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The lightning-caused Woods Creek Fire was discovered on Saturday, July 10th near Boulder Lakes in the Big Belt Mountains. Management was assumed by a Type 3 Incident Management Team (or IMT) from Nevada. The Type 1 Southern Area Red IMT was next, and they had command of the Woods Creek, Balsinger, Ellis and American Fork Fires. On August 12th, Rocky Mountain Incident Management Team 1 assumed command of the Balsinger, American Fork, and Woods Creek Fires. Following was the FDNY Type 2 Incident Management Team which managed the Balsinger and Woods Creek Fires. Lastly, the Balsinger Fire is going back to management by the local Forest Service district, and a Type 3 IMT under the leadership of Martinez is assuming command of the Woods Creek Fire. At 90 % contained as of August 31st, the majority of the uncontained area of the Woods Creek Fire is in steep inaccessible terrain. Likely the fire will not be deemed completely out until a season ending event occurs. Suppression repair work...

The Crown Mountain Fire started within the Forest boundary of the Helena-Lewis and Clark National Forest some 16 miles west of Augusta, MT, in the northeast corner of quadrant 26.  Local resources are engaged with full suppression actions maintaining the safety of fire personnel and the public as the number one priority. During the initial three days, gusty winds, unseasonably high temperatures, and dry conditions resulted in active fire behavior and dangerous firefighting conditions for direct attack on the fire.   These circumstances forced air and ground crews to disengage from the fire on 10/5 and 10/6.  The fire is burning within portions of the footprint of the 1988 Canyon Creek Fire. Fire personnel installed point protection on threatened ranches adjacent to the Forest boundary in Smith Creek as well as in the Benchmark corridor to include Double Falls recreational cabins and structures in the Ford Creek area.   Windy conditions have again prevailed from 10/8 through...

No watches are valid as of Wed Oct 13 16:00:02 UTC 2021.

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Oct 13 16:00:02 UTC 2021.

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 13 Oct 2021 14:53:01 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 13 Oct 2021 15:22:40 GMT

Issued at 900 AM MDT Wed Oct 13 2021 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 131452 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Pamela Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162021 900 AM MDT Wed Oct 13 2021 Pamela is estimated to have made landfall around 1200 UTC close to Estacion Dimas in the Mexican state of Sinaloa as a 65-kt hurricane. To the southeast of the landfall location, observations from the Mazatlan Airport indicated wind gusts to 40 kt had occurred. There was also a storm chaser located at Marmor de Salcido, Mexico, who measured a minimum pressure of 990.8 mb with southeasterly winds to 20 kt at 1208 UTC. Thus, based on these data, the estimated landfall location and an estimated minimum central pressure of 987 mb appears reasonable. Vigorous deep convection is still occuring around Pamela's estimated center as it moves farther inland. However, since the center has been onshore for a few hours now, the wind field is likely starting to spin down and maximum sustained winds are estimated to have decreased to 55 kt. The tropical cyclone has been accelerating to the northeast this morning, with the latest estimated motion at 045/20 kt. Further acceleration to the northeast is expected as the system remains embedded in deep-layer southwesterly flow between a long-wave trough over the western United States and a mid-level ridge centered over the Gulf of Mexico. The track guidance is in good agreement on this solution with the storm losing its identity after the 12-h forecast period and the latest track forecast remains close to the model consensus solutions. Pamela's circulation is not forecast to survive the passage over the high, rugged terrain of Central Mexico, but its remnants are expected to contain a large slug of deep-layer moisture that will be advected northeastward into the south-central United States. Additional heavy rainfall and flooding impacts are anticipated later today and on Thursday for these areas. Key Messages: 1. Although Pamela is moving inland into west-central Mexico this morning, a Tropical Storm warning remains in effect from Bahia Tempehuaya to Escuinapa where tropical storm conditions are still expected for the next several hours. Residents in this area should follow any advice given by local officials. 2. Heavy rains associated with Pamela will continue across the Mexican States of Sinaloa, western Durgano, and northern Nayarit through today. This will pose a threat of significant and life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. 3. Heavy rains associated with the remnants of Pamela are expected across portions of central Texas and southeastern Oklahoma today into Thursday. This may result in considerable flash and urban flooding impacts. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/1500Z 24.4N 106.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND 12H 14/0000Z 26.6N 102.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 24H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND $$ Forecaster Papin

Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 13 2021 784 FOPZ11 KNHC 131447 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM PAMELA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162021 1500 UTC WED OCT 13 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAMELA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MAZATLAN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAZATLAN 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER PAPIN

