SPC Tornado Watch 132 Status Reports

5 months 1 week ago
WW 0132 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 132 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW MOB TO 35 NW GZH TO 20 SSE AUO TO 30 SE ATL TO 30 E ATL TO 25 ESE AHN. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0428 ..LYONS..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 132 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-005-011-013-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-097-099- 109-113-062140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK BUTLER COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON MOBILE MONROE PIKE RUSSELL FLC033-091-113-062140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA GAC021-035-053-079-145-159-169-171-193-197-207-211-215-217-225- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 132 Status Reports

5 months 1 week ago
WW 0132 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 132 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW MOB TO 35 NW GZH TO 20 SSE AUO TO 30 SE ATL TO 30 E ATL TO 25 ESE AHN. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0428 ..LYONS..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 132 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-005-011-013-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-097-099- 109-113-062140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK BUTLER COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON MOBILE MONROE PIKE RUSSELL FLC033-091-113-062140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA GAC021-035-053-079-145-159-169-171-193-197-207-211-215-217-225- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 132 Status Reports

5 months 1 week ago
WW 0132 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 132 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW MOB TO 35 NW GZH TO 20 SSE AUO TO 30 SE ATL TO 30 E ATL TO 25 ESE AHN. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0428 ..LYONS..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 132 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-005-011-013-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-097-099- 109-113-062140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK BUTLER COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON MOBILE MONROE PIKE RUSSELL FLC033-091-113-062140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA GAC021-035-053-079-145-159-169-171-193-197-207-211-215-217-225- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 132 Status Reports

5 months 1 week ago
WW 0132 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 132 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW MOB TO 35 NW GZH TO 20 SSE AUO TO 30 SE ATL TO 30 E ATL TO 25 ESE AHN. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0428 ..LYONS..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 132 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-005-011-013-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-097-099- 109-113-062140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK BUTLER COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON MOBILE MONROE PIKE RUSSELL FLC033-091-113-062140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA GAC021-035-053-079-145-159-169-171-193-197-207-211-215-217-225- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 132

5 months 1 week ago
WW 132 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 061500Z - 062300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 132 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1000 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern and Eastern Alabama Florida Panhandle Western and Northern Georgia Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1000 AM until 600 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Severe storm potential, including a few supercells ahead of a convective line, may increase into the afternoon across the region, with the strongest storms posing a tornado risk aside from damaging winds. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles north of Atlanta GA to 50 miles east of Mobile AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 131... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24030. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 132

5 months 1 week ago
WW 132 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 061500Z - 062300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 132 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1000 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern and Eastern Alabama Florida Panhandle Western and Northern Georgia Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1000 AM until 600 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Severe storm potential, including a few supercells ahead of a convective line, may increase into the afternoon across the region, with the strongest storms posing a tornado risk aside from damaging winds. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles north of Atlanta GA to 50 miles east of Mobile AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 131... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24030. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 062000Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and isolated tornadoes remain possible through this evening across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible northeastward into parts of the southern Appalachians and southern Virginia. ...20Z Update... The only appreciable change with this update was to trim severe probabilities behind multiple ongoing convective clusters across the Southeast. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will remain the primary severe concerns with this activity through about mid evening, after which thunderstorms should tend to weaken. ..Gleason.. 