SPC Mar 5, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1119 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are possible from parts of central California into the southern and eastern Great Basin on Thursday. Severe weather is not expected. ...Synopsis... An amplified upper trough will move off the eastern U.S. coast. Broadly cyclonic flow across the West will feature two embedded shortwave troughs. One will pivot through the Southwest with the other digging southwestward along the central/southern California coast. A broad surface low in the Intermountain West will evolve eastward and deepen within the central Plains by Friday morning. Cold temperatures aloft will support isolated convection across portions of central California. A surface boundary within the Great Basin will also serve as another focus for isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms, particularly where surface heating occurs. Very limited buoyancy will generally preclude any severe weather potential with any of this activity. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 5, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1119 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are possible from parts of central California into the southern and eastern Great Basin on Thursday. Severe weather is not expected. ...Synopsis... An amplified upper trough will move off the eastern U.S. coast. Broadly cyclonic flow across the West will feature two embedded shortwave troughs. One will pivot through the Southwest with the other digging southwestward along the central/southern California coast. A broad surface low in the Intermountain West will evolve eastward and deepen within the central Plains by Friday morning. Cold temperatures aloft will support isolated convection across portions of central California. A surface boundary within the Great Basin will also serve as another focus for isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms, particularly where surface heating occurs. Very limited buoyancy will generally preclude any severe weather potential with any of this activity. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 5, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1119 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are possible from parts of central California into the southern and eastern Great Basin on Thursday. Severe weather is not expected. ...Synopsis... An amplified upper trough will move off the eastern U.S. coast. Broadly cyclonic flow across the West will feature two embedded shortwave troughs. One will pivot through the Southwest with the other digging southwestward along the central/southern California coast. A broad surface low in the Intermountain West will evolve eastward and deepen within the central Plains by Friday morning. Cold temperatures aloft will support isolated convection across portions of central California. A surface boundary within the Great Basin will also serve as another focus for isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms, particularly where surface heating occurs. Very limited buoyancy will generally preclude any severe weather potential with any of this activity. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 5, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1119 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are possible from parts of central California into the southern and eastern Great Basin on Thursday. Severe weather is not expected. ...Synopsis... An amplified upper trough will move off the eastern U.S. coast. Broadly cyclonic flow across the West will feature two embedded shortwave troughs. One will pivot through the Southwest with the other digging southwestward along the central/southern California coast. A broad surface low in the Intermountain West will evolve eastward and deepen within the central Plains by Friday morning. Cold temperatures aloft will support isolated convection across portions of central California. A surface boundary within the Great Basin will also serve as another focus for isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms, particularly where surface heating occurs. Very limited buoyancy will generally preclude any severe weather potential with any of this activity. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 5, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1119 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are possible from parts of central California into the southern and eastern Great Basin on Thursday. Severe weather is not expected. ...Synopsis... An amplified upper trough will move off the eastern U.S. coast. Broadly cyclonic flow across the West will feature two embedded shortwave troughs. One will pivot through the Southwest with the other digging southwestward along the central/southern California coast. A broad surface low in the Intermountain West will evolve eastward and deepen within the central Plains by Friday morning. Cold temperatures aloft will support isolated convection across portions of central California. A surface boundary within the Great Basin will also serve as another focus for isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms, particularly where surface heating occurs. Very limited buoyancy will generally preclude any severe weather potential with any of this activity. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 27 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0027 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 27 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E DAN TO 30 N AVC TO 20 WNW RIC TO 35 E CHO TO 45 NE CHO. ..THORNTON..03/05/25 ATTN...WFO...LWX...AKQ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 27 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MDC009-017-019-037-039-045-047-051840- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALVERT CHARLES DORCHESTER ST. MARYS SOMERSET WICOMICO WORCESTER VAC001-025-033-036-041-053-057-073-085-087-097-099-101-103-115- 117-119-127-131-133-135-149-159-177-179-193-570-630-670-730-760- 051840- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ACCOMACK BRUNSWICK CAROLINE CHARLES CITY CHESTERFIELD DINWIDDIE ESSEX GLOUCESTER HANOVER HENRICO KING AND QUEEN KING GEORGE KING WILLIAM LANCASTER MATHEWS MECKLENBURG MIDDLESEX NEW KENT NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY PRINCE GEORGE RICHMOND SPOTSYLVANIA Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, widespread wetting rainfall will temporarily limit available fuels, curtailing fire-weather potential. The only exception will be transient dry/windy conditions over eastern NM. However, this is not expected to be widespread. See the prior outlook for more info. ..Lyons.. 