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5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1143 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will begin to amplify over the Ohio Valley as
upper ridging builds in over the Interior West today. By afternoon,
an 80+ kt 500 mb jet streak will overspread a dry boundary layer
over the central/northern Plains. Downward momentum transport within
this dry boundary layer will support 15-20 mph sustained
northwesterly surface winds amid 20 percent RH. Given dry fuels
across the central/northern Plains, Elevated highlights have been
introduced where guidance consensus depicts the aforementioned
dry/windy conditions persisting for several hours. Guidance
consensus also depicts 20-25 mph sustained northwesterly surface
winds coinciding with 10-15 percent RH across portions of the
central High Plains, where Critical highlights are in place.
Additionally, by afternoon, buoyancy (albeit scant) may support
isolated, fast-moving/high-based thunderstorms over the same
portions of the central Plains that will experience dry/windy
surface conditions atop dry fuels. However, thunderstorms should be
sparse at best over most areas, and it is unclear where a locally
higher density of lightning flashes may occur, hence no isolated dry
thunderstorms highlights introduced this outlook.
..Squitieri.. 04/09/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1143 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will begin to amplify over the Ohio Valley as
upper ridging builds in over the Interior West today. By afternoon,
an 80+ kt 500 mb jet streak will overspread a dry boundary layer
over the central/northern Plains. Downward momentum transport within
this dry boundary layer will support 15-20 mph sustained
northwesterly surface winds amid 20 percent RH. Given dry fuels
across the central/northern Plains, Elevated highlights have been
introduced where guidance consensus depicts the aforementioned
dry/windy conditions persisting for several hours. Guidance
consensus also depicts 20-25 mph sustained northwesterly surface
winds coinciding with 10-15 percent RH across portions of the
central High Plains, where Critical highlights are in place.
Additionally, by afternoon, buoyancy (albeit scant) may support
isolated, fast-moving/high-based thunderstorms over the same
portions of the central Plains that will experience dry/windy
surface conditions atop dry fuels. However, thunderstorms should be
sparse at best over most areas, and it is unclear where a locally
higher density of lightning flashes may occur, hence no isolated dry
thunderstorms highlights introduced this outlook.
..Squitieri.. 04/09/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0755 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 090100Z - 091200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Organized severe weather is not expected through Wednesday morning.
Isolated strong storms remain possible over the next few hours in
South Florida and the Keys as well as western South Dakota.
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough continues to approach the Florida Peninsula this
evening. A weak surface boundary that is currently offshore may
provide some focus for thunderstorms tonight. Another shortwave
trough in Montana is responsible for isolated strong convection
moving into western South Dakota. This activity may continue another
couple of hours before weakening.
...South Dakota...
The low-level airmass is quite dry; however, moisture is sufficient
for isolated convection on the southern fringe of the shortwave
trough. Small hail may occur with this activity, but the dry
boundary layer is more likely to support strong to potentially
marginally severe wind gusts. Activity should weaken over the next
couple of hours and coverage will remain too isolated for adding
severe probabilities.
...South Florida/Keys...
The approach of the shortwave trough may promote a modest increase
in convection along and near the surface boundary. Given diminishing
surface temperatures and increase MLCIN, storms will become
increasingly elevated with time. A strong gust could occur with the
strongest storms, but this potential should remain spatially
limited.
..Wendt.. 04/09/2025
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0755 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 090100Z - 091200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Organized severe weather is not expected through Wednesday morning.
Isolated strong storms remain possible over the next few hours in
South Florida and the Keys as well as western South Dakota.
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough continues to approach the Florida Peninsula this
evening. A weak surface boundary that is currently offshore may
provide some focus for thunderstorms tonight. Another shortwave
trough in Montana is responsible for isolated strong convection
moving into western South Dakota. This activity may continue another
couple of hours before weakening.
...South Dakota...
