Severe Storms

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD... ...SUMMARY... A severe threat is expected to develop on Monday across parts of northern Florida and the southern Atlantic Seaboard. ...Northern Florida/Southern Atlantic Seaboard... A mid-level trough will move eastward across the lower to mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, with southwest flow located over eastern parts of the Southeast. At the surface, a cold front will advance eastward toward the southern Atlantic Seaboard. An MCS will likely be ongoing near the front early in the day from the western Florida Panhandle northeastward into western Georgia. Ahead of the MCS, a very moist airmass is forecast with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. Warming surface temperatures across this moist airmass will increase instability, with MLCAPE likely reaching 1000 to 1200 J/kg by midday. This will help to maintain convective development within the MCS. In addition, a mid-level jet will move northeastward across the Southeast on Monday. The right entrance region of this feature will overspread the moist sector. In response, model forecasts suggest that a rather focused 40 to 50 knot low-level jet will develop across northern Florida and southern Georgia from late morning into the early afternoon. Near this low-level jet, 0-3 km storm-relative helicity is forecast to increase into the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range. This, combined with strong deep-layer shear, should support an isolated tornado threat with any supercell that can develop. Supercells and organized bowing structures may also produce isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to decrease by early evening, as instability weakens across the moist airmass, and as the stronger flow shifts northeastward into the western Atlantic. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD... ...SUMMARY... A severe threat is expected to develop on Monday across parts of northern Florida and the southern Atlantic Seaboard. ...Northern Florida/Southern Atlantic Seaboard... A mid-level trough will move eastward across the lower to mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, with southwest flow located over eastern parts of the Southeast. At the surface, a cold front will advance eastward toward the southern Atlantic Seaboard. An MCS will likely be ongoing near the front early in the day from the western Florida Panhandle northeastward into western Georgia. Ahead of the MCS, a very moist airmass is forecast with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. Warming surface temperatures across this moist airmass will increase instability, with MLCAPE likely reaching 1000 to 1200 J/kg by midday. This will help to maintain convective development within the MCS. In addition, a mid-level jet will move northeastward across the Southeast on Monday. The right entrance region of this feature will overspread the moist sector. In response, model forecasts suggest that a rather focused 40 to 50 knot low-level jet will develop across northern Florida and southern Georgia from late morning into the early afternoon. Near this low-level jet, 0-3 km storm-relative helicity is forecast to increase into the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range. This, combined with strong deep-layer shear, should support an isolated tornado threat with any supercell that can develop. Supercells and organized bowing structures may also produce isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to decrease by early evening, as instability weakens across the moist airmass, and as the stronger flow shifts northeastward into the western Atlantic. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD... ...SUMMARY... A severe threat is expected to develop on Monday across parts of northern Florida and the southern Atlantic Seaboard. ...Northern Florida/Southern Atlantic Seaboard... A mid-level trough will move eastward across the lower to mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, with southwest flow located over eastern parts of the Southeast. At the surface, a cold front will advance eastward toward the southern Atlantic Seaboard. An MCS will likely be ongoing near the front early in the day from the western Florida Panhandle northeastward into western Georgia. Ahead of the MCS, a very moist airmass is forecast with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. Warming surface temperatures across this moist airmass will increase instability, with MLCAPE likely reaching 1000 to 1200 J/kg by midday. This will help to maintain convective development within the MCS. In addition, a mid-level jet will move northeastward across the Southeast on Monday. The right entrance region of this feature will overspread the moist sector. In response, model forecasts suggest that a rather focused 40 to 50 knot low-level jet will develop across northern Florida and southern Georgia from late morning into the early afternoon. Near this low-level jet, 0-3 km storm-relative helicity is forecast to increase into the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range. This, combined with strong deep-layer shear, should support an isolated tornado threat with any supercell that can develop. Supercells and organized bowing structures may also produce isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to decrease by early evening, as instability weakens across the moist airmass, and as the stronger flow shifts northeastward into the western Atlantic. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD... ...SUMMARY... A severe threat is expected to develop on Monday across parts of northern Florida and the southern Atlantic Seaboard. ...Northern Florida/Southern Atlantic Seaboard... A mid-level trough will move eastward across the lower to mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, with southwest flow located over eastern parts of the Southeast. At the surface, a cold front will advance eastward toward the southern Atlantic Seaboard. An MCS will likely be ongoing near the front early in the day from the western Florida Panhandle northeastward into western Georgia. Ahead of the MCS, a very moist airmass is forecast with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. Warming surface temperatures across this moist airmass will increase instability, with MLCAPE likely reaching 1000 to 1200 J/kg by midday. This will help to maintain convective development within the MCS. In addition, a mid-level jet will move northeastward across the Southeast on Monday. The right entrance region of this feature will overspread the moist sector. In response, model forecasts suggest that a rather focused 40 to 50 knot low-level jet will develop across northern Florida and southern Georgia from late morning into the early afternoon. Near this low-level jet, 0-3 km storm-relative helicity is forecast to increase into the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range. This, combined with strong deep-layer shear, should support an isolated tornado threat with any supercell that can develop. Supercells and organized bowing structures may also produce isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to decrease by early evening, as instability weakens across the moist airmass, and as the stronger flow shifts northeastward into the western Atlantic. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD... ...SUMMARY... A severe threat is expected to develop on Monday across parts of northern Florida and the southern Atlantic Seaboard. ...Northern Florida/Southern Atlantic Seaboard... A mid-level trough will move eastward across the lower to mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, with southwest flow located over eastern parts of the Southeast. At the surface, a cold front will advance eastward toward the southern Atlantic Seaboard. An MCS will likely be ongoing near the front early in the day from the western Florida Panhandle northeastward into western Georgia. Ahead of the MCS, a very moist airmass is forecast with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. Warming surface temperatures across this moist airmass will increase instability, with MLCAPE likely reaching 1000 to 1200 J/kg by midday. This will help to maintain convective development within the MCS. In addition, a mid-level jet will move northeastward across the Southeast on Monday. The right entrance region of this feature will overspread the moist sector. In response, model forecasts suggest that a rather focused 40 to 50 knot low-level jet will develop across northern Florida and southern Georgia from late morning into the early afternoon. Near this low-level jet, 0-3 km storm-relative helicity is forecast to increase into the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range. This, combined with strong deep-layer shear, should support an isolated tornado threat with any supercell that can develop. Supercells and organized bowing structures may also produce isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to decrease by early evening, as instability weakens across the moist airmass, and as the stronger flow shifts northeastward into the western Atlantic. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD... ...SUMMARY... A severe threat is expected to develop on Monday across parts of northern Florida and the southern Atlantic Seaboard. ...Northern Florida/Southern Atlantic Seaboard... A mid-level trough will move eastward across the lower to mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, with southwest flow located over eastern parts of the Southeast. At the surface, a cold front will advance eastward toward the southern Atlantic Seaboard. An MCS will likely be ongoing near the front early in the day from the western Florida Panhandle northeastward into western Georgia. Ahead of the MCS, a very moist airmass is forecast with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. Warming surface temperatures across this moist airmass will increase instability, with MLCAPE likely reaching 1000 to 1200 J/kg by midday. This will help to maintain convective development within the MCS. In addition, a mid-level jet will move northeastward across the Southeast on Monday. The right entrance region of this feature will overspread the moist sector. In response, model forecasts suggest that a rather focused 40 to 50 knot low-level jet will develop across northern Florida and southern Georgia from late morning into the early afternoon. Near this low-level jet, 0-3 km storm-relative helicity is forecast to increase into the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range. This, combined with strong deep-layer shear, should support an isolated tornado threat with any supercell that can develop. Supercells and organized bowing structures may also produce isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to decrease by early evening, as instability weakens across the moist airmass, and as the stronger flow shifts northeastward into the western Atlantic. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD... ...SUMMARY... A severe threat is expected to develop on Monday across parts of northern Florida and the southern Atlantic Seaboard. ...Northern Florida/Southern Atlantic Seaboard... A mid-level trough will move eastward across the lower to mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, with southwest flow located over eastern parts of the Southeast. At the surface, a cold front will advance eastward toward the southern Atlantic Seaboard. An MCS will likely be ongoing near the front early in the day from the western Florida Panhandle northeastward into western Georgia. Ahead of the MCS, a very moist airmass is forecast with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. Warming surface temperatures across this moist airmass will increase instability, with MLCAPE likely reaching 1000 to 1200 J/kg by midday. This will help to maintain convective development within the MCS. In addition, a mid-level jet will move northeastward across the Southeast on Monday. The right entrance region of this feature will overspread the moist sector. In response, model forecasts suggest that a rather focused 40 to 50 knot low-level jet will develop across northern Florida and southern Georgia from late morning into the early afternoon. Near this low-level jet, 0-3 km storm-relative helicity is forecast to increase into the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range. This, combined with strong deep-layer shear, should support an isolated tornado threat with any supercell that can develop. Supercells and organized bowing structures may also produce isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to decrease by early evening, as instability weakens across the moist airmass, and as the stronger flow shifts northeastward into the western Atlantic. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD... ...SUMMARY... A severe threat is expected to develop on Monday across parts of northern Florida and the southern Atlantic Seaboard. ...Northern Florida/Southern Atlantic Seaboard... A mid-level trough will move eastward across the lower to mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, with southwest flow located over eastern parts of the Southeast. At the surface, a cold front will advance eastward toward the southern Atlantic Seaboard. An MCS will likely be ongoing near the front early in the day from the western Florida Panhandle northeastward into western Georgia. Ahead of the MCS, a very moist airmass is forecast with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. Warming surface temperatures across this moist airmass will increase instability, with MLCAPE likely reaching 1000 to 1200 J/kg by midday. This will help to maintain convective development within the MCS. In addition, a mid-level jet will move northeastward across the Southeast on Monday. The right entrance region of this feature will overspread the moist sector. In response, model forecasts suggest that a rather focused 40 to 50 knot low-level jet will develop across northern Florida and southern Georgia from late morning into the early afternoon. Near this low-level jet, 0-3 km storm-relative helicity is forecast to increase into the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range. This, combined with strong deep-layer shear, should support an isolated tornado threat with any supercell that can develop. Supercells and organized bowing structures may also produce isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to decrease by early evening, as instability weakens across the moist airmass, and as the stronger flow shifts northeastward into the western Atlantic. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD... ...SUMMARY... A severe threat is expected to develop on Monday across parts of northern Florida and the southern Atlantic Seaboard. ...Northern Florida/Southern Atlantic Seaboard... A mid-level trough will move eastward across the lower to mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, with southwest flow located over eastern parts of the Southeast. At the surface, a cold front will advance eastward toward the southern Atlantic Seaboard. An MCS will likely be ongoing near the front early in the day from the western Florida Panhandle northeastward into western Georgia. Ahead of the MCS, a very moist airmass is forecast with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. Warming surface temperatures across this moist airmass will increase instability, with MLCAPE likely reaching 1000 to 1200 J/kg by midday. This will help to maintain convective development within the MCS. In addition, a mid-level jet will move northeastward across the Southeast on Monday. The right entrance region of this feature will overspread the moist sector. In response, model forecasts suggest that a rather focused 40 to 50 knot low-level jet will develop across northern Florida and southern Georgia from late morning into the early afternoon. Near this low-level jet, 0-3 km storm-relative helicity is forecast to increase into the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range. This, combined with strong deep-layer shear, should support an isolated tornado threat with any supercell that can develop. Supercells and organized bowing structures may also produce isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to decrease by early evening, as instability weakens across the moist airmass, and as the stronger flow shifts northeastward into the western Atlantic. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD... ...SUMMARY... A severe threat is expected to develop on Monday across parts of northern Florida and the southern Atlantic Seaboard. ...Northern Florida/Southern Atlantic Seaboard... A mid-level trough will move eastward across the lower to mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, with southwest flow located over eastern parts of the Southeast. At the surface, a cold front will advance eastward toward the southern Atlantic Seaboard. An MCS will likely be ongoing near the front early in the day from the western Florida Panhandle northeastward into western Georgia. Ahead of the MCS, a very moist airmass is forecast with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. Warming surface temperatures across this moist airmass will increase instability, with MLCAPE likely reaching 1000 to 1200 J/kg by midday. This will help to maintain convective development within the MCS. In addition, a mid-level jet will move northeastward across the Southeast on Monday. The right entrance region of this feature will overspread the moist sector. In response, model forecasts suggest that a rather focused 40 to 50 knot low-level jet will develop across northern Florida and southern Georgia from late morning into the early afternoon. Near this low-level jet, 0-3 km storm-relative helicity is forecast to increase into the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range. This, combined with strong deep-layer shear, should support an isolated tornado threat with any supercell that can develop. Supercells and organized bowing structures may also produce isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to decrease by early evening, as instability weakens across the moist airmass, and as the stronger flow shifts northeastward into the western Atlantic. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD... ...SUMMARY... A severe threat is expected to develop on Monday across parts of northern Florida and the southern Atlantic Seaboard. ...Northern Florida/Southern Atlantic Seaboard... A mid-level trough will move eastward across the lower to mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, with southwest flow located over eastern parts of the Southeast. At the surface, a cold front will advance eastward toward the southern Atlantic Seaboard. An MCS will likely be ongoing near the front early in the day from the western Florida Panhandle northeastward into western Georgia. Ahead of the MCS, a very moist airmass is forecast with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. Warming surface temperatures across this moist airmass will increase instability, with MLCAPE likely reaching 1000 to 1200 J/kg by midday. This will help to maintain convective development within the MCS. In addition, a mid-level jet will move northeastward across the Southeast on Monday. The right entrance region of this feature will overspread the moist sector. In response, model forecasts suggest that a rather focused 40 to 50 knot low-level jet will develop across northern Florida and southern Georgia from late morning into the early afternoon. Near this low-level jet, 0-3 km storm-relative helicity is forecast to increase into the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range. This, combined with strong deep-layer shear, should support an isolated tornado threat with any supercell that can develop. Supercells and organized bowing structures may also produce isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to decrease by early evening, as instability weakens across the moist airmass, and as the stronger flow shifts northeastward into the western Atlantic. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD... ...SUMMARY... A severe threat is expected to develop on Monday across parts of northern Florida and the southern Atlantic Seaboard. ...Northern Florida/Southern Atlantic Seaboard... A mid-level trough will move eastward across the lower to mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, with southwest flow located over eastern parts of the Southeast. At the surface, a cold front will advance eastward toward the southern Atlantic Seaboard. An MCS will likely be ongoing near the front early in the day from the western Florida Panhandle northeastward into western Georgia. Ahead of the MCS, a very moist airmass is forecast with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. Warming surface temperatures across this moist airmass will increase instability, with MLCAPE likely reaching 1000 to 1200 J/kg by midday. This will help to maintain convective development within the MCS. In addition, a mid-level jet will move northeastward across the Southeast on Monday. The right entrance region of this feature will overspread the moist sector. In response, model forecasts suggest that a rather focused 40 to 50 knot low-level jet will develop across northern Florida and southern Georgia from late morning into the early afternoon. Near this low-level jet, 0-3 km storm-relative helicity is forecast to increase into the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range. This, combined with strong deep-layer shear, should support an isolated tornado threat with any supercell that can develop. Supercells and organized bowing structures may also produce isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to decrease by early evening, as instability weakens across the moist airmass, and as the stronger flow shifts northeastward into the western Atlantic. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD... ...SUMMARY... A severe threat is expected to develop on Monday across parts of northern Florida and the southern Atlantic Seaboard. ...Northern Florida/Southern Atlantic Seaboard... A mid-level trough will move eastward across the lower to mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, with southwest flow located over eastern parts of the Southeast. At the surface, a cold front will advance eastward toward the southern Atlantic Seaboard. An MCS will likely be ongoing near the front early in the day from the western Florida Panhandle northeastward into western Georgia. Ahead of the MCS, a very moist airmass is forecast with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. Warming surface temperatures across this moist airmass will increase instability, with MLCAPE likely reaching 1000 to 1200 J/kg by midday. This will help to maintain convective development within the MCS. In addition, a mid-level jet will move northeastward across the Southeast on Monday. The right entrance region of this feature will overspread the moist sector. In response, model forecasts suggest that a rather focused 40 to 50 knot low-level jet will develop across northern Florida and southern Georgia from late morning into the early afternoon. Near this low-level jet, 0-3 km storm-relative helicity is forecast to increase into the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range. This, combined with strong deep-layer shear, should support an isolated tornado threat with any supercell that can develop. Supercells and organized bowing structures may also produce isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to decrease by early evening, as instability weakens across the moist airmass, and as the stronger flow shifts northeastward into the western Atlantic. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM MISSISSIPPI DELTA INTO PARTS OF ALABAMA/GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians into southern Virginia. ...Synopsis... A positive-tilt trough will make modest eastward progress from the southern Plains into the Lower Mississippi Valley today. A mid-level jet will intensify from the Mid-South into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast. At the surface, a cold front will be situated in Mississippi Delta arcing northeastward into the southern/central Appalachians and though the DelMarVa. The front will continue its southeastward progress through the period. A moist airmass will be in place ahead of the front, particularly in the Southeast where dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s F appear probable. ...Southeast... A line of convection is expected to be ongoing early Sunday morning in eastern Mississippi and perhaps parts of western Alabama. Though the strongest upper-level winds will be behind the front, sufficient mid-level flow parallel to the boundary should maintain convective organization. Primarily linear convection with perhaps embedded supercells will be capable of wind damage and tornadoes. 