Severe Storms

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe storms capable of wind damage and perhaps a brief tornado are possible in parts of eastern North Carolina into mid-evening before activity moves offshore. ...Synopsis... A large upper-level trough continues eastward this evening and is supporting convection along a cold front near the southeastern Atlantic coastline. This front is nearly offshore in southeastern Georgia and much of coastal South Carolina. In eastern North Carolina, the front will reach the coast sometime in the 10 PM - 12 AM EDT. ...Eastern North Carolina... One more prominent linear segment is moving northeastward south of a warm front just south of the Virginia border. The observed 00Z sounding from Morehead showed poor mid-level lapse rates. Objective mesoanalysis suggests MLCAPE may be around 250-500 J/kg. Continued forcing from the approaching trough and strong effective shear (45-55 kts) will support a few more hours of wind damage and brief tornado potential this evening. ..Wendt.. 04/08/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe storms capable of wind damage and perhaps a brief tornado are possible in parts of eastern North Carolina into mid-evening before activity moves offshore. ...Synopsis... A large upper-level trough continues eastward this evening and is supporting convection along a cold front near the southeastern Atlantic coastline. This front is nearly offshore in southeastern Georgia and much of coastal South Carolina. In eastern North Carolina, the front will reach the coast sometime in the 10 PM - 12 AM EDT. ...Eastern North Carolina... One more prominent linear segment is moving northeastward south of a warm front just south of the Virginia border. The observed 00Z sounding from Morehead showed poor mid-level lapse rates. Objective mesoanalysis suggests MLCAPE may be around 250-500 J/kg. Continued forcing from the approaching trough and strong effective shear (45-55 kts) will support a few more hours of wind damage and brief tornado potential this evening. ..Wendt.. 04/08/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe storms capable of wind damage and perhaps a brief tornado are possible in parts of eastern North Carolina into mid-evening before activity moves offshore. ...Synopsis... A large upper-level trough continues eastward this evening and is supporting convection along a cold front near the southeastern Atlantic coastline. This front is nearly offshore in southeastern Georgia and much of coastal South Carolina. In eastern North Carolina, the front will reach the coast sometime in the 10 PM - 12 AM EDT. ...Eastern North Carolina... One more prominent linear segment is moving northeastward south of a warm front just south of the Virginia border. The observed 00Z sounding from Morehead showed poor mid-level lapse rates. Objective mesoanalysis suggests MLCAPE may be around 250-500 J/kg. Continued forcing from the approaching trough and strong effective shear (45-55 kts) will support a few more hours of wind damage and brief tornado potential this evening. ..Wendt.. 04/08/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe storms capable of wind damage and perhaps a brief tornado are possible in parts of eastern North Carolina into mid-evening before activity moves offshore. ...Synopsis... A large upper-level trough continues eastward this evening and is supporting convection along a cold front near the southeastern Atlantic coastline. This front is nearly offshore in southeastern Georgia and much of coastal South Carolina. In eastern North Carolina, the front will reach the coast sometime in the 10 PM - 12 AM EDT. ...Eastern North Carolina... One more prominent linear segment is moving northeastward south of a warm front just south of the Virginia border. The observed 00Z sounding from Morehead showed poor mid-level lapse rates. Objective mesoanalysis suggests MLCAPE may be around 250-500 J/kg. Continued forcing from the approaching trough and strong effective shear (45-55 kts) will support a few more hours of wind damage and brief tornado potential this evening. ..Wendt.. 04/08/2025 Read more

WW 0134 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 134 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SPC..04/07/25 ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...ILM...RAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 134 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-015-017-019-029-041-047-049-051-053-061-065-073-079-083- 085-091-101-103-107-117-127-129-131-133-137-139-141-143-147-155- 163-177-187-191-195-072240- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT BERTIE BLADEN BRUNSWICK CAMDEN CHOWAN COLUMBUS CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DUPLIN EDGECOMBE GATES GREENE HALIFAX HARNETT HERTFORD JOHNSTON JONES LENOIR MARTIN NASH NEW HANOVER NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PENDER PERQUIMANS PITT ROBESON SAMPSON TYRRELL WASHINGTON WAYNE WILSON SCC033-041-043-051-067-089-072240- SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 134 SEVERE TSTM NC SC VA CW 071835Z - 080200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 134 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 235 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern North Carolina Eastern South Carolina Southeast Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 235 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Clusters of strong/severe storms including bowing segments should continue to evolve this afternoon, posing mainly a wind damage risk. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles west southwest of Myrtle Beach SC to 30 miles north of Elizabeth City NC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 133... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 23035. ...Guyer Read more

MD 0439 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 134... FOR EASTERN CAROLINAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0439 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0648 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Areas affected...Eastern Carolinas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134... Valid 072348Z - 080115Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134 continues. SUMMARY...Strong, to locally severe, thunderstorms will spread across the eastern Carolinas this evening. DISCUSSION...Pre-frontal confluence zone extends across the Coastal Carolinas early this evening. Over the last half hour or so, some increase in intensity has been noted with convection from near FLO-MEB. This activity has gradually evolved into a line segment, and damaging winds may become a threat if a bowing-type structure ultimately evolves. Damaging winds are the greatest risk with organized convection this evening. ..Darrow.. 04/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE... LAT...LON 33448059 36707725 36707508 33457851 33448059 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Apr 7 22:40:08 UTC 2025.