03/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will build over the Great Plains as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic, with another mid-level trough amplifying along the West Coast today. As a strong surface cyclone ejects into Ontario from the Great Lakes region, strong and somewhat dry northwesterly surface flow will overspread portions of the southern Plains. However, marginally supportive RH atop fuels that have recently received appreciable rainfall suggests that Elevated highlights are not currently warranted. Dry southerly flow will also prevail across portions of eastern New Mexico, but overlapping Elevated conditions should be localized at best. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, widespread wetting rainfall will temporarily limit available fuels, curtailing fire-weather potential. The only exception will be transient dry/windy conditions over eastern NM. However, this is not expected to be widespread. See the prior outlook for more info. ..Lyons.. 03/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will build over the Great Plains as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic, with another mid-level trough amplifying along the West Coast today. As a strong surface cyclone ejects into Ontario from the Great Lakes region, strong and somewhat dry northwesterly surface flow will overspread portions of the southern Plains. However, marginally supportive RH atop fuels that have recently received appreciable rainfall suggests that Elevated highlights are not currently warranted. Dry southerly flow will also prevail across portions of eastern New Mexico, but overlapping Elevated conditions should be localized at best. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, widespread wetting rainfall will temporarily limit available fuels, curtailing fire-weather potential. The only exception will be transient dry/windy conditions over eastern NM. However, this is not expected to be widespread. See the prior outlook for more info. ..Lyons.. 03/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will build over the Great Plains as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic, with another mid-level trough amplifying along the West Coast today. As a strong surface cyclone ejects into Ontario from the Great Lakes region, strong and somewhat dry northwesterly surface flow will overspread portions of the southern Plains. However, marginally supportive RH atop fuels that have recently received appreciable rainfall suggests that Elevated highlights are not currently warranted. Dry southerly flow will also prevail across portions of eastern New Mexico, but overlapping Elevated conditions should be localized at best. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, widespread wetting rainfall will temporarily limit available fuels, curtailing fire-weather potential. The only exception will be transient dry/windy conditions over eastern NM. However, this is not expected to be widespread. See the prior outlook for more info. ..Lyons.. 03/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will build over the Great Plains as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic, with another mid-level trough amplifying along the West Coast today. As a strong surface cyclone ejects into Ontario from the Great Lakes region, strong and somewhat dry northwesterly surface flow will overspread portions of the southern Plains. However, marginally supportive RH atop fuels that have recently received appreciable rainfall suggests that Elevated highlights are not currently warranted. Dry southerly flow will also prevail across portions of eastern New Mexico, but overlapping Elevated conditions should be localized at best. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, widespread wetting rainfall will temporarily limit available fuels, curtailing fire-weather potential. The only exception will be transient dry/windy conditions over eastern NM. However, this is not expected to be widespread. See the prior outlook for more info. ..Lyons.. 03/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will build over the Great Plains as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic, with another mid-level trough amplifying along the West Coast today. As a strong surface cyclone ejects into Ontario from the Great Lakes region, strong and somewhat dry northwesterly surface flow will overspread portions of the southern Plains. However, marginally supportive RH atop fuels that have recently received appreciable rainfall suggests that Elevated highlights are not currently warranted. Dry southerly flow will also prevail across portions of eastern New Mexico, but overlapping Elevated conditions should be localized at best. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, widespread wetting rainfall will temporarily limit available fuels, curtailing fire-weather potential. The only exception will be transient dry/windy conditions over eastern NM. However, this is not expected to be widespread. See the prior outlook for more info. ..Lyons.. 03/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will build over the Great Plains as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic, with another mid-level trough amplifying along the West Coast today. As a strong surface cyclone ejects into Ontario from the Great Lakes region, strong and somewhat dry northwesterly surface flow will overspread portions of the southern Plains. However, marginally supportive RH atop fuels that have recently received appreciable rainfall suggests that Elevated highlights are not currently warranted. Dry southerly flow will also prevail across portions of eastern New Mexico, but overlapping Elevated conditions should be localized at best. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, widespread wetting rainfall will temporarily limit available fuels, curtailing fire-weather potential. The only exception will be transient dry/windy conditions over eastern NM. However, this is not expected to be widespread. See the prior outlook for more info. ..Lyons.. 03/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will build over the Great Plains as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic, with another mid-level trough amplifying along the West Coast today. As a strong surface cyclone ejects into Ontario from the Great Lakes region, strong and somewhat dry northwesterly surface flow will overspread portions of the southern Plains. However, marginally supportive RH atop fuels that have recently received appreciable rainfall suggests that Elevated highlights are not currently warranted. Dry southerly flow will also prevail across portions of eastern New Mexico, but overlapping Elevated conditions should be localized at best. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, widespread wetting rainfall will temporarily limit available fuels, curtailing fire-weather potential. The only exception will be transient dry/windy conditions over eastern NM. However, this is not expected to be widespread. See the prior outlook for more info. ..Lyons.. 