850 mb winds are expected to translate east along/ahead of the convective line, maintaining a risk for tornadoes through the afternoon. It is possible a corridor of greater wind/tornado potential could develop, conditional on where surface heating can occur. Portions of southern/southeast Alabama into far west-central/southwest Georgia are areas that could remain relatively cloud free. Overall, the severe threat should be somewhat limited by poor mid-level lapse rates/warm air aloft as well as the potential for cloud cover. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the morning/afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce wind damage. ..Wendt/Supinie.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM MISSISSIPPI DELTA INTO PARTS OF ALABAMA/GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians into southern Virginia. ...Synopsis... A positive-tilt trough will make modest eastward progress from the southern Plains into the Lower Mississippi Valley today. A mid-level jet will intensify from the Mid-South into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast. At the surface, a cold front will be situated in Mississippi Delta arcing northeastward into the southern/central Appalachians and though the DelMarVa. The front will continue its southeastward progress through the period. A moist airmass will be in place ahead of the front, particularly in the Southeast where dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s F appear probable. ...Southeast... A line of convection is expected to be ongoing early Sunday morning in eastern Mississippi and perhaps parts of western Alabama. Though the strongest upper-level winds will be behind the front, sufficient mid-level flow parallel to the boundary should maintain convective organization. Primarily linear convection with perhaps embedded supercells will be capable of wind damage and tornadoes. 850 mb winds are expected to translate east along/ahead of the convective line, maintaining a risk for tornadoes through the afternoon. It is possible a corridor of greater wind/tornado potential could develop, conditional on where surface heating can occur. Portions of southern/southeast Alabama into far west-central/southwest Georgia are areas that could remain relatively cloud free. Overall, the severe threat should be somewhat limited by poor mid-level lapse rates/warm air aloft as well as the potential for cloud cover. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the morning/afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce wind damage. ..Wendt/Supinie.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM MISSISSIPPI DELTA INTO PARTS OF ALABAMA/GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians into southern Virginia. ...Synopsis... A positive-tilt trough will make modest eastward progress from the southern Plains into the Lower Mississippi Valley today. A mid-level jet will intensify from the Mid-South into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast. At the surface, a cold front will be situated in Mississippi Delta arcing northeastward into the southern/central Appalachians and though the DelMarVa. The front will continue its southeastward progress through the period. A moist airmass will be in place ahead of the front, particularly in the Southeast where dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s F appear probable. ...Southeast... A line of convection is expected to be ongoing early Sunday morning in eastern Mississippi and perhaps parts of western Alabama. Though the strongest upper-level winds will be behind the front, sufficient mid-level flow parallel to the boundary should maintain convective organization. Primarily linear convection with perhaps embedded supercells will be capable of wind damage and tornadoes. 850 mb winds are expected to translate east along/ahead of the convective line, maintaining a risk for tornadoes through the afternoon. It is possible a corridor of greater wind/tornado potential could develop, conditional on where surface heating can occur. Portions of southern/southeast Alabama into far west-central/southwest Georgia are areas that could remain relatively cloud free. Overall, the severe threat should be somewhat limited by poor mid-level lapse rates/warm air aloft as well as the potential for cloud cover. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the morning/afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce wind damage. ..Wendt/Supinie.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM MISSISSIPPI DELTA INTO PARTS OF ALABAMA/GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians into southern Virginia. ...Synopsis... A positive-tilt trough will make modest eastward progress from the southern Plains into the Lower Mississippi Valley today. A mid-level jet will intensify from the Mid-South into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast. At the surface, a cold front will be situated in Mississippi Delta arcing northeastward into the southern/central Appalachians and though the DelMarVa. The front will continue its southeastward progress through the period. A moist airmass will be in place ahead of the front, particularly in the Southeast where dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s F appear probable. ...Southeast... A line of convection is expected to be ongoing early Sunday morning in eastern Mississippi and perhaps parts of western Alabama. Though the strongest upper-level winds will be behind the front, sufficient mid-level flow parallel to the boundary should maintain convective organization. Primarily linear convection with perhaps embedded supercells will be capable of wind damage and tornadoes. 850 mb winds are expected to translate east along/ahead of the convective line, maintaining a risk for tornadoes through the afternoon. It is possible a corridor of greater wind/tornado potential could develop, conditional on where surface heating can occur. Portions of southern/southeast Alabama into far west-central/southwest Georgia are areas that could remain relatively cloud free. Overall, the severe threat should be somewhat limited by poor mid-level lapse rates/warm air aloft as well as the potential for cloud cover. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the morning/afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce wind damage. ..Wendt/Supinie.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM MISSISSIPPI DELTA INTO PARTS OF ALABAMA/GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians into southern Virginia. ...Synopsis... A positive-tilt trough will make modest eastward progress from the southern Plains into the Lower Mississippi Valley today. A mid-level jet will intensify from the Mid-South into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast. At the surface, a cold front will be situated in Mississippi Delta arcing northeastward into the southern/central Appalachians and though the DelMarVa. The front will continue its southeastward progress through the period. A moist airmass will be in place ahead of the front, particularly in the Southeast where dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s F appear probable. ...Southeast... A line of convection is expected to be ongoing early Sunday morning in eastern Mississippi and perhaps parts of western Alabama. Though the strongest upper-level winds will be behind the front, sufficient mid-level flow parallel to the boundary should maintain convective organization. Primarily linear convection with perhaps embedded supercells will be capable of wind damage and tornadoes. 850 mb winds are expected to translate east along/ahead of the convective line, maintaining a risk for tornadoes through the afternoon. It is possible a corridor of greater wind/tornado potential could develop, conditional on where surface heating can occur. Portions of southern/southeast Alabama into far west-central/southwest Georgia are areas that could remain relatively cloud free. Overall, the severe threat should be somewhat limited by poor mid-level lapse rates/warm air aloft as well as the potential for cloud cover. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the morning/afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce wind damage. ..Wendt/Supinie.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM MISSISSIPPI DELTA INTO PARTS OF ALABAMA/GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians into southern Virginia. ...Synopsis... A positive-tilt trough will make modest eastward progress from the southern Plains into the Lower Mississippi Valley today. A mid-level jet will intensify from the Mid-South into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast. At the surface, a cold front will be situated in Mississippi Delta arcing northeastward into the southern/central Appalachians and though the DelMarVa. The front will continue its southeastward progress through the period. A moist airmass will be in place ahead of the front, particularly in the Southeast where dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s F appear probable. ...Southeast... A line of convection is expected to be ongoing early Sunday morning in eastern Mississippi and perhaps parts of western Alabama. Though the strongest upper-level winds will be behind the front, sufficient mid-level flow parallel to the boundary should maintain convective organization. Primarily linear convection with perhaps embedded supercells will be capable of wind damage and tornadoes. 850 mb winds are expected to translate east along/ahead of the convective line, maintaining a risk for tornadoes through the afternoon. It is possible a corridor of greater wind/tornado potential could develop, conditional on where surface heating can occur. Portions of southern/southeast Alabama into far west-central/southwest Georgia are areas that could remain relatively cloud free. Overall, the severe threat should be somewhat limited by poor mid-level lapse rates/warm air aloft as well as the potential for cloud cover. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the morning/afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce wind damage. ..Wendt/Supinie.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM MISSISSIPPI DELTA INTO PARTS OF ALABAMA/GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat is possible on Sunday across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the southern Appalachians into southern Virginia. ...Synopsis... A positive-tilt trough will make modest eastward progress from the southern Plains into the Lower Mississippi Valley today. A mid-level jet will intensify from the Mid-South into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast. At the surface, a cold front will be situated in Mississippi Delta arcing northeastward into the southern/central Appalachians and though the DelMarVa. The front will continue its southeastward progress through the period. A moist airmass will be in place ahead of the front, particularly in the Southeast where dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s F appear probable. ...Southeast... A line of convection is expected to be ongoing early Sunday morning in eastern Mississippi and perhaps parts of western Alabama. Though the strongest upper-level winds will be behind the front, sufficient mid-level flow parallel to the boundary should maintain convective organization. Primarily linear convection with perhaps embedded supercells will be capable of wind damage and tornadoes. 850 mb winds are expected to translate east along/ahead of the convective line, maintaining a risk for tornadoes through the afternoon. It is possible a corridor of greater wind/tornado potential could develop, conditional on where surface heating can occur. Portions of southern/southeast Alabama into far west-central/southwest Georgia are areas that could remain relatively cloud free. Overall, the severe threat should be somewhat limited by poor mid-level lapse rates/warm air aloft as well as the potential for cloud cover. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the morning/afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce wind damage. ..Wendt/Supinie.. 04/06/2025 Read more