Severe Storms

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify over the central U.S., with an embedded 500 mb speed max poised to overspread the central Plains tomorrow (Wednesday). As surface high pressure builds over the northern Rockies, downslope flow across the central High Plains will promote another day of dry/windy conditions. 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface flow amid 20 percent RH will overspread dry fuels, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Elsewhere across the central and southern High Plains, modestly dry and breezy conditions may develop and overspread fuels that have recently experienced appreciable precipitation accumulations, with no fire weather highlights introduced at this time. ..Squitieri.. 04/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify over the central U.S., with an embedded 500 mb speed max poised to overspread the central Plains tomorrow (Wednesday). As surface high pressure builds over the northern Rockies, downslope flow across the central High Plains will promote another day of dry/windy conditions. 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface flow amid 20 percent RH will overspread dry fuels, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Elsewhere across the central and southern High Plains, modestly dry and breezy conditions may develop and overspread fuels that have recently experienced appreciable precipitation accumulations, with no fire weather highlights introduced at this time. ..Squitieri.. 04/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify over the central U.S., with an embedded 500 mb speed max poised to overspread the central Plains tomorrow (Wednesday). As surface high pressure builds over the northern Rockies, downslope flow across the central High Plains will promote another day of dry/windy conditions. 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface flow amid 20 percent RH will overspread dry fuels, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Elsewhere across the central and southern High Plains, modestly dry and breezy conditions may develop and overspread fuels that have recently experienced appreciable precipitation accumulations, with no fire weather highlights introduced at this time. ..Squitieri.. 04/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify over the central U.S., with an embedded 500 mb speed max poised to overspread the central Plains tomorrow (Wednesday). As surface high pressure builds over the northern Rockies, downslope flow across the central High Plains will promote another day of dry/windy conditions. 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface flow amid 20 percent RH will overspread dry fuels, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Elsewhere across the central and southern High Plains, modestly dry and breezy conditions may develop and overspread fuels that have recently experienced appreciable precipitation accumulations, with no fire weather highlights introduced at this time. ..Squitieri.. 04/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify over the central U.S., with an embedded 500 mb speed max poised to overspread the central Plains tomorrow (Wednesday). As surface high pressure builds over the northern Rockies, downslope flow across the central High Plains will promote another day of dry/windy conditions. 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface flow amid 20 percent RH will overspread dry fuels, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Elsewhere across the central and southern High Plains, modestly dry and breezy conditions may develop and overspread fuels that have recently experienced appreciable precipitation accumulations, with no fire weather highlights introduced at this time. ..Squitieri.. 04/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify over the central U.S., with an embedded 500 mb speed max poised to overspread the central Plains tomorrow (Wednesday). As surface high pressure builds over the northern Rockies, downslope flow across the central High Plains will promote another day of dry/windy conditions. 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface flow amid 20 percent RH will overspread dry fuels, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Elsewhere across the central and southern High Plains, modestly dry and breezy conditions may develop and overspread fuels that have recently experienced appreciable precipitation accumulations, with no fire weather highlights introduced at this time. ..Squitieri.. 04/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal flow will become established across the CONUS, with multiple embedded impulses expected to progress eastward within the zonal flow regime. One such mid-level impulse will overspread the central Rockies this afternoon, supporting surface cyclone development over the Plains states. Downslope flow is likely over the central High Plains, with the latest guidance consensus showing 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds coinciding with 20 percent RH, warranting the maintenance of Elevated highlights given modestly dry fuels. Occasionally dry and windy conditions are also possible across portions of the central and southern High Plains, though recent appreciable precipitation accumulations have dampened fuels, precluding fire weather highlights. ..Squitieri.. 04/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal flow will become established across the CONUS, with multiple embedded impulses expected to progress eastward within the zonal flow regime. One such mid-level impulse will overspread the central Rockies this afternoon, supporting surface cyclone development over the Plains states. Downslope flow is likely over the central High Plains, with the latest guidance consensus showing 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds coinciding with 20 percent RH, warranting the maintenance of Elevated highlights given modestly dry fuels. Occasionally dry and windy conditions are also possible across portions of the central and southern High Plains, though recent appreciable precipitation accumulations have dampened fuels, precluding fire weather highlights. ..Squitieri.. 