranted at this time. By D8/Tuesday most solutions suggest yet another progressive trough impacting the Southwest and Southern Plains. Although there are still uncertainties regarding the depth and exact timing of this wave, confidence is high enough to conclude breezy and dry conditions will likely be present from southern NM, to West TX, and the TX Panhandle. A low Critical probability area has been included to account for this persistent pattern. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions will persist through the end of the week, and into next week, as several mid to upper-level troughs move through an amplified pattern. ...Southern Plains and New Mexico... By early Day3/Thursday an upper ridge is expected to traverse the Central and Southern Plains, while a progressive trough enters the Southwest. Breezy west to southwest downslope winds and warm temperatures will accompany this feature, as a lee surface low deepens over eastern CO and the pressure gradient tightens across NM. Although some mid-layer cloud cover may initially inhibit mixing through the first half of the day, deeper mixing will allow for stronger gusts during the late afternoon hours. This will especially be true across southeastern NM, where low RH will overlap with deteriorating fuel states. A continuation of this pattern is expected D4/Friday as the first trough progresses eastward and another Pacific trough behind it digs southeastward over southern CA. The critical conditions D4/Friday will shift more over West TX, however, and wind speeds should decrease with far less of a pressure gradient present. These speeds appear they will be just high enough to continue with critical probabilities during this time across West TX. Fairly good agreement between global deterministic and extended ensemble solutions continues into D5/Saturday with the aforementioned trough and it's associated mid-level jet max impacting the Big Bend and Hill Country of TX. However, there is some disagreement at the surface concerning the progression of a cold front and placement of the tightest pressure gradient. For this reason only minor adjustments have been made to the low critical probabilities, and an increase in probabilities is not warranted at this time. By D8/Tuesday most solutions suggest yet another progressive trough impacting the Southwest and Southern Plains. Although there are still uncertainties regarding the depth and exact timing of this wave, confidence is high enough to conclude breezy and dry conditions will likely be present from southern NM, to West TX, and the TX Panhandle. A low Critical probability area has been included to account for this persistent pattern. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions will persist through the end of the week, and into next week, as several mid to upper-level troughs move through an amplified pattern. ...Southern Plains and New Mexico... By early Day3/Thursday an upper ridge is expected to traverse the Central and Southern Plains, while a progressive trough enters the Southwest. Breezy west to southwest downslope winds and warm temperatures will accompany this feature, as a lee surface low deepens over eastern CO and the pressure gradient tightens across NM. Although some mid-layer cloud cover may initially inhibit mixing through the first half of the day, deeper mixing will allow for stronger gusts during the late afternoon hours. This will especially be true across southeastern NM, where low RH will overlap with deteriorating fuel states. A continuation of this pattern is expected D4/Friday as the first trough progresses eastward and another Pacific trough behind it digs southeastward over southern CA. The critical conditions D4/Friday will shift more over West TX, however, and wind speeds should decrease with far less of a pressure gradient present. These speeds appear they will be just high enough to continue with critical probabilities during this time across West TX. Fairly good agreement between global deterministic and extended ensemble solutions continues into D5/Saturday with the aforementioned trough and it's associated mid-level jet max impacting the Big Bend and Hill Country of TX. However, there is some disagreement at the surface concerning the progression of a cold front and placement of the tightest pressure gradient. For this reason only minor adjustments have been made to the low critical probabilities, and an increase in probabilities is not warranted at this time. By D8/Tuesday most solutions suggest yet another progressive trough impacting the Southwest and Southern Plains. Although there are still uncertainties regarding the depth and exact timing of this wave, confidence is high enough to conclude breezy and dry conditions will likely be present from southern NM, to West TX, and the TX Panhandle. A low Critical probability area has been included to account for this persistent pattern. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions will persist through the end of the week, and into next week, as several mid to upper-level troughs move through an amplified pattern. ...Southern Plains and New Mexico... By early Day3/Thursday an upper ridge is expected to traverse the Central and Southern Plains, while a progressive trough enters the Southwest. Breezy west to southwest downslope winds and warm temperatures will accompany this feature, as a lee surface low deepens over eastern CO and the pressure gradient tightens across NM. Although some mid-layer cloud cover may initially inhibit mixing through the first half of the day, deeper mixing will allow for stronger gusts during the late afternoon hours. This will especially be true across southeastern NM, where low RH will overlap with deteriorating fuel states. A continuation of this pattern is expected D4/Friday as the first trough progresses eastward and another Pacific trough behind it digs southeastward over southern CA. The critical conditions D4/Friday will shift more over West TX, however, and wind speeds should decrease with far less of a pressure gradient present. These speeds appear they will be just high enough to continue with critical probabilities