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z An amplifying upper-level wave pattern is expected to develop across the U.S. beginning day 3/Wednesday with broad ridging over the West and a deepening trough, cold front intrusion and attendant precipitation across the eastern U.S. Extended model guidance shows another upper trough entering the Intermountain West which could introduce a MULT day fire weather threat to portions of the Desert Southwest starting on Day 6/Saturday, shifting eastward into the High Plains by Day 7/Sunday. ...Day 3/Wednesday: Central High Plains... An area of 40 percent probability for Critical fire weather conditions including northwest winds of 25 to 35 mph and daytime relative humidity in the 15 to 20 percent range was introduced into portions of southeastern Wyoming, northeastern Colorado and western Nebraska. This is in response to accelerating northwest surface flow from a strengthening mid-level jet translating over the Central Rockies and dry fuels. ...Day 6/Saturday - Day 7/Sunday: Desert Southwest and High Plains... Upper-level ridging over the western U.S. will bring an extended period of warm and above normal temperatures to the region aiding in drying of fuels. An upper-level trough and associated induced stronger surface wind field combined with a very dry air mass could bring Elevated to Critical fire weather risks to portions of the Desert Southwest and High Plains over the weekend (Day 6/Day 7). However, some inter-model inconsistencies combined with expected sub prime fuel dryness precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time. ..Moore/Williams.. 04/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z An amplifying upper-level wave pattern is expected to develop across the U.S. beginning day 3/Wednesday with broad ridging over the West and a deepening trough, cold front intrusion and attendant precipitation across the eastern U.S. Extended model guidance shows another upper trough entering the Intermountain West which could introduce a MULT day fire weather threat to portions of the Desert Southwest starting on Day 6/Saturday, shifting eastward into the High Plains by Day 7/Sunday. ...Day 3/Wednesday: Central High Plains... An area of 40 percent probability for Critical fire weather conditions including northwest winds of 25 to 35 mph and daytime relative humidity in the 15 to 20 percent range was introduced into portions of southeastern Wyoming, northeastern Colorado and western Nebraska. This is in response to accelerating northwest surface flow from a strengthening mid-level jet translating over the Central Rockies and dry fuels. ...Day 6/Saturday - Day 7/Sunday: Desert Southwest and High Plains... Upper-level ridging over the western U.S. will bring an extended period of warm and above normal temperatures to the region aiding in drying of fuels. An upper-level trough and associated induced stronger surface wind field combined with a very dry air mass could bring Elevated to Critical fire weather risks to portions of the Desert Southwest and High Plains over the weekend (Day 6/Day 7). However, some inter-model inconsistencies combined with expected sub prime fuel dryness precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time. ..Moore/Williams.. 04/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z An amplifying upper-level wave pattern is expected to develop across the U.S. beginning day 3/Wednesday with broad ridging over the West and a deepening trough, cold front intrusion and attendant precipitation across the eastern U.S. Extended model guidance shows another upper trough entering the Intermountain West which could introduce a MULT day fire weather threat to portions of the Desert Southwest starting on Day 6/Saturday, shifting eastward into the High Plains by Day 7/Sunday. ...Day 3/Wednesday: Central High Plains... An area of 40 percent probability for Critical fire weather conditions including northwest winds of 25 to 35 mph and daytime relative humidity in the 15 to 20 percent range was introduced into portions of southeastern Wyoming, northeastern Colorado and western Nebraska. This is in response to accelerating northwest surface flow from a strengthening mid-level jet translating over the Central Rockies and dry fuels. ...Day 6/Saturday - Day 7/Sunday: Desert Southwest and High Plains... Upper-level ridging over the western U.S. will bring an extended period of warm and above normal temperatures to the region aiding in drying of fuels. An upper-level trough and associated induced stronger surface wind field combined with a very dry air mass could bring Elevated to Critical fire weather risks to portions of the Desert Southwest and High Plains over the weekend (Day 6/Day 7). However, some inter-model inconsistencies combined with expected sub prime fuel dryness precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time. ..Moore/Williams.. 