The low-level airmass is quite dry; however, moisture is sufficient
for isolated convection on the southern fringe of the shortwave
trough. Small hail may occur with this activity, but the dry
boundary layer is more likely to support strong to potentially
marginally severe wind gusts. Activity should weaken over the next
couple of hours and coverage will remain too isolated for adding
severe probabilities.
...South Florida/Keys...
The approach of the shortwave trough may promote a modest increase
in convection along and near the surface boundary. Given diminishing
surface temperatures and increase MLCIN, storms will become
increasingly elevated with time. A strong gust could occur with the
strongest storms, but this potential should remain spatially
limited.
..Wendt.. 04/09/2025
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0755 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 090100Z - 091200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Organized severe weather is not expected through Wednesday morning.
Isolated strong storms remain possible over the next few hours in
South Florida and the Keys as well as western South Dakota.
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough continues to approach the Florida Peninsula this
evening. A weak surface boundary that is currently offshore may
provide some focus for thunderstorms tonight. Another shortwave
trough in Montana is responsible for isolated strong convection
moving into western South Dakota. This activity may continue another
couple of hours before weakening.
...South Dakota...
The low-level airmass is quite dry; however, moisture is sufficient
for isolated convection on the southern fringe of the shortwave
trough. Small hail may occur with this activity, but the dry
boundary layer is more likely to support strong to potentially
marginally severe wind gusts. Activity should weaken over the next
couple of hours and coverage will remain too isolated for adding
severe probabilities.
...South Florida/Keys...
The approach of the shortwave trough may promote a modest increase
in convection along and near the surface boundary. Given diminishing
surface temperatures and increase MLCIN, storms will become
increasingly elevated with time. A strong gust could occur with the
strongest storms, but this potential should remain spatially
limited.
..Wendt.. 04/09/2025
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0755 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 090100Z - 091200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Organized severe weather is not expected through Wednesday morning.
Isolated strong storms remain possible over the next few hours in
South Florida and the Keys as well as western South Dakota.
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough continues to approach the Florida Peninsula this
evening. A weak surface boundary that is currently offshore may
provide some focus for thunderstorms tonight. Another shortwave
trough in Montana is responsible for isolated strong convection
moving into western South Dakota. This activity may continue another
couple of hours before weakening.
...South Dakota...
The low-level airmass is quite dry; however, moisture is sufficient
for isolated convection on the southern fringe of the shortwave
trough. Small hail may occur with this activity, but the dry
boundary layer is more likely to support strong to potentially
marginally severe wind gusts. Activity should weaken over the next
couple of hours and coverage will remain too isolated for adding
severe probabilities.
...South Florida/Keys...
The approach of the shortwave trough may promote a modest increase
in convection along and near the surface boundary. Given diminishing
surface temperatures and increase MLCIN, storms will become
increasingly elevated with time. A strong gust could occur with the
strongest storms, but this potential should remain spatially
limited.
..Wendt.. 04/09/2025
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0755 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 090100Z - 091200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Organized severe weather is not expected through Wednesday morning.
Isolated strong storms remain possible over the next few hours in
South Florida and the Keys as well as western South Dakota.
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough continues to approach the Florida Peninsula this
evening. A weak surface boundary that is currently offshore may
provide some focus for thunderstorms tonight. Another shortwave
trough in Montana is responsible for isolated strong convection
moving into western South Dakota. This activity may continue another
couple of hours before weakening.
...South Dakota...
The low-level airmass is quite dry; however, moisture is sufficient
for isolated convection on the southern fringe of the shortwave
trough. Small hail may occur with this activity, but the dry
boundary layer is more likely to support strong to potentially
marginally severe wind gusts. Activity should weaken over the next
couple of hours and coverage will remain too isolated for adding
severe probabilities.
...South Florida/Keys...
The approach of the shortwave trough may promote a modest increase
in convection along and near the surface boundary. Given diminishing
surface temperatures and increase MLCIN, storms will become
increasingly elevated with time. A strong gust could occur with the
strongest storms, but this potential should remain spatially
limited.