during this time across West TX. Fairly good agreement between global deterministic and extended ensemble solutions continues into D5/Saturday with the aforementioned trough and it's associated mid-level jet max impacting the Big Bend and Hill Country of TX. However, there is some disagreement at the surface concerning the progression of a cold front and placement of the tightest pressure gradient. For this reason only minor adjustments have been made to the low critical probabilities, and an increase in probabilities is not warranted at this time. By D8/Tuesday most solutions suggest yet another progressive trough impacting the Southwest and Southern Plains. Although there are still uncertainties regarding the depth and exact timing of this wave, confidence is high enough to conclude breezy and dry conditions will likely be present from southern NM, to West TX, and the TX Panhandle. A low Critical probability area has been included to account for this persistent pattern. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions will persist through the end of the week, and into next week, as several mid to upper-level troughs move through an amplified pattern. ...Southern Plains and New Mexico... By early Day3/Thursday an upper ridge is expected to traverse the Central and Southern Plains, while a progressive trough enters the Southwest. Breezy west to southwest downslope winds and warm temperatures will accompany this feature, as a lee surface low deepens over eastern CO and the pressure gradient tightens across NM. Although some mid-layer cloud cover may initially inhibit mixing through the first half of the day, deeper mixing will allow for stronger gusts during the late afternoon hours. This will especially be true across southeastern NM, where low RH will overlap with deteriorating fuel states. A continuation of this pattern is expected D4/Friday as the first trough progresses eastward and another Pacific trough behind it digs southeastward over southern CA. The critical conditions D4/Friday will shift more over West TX, however, and wind speeds should decrease with far less of a pressure gradient present. These speeds appear they will be just high enough to continue with critical probabilities during this time across West TX. Fairly good agreement between global deterministic and extended ensemble solutions continues into D5/Saturday with the aforementioned trough and it's associated mid-level jet max impacting the Big Bend and Hill Country of TX. However, there is some disagreement at the surface concerning the progression of a cold front and placement of the tightest pressure gradient. For this reason only minor adjustments have been made to the low critical probabilities, and an increase in probabilities is not warranted at this time. By D8/Tuesday most solutions suggest yet another progressive trough impacting the Southwest and Southern Plains. Although there are still uncertainties regarding the depth and exact timing of this wave, confidence is high enough to conclude breezy and dry conditions will likely be present from southern NM, to West TX, and the TX Panhandle. A low Critical probability area has been included to account for this persistent pattern. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions will persist through the end of the week, and into next week, as several mid to upper-level troughs move through an amplified pattern. ...Southern Plains and New Mexico... By early Day3/Thursday an upper ridge is expected to traverse the Central and Southern Plains, while a progressive trough enters the Southwest. Breezy west to southwest downslope winds and warm temperatures will accompany this feature, as a lee surface low deepens over eastern CO and the pressure gradient tightens across NM. Although some mid-layer cloud cover may initially inhibit mixing through the first half of the day, deeper mixing will allow for stronger gusts during the late afternoon hours. This will especially be true across southeastern NM, where low RH will overlap with deteriorating fuel states. A continuation of this pattern is expected D4/Friday as the first trough progresses eastward and another Pacific trough behind it digs southeastward over southern CA. The critical conditions D4/Friday will shift more over West TX, however, and wind speeds should decrease with far less of a pressure gradient present. These speeds appear they will be just high enough to continue with critical probabilities during this time across West TX. Fairly good agreement between global deterministic and extended ensemble solutions continues into D5/Saturday with the aforementioned trough and it's associated mid-level jet max impacting the Big Bend and Hill Country of TX. However, there is some disagreement at the surface concerning the progression of a cold front and placement of the tightest pressure gradient. For this reason only minor adjustments have been made to the low critical probabilities, and an increase in probabilities is not warranted at this time. By D8/Tuesday most solutions suggest yet another progressive trough impacting the Southwest and Southern Plains. Although there are still uncertainties regarding the depth and exact timing of this wave, confidence is high enough to conclude breezy and dry conditions will likely be present from southern NM, to West TX, and the TX Panhandle. A low Critical probability area has been included to account for this persistent pattern. ..Barnes.. 03/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC MD 135

4 months 2 weeks ago
MD 0135 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 21... FOR SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA
Mesoscale Discussion 0135 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Areas affected...southern Mississippi and southern Alabama Concerning...Tornado Watch 21... Valid 042014Z - 042145Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 21 continues. SUMMARY...The greatest tornado threat this afternoon will be across southern Mississippi and southern Louisiana. DISCUSSION...The warm sector is slowly expanding eastward across southern Mississippi with upper 60s dewpoints now across southern Louisiana. Thunderstorms development continues along and slightly ahead of a cold front extending from near the ArkLaMiss to the central Louisiana Gulf Coast. A few embedded supercells have produced transient circulations and some severe wind gusts, but a strong, mature supercell has yet to form. This remains a possibility this afternoon as convection continues to develop and slowly deepen across southern Louisiana and Mississippi. The supercell tornado threat this afternoon will increase if a large enough area of greater instability (1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE) can develop. However, this is seemingly less likely as eastward warm sector expansion remains slow with expansive cloud cover. Nonetheless, even without mature supercells, a damaging wind and embedded tornado threat will continue through the afternoon and into the evening with very strong low-level flow (70 knots at 1.5 km per JAN 19Z RAOB). ..Bentley.. 03/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH... LAT...LON 29619317 30849219 32139099 32328998 32328908 31728847 30368833 30008902 29488928 29208963 29009006 28989055 29169128 29469208 29619317 Read more

SPC MD 133

4 months 2 weeks ago
MD 0133 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA INTO FAR SOUTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AND FAR NORTHERN NEBRASKA
Mesoscale Discussion 0133 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1025 AM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Areas affected...Eastern South Dakota into far southwestern Minnesota and far northern Nebraska Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 041625Z - 042030Z SUMMARY...Localized moderate to heavy snowfall rates on the order of 1-2 inches/hour will be possible as snow bands develop across eastern South Dakota into far western Minnesota and far northern Nebraska. DISCUSSION...Transient snow banding has been observed across eastern SD into northern NE over the past couple of hours with surface observations and web cams under these bands showing localized areas of visibility reductions down to 1/4 to 1/2 mile. These bands are largely being driven by focused ascent within a 700 mb deformation zone augmented by modest warm advection/frontogenesis through the 850-700 mb layer. Additionally, steep lapse rates within this zone are supporting localized areas of convectively-augmented precipitation rates (as evidenced by recent lightning strikes over the SD/NE/IA border). This deformation zone will continue to be a preferential area of transient precipitation band development through the late morning and early afternoon hours. Areas to the north/northwest of the surface freezing line may experience periods of moderate to heavy snowfall rates (1-2 inches/hour) as transient snow bands emerge. Given surface gradient winds sustained at 20-25 mph (gusting to 30-40 mph at times), localized areas of whiteout conditions (visibility below 1/4 mile) appear possible under more organized bands. ..Moore.. 03/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...LBF...UNR... LAT...LON 44529661 43949746 43539787 43049832 42509879 42229916 42159944 42129978 42260007 42520015 42810014 44979804 45249776 45479742 45689693 45789655 45809614 45739572 45589560 45419567 45309580 45109603 44929625 44529661 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 21 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0021 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 21 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW HEZ TO 50 S GLH TO 25 NE GLH. ..SUPINIE..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...JAN...MOB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 21 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC005-007-009-025-029-033-037-045-047-051-055-057-063-065-071- 075-077-087-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-117-121- 125-042140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ASCENSION ASSUMPTION AVOYELLES CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA IBERIA IBERVILLE JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LAFOURCHE LIVINGSTON MADISON ORLEANS PLAQUEMINES POINTE COUPEE ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN ST. MARY ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA TENSAS TERREBONNE WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-039-041-043- 045-047-049-051-053-055-059-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079- 083-085-087-089-091-097-099-101-103-105-109-111-113-121-123-125- 127-129-131-133-147-149-153-155-157-159-163-042140- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 21 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0021 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 21 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW HEZ TO 50 S GLH TO 25 NE GLH. ..SUPINIE..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...JAN...MOB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 21 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC005-007-009-025-029-033-037-045-047-051-055-057-063-065-071- 075-077-087-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-117-121- 125-042140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ASCENSION ASSUMPTION AVOYELLES CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA IBERIA IBERVILLE JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LAFOURCHE LIVINGSTON MADISON ORLEANS PLAQUEMINES POINTE COUPEE ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN ST. MARY ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA TENSAS TERREBONNE WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-039-041-043- 045-047-049-051-053-055-059-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079- 083-085-087-089-091-097-099-101-103-105-109-111-113-121-123-125- 127-129-131-133-147-149-153-155-157-159-163-042140- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 21 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0021 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 21 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW HEZ TO 50 S GLH TO 25 NE GLH. ..SUPINIE..