04/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z An amplifying upper-level wave pattern is expected to develop across the U.S. beginning day 3/Wednesday with broad ridging over the West and a deepening trough, cold front intrusion and attendant precipitation across the eastern U.S. Extended model guidance shows another upper trough entering the Intermountain West which could introduce a MULT day fire weather threat to portions of the Desert Southwest starting on Day 6/Saturday, shifting eastward into the High Plains by Day 7/Sunday. ...Day 3/Wednesday: Central High Plains... An area of 40 percent probability for Critical fire weather conditions including northwest winds of 25 to 35 mph and daytime relative humidity in the 15 to 20 percent range was introduced into portions of southeastern Wyoming, northeastern Colorado and western Nebraska. This is in response to accelerating northwest surface flow from a strengthening mid-level jet translating over the Central Rockies and dry fuels. ...Day 6/Saturday - Day 7/Sunday: Desert Southwest and High Plains... Upper-level ridging over the western U.S. will bring an extended period of warm and above normal temperatures to the region aiding in drying of fuels. An upper-level trough and associated induced stronger surface wind field combined with a very dry air mass could bring Elevated to Critical fire weather risks to portions of the Desert Southwest and High Plains over the weekend (Day 6/Day 7). However, some inter-model inconsistencies combined with expected sub prime fuel dryness precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time. ..Moore/Williams.. 04/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z An amplifying upper-level wave pattern is expected to develop across the U.S. beginning day 3/Wednesday with broad ridging over the West and a deepening trough, cold front intrusion and attendant precipitation across the eastern U.S. Extended model guidance shows another upper trough entering the Intermountain West which could introduce a MULT day fire weather threat to portions of the Desert Southwest starting on Day 6/Saturday, shifting eastward into the High Plains by Day 7/Sunday. ...Day 3/Wednesday: Central High Plains... An area of 40 percent probability for Critical fire weather conditions including northwest winds of 25 to 35 mph and daytime relative humidity in the 15 to 20 percent range was introduced into portions of southeastern Wyoming, northeastern Colorado and western Nebraska. This is in response to accelerating northwest surface flow from a strengthening mid-level jet translating over the Central Rockies and dry fuels. ...Day 6/Saturday - Day 7/Sunday: Desert Southwest and High Plains... Upper-level ridging over the western U.S. will bring an extended period of warm and above normal temperatures to the region aiding in drying of fuels. An upper-level trough and associated induced stronger surface wind field combined with a very dry air mass could bring Elevated to Critical fire weather risks to portions of the Desert Southwest and High Plains over the weekend (Day 6/Day 7). However, some inter-model inconsistencies combined with expected sub prime fuel dryness precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time. ..Moore/Williams.. 04/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z An amplifying upper-level wave pattern is expected to develop across the U.S. beginning day 3/Wednesday with broad ridging over the West and a deepening trough, cold front intrusion and attendant precipitation across the eastern U.S. Extended model guidance shows another upper trough entering the Intermountain West which could introduce a MULT day fire weather threat to portions of the Desert Southwest starting on Day 6/Saturday, shifting eastward into the High Plains by Day 7/Sunday. ...Day 3/Wednesday: Central High Plains... An area of 40 percent probability for Critical fire weather conditions including northwest winds of 25 to 35 mph and daytime relative humidity in the 15 to 20 percent range was introduced into portions of southeastern Wyoming, northeastern Colorado and western Nebraska. This is in response to accelerating northwest surface flow from a strengthening mid-level jet translating over the Central Rockies and dry fuels. ...Day 6/Saturday - Day 7/Sunday: Desert Southwest and High Plains... Upper-level ridging over the western U.S. will bring an extended period of warm and above normal temperatures to the region aiding in drying of fuels. An upper-level trough and associated induced stronger surface wind field combined with a very dry air mass could bring Elevated to Critical fire weather risks to portions of the Desert Southwest and High Plains over the weekend (Day 6/Day 7). However, some inter-model inconsistencies combined with expected sub prime fuel dryness precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time. ..Moore/Williams.. 