04/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1126 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025/ ...Southeast... A composite squall line with some embedded bows, along with some preceding thunderstorms and occasional transient/mostly weak supercells thus far, extends from the Alabama/Georgia border vicinity (west/southwest of Atlanta metro) southwestward into east-central Alabama and southwest Alabama near Mobile as of 1130am CDT/1230pm EDT. Multi-layer cloud cover extends across the nearby warm sector to its east, but a moist environment (upper 60s/near 70F) and some additional heating will lead to further destabilization, a change that should most appreciably occur northeastward into western/north-central Georgia owing to differential heating and essentially a northeastward-advancing warm front. The strongest forcing for ascent and deep-layer winds will lag (to the west-northeast) the composite convective line, but sufficient vertical shear extends into the warm sector to support organized storm modes including semi-discrete supercells and line-embedded bows. Damaging wind and tornado risks will exist through at least early/mid-evening. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce isolated wind damage. Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 062000Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and isolated tornadoes remain possible through this evening across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible northeastward into parts of the southern Appalachians and southern Virginia. ...20Z Update... The only appreciable change with this update was to trim severe probabilities behind multiple ongoing convective clusters across the Southeast. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will remain the primary severe concerns with this activity through about mid evening, after which thunderstorms should tend to weaken. ..Gleason.. 04/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1126 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025/ ...Southeast... A composite squall line with some embedded bows, along with some preceding thunderstorms and occasional transient/mostly weak supercells thus far, extends from the Alabama/Georgia border vicinity (west/southwest of Atlanta metro) southwestward into east-central Alabama and southwest Alabama near Mobile as of 1130am CDT/1230pm EDT. Multi-layer cloud cover extends across the nearby warm sector to its east, but a moist environment (upper 60s/near 70F) and some additional heating will lead to further destabilization, a change that should most appreciably occur northeastward into western/north-central Georgia owing to differential heating and essentially a northeastward-advancing warm front. The strongest forcing for ascent and deep-layer winds will lag (to the west-northeast) the composite convective line, but sufficient vertical shear extends into the warm sector to support organized storm modes including semi-discrete supercells and line-embedded bows. Damaging wind and tornado risks will exist through at least early/mid-evening. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce isolated wind damage. Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 062000Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and isolated tornadoes remain possible through this evening across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible northeastward into parts of the southern Appalachians and southern Virginia. ...20Z Update... The only appreciable change with this update was to trim severe probabilities behind multiple ongoing convective clusters across the Southeast. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will remain the primary severe concerns with this activity through about mid evening, after which thunderstorms should tend to weaken. ..Gleason.. 04/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1126 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025/ ...Southeast... A composite squall line with some embedded bows, along with some preceding thunderstorms and occasional transient/mostly weak supercells thus far, extends from the Alabama/Georgia border vicinity (west/southwest of Atlanta metro) southwestward into east-central Alabama and southwest Alabama near Mobile as of 1130am CDT/1230pm EDT. Multi-layer cloud cover extends across the nearby warm sector to its east, but a moist environment (upper 60s/near 70F) and some additional heating will lead to further destabilization, a change that should most appreciably occur northeastward into western/north-central Georgia owing to differential heating and essentially a northeastward-advancing warm front. The strongest forcing for ascent and deep-layer winds will lag (to the west-northeast) the composite convective line, but sufficient vertical shear extends into the warm sector to support organized storm modes including semi-discrete supercells and line-embedded bows. Damaging wind and tornado risks will exist through at least early/mid-evening. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce isolated wind damage. Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 062000Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and isolated tornadoes remain possible through this evening across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible northeastward into parts of the southern Appalachians and southern Virginia. ...20Z Update... The only appreciable change with this update was to trim severe probabilities behind multiple ongoing convective clusters across the Southeast. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will remain the primary severe concerns with this activity through about mid evening, after which thunderstorms should tend to weaken. ..Gleason.. 04/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1126 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025/ ...Southeast... A composite squall line with some embedded bows, along with some preceding thunderstorms and occasional transient/mostly weak supercells thus far, extends from the Alabama/Georgia border vicinity (west/southwest of Atlanta metro) southwestward into east-central Alabama and southwest Alabama near Mobile as of 1130am CDT/1230pm EDT. Multi-layer cloud cover extends across the nearby warm sector to its east, but a moist environment (upper 60s/near 70F) and some additional heating will lead to further destabilization, a change that should most appreciably occur northeastward into western/north-central Georgia owing to differential heating and essentially a northeastward-advancing warm front. The strongest forcing for ascent and deep-layer winds will lag (to the west-northeast) the composite convective line, but sufficient vertical shear extends into the warm sector to support organized storm modes including semi-discrete supercells and line-embedded bows. Damaging wind and tornado risks will exist through at least early/mid-evening. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce isolated wind damage. Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 062000Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and isolated tornadoes remain possible through this evening across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible northeastward into parts of the southern Appalachians and southern Virginia. ...20Z Update... The only appreciable change with this update was to trim severe probabilities behind multiple ongoing convective clusters across the Southeast. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will remain the primary severe concerns with this activity through about mid evening, after which thunderstorms should tend to weaken. ..Gleason.. 04/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1126 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025/ ...Southeast... A composite squall line with some embedded bows, along with some preceding thunderstorms and occasional transient/mostly weak supercells thus far, extends from the Alabama/Georgia border vicinity (west/southwest of Atlanta metro) southwestward into east-central Alabama and southwest Alabama near Mobile as of 1130am CDT/1230pm EDT. Multi-layer cloud cover extends across the nearby warm sector to its east, but a moist environment (upper 60s/near 70F) and some additional heating will lead to further destabilization, a change that should most appreciably occur northeastward into western/north-central Georgia owing to differential heating and essentially a northeastward-advancing warm front. The strongest forcing for ascent and deep-layer winds will lag (to the west-northeast) the composite convective line, but sufficient vertical shear extends into the warm sector to support organized storm modes including semi-discrete supercells and line-embedded bows. Damaging wind and tornado risks will exist through at least early/mid-evening. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce isolated wind damage. Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 062000Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and isolated tornadoes remain possible through this evening across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible northeastward into parts of the southern Appalachians and southern Virginia. ...20Z Update... The only appreciable change with this update was to trim severe probabilities behind multiple ongoing convective clusters across the Southeast. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will remain the primary severe concerns with this activity through about mid evening, after which thunderstorms should tend to weaken. ..Gleason.. 04/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1126 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025/ ...Southeast... A composite squall line with some embedded bows, along with some preceding thunderstorms and occasional transient/mostly weak supercells thus far, extends from the Alabama/Georgia border vicinity (west/southwest of Atlanta metro) southwestward into east-central Alabama and southwest Alabama near Mobile as of 1130am CDT/1230pm EDT. Multi-layer cloud cover extends across the nearby warm sector to its east, but a moist environment (upper 60s/near 70F) and some additional heating will lead to further destabilization, a change that should most appreciably occur northeastward into western/north-central Georgia owing to differential heating and essentially a northeastward-advancing warm front. The strongest forcing for ascent and deep-layer winds will lag (to the west-northeast) the composite convective line, but sufficient vertical shear extends into the warm sector to support organized storm modes including semi-discrete supercells and line-embedded bows. Damaging wind and tornado risks will exist through at least early/mid-evening. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce isolated wind damage. Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 062000Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and isolated tornadoes remain possible through this evening across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible northeastward into parts of the southern Appalachians and southern Virginia. ...20Z Update... The only appreciable change with this update was to trim severe probabilities behind multiple ongoing convective clusters across the Southeast. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will remain the primary severe concerns with this activity through about mid evening, after which thunderstorms should tend to weaken. ..Gleason.. 04/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1126 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025/ ...Southeast... A composite squall line with some embedded bows, along with some preceding thunderstorms and occasional transient/mostly weak supercells thus far, extends from the Alabama/Georgia border vicinity (west/southwest of Atlanta metro) southwestward into east-central Alabama and southwest Alabama near Mobile as of 1130am CDT/1230pm EDT. Multi-layer cloud cover extends across the nearby warm sector to its east, but a moist environment (upper 60s/near 70F) and some additional heating will lead to further destabilization, a change that should most appreciably occur northeastward into western/north-central Georgia owing to differential heating and essentially a northeastward-advancing warm front. The strongest forcing for ascent and deep-layer winds will lag (to the west-northeast) the composite convective line, but sufficient vertical shear extends into the warm sector to support organized storm modes including semi-discrete supercells and line-embedded bows. Damaging wind and tornado risks will exist through at least early/mid-evening. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce isolated wind damage. Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 062000Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and isolated tornadoes remain possible through this evening across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible northeastward into parts of the southern Appalachians and southern Virginia. ...20Z Update... The only appreciable change with this update was to trim severe probabilities behind multiple ongoing convective clusters across the Southeast. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will remain the primary severe concerns with this activity through about mid evening, after which thunderstorms should tend to weaken. ..Gleason.. 04/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1126 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025/ ...Southeast... A composite squall line with some embedded bows, along with some preceding thunderstorms and occasional transient/mostly weak supercells thus far, extends from the Alabama/Georgia border vicinity (west/southwest of Atlanta metro) southwestward into east-central Alabama and southwest Alabama near Mobile as of 1130am CDT/1230pm EDT. Multi-layer cloud cover extends across the nearby warm sector to its east, but a moist environment (upper 60s/near 70F) and some additional heating will lead to further destabilization, a change that should most appreciably occur northeastward into western/north-central Georgia owing to differential heating and essentially a northeastward-advancing warm front. The strongest forcing for ascent and deep-layer winds will lag (to the west-northeast) the composite convective line, but sufficient vertical shear extends into the warm sector to support organized storm modes including semi-discrete supercells and line-embedded bows. Damaging wind and tornado risks will exist through at least early/mid-evening. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce isolated wind damage. Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 062000Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and isolated tornadoes remain possible through this evening across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible northeastward into parts of the southern Appalachians and southern Virginia. ...20Z Update... The only appreciable change with this update was to trim severe probabilities behind multiple ongoing convective clusters across the Southeast. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will remain the primary severe concerns with this activity through about mid evening, after which thunderstorms should tend to weaken. ..Gleason.. 04/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1126 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025/ ...Southeast... A composite squall line with some embedded bows, along with some preceding thunderstorms and occasional transient/mostly weak supercells thus far, extends from the Alabama/Georgia border vicinity (west/southwest of Atlanta metro) southwestward into east-central Alabama and southwest Alabama near Mobile as of 1130am CDT/1230pm EDT. Multi-layer cloud cover extends across the nearby warm sector to its east, but a moist environment (upper 60s/near 70F) and some additional heating will lead to further destabilization, a change that should most appreciably occur northeastward into western/north-central Georgia owing to differential heating and essentially a northeastward-advancing warm front. The strongest forcing for ascent and deep-layer winds will lag (to the west-northeast) the composite convective line, but sufficient vertical shear extends into the warm sector to support organized storm modes including semi-discrete supercells and line-embedded bows. Damaging wind and tornado risks will exist through at least early/mid-evening. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce isolated wind damage. Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 062000Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and isolated tornadoes remain possible through this evening across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible northeastward into parts of the southern Appalachians and southern Virginia. ...20Z Update... The only appreciable change with this update was to trim severe probabilities behind multiple ongoing convective clusters across the Southeast. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will remain the primary severe concerns with this activity through about mid evening, after which thunderstorms should tend to weaken. ..Gleason.. 04/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1126 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025/ ...Southeast... A composite squall line with some embedded bows, along with some preceding thunderstorms and occasional transient/mostly weak supercells thus far, extends from the Alabama/Georgia border vicinity (west/southwest of Atlanta metro) southwestward into east-central Alabama and southwest Alabama near Mobile as of 1130am CDT/1230pm EDT. Multi-layer cloud cover extends across the nearby warm sector to its east, but a moist environment (upper 60s/near 70F) and some additional heating will lead to further destabilization, a change that should most appreciably occur northeastward into western/north-central Georgia owing to differential heating and essentially a northeastward-advancing warm front. The strongest forcing for ascent and deep-layer winds will lag (to the west-northeast) the composite convective line, but sufficient vertical shear extends into the warm sector to support organized storm modes including semi-discrete supercells and line-embedded bows. Damaging wind and tornado risks will exist through at least early/mid-evening. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce isolated wind damage. Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 062000Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and isolated tornadoes remain possible through this evening across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible northeastward into parts of the southern Appalachians and southern Virginia. ...20Z Update... The only appreciable change with this update was to trim severe probabilities behind multiple ongoing convective clusters across the Southeast. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will remain the primary severe concerns with this activity through about mid evening, after which thunderstorms should tend to weaken. ..Gleason.. 