..Wendt.. 04/09/2025
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
No watches are valid as of Tue Apr 8 22:16:01 UTC 2025.
5 months 1 week ago
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Tue Apr 8 22:16:01 UTC 2025.
5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0457 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 101200Z - 161200Z
An amplifying mid-level trough will bring cooler temperatures and
precipitation to much of the eastern U.S. through day 4/Friday. A
strengthening high pressure ridge will promote potentially record
setting heat across portions of the southwest desert and
Intermountain regions beginning day 3/Thursday, lasting through the
weekend (day 5 and 6). Model guidance consensus remains good in
bringing an upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest day
5/Saturday along with a subtropical jet component that should
promote widespread Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions
across the Desert Southwest on Saturday, spreading into the central
and southern high Plains Sunday. Forecast uncertainty increases
early next week but muted signals remain for at least some fire
weather threat across portions of the southern Plains.
...Day 5/Saturday - Day 6/Sunday: Desert Southwest and High
Plains...
Critical fire weather conditions are possible across a large
portions of the Desert Southwest on Day 5/Saturday in response to
the encroaching upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest and
subtropical jet influence atop a very dry boundary layer and dry
fuels. An area of 40 percent Critical probabilities was introduced
for portions of southeast Arizona, where fuels will undergo several
more days of drying, into much of New Mexico and southern Colorado
for Saturday. Synoptically driven fire weather threat will continue
for New Mexico but shift further into the central High Plains and
front range of the Rockies as the trough translates eastward on day
6/Sunday.
..Moore/Williams.. 04/08/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0457 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 101200Z - 161200Z
An amplifying mid-level trough will bring cooler temperatures and
precipitation to much of the eastern U.S. through day 4/Friday. A
strengthening high pressure ridge will promote potentially record
setting heat across portions of the southwest desert and
Intermountain regions beginning day 3/Thursday, lasting through the
weekend (day 5 and 6). Model guidance consensus remains good in
bringing an upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest day
5/Saturday along with a subtropical jet component that should
promote widespread Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions
across the Desert Southwest on Saturday, spreading into the central
and southern high Plains Sunday. Forecast uncertainty increases
early next week but muted signals remain for at least some fire
weather threat across portions of the southern Plains.
...Day 5/Saturday - Day 6/Sunday: Desert Southwest and High
Plains...
Critical fire weather conditions are possible across a large
portions of the Desert Southwest on Day 5/Saturday in response to
the encroaching upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest and
subtropical jet influence atop a very dry boundary layer and dry
fuels. An area of 40 percent Critical probabilities was introduced
for portions of southeast Arizona, where fuels will undergo several
more days of drying, into much of New Mexico and southern Colorado
for Saturday. Synoptically driven fire weather threat will continue
for New Mexico but shift further into the central High Plains and
front range of the Rockies as the trough translates eastward on day
6/Sunday.
..Moore/Williams.. 04/08/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0457 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 101200Z - 161200Z
An amplifying mid-level trough will bring cooler temperatures and
precipitation to much of the eastern U.S. through day 4/Friday. A
strengthening high pressure ridge will promote potentially record
setting heat across portions of the southwest desert and
Intermountain regions beginning day 3/Thursday, lasting through the
weekend (day 5 and 6). Model guidance consensus remains good in
bringing an upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest day
5/Saturday along with a subtropical jet component that should
promote widespread Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions
across the Desert Southwest on Saturday, spreading into the central
and southern high Plains Sunday. Forecast uncertainty increases
early next week but muted signals remain for at least some fire
weather threat across portions of the southern Plains.
...Day 5/Saturday - Day 6/Sunday: Desert Southwest and High
Plains...
Critical fire weather conditions are possible across a large
portions of the Desert Southwest on Day 5/Saturday in response to
the encroaching upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest and
subtropical jet influence atop a very dry boundary layer and dry
fuels. An area of 40 percent Critical probabilities was introduced
for portions of southeast Arizona, where fuels will undergo several
more days of drying, into much of New Mexico and southern Colorado
for Saturday. Synoptically driven fire weather threat will continue
for New Mexico but shift further into the central High Plains and
front range of the Rockies as the trough translates eastward on day
6/Sunday.