03/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will build over the Great Plains as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic, with another mid-level trough amplifying along the West Coast today. As a strong surface cyclone ejects into Ontario from the Great Lakes region, strong and somewhat dry northwesterly surface flow will overspread portions of the southern Plains. However, marginally supportive RH atop fuels that have recently received appreciable rainfall suggests that Elevated highlights are not currently warranted. Dry southerly flow will also prevail across portions of eastern New Mexico, but overlapping Elevated conditions should be localized at best. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, widespread wetting rainfall will temporarily limit available fuels, curtailing fire-weather potential. The only exception will be transient dry/windy conditions over eastern NM. However, this is not expected to be widespread. See the prior outlook for more info. ..Lyons.. 03/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will build over the Great Plains as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic, with another mid-level trough amplifying along the West Coast today. As a strong surface cyclone ejects into Ontario from the Great Lakes region, strong and somewhat dry northwesterly surface flow will overspread portions of the southern Plains. However, marginally supportive RH atop fuels that have recently received appreciable rainfall suggests that Elevated highlights are not currently warranted. Dry southerly flow will also prevail across portions of eastern New Mexico, but overlapping Elevated conditions should be localized at best. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, widespread wetting rainfall will temporarily limit available fuels, curtailing fire-weather potential. The only exception will be transient dry/windy conditions over eastern NM. However, this is not expected to be widespread. See the prior outlook for more info. ..Lyons.. 03/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will build over the Great Plains as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic, with another mid-level trough amplifying along the West Coast today. As a strong surface cyclone ejects into Ontario from the Great Lakes region, strong and somewhat dry northwesterly surface flow will overspread portions of the southern Plains. However, marginally supportive RH atop fuels that have recently received appreciable rainfall suggests that Elevated highlights are not currently warranted. Dry southerly flow will also prevail across portions of eastern New Mexico, but overlapping Elevated conditions should be localized at best. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, widespread wetting rainfall will temporarily limit available fuels, curtailing fire-weather potential. The only exception will be transient dry/windy conditions over eastern NM. However, this is not expected to be widespread. See the prior outlook for more info. ..Lyons.. 03/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will build over the Great Plains as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic, with another mid-level trough amplifying along the West Coast today. As a strong surface cyclone ejects into Ontario from the Great Lakes region, strong and somewhat dry northwesterly surface flow will overspread portions of the southern Plains. However, marginally supportive RH atop fuels that have recently received appreciable rainfall suggests that Elevated highlights are not currently warranted. Dry southerly flow will also prevail across portions of eastern New Mexico, but overlapping Elevated conditions should be localized at best. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, widespread wetting rainfall will temporarily limit available fuels, curtailing fire-weather potential. The only exception will be transient dry/windy conditions over eastern NM. However, this is not expected to be widespread. See the prior outlook for more info. ..Lyons.. 03/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will build over the Great Plains as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic, with another mid-level trough amplifying along the West Coast today. As a strong surface cyclone ejects into Ontario from the Great Lakes region, strong and somewhat dry northwesterly surface flow will overspread portions of the southern Plains. However, marginally supportive RH atop fuels that have recently received appreciable rainfall suggests that Elevated highlights are not currently warranted. Dry southerly flow will also prevail across portions of eastern New Mexico, but overlapping Elevated conditions should be localized at best. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, widespread wetting rainfall will temporarily limit available fuels, curtailing fire-weather potential. The only exception will be transient dry/windy conditions over eastern NM. However, this is not expected to be widespread. See the prior outlook for more info. ..Lyons.. 03/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will build over the Great Plains as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic, with another mid-level trough amplifying along the West Coast today. As a strong surface cyclone ejects into Ontario from the Great Lakes region, strong and somewhat dry northwesterly surface flow will overspread portions of the southern Plains. However, marginally supportive RH atop fuels that have recently received appreciable rainfall suggests that Elevated highlights are not currently warranted. Dry southerly flow will also prevail across portions of eastern New Mexico, but overlapping Elevated conditions should be localized at best. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, widespread wetting rainfall will temporarily limit available fuels, curtailing fire-weather potential. The only exception will be transient dry/windy conditions over eastern NM. However, this is not expected to be widespread. See the prior outlook for more info. ..Lyons.. 03/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will build over the Great Plains as a mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic, with another mid-level trough amplifying along the West Coast today. As a strong surface cyclone ejects into Ontario from the Great Lakes region, strong and somewhat dry northwesterly surface flow will overspread portions of the southern Plains. However, marginally supportive RH atop fuels that have recently received appreciable rainfall suggests that Elevated highlights are not currently warranted. Dry southerly flow will also prevail across portions of eastern New Mexico, but overlapping Elevated conditions should be localized at best. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
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