04/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z An amplifying upper-level wave pattern is expected to develop across the U.S. beginning day 3/Wednesday with broad ridging over the West and a deepening trough, cold front intrusion and attendant precipitation across the eastern U.S. Extended model guidance shows another upper trough entering the Intermountain West which could introduce a MULT day fire weather threat to portions of the Desert Southwest starting on Day 6/Saturday, shifting eastward into the High Plains by Day 7/Sunday. ...Day 3/Wednesday: Central High Plains... An area of 40 percent probability for Critical fire weather conditions including northwest winds of 25 to 35 mph and daytime relative humidity in the 15 to 20 percent range was introduced into portions of southeastern Wyoming, northeastern Colorado and western Nebraska. This is in response to accelerating northwest surface flow from a strengthening mid-level jet translating over the Central Rockies and dry fuels. ...Day 6/Saturday - Day 7/Sunday: Desert Southwest and High Plains... Upper-level ridging over the western U.S. will bring an extended period of warm and above normal temperatures to the region aiding in drying of fuels. An upper-level trough and associated induced stronger surface wind field combined with a very dry air mass could bring Elevated to Critical fire weather risks to portions of the Desert Southwest and High Plains over the weekend (Day 6/Day 7). However, some inter-model inconsistencies combined with expected sub prime fuel dryness precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time. ..Moore/Williams.. 04/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z An amplifying upper-level wave pattern is expected to develop across the U.S. beginning day 3/Wednesday with broad ridging over the West and a deepening trough, cold front intrusion and attendant precipitation across the eastern U.S. Extended model guidance shows another upper trough entering the Intermountain West which could introduce a MULT day fire weather threat to portions of the Desert Southwest starting on Day 6/Saturday, shifting eastward into the High Plains by Day 7/Sunday. ...Day 3/Wednesday: Central High Plains... An area of 40 percent probability for Critical fire weather conditions including northwest winds of 25 to 35 mph and daytime relative humidity in the 15 to 20 percent range was introduced into portions of southeastern Wyoming, northeastern Colorado and western Nebraska. This is in response to accelerating northwest surface flow from a strengthening mid-level jet translating over the Central Rockies and dry fuels. ...Day 6/Saturday - Day 7/Sunday: Desert Southwest and High Plains... Upper-level ridging over the western U.S. will bring an extended period of warm and above normal temperatures to the region aiding in drying of fuels. An upper-level trough and associated induced stronger surface wind field combined with a very dry air mass could bring Elevated to Critical fire weather risks to portions of the Desert Southwest and High Plains over the weekend (Day 6/Day 7). However, some inter-model inconsistencies combined with expected sub prime fuel dryness precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time. ..Moore/Williams.. 04/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z An amplifying upper-level wave pattern is expected to develop across the U.S. beginning day 3/Wednesday with broad ridging over the West and a deepening trough, cold front intrusion and attendant precipitation across the eastern U.S. Extended model guidance shows another upper trough entering the Intermountain West which could introduce a MULT day fire weather threat to portions of the Desert Southwest starting on Day 6/Saturday, shifting eastward into the High Plains by Day 7/Sunday. ...Day 3/Wednesday: Central High Plains... An area of 40 percent probability for Critical fire weather conditions including northwest winds of 25 to 35 mph and daytime relative humidity in the 15 to 20 percent range was introduced into portions of southeastern Wyoming, northeastern Colorado and western Nebraska. This is in response to accelerating northwest surface flow from a strengthening mid-level jet translating over the Central Rockies and dry fuels. ...Day 6/Saturday - Day 7/Sunday: Desert Southwest and High Plains... Upper-level ridging over the western U.S. will bring an extended period of warm and above normal temperatures to the region aiding in drying of fuels. An upper-level trough and associated induced stronger surface wind field combined with a very dry air mass could bring Elevated to Critical fire weather risks to portions of the Desert Southwest and High Plains over the weekend (Day 6/Day 7). However, some inter-model inconsistencies combined with expected sub prime fuel dryness precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time. ..Moore/Williams.. 