..Moore/Williams.. 04/08/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0457 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 101200Z - 161200Z
An amplifying mid-level trough will bring cooler temperatures and
precipitation to much of the eastern U.S. through day 4/Friday. A
strengthening high pressure ridge will promote potentially record
setting heat across portions of the southwest desert and
Intermountain regions beginning day 3/Thursday, lasting through the
weekend (day 5 and 6). Model guidance consensus remains good in
bringing an upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest day
5/Saturday along with a subtropical jet component that should
promote widespread Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions
across the Desert Southwest on Saturday, spreading into the central
and southern high Plains Sunday. Forecast uncertainty increases
early next week but muted signals remain for at least some fire
weather threat across portions of the southern Plains.
...Day 5/Saturday - Day 6/Sunday: Desert Southwest and High
Plains...
Critical fire weather conditions are possible across a large
portions of the Desert Southwest on Day 5/Saturday in response to
the encroaching upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest and
subtropical jet influence atop a very dry boundary layer and dry
fuels. An area of 40 percent Critical probabilities was introduced
for portions of southeast Arizona, where fuels will undergo several
more days of drying, into much of New Mexico and southern Colorado
for Saturday. Synoptically driven fire weather threat will continue
for New Mexico but shift further into the central High Plains and
front range of the Rockies as the trough translates eastward on day
6/Sunday.
..Moore/Williams.. 04/08/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0457 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 101200Z - 161200Z
An amplifying mid-level trough will bring cooler temperatures and
precipitation to much of the eastern U.S. through day 4/Friday. A
strengthening high pressure ridge will promote potentially record
setting heat across portions of the southwest desert and
Intermountain regions beginning day 3/Thursday, lasting through the
weekend (day 5 and 6). Model guidance consensus remains good in
bringing an upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest day
5/Saturday along with a subtropical jet component that should
promote widespread Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions
across the Desert Southwest on Saturday, spreading into the central
and southern high Plains Sunday. Forecast uncertainty increases
early next week but muted signals remain for at least some fire
weather threat across portions of the southern Plains.
...Day 5/Saturday - Day 6/Sunday: Desert Southwest and High
Plains...
Critical fire weather conditions are possible across a large
portions of the Desert Southwest on Day 5/Saturday in response to
the encroaching upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest and
subtropical jet influence atop a very dry boundary layer and dry
fuels. An area of 40 percent Critical probabilities was introduced
for portions of southeast Arizona, where fuels will undergo several
more days of drying, into much of New Mexico and southern Colorado
for Saturday. Synoptically driven fire weather threat will continue
for New Mexico but shift further into the central High Plains and
front range of the Rockies as the trough translates eastward on day
6/Sunday.
..Moore/Williams.. 04/08/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0258 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...
Accelerating mid-level flow associated with an approaching 500 mb
jet max will overspread the central Rockies, into the central High
Plains tomorrow (Wednesday). This will promote stronger downslope
west-northwest surface winds across portions of the central High
Plains and adjacent front range areas. Although temperatures will be
cooler owing to a post-frontal air mass, afternoon relative humidity
is likely to fall to around 10 percent in a few locations. The dry
air mass coupled with gusty winds and dry fuels is expected to
generate Critical fire weather conditions across southeastern
Wyoming extending southeastward into far northwestern Kansas.
In addition, stronger northwest surface winds and relative humidity
falling to the 20 to 30 percent range combined with sufficient
available dry, fine fuels are expected tomorrow as well across a
broad area from southeastern Montana into portions of South Dakota
and far northwestern Iowa. Therefore, Elevated highlights were
introduced to cover the heightened wildfire spread potential.