Issued at 900 AM MDT Wed Oct 13 2021 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 131447 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Pamela Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162021 900 AM MDT Wed Oct 13 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM PAMELA MOVING INLAND OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO BRINGING STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.4N 106.0W ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM NNE OF MAZATLAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has changed the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning from Bahia Tempehuaya to Escuinapa. All other Tropical Storm Warnings have been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bahia Tempehuaya to Escuinapa A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are occurring within the warning area now. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Pamela was located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 106.0 West. Pamela is accelerating toward the northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue at a faster speed prior to dissipation. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional rapid weakening is forecast as the center moves farther inland. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Pamela can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?key_messages. STORM SURGE: Storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds within the warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. WIND: Tropical Storm conditions are occuring within the Tropical Storm Warning area for the next few hours but should end later this afternoon. RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Pamela or its remnants are expected to produce the following rainfall amounts: Across the Mexican States of Sinaloa, western Durango, and northern Nayarit...4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches. This rainfall may trigger significant and life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. Across portions of central Texas and southeastern Oklahoma...3 to 6 inches with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches. This may result in considerable flash and urban flooding impacts. SURF: Swells generated by Pamela will continue to affect portions of the southern Baja California peninsula, as well as southwestern and west-central mainland Mexico through today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM MDT. Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Papin

