SPC Apr 6, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0210 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH FLORIDA... ...SUMMARY... Marginally severe wind gusts will be possible on Tuesday along and ahead of the front across parts of south Florida. ...South Florida... A mid-level trough will move into the Northeast on Tuesday, as a cold front advances southward across the southern Florida Peninsula. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints near 70 F will contribute to the development of moderate instability across parts of south Florida. Scattered thunderstorms are expected to form near and ahead the front during the morning, with storms moving southeastward across the southern Florida Peninsula. Forecast soundings in south Florida during the mid to late morning have 0-6 km shear near 30 knots along with steep low-level lapse rates. This could be enough for marginally severe gusts with the stronger cells. Any severe threat that develops should end during the afternoon as the front moves southward over the water. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0210 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH FLORIDA... ...SUMMARY... Marginally severe wind gusts will be possible on Tuesday along and ahead of the front across parts of south Florida. ...South Florida... A mid-level trough will move into the Northeast on Tuesday, as a cold front advances southward across the southern Florida Peninsula. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints near 70 F will contribute to the development of moderate instability across parts of south Florida. Scattered thunderstorms are expected to form near and ahead the front during the morning, with storms moving southeastward across the southern Florida Peninsula. Forecast soundings in south Florida during the mid to late morning have 0-6 km shear near 30 knots along with steep low-level lapse rates. This could be enough for marginally severe gusts with the stronger cells. Any severe threat that develops should end during the afternoon as the front moves southward over the water. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0210 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH FLORIDA... ...SUMMARY... Marginally severe wind gusts will be possible on Tuesday along and ahead of the front across parts of south Florida. ...South Florida... A mid-level trough will move into the Northeast on Tuesday, as a cold front advances southward across the southern Florida Peninsula. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints near 70 F will contribute to the development of moderate instability across parts of south Florida. Scattered thunderstorms are expected to form near and ahead the front during the morning, with storms moving southeastward across the southern Florida Peninsula. Forecast soundings in south Florida during the mid to late morning have 0-6 km shear near 30 knots along with steep low-level lapse rates. This could be enough for marginally severe gusts with the stronger cells. Any severe threat that develops should end during the afternoon as the front moves southward over the water. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0210 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH FLORIDA... ...SUMMARY... Marginally severe wind gusts will be possible on Tuesday along and ahead of the front across parts of south Florida. ...South Florida... A mid-level trough will move into the Northeast on Tuesday, as a cold front advances southward across the southern Florida Peninsula. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints near 70 F will contribute to the development of moderate instability across parts of south Florida. Scattered thunderstorms are expected to form near and ahead the front during the morning, with storms moving southeastward across the southern Florida Peninsula. Forecast soundings in south Florida during the mid to late morning have 0-6 km shear near 30 knots along with steep low-level lapse rates. This could be enough for marginally severe gusts with the stronger cells. Any severe threat that develops should end during the afternoon as the front moves southward over the water. ..Broyles.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 130 Status Reports

5 months 1 week ago
WW 0130 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 130 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW CHA TO 25 ESE CSV. ..KERR..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...MRX...GSP... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 130 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC039-043-075-113-173-060740- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEROKEE CLAY GRAHAM MACON SWAIN TNC007-009-011-065-105-107-121-123-139-143-153-155-060740- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLEDSOE BLOUNT BRADLEY HAMILTON LOUDON MCMINN MEIGS MONROE POLK RHEA SEQUATCHIE SEVIER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 128 Status Reports

5 months 1 week ago
WW 0128 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 128 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CBM TO 25 SE MSL TO 15 WSW CHA. ..KERR..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 128 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC043-049-057-071-075-089-093-095-103-107-127-133-060740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CULLMAN DEKALB FAYETTE JACKSON LAMAR MADISON MARION MARSHALL MORGAN PICKENS WALKER WINSTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 128 Status Reports

5 months 1 week ago
WW 0128 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 128 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CBM TO 25 SE MSL TO 15 WSW CHA. ..KERR..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 128 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC043-049-057-071-075-089-093-095-103-107-127-133-060740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CULLMAN DEKALB FAYETTE JACKSON LAMAR MADISON MARION MARSHALL MORGAN PICKENS WALKER WINSTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 128 Status Reports

5 months 1 week ago
WW 0128 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 128 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CBM TO 25 SE MSL TO 15 WSW CHA. ..KERR..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 128 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC043-049-057-071-075-089-093-095-103-107-127-133-060740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CULLMAN DEKALB FAYETTE JACKSON LAMAR MADISON MARION MARSHALL MORGAN PICKENS WALKER WINSTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 128 Status Reports

5 months 1 week ago
WW 0128 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 128 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CBM TO 25 SE MSL TO 15 WSW CHA. ..KERR..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 128 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC043-049-057-071-075-089-093-095-103-107-127-133-060740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CULLMAN DEKALB FAYETTE JACKSON LAMAR MADISON MARION MARSHALL MORGAN PICKENS WALKER WINSTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 128 Status Reports

5 months 1 week ago
WW 0128 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 128 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CBM TO 25 SE MSL TO 15 WSW CHA. ..KERR..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 128 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC043-049-057-071-075-089-093-095-103-107-127-133-060740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CULLMAN DEKALB FAYETTE JACKSON LAMAR MADISON MARION MARSHALL MORGAN PICKENS WALKER WINSTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 128 Status Reports