..Moore/Williams.. 04/08/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1144 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify over the central U.S., with an
embedded 500 mb speed max poised to overspread the central Plains
tomorrow (Wednesday). As surface high pressure builds over the
northern Rockies, downslope flow across the central High Plains will
promote another day of dry/windy conditions. 15-25 mph sustained
westerly surface flow amid 20 percent RH will overspread dry fuels,
warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Elsewhere across
the central and southern High Plains, modestly dry and breezy
conditions may develop and overspread fuels that have recently
experienced appreciable precipitation accumulations, with no fire
weather highlights introduced at this time.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0258 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...
Accelerating mid-level flow associated with an approaching 500 mb
jet max will overspread the central Rockies, into the central High
Plains tomorrow (Wednesday). This will promote stronger downslope
west-northwest surface winds across portions of the central High
Plains and adjacent front range areas. Although temperatures will be
cooler owing to a post-frontal air mass, afternoon relative humidity
is likely to fall to around 10 percent in a few locations. The dry
air mass coupled with gusty winds and dry fuels is expected to
generate Critical fire weather conditions across southeastern
Wyoming extending southeastward into far northwestern Kansas.
In addition, stronger northwest surface winds and relative humidity
falling to the 20 to 30 percent range combined with sufficient
available dry, fine fuels are expected tomorrow as well across a
broad area from southeastern Montana into portions of South Dakota
and far northwestern Iowa. Therefore, Elevated highlights were
introduced to cover the heightened wildfire spread potential.
..Moore/Williams.. 04/08/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1144 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify over the central U.S., with an
embedded 500 mb speed max poised to overspread the central Plains
tomorrow (Wednesday). As surface high pressure builds over the
northern Rockies, downslope flow across the central High Plains will
promote another day of dry/windy conditions. 15-25 mph sustained
westerly surface flow amid 20 percent RH will overspread dry fuels,
warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Elsewhere across
the central and southern High Plains, modestly dry and breezy
conditions may develop and overspread fuels that have recently
experienced appreciable precipitation accumulations, with no fire
weather highlights introduced at this time.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0258 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...
Accelerating mid-level flow associated with an approaching 500 mb
jet max will overspread the central Rockies, into the central High
Plains tomorrow (Wednesday). This will promote stronger downslope
west-northwest surface winds across portions of the central High
Plains and adjacent front range areas. Although temperatures will be
cooler owing to a post-frontal air mass, afternoon relative humidity
is likely to fall to around 10 percent in a few locations. The dry
air mass coupled with gusty winds and dry fuels is expected to
generate Critical fire weather conditions across southeastern
Wyoming extending southeastward into far northwestern Kansas.
In addition, stronger northwest surface winds and relative humidity
falling to the 20 to 30 percent range combined with sufficient
available dry, fine fuels are expected tomorrow as well across a
broad area from southeastern Montana into portions of South Dakota
and far northwestern Iowa. Therefore, Elevated highlights were
introduced to cover the heightened wildfire spread potential.
..Moore/Williams.. 04/08/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1144 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify over the central U.S., with an
embedded 500 mb speed max poised to overspread the central Plains
tomorrow (Wednesday). As surface high pressure builds over the
northern Rockies, downslope flow across the central High Plains will
promote another day of dry/windy conditions. 15-25 mph sustained
westerly surface flow amid 20 percent RH will overspread dry fuels,
warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Elsewhere across
the central and southern High Plains, modestly dry and breezy
conditions may develop and overspread fuels that have recently
experienced appreciable precipitation accumulations, with no fire
weather highlights introduced at this time.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0258 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...
Accelerating mid-level flow associated with an approaching 500 mb
jet max will overspread the central Rockies, into the central High
Plains tomorrow (Wednesday). This will promote stronger downslope
west-northwest surface winds across portions of the central High
Plains and adjacent front range areas. Although temperatures will be
cooler owing to a post-frontal air mass, afternoon relative humidity
is likely to fall to around 10 percent in a few locations. The dry
air mass coupled with gusty winds and dry fuels is expected to
generate Critical fire weather conditions across southeastern
Wyoming extending southeastward into far northwestern Kansas.