04/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1126 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025/ ...Southeast... A composite squall line with some embedded bows, along with some preceding thunderstorms and occasional transient/mostly weak supercells thus far, extends from the Alabama/Georgia border vicinity (west/southwest of Atlanta metro) southwestward into east-central Alabama and southwest Alabama near Mobile as of 1130am CDT/1230pm EDT. Multi-layer cloud cover extends across the nearby warm sector to its east, but a moist environment (upper 60s/near 70F) and some additional heating will lead to further destabilization, a change that should most appreciably occur northeastward into western/north-central Georgia owing to differential heating and essentially a northeastward-advancing warm front. The strongest forcing for ascent and deep-layer winds will lag (to the west-northeast) the composite convective line, but sufficient vertical shear extends into the warm sector to support organized storm modes including semi-discrete supercells and line-embedded bows. Damaging wind and tornado risks will exist through at least early/mid-evening. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce isolated wind damage. Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 062000Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and isolated tornadoes remain possible through this evening across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible northeastward into parts of the southern Appalachians and southern Virginia. ...20Z Update... The only appreciable change with this update was to trim severe probabilities behind multiple ongoing convective clusters across the Southeast. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will remain the primary severe concerns with this activity through about mid evening, after which thunderstorms should tend to weaken. ..Gleason.. 04/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1126 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025/ ...Southeast... A composite squall line with some embedded bows, along with some preceding thunderstorms and occasional transient/mostly weak supercells thus far, extends from the Alabama/Georgia border vicinity (west/southwest of Atlanta metro) southwestward into east-central Alabama and southwest Alabama near Mobile as of 1130am CDT/1230pm EDT. Multi-layer cloud cover extends across the nearby warm sector to its east, but a moist environment (upper 60s/near 70F) and some additional heating will lead to further destabilization, a change that should most appreciably occur northeastward into western/north-central Georgia owing to differential heating and essentially a northeastward-advancing warm front. The strongest forcing for ascent and deep-layer winds will lag (to the west-northeast) the composite convective line, but sufficient vertical shear extends into the warm sector to support organized storm modes including semi-discrete supercells and line-embedded bows. Damaging wind and tornado risks will exist through at least early/mid-evening. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce isolated wind damage. Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 062000Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and isolated tornadoes remain possible through this evening across parts of the Southeast. Marginally severe wind gusts will also be possible northeastward into parts of the southern Appalachians and southern Virginia. ...20Z Update... The only appreciable change with this update was to trim severe probabilities behind multiple ongoing convective clusters across the Southeast. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will remain the primary severe concerns with this activity through about mid evening, after which thunderstorms should tend to weaken. ..Gleason.. 04/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1126 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025/ ...Southeast... A composite squall line with some embedded bows, along with some preceding thunderstorms and occasional transient/mostly weak supercells thus far, extends from the Alabama/Georgia border vicinity (west/southwest of Atlanta metro) southwestward into east-central Alabama and southwest Alabama near Mobile as of 1130am CDT/1230pm EDT. Multi-layer cloud cover extends across the nearby warm sector to its east, but a moist environment (upper 60s/near 70F) and some additional heating will lead to further destabilization, a change that should most appreciably occur northeastward into western/north-central Georgia owing to differential heating and essentially a northeastward-advancing warm front. The strongest forcing for ascent and deep-layer winds will lag (to the west-northeast) the composite convective line, but sufficient vertical shear extends into the warm sector to support organized storm modes including semi-discrete supercells and line-embedded bows. Damaging wind and tornado risks will exist through at least early/mid-evening. ...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont... Warmer air aloft is expected to have a greater influence over these regions. With less buoyancy anticipated through the afternoon, convective intensity should remain muted. Given the strong shear across these areas, a few strong to severe storms may produce isolated wind damage. Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

5 months 1 week ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0202 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE KEYS... ...SUMMARY... Marginally severe storms may occur Tuesday night over extreme southern Florida. ...Synopsis and Discussion... On Tuesday, a deep upper trough will exist over the Great Lakes and Northeast, with a surface high spreading over much of the eastern CONUS and Gulf of America. To the south, a southern-stream wave will move across the Gulf and into FL overnight. Farther west, upper ridging will occur over the southwestern states, with progressive, low-amplitude shortwave trough affecting the northern Rockies and High Plains. ...Far southern FL... A plume of midlevel moisture will stretch from the eastern Gulf across FL for much of the day, with showers and scattered thunderstorms both ahead of and north of the southward-moving cold front. Forecast soundings reveal weak low-level winds, and marginal levels of instability due to poor lapse rates aloft. For these reasons severe storms are not forecast over most of FL. The exception may be overnight as the upper wave approaches. This may result in increasing low-level winds and shear, though still not strong. However, the increasing lift and moistening may result in a cluster or two of stronger storms, possibly affecting parts of the Keys or extreme southern FL with wind gust potential. ..Jewell.. 04/06/2025 Read more
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