...TROPICAL STORM PAMELA MOVING INLAND OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO BRINGING STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS... As of 9:00 AM MDT Wed Oct 13 the center of Pamela was located near 24.4, -106.0 with movement NE at 23 mph. The minimum central pressure was 992 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 13 2021 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 131446 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PAMELA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162021 1500 UTC WED OCT 13 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA TO ESCUINAPA. ALL OTHER TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA TO ESCUINAPA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE WARNING AREA NOW. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 106.0W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 120SE 70SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 180SE 210SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 106.0W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 106.8W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 26.6N 102.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 106.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 13/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0742 AM CDT Wed Oct 13 2021 Valid 131300Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE EASTERN DAKOTAS/MINNESOTA AREA...AND FROM SOUTH TEXAS TO MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Marginal severe-weather potential (in the form of thunderstorm wind and tornado threat) is apparent today over parts of the eastern Dakotas/Minnesota area, and from south Texas to Missouri. ...Synopsis... In mid/upper levels, a longwave trough will remain over the western CONUS. Its cyclonic-flow field will be traversed by several shortwave to synoptic-scale perturbations of varying intensities. For this convective forecast, two are the most important: 1. A closed cyclone -- initially centered near CDR -- forecast to eject northeastward to southern/eastern ND by 00Z, then to southern MB by the end of the period. 2. The mid/upper-level perturbation and midlevel vorticity field associated with eastern Pacific Hurricane Pamela, now east of the southern tip of Baja near the mainland coast of Mexico. The mid/ upper portion should outrace the low-level center northeastward in the longwave's cyclonic-flow field, as the low-level circulation weakens rapidly today in the northern Mexican mountains, per latest NHC forecast. At the surface, the 11Z analysis showed the surface manifestation of the cyclone centered over southwestern SD, with occluded/cold front arching southeastward over north-central NE to east-central KS and central OK (behind a squall line), then southwestward over northwest TX to near the Big Bend. By 00Z the cold front should reach eastern IA and central/southwestern MO, decelerating to quasistationary (under nearly parallel flow aloft) across northeastern through southwestern OK to west-central/southwest TX. ...OK/KS/MO through midday... See SPC mesoscale discussion 1853 for more details on near-term severe threats with a squall line initially located over southeastern KS into east-central OK. Isolated gusts near severe limits or a brief/leading-edge tornado cannot be ruled out for the rest of the morning and into midday, as the convective band moves through a narrow corridor of relatively minimized MLCINH and LLJ-enhanced hodographs. However, as the strongest mid/upper forcing related to the cyclone aloft moves away from the area, the LLJ will weaken, and low-level convergence should diminish under front-parallel deep-layer flow. ...South-central to north-central TX, southeastern OK... Scattered to locally numerous thunderstorms are expected to develop over the area along/ahead of the front, and spread northeastward across the area from Mexico through the period. This activity also may offer marginal potential for damaging to low-end severe gusts or a tornado. The dominant hazard should be from heavy rain; see WPC excessive-rainfall discussions for more details on that. A deep, rich layer of low-level moisture will remain over this region, with surface dew points in the 70s F and PW values commonly 1.75-2.25 inches. Moisture aloft and large-scale forcing for ascent each will increase through the period as the mid/upper-level remnants of Pamela approach the area. This process will both temper diurnal heating (with abundant cloud cover) and reduce capping from the remnants of a modest EML, noted on prior 00Z and latest 12Z RAOBs and 700-mb charts from 13/00Z. The net result should be gradually diminishing MLCINH amidst a plume of 1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE. Forecast soundings suggest modest low-level shear, but 40-45-kt effective-shear vectors. As such, mixed and mostly messy modes are likely, with mainly multicell characteristics, but isolated supercells possible. ...Eastern Dakotas/western MN... An arc of low-topped showers and thunderstorms may develop just ahead of the deep-layer cyclone this afternoon, offering marginal damaging-gust and brief-tornado potential. Backed low-level flow in a regime of strong isallobaric forcing will enlarge hodographs in a narrow corridor near the arc of strongest low-level lift, supporting some potential for storm-scale rotation. DCVA/cooling aloft ahead of the ejecting cyclone will steepen midlevel lapse rates and contribute to weak MLCINH, especially where even relatively short-lived diurnal surface heating may take place. The limiting factor -- and main area of uncertainty -- will be amount of supportive low-level destabilization possible behind the extensive area of early/midday convection. Even with relatively cool surface temperatures in the upper 50s to near 60 F in forecast soundings, a narrow area of 200-700 J/kg MLCAPE may develop. Any severe potential should decrease markedly after dark. ..Edwards/Gleason.. 10/13/2021 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0742 AM CDT Wed Oct 13 2021 Valid 131300Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE EASTERN DAKOTAS/MINNESOTA AREA...AND FROM SOUTH TEXAS TO MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Marginal severe-weather potential (in the form of thunderstorm wind and tornado threat) is apparent today over parts of the eastern Dakotas/Minnesota area, and from south Texas to Missouri. ...Synopsis... In mid/upper levels, a longwave trough will remain over the western CONUS. Its cyclonic-flow field will be traversed by several shortwave to synoptic-scale perturbations of varying intensities. For this convective forecast, two are the most important: 1. A closed cyclone -- initially centered near CDR -- forecast to eject northeastward to southern/eastern ND by 00Z, then to southern MB by the end of the period. 2. The mid/upper-level perturbation and midlevel vorticity field associated with eastern Pacific Hurricane Pamela, now east of the southern tip of Baja near the mainland coast of Mexico. The mid/ upper portion should outrace the low-level center northeastward in the longwave's cyclonic-flow field, as the low-level circulation weakens rapidly today in the northern Mexican mountains, per latest NHC forecast. At the surface, the 11Z analysis showed the surface manifestation of the cyclone centered over southwestern SD, with occluded/cold front arching southeastward over north-central NE to east-central KS and central OK (behind a squall line), then southwestward over northwest TX to near the Big Bend. By 00Z the cold front should reach eastern IA and central/southwestern MO, decelerating to quasistationary (under nearly parallel flow aloft) across northeastern through southwestern OK to west-central/southwest TX. ...OK/KS/MO through midday... See SPC mesoscale discussion 1853 for more details on near-term severe threats with a squall line initially located over southeastern KS into east-central OK. Isolated gusts near severe limits or a brief/leading-edge tornado cannot be ruled out for the rest of the morning and into midday, as the convective band moves through a narrow corridor of relatively minimized MLCINH and LLJ-enhanced hodographs. However, as the strongest mid/upper forcing related to the cyclone aloft moves away from the area, the LLJ will weaken, and low-level convergence should diminish under front-parallel deep-layer flow. ...South-central to north-central TX, southeastern OK... Scattered to locally numerous thunderstorms are expected to develop over the area along/ahead of the front, and spread northeastward across the area from Mexico through the period. This activity also may offer marginal potential for damaging to low-end severe gusts or a tornado. The dominant hazard should be from heavy rain; see WPC excessive-rainfall discussions for more details on that. A deep, rich layer of low-level moisture will remain over this region, with surface dew points in the 70s F and PW values commonly 1.75-2.25 inches. Moisture aloft and large-scale forcing for ascent each will increase through the period as the mid/upper-level remnants of Pamela approach the area. This process will both temper diurnal heating (with abundant cloud cover) and reduce capping from the remnants of a modest EML, noted on prior 00Z and latest 12Z RAOBs and 700-mb charts from 13/00Z. The net result should be gradually diminishing MLCINH amidst a plume of 1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE. Forecast soundings suggest modest low-level shear, but 40-45-kt effective-shear vectors. As such, mixed and mostly messy modes are likely, with mainly multicell characteristics, but isolated supercells possible. ...Eastern Dakotas/western MN... An arc of low-topped showers and thunderstorms may develop just ahead of the deep-layer cyclone this afternoon, offering marginal damaging-gust and brief-tornado potential. Backed low-level flow in a regime of strong isallobaric forcing will enlarge hodographs in a narrow corridor near the arc of strongest low-level lift, supporting some potential for storm-scale rotation. DCVA/cooling aloft ahead of the ejecting cyclone will steepen midlevel lapse rates and contribute to weak MLCINH, especially where even relatively short-lived diurnal surface heating may take place. The limiting factor -- and main area of uncertainty -- will be amount of supportive low-level destabilization possible behind the extensive area of early/midday convection. Even with relatively cool surface temperatures in the upper 50s to near 60 F in forecast soundings, a narrow area of 200-700 J/kg MLCAPE may develop. Any severe potential should decrease markedly after dark. ..Edwards/Gleason.. 10/13/2021 Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131159
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Oct 13 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Pamela, located inland over west-central Mexico just to the
northwest of Mazatlan.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart/Papin