In addition, stronger northwest surface winds and relative humidity
falling to the 20 to 30 percent range combined with sufficient
available dry, fine fuels are expected tomorrow as well across a
broad area from southeastern Montana into portions of South Dakota
and far northwestern Iowa. Therefore, Elevated highlights were
introduced to cover the heightened wildfire spread potential.
..Moore/Williams.. 04/08/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1144 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify over the central U.S., with an
embedded 500 mb speed max poised to overspread the central Plains
tomorrow (Wednesday). As surface high pressure builds over the
northern Rockies, downslope flow across the central High Plains will
promote another day of dry/windy conditions. 15-25 mph sustained
westerly surface flow amid 20 percent RH will overspread dry fuels,
warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Elsewhere across
the central and southern High Plains, modestly dry and breezy
conditions may develop and overspread fuels that have recently
experienced appreciable precipitation accumulations, with no fire
weather highlights introduced at this time.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0258 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...
Accelerating mid-level flow associated with an approaching 500 mb
jet max will overspread the central Rockies, into the central High
Plains tomorrow (Wednesday). This will promote stronger downslope
west-northwest surface winds across portions of the central High
Plains and adjacent front range areas. Although temperatures will be
cooler owing to a post-frontal air mass, afternoon relative humidity
is likely to fall to around 10 percent in a few locations. The dry
air mass coupled with gusty winds and dry fuels is expected to
generate Critical fire weather conditions across southeastern
Wyoming extending southeastward into far northwestern Kansas.
In addition, stronger northwest surface winds and relative humidity
falling to the 20 to 30 percent range combined with sufficient
available dry, fine fuels are expected tomorrow as well across a
broad area from southeastern Montana into portions of South Dakota
and far northwestern Iowa. Therefore, Elevated highlights were
introduced to cover the heightened wildfire spread potential.
..Moore/Williams.. 04/08/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1144 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify over the central U.S., with an
embedded 500 mb speed max poised to overspread the central Plains
tomorrow (Wednesday). As surface high pressure builds over the
northern Rockies, downslope flow across the central High Plains will
promote another day of dry/windy conditions. 15-25 mph sustained
westerly surface flow amid 20 percent RH will overspread dry fuels,
warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Elsewhere across
the central and southern High Plains, modestly dry and breezy
conditions may develop and overspread fuels that have recently
experienced appreciable precipitation accumulations, with no fire
weather highlights introduced at this time.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0258 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...
Accelerating mid-level flow associated with an approaching 500 mb
jet max will overspread the central Rockies, into the central High
Plains tomorrow (Wednesday). This will promote stronger downslope
west-northwest surface winds across portions of the central High
Plains and adjacent front range areas. Although temperatures will be
cooler owing to a post-frontal air mass, afternoon relative humidity
is likely to fall to around 10 percent in a few locations. The dry
air mass coupled with gusty winds and dry fuels is expected to
generate Critical fire weather conditions across southeastern
Wyoming extending southeastward into far northwestern Kansas.
In addition, stronger northwest surface winds and relative humidity
falling to the 20 to 30 percent range combined with sufficient
available dry, fine fuels are expected tomorrow as well across a
broad area from southeastern Montana into portions of South Dakota
and far northwestern Iowa. Therefore, Elevated highlights were
introduced to cover the heightened wildfire spread potential.
..Moore/Williams.. 04/08/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1144 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025/
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify over the central U.S., with an
embedded 500 mb speed max poised to overspread the central Plains
tomorrow (Wednesday). As surface high pressure builds over the
northern Rockies, downslope flow across the central High Plains will
promote another day of dry/windy conditions. 15-25 mph sustained
westerly surface flow amid 20 percent RH will overspread dry fuels,
warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Elsewhere across
the central and southern High Plains, modestly dry and breezy
conditions may develop and overspread fuels that have recently
experienced appreciable precipitation accumulations, with no fire
weather highlights introduced at this time.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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