5 months 1 week ago
WW 0128 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 128 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CBM TO 25 SE MSL TO 15 WSW CHA. ..KERR..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 128 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC043-049-057-071-075-089-093-095-103-107-127-133-060740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CULLMAN DEKALB FAYETTE JACKSON LAMAR MADISON MARION MARSHALL MORGAN PICKENS WALKER WINSTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 128

5 months 1 week ago
WW 128 TORNADO AL TN 060130Z - 060800Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 128 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 830 PM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern Alabama Southern Middle Tennessee * Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 830 PM until 300 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A cluster of supercell thunderstorms over northeast Mississippi will track across the watch area with a continued risk of tornadoes and damaging winds. Other strong to severe storms will also move across the watch area through the early morning hours. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west southwest of Muscle Shoals AL to 105 miles northeast of Huntsville AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 123...WW 124...WW 125...WW 126...WW 127... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Hart Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 129 Status Reports

5 months 1 week ago
WW 0129 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 129 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW HEZ TO 75 NE HEZ TO 45 SSE GWO TO 40 SSE UOX TO 30 ENE CBM. ..KERR..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...LIX...JAN...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 129 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC037-077-091-125-060740- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE EAST FELICIANA POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA WEST FELICIANA MSC005-007-019-023-025-029-031-061-065-069-075-077-079-085-087- 091-099-101-103-105-113-121-123-127-129-147-159-060740- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AMITE ATTALA CHOCTAW CLARKE CLAY COPIAH COVINGTON JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS KEMPER LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN LOWNDES MARION NESHOBA NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA PIKE RANKIN SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH WALTHALL WINSTON Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0137 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will be moving eastward across parts of the southeast US during the day on Monday with a surface low pressure area pushing a cold front southeastward towards Florida. Flow ahead of this surface front may be relatively strong, with gusts of 25-30 mph and RH in the 35-40% range, though there is some uncertainty on the RH values, given surface parcel trajectories off of the warm ocean. This may provide a limiting factor for the fire weather risk. However, given receptive fuels in the area (near 90th percentile ERCs), have included an Elevated area across parts of the Florida peninsula. ..Supinie.. 04/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0137 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will be moving eastward across parts of the southeast US during the day on Monday with a surface low pressure area pushing a cold front southeastward towards Florida. Flow ahead of this surface front may be relatively strong, with gusts of 25-30 mph and RH in the 35-40% range, though there is some uncertainty on the RH values, given surface parcel trajectories off of the warm ocean. This may provide a limiting factor for the fire weather risk. However, given receptive fuels in the area (near 90th percentile ERCs), have included an Elevated area across parts of the Florida peninsula. ..Supinie.. 04/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0137 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will be moving eastward across parts of the southeast US during the day on Monday with a surface low pressure area pushing a cold front southeastward towards Florida. Flow ahead of this surface front may be relatively strong, with gusts of 25-30 mph and RH in the 35-40% range, though there is some uncertainty on the RH values, given surface parcel trajectories off of the warm ocean. This may provide a limiting factor for the fire weather risk. However, given receptive fuels in the area (near 90th percentile ERCs), have included an Elevated area across parts of the Florida peninsula. ..Supinie.. 04/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0137 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will be moving eastward across parts of the southeast US during the day on Monday with a surface low pressure area pushing a cold front southeastward towards Florida. Flow ahead of this surface front may be relatively strong, with gusts of 25-30 mph and RH in the 35-40% range, though there is some uncertainty on the RH values, given surface parcel trajectories off of the warm ocean. This may provide a limiting factor for the fire weather risk. However, given receptive fuels in the area (near 90th percentile ERCs), have included an Elevated area across parts of the Florida peninsula. ..Supinie.. 04/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0137 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will be moving eastward across parts of the southeast US during the day on Monday with a surface low pressure area pushing a cold front southeastward towards Florida. Flow ahead of this surface front may be relatively strong, with gusts of 25-30 mph and RH in the 35-40% range, though there is some uncertainty on the RH values, given surface parcel trajectories off of the warm ocean. This may provide a limiting factor for the fire weather risk. However, given receptive fuels in the area (near 90th percentile ERCs), have included an Elevated area across parts of the Florida peninsula. ..Supinie.. 04/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0137 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will be moving eastward across parts of the southeast US during the day on Monday with a surface low pressure area pushing a cold front southeastward towards Florida. Flow ahead of this surface front may be relatively strong, with gusts of 25-30 mph and RH in the 35-40% range, though there is some uncertainty on the RH values, given surface parcel trajectories off of the warm ocean. This may provide a limiting factor for the fire weather risk. However, given receptive fuels in the area (near 90th percentile ERCs), have included an Elevated area across parts of the Florida peninsula. ..Supinie.. 04/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0137 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will be moving eastward across parts of the southeast US during the day on Monday with a surface low pressure area pushing a cold front southeastward towards Florida. Flow ahead of this surface front may be relatively strong, with gusts of 25-30 mph and RH in the 35-40% range, though there is some uncertainty on the RH values, given surface parcel trajectories off of the warm ocean. This may provide a limiting factor for the fire weather risk. However, given receptive fuels in the area (near 90th percentile ERCs), have included an Elevated area across parts of the Florida peninsula. ..Supinie.. 04/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
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