04/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal flow will become established across the CONUS, with multiple embedded impulses expected to progress eastward within the zonal flow regime. One such mid-level impulse will overspread the central Rockies this afternoon, supporting surface cyclone development over the Plains states. Downslope flow is likely over the central High Plains, with the latest guidance consensus showing 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds coinciding with 20 percent RH, warranting the maintenance of Elevated highlights given modestly dry fuels. Occasionally dry and windy conditions are also possible across portions of the central and southern High Plains, though recent appreciable precipitation accumulations have dampened fuels, precluding fire weather highlights. ..Squitieri.. 04/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal flow will become established across the CONUS, with multiple embedded impulses expected to progress eastward within the zonal flow regime. One such mid-level impulse will overspread the central Rockies this afternoon, supporting surface cyclone development over the Plains states. Downslope flow is likely over the central High Plains, with the latest guidance consensus showing 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds coinciding with 20 percent RH, warranting the maintenance of Elevated highlights given modestly dry fuels. Occasionally dry and windy conditions are also possible across portions of the central and southern High Plains, though recent appreciable precipitation accumulations have dampened fuels, precluding fire weather highlights. ..Squitieri.. 04/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal flow will become established across the CONUS, with multiple embedded impulses expected to progress eastward within the zonal flow regime. One such mid-level impulse will overspread the central Rockies this afternoon, supporting surface cyclone development over the Plains states. Downslope flow is likely over the central High Plains, with the latest guidance consensus showing 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds coinciding with 20 percent RH, warranting the maintenance of Elevated highlights given modestly dry fuels. Occasionally dry and windy conditions are also possible across portions of the central and southern High Plains, though recent appreciable precipitation accumulations have dampened fuels, precluding fire weather highlights. ..Squitieri.. 04/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal flow will become established across the CONUS, with multiple embedded impulses expected to progress eastward within the zonal flow regime. One such mid-level impulse will overspread the central Rockies this afternoon, supporting surface cyclone development over the Plains states. Downslope flow is likely over the central High Plains, with the latest guidance consensus showing 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds coinciding with 20 percent RH, warranting the maintenance of Elevated highlights given modestly dry fuels. Occasionally dry and windy conditions are also possible across portions of the central and southern High Plains, though recent appreciable precipitation accumulations have dampened fuels, precluding fire weather highlights. ..Squitieri.. 04/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal flow will become established across the CONUS, with multiple embedded impulses expected to progress eastward within the zonal flow regime. One such mid-level impulse will overspread the central Rockies this afternoon, supporting surface cyclone development over the Plains states. Downslope flow is likely over the central High Plains, with the latest guidance consensus showing 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds coinciding with 20 percent RH, warranting the maintenance of Elevated highlights given modestly dry fuels. Occasionally dry and windy conditions are also possible across portions of the central and southern High Plains, though recent appreciable precipitation accumulations have dampened fuels, precluding fire weather highlights. ..Squitieri.. 04/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0134 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 134 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW CRE TO 35 SSW GSB TO 10 NNE GSB TO 40 ESE RZZ TO 35 ESE ORF. ..SPC..04/08/25 ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...ILM...RAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 134 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC017-019-047-061-079-107-117-129-133-141-147-163-191-195- 080240- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLADEN BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS DUPLIN GREENE LENOIR MARTIN NEW HANOVER ONSLOW PENDER PITT SAMPSON WAYNE WILSON SCC043-051-080240- SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GEORGETOWN HORRY AMZ136-137-080240- CW Read more