MD 1851 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN WY...THE EXTREME WESTERN NE PANHANDLE...THE FAR WESTERN DAKOTAS...AND SOUTHEASTERN INTO EAST-CENTRAL MT
Mesoscale Discussion 1851 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 AM CDT Wed Oct 13 2021 Areas affected...Portions of eastern WY...the extreme western NE Panhandle...the far western Dakotas...and southeastern into east-central MT Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 130958Z - 131600Z SUMMARY...Moderate to heavy snowfall, with rates around 1-1.5 inches per hour, should occur this morning. Near-blizzard conditions are also possible with strong/gusty winds. DISCUSSION...A mature mid/upper-level cyclone evident on water vapor satellite imagery will continue to eject northeastward across the central/northern High Plains this morning. A deformation band on the back side of the cyclone is beginning to fill in as low/mid-level frontogenetic forcing increases. Current expectations are that a mostly north-south oriented band of moderate to heavy snow will develop over parts of eastern WY/MT into the western Dakotas over the next few hours this morning, and gradually shift northward with time. Even though low-level temperatures are marginal (generally 28-33 degrees F), strong cooling aloft associated with the upper low should support snow as the main precipitation type. Lift through the saturated dendritic-growth layer and consensus of latest high-resolution guidance both suggest snowfall rates of 1-1.5 inches per hours will likely be common, with locally greater rates possible. Finally, near-blizzard conditions with reduced visibilities should also occur across this region, as a strong pressure gradient and gusty winds will exist on the back side of a surface low that will develop northward from NE into central SD this morning. Indeed, blizzard conditions have recently been reported at KDGW in eastern WY. ..Gleason.. 10/13/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BIS...UNR...CYS...BYZ...GGW...RIW... LAT...LON 42910372 41880397 41810465 42120527 42820597 44540615 45750611 46820566 47510489 47660416 47460363 46330348 45170341 44030337 43740364 42910372 Read more

Los Padres National Forest completed its post-fire assessment for emergency stabilization measures and actions on National Forest System (NFS) lands burned by the Willow Fire. The emergency treatments and activities are designed to decrease possible impacts to critical values from the burned area such as: life and safety, property, critical natural resources, and cultural

The Jack Fire located on the Umpqua National Forest started on July 5, 2021 at approximately 5:00 p.m. It is a human-caused fire. Warm dry weather, fuel types and steep terrain contributed to rapid fire growth. Initial attack efforts included the U.S. Forest Service, Oregon Department of Forestry (ODF) and Douglas Forest Protection Association (DFPA). Highway 138 was initially closed between Steamboat and Dry Creek Store. By July 8th, the Fire grew to 4,224 acres with 0% containment. The Fire was in Unified Command with Northwest Incident Management Team 9 (NWIMT-9) and the State of Oregon Office of the State Fire Marshal (OSFM) Blue Incident Management Team (IMT). Within three days, the Jack Fire was at 10,937 acres. Steep terrain, warm temperatures and low relative humidity aided in fire growth.  On July 13th the Fire had somewhat stabilized. OSFM Blue IMT demobilized, and management of the Jack Fire was transferred back to DFPA. Structure protection was monitored by DFPA and...

Summary:  The Rough Patch Complex on the Umpqua National Forest started July 29 when 20-plus lightning fires resulted from thunderstorms in the area.  Several more fires were added to the Complex including the Jack Fire when another storm moved through August 1, bringing the total identified fires to 42. Northwest Incident Management Team (IMT) 13 (Type 2) managed the Complex along with the Jack Fire.On August 16, 2021, the Great Basin Management Team 2 (Type 1 IMT) assumed command of the fires at 6:00 a.m. Total size of the Rough Patch Complex was 12,956 acres. Several smaller fires had been contained by this time, with the largest fires being the Chaos, Little Bend Creek, Near Minky and Buckhead.On August 28, Northern Rockies Team 1 (Type 1 IMT) assumed command of the fires.  The Rough Patch Complex then consisted of four fires: Chaos, Little Bend, Buckhead and Near Minky.   On September 10, Great Basin Management Team 2 (Type 1 IMT) assumed command of the Complex.  On...