04/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z An amplifying upper-level wave pattern is expected to develop across the U.S. beginning day 3/Wednesday with broad ridging over the West and a deepening trough, cold front intrusion and attendant precipitation across the eastern U.S. Extended model guidance shows another upper trough entering the Intermountain West which could introduce a MULT day fire weather threat to portions of the Desert Southwest starting on Day 6/Saturday, shifting eastward into the High Plains by Day 7/Sunday. ...Day 3/Wednesday: Central High Plains... An area of 40 percent probability for Critical fire weather conditions including northwest winds of 25 to 35 mph and daytime relative humidity in the 15 to 20 percent range was introduced into portions of southeastern Wyoming, northeastern Colorado and western Nebraska. This is in response to accelerating northwest surface flow from a strengthening mid-level jet translating over the Central Rockies and dry fuels. ...Day 6/Saturday - Day 7/Sunday: Desert Southwest and High Plains... Upper-level ridging over the western U.S. will bring an extended period of warm and above normal temperatures to the region aiding in drying of fuels. An upper-level trough and associated induced stronger surface wind field combined with a very dry air mass could bring Elevated to Critical fire weather risks to portions of the Desert Southwest and High Plains over the weekend (Day 6/Day 7). However, some inter-model inconsistencies combined with expected sub prime fuel dryness precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time. ..Moore/Williams.. 04/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z An amplifying upper-level wave pattern is expected to develop across the U.S. beginning day 3/Wednesday with broad ridging over the West and a deepening trough, cold front intrusion and attendant precipitation across the eastern U.S. Extended model guidance shows another upper trough entering the Intermountain West which could introduce a MULT day fire weather threat to portions of the Desert Southwest starting on Day 6/Saturday, shifting eastward into the High Plains by Day 7/Sunday. ...Day 3/Wednesday: Central High Plains... An area of 40 percent probability for Critical fire weather conditions including northwest winds of 25 to 35 mph and daytime relative humidity in the 15 to 20 percent range was introduced into portions of southeastern Wyoming, northeastern Colorado and western Nebraska. This is in response to accelerating northwest surface flow from a strengthening mid-level jet translating over the Central Rockies and dry fuels. ...Day 6/Saturday - Day 7/Sunday: Desert Southwest and High Plains... Upper-level ridging over the western U.S. will bring an extended period of warm and above normal temperatures to the region aiding in drying of fuels. An upper-level trough and associated induced stronger surface wind field combined with a very dry air mass could bring Elevated to Critical fire weather risks to portions of the Desert Southwest and High Plains over the weekend (Day 6/Day 7). However, some inter-model inconsistencies combined with expected sub prime fuel dryness precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time. ..Moore/Williams.. 04/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0134 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 134 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SPC..04/07/25 ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...ILM...RAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 134 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-015-017-019-029-041-047-049-051-053-061-065-073-079-083- 085-091-101-103-107-117-127-129-131-133-137-139-141-143-147-155- 163-177-187-191-195-072240- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT BERTIE BLADEN BRUNSWICK CAMDEN CHOWAN COLUMBUS CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DUPLIN EDGECOMBE GATES GREENE HALIFAX HARNETT HERTFORD JOHNSTON JONES LENOIR MARTIN NASH NEW HANOVER NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PENDER PERQUIMANS PITT ROBESON SAMPSON TYRRELL WASHINGTON WAYNE WILSON SCC033-041-043-051-067-089-072240- SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more