MD 0439 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 134... FOR EASTERN CAROLINAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0439 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0648 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Areas affected...Eastern Carolinas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134... Valid 072348Z - 080115Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134 continues. SUMMARY...Strong, to locally severe, thunderstorms will spread across the eastern Carolinas this evening. DISCUSSION...Pre-frontal confluence zone extends across the Coastal Carolinas early this evening. Over the last half hour or so, some increase in intensity has been noted with convection from near FLO-MEB. This activity has gradually evolved into a line segment, and damaging winds may become a threat if a bowing-type structure ultimately evolves. Damaging winds are the greatest risk with organized convection this evening. ..Darrow.. 04/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE... LAT...LON 33448059 36707725 36707508 33457851 33448059 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe storms capable of wind damage and perhaps a brief tornado are possible in parts of eastern North Carolina into mid-evening before activity moves offshore. ...Synopsis... A large upper-level trough continues eastward this evening and is supporting convection along a cold front near the southeastern Atlantic coastline. This front is nearly offshore in southeastern Georgia and much of coastal South Carolina. In eastern North Carolina, the front will reach the coast sometime in the 10 PM - 12 AM EDT. ...Eastern North Carolina... One more prominent linear segment is moving northeastward south of a warm front just south of the Virginia border. The observed 00Z sounding from Morehead showed poor mid-level lapse rates. Objective mesoanalysis suggests MLCAPE may be around 250-500 J/kg. Continued forcing from the approaching trough and strong effective shear (45-55 kts) will support a few more hours of wind damage and brief tornado potential this evening. ..Wendt.. 04/08/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe storms capable of wind damage and perhaps a brief tornado are possible in parts of eastern North Carolina into mid-evening before activity moves offshore. ...Synopsis... A large upper-level trough continues eastward this evening and is supporting convection along a cold front near the southeastern Atlantic coastline. This front is nearly offshore in southeastern Georgia and much of coastal South Carolina. In eastern North Carolina, the front will reach the coast sometime in the 10 PM - 12 AM EDT. ...Eastern North Carolina... One more prominent linear segment is moving northeastward south of a warm front just south of the Virginia border. The observed 00Z sounding from Morehead showed poor mid-level lapse rates. Objective mesoanalysis suggests MLCAPE may be around 250-500 J/kg. Continued forcing from the approaching trough and strong effective shear (45-55 kts) will support a few more hours of wind damage and brief tornado potential this evening. ..Wendt.. 04/08/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe storms capable of wind damage and perhaps a brief tornado are possible in parts of eastern North Carolina into mid-evening before activity moves offshore. ...Synopsis... A large upper-level trough continues eastward this evening and is supporting convection along a cold front near the southeastern Atlantic coastline. This front is nearly offshore in southeastern Georgia and much of coastal South Carolina. In eastern North Carolina, the front will reach the coast sometime in the 10 PM - 12 AM EDT. ...Eastern North Carolina... One more prominent linear segment is moving northeastward south of a warm front just south of the Virginia border. The observed 00Z sounding from Morehead showed poor mid-level lapse rates. Objective mesoanalysis suggests MLCAPE may be around 250-500 J/kg. Continued forcing from the approaching trough and strong effective shear (45-55 kts) will support a few more hours of wind damage and brief tornado potential this evening. ..Wendt.. 04/08/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe storms capable of wind damage and perhaps a brief tornado are possible in parts of eastern North Carolina into mid-evening before activity moves offshore. ...Synopsis... A large upper-level trough continues eastward this evening and is supporting convection along a cold front near the southeastern Atlantic coastline. This front is nearly offshore in southeastern Georgia and much of coastal South Carolina. In eastern North Carolina, the front will reach the coast sometime in the 10 PM - 12 AM EDT. ...Eastern North Carolina... One more prominent linear segment is moving northeastward south of a warm front just south of the Virginia border. The observed 00Z sounding from Morehead showed poor mid-level lapse rates. Objective mesoanalysis suggests MLCAPE may be around 250-500 J/kg. Continued forcing from the approaching trough and strong effective shear (45-55 kts) will support a few more hours of wind damage and brief tornado potential this evening. ..Wendt.. 04/08/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe storms capable of wind damage and perhaps a brief tornado are possible in parts of eastern North Carolina into mid-evening before activity moves offshore. ...Synopsis... A large upper-level trough continues eastward this evening and is supporting convection along a cold front near the southeastern Atlantic coastline. This front is nearly offshore in southeastern Georgia and much of coastal South Carolina. In eastern North Carolina, the front will reach the coast sometime in the 10 PM - 12 AM EDT. ...Eastern North Carolina... One more prominent linear segment is moving northeastward south of a warm front just south of the Virginia border. The observed 00Z sounding from Morehead showed poor mid-level lapse rates. Objective mesoanalysis suggests MLCAPE may be around 250-500 J/kg. Continued forcing from the approaching trough and strong effective shear (45-55 kts) will support a few more hours of wind damage and brief tornado potential this evening. ..Wendt.. 04/08/2025 Read more