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...JAN...MOB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 21 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC005-007-009-025-029-033-037-045-047-051-055-057-063-065-071- 075-077-087-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-117-121- 125-042140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ASCENSION ASSUMPTION AVOYELLES CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA IBERIA IBERVILLE JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LAFOURCHE LIVINGSTON MADISON ORLEANS PLAQUEMINES POINTE COUPEE ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN ST. MARY ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA TENSAS TERREBONNE WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-039-041-043- 045-047-049-051-053-055-059-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079- 083-085-087-089-091-097-099-101-103-105-109-111-113-121-123-125- 127-129-131-133-147-149-153-155-157-159-163-042140- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 21 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0021 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 21 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW HEZ TO 50 S GLH TO 25 NE GLH. ..SUPINIE..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...JAN...MOB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 21 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC005-007-009-025-029-033-037-045-047-051-055-057-063-065-071- 075-077-087-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-117-121- 125-042140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ASCENSION ASSUMPTION AVOYELLES CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA IBERIA IBERVILLE JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LAFOURCHE LIVINGSTON MADISON ORLEANS PLAQUEMINES POINTE COUPEE ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN ST. MARY ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA TENSAS TERREBONNE WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-039-041-043- 045-047-049-051-053-055-059-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079- 083-085-087-089-091-097-099-101-103-105-109-111-113-121-123-125- 127-129-131-133-147-149-153-155-157-159-163-042140- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 21

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 21 TORNADO LA MS CW 041820Z - 050100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 21 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1220 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern and Southeastern Louisiana Central and Southern Mississippi Coastal Waters * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 1220 PM until 700 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...A line of strong to severe thunderstorms continues to push eastward towards eastern/southern LA along a progressive cold front. The environment ahead of this front across eastern/southern LA and into much of central and southern MS will become increasingly favorable for continued severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. Tornadoes are the primary severe hazard, with a few strong (i.e. EF2+) tornadoes possible. Strong to potentially significant (i.e. over 74 mph) wind gusts are possible within this line as well. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles east northeast of Greenwood MS to 35 miles south southeast of Houma LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 20... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Mosier Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 20 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0020 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 20 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE LCH TO 20 S ESF. WW 20 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 042100Z. ..SUPINIE..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...LCH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 20 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC001-023-039-053-113-042100- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ACADIA CAMERON EVANGELINE JEFFERSON DAVIS VERMILION THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 20 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0020 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 20 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE LCH TO 20 S ESF. WW 20 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 042100Z. ..SUPINIE..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...LCH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 20 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC001-023-039-053-113-042100- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ACADIA CAMERON EVANGELINE JEFFERSON DAVIS VERMILION THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 20 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0020 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 20 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE LCH TO 20 S ESF. WW 20 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 042100Z. ..SUPINIE..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...LCH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 20 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC001-023-039-053-113-042100- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ACADIA CAMERON EVANGELINE JEFFERSON DAVIS VERMILION THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 20 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0020 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 20 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE LCH TO 20 S ESF. WW 20 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 042100Z. ..SUPINIE..03/04/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...LCH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 20 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC001-023-039-053-113-042100- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ACADIA CAMERON EVANGELINE JEFFERSON DAVIS VERMILION THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more
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