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The owner of a Christmas tree farm in Tangipahoa Parish announced on Facebook that the tree farm would not open for the 2023 season nor would photographers be allowed to take photos. Pictures showing entirely brown trees were also shared on the post. WBRZ (New Orleans, La.), Sept 6, 2023

The splash pad in Henderson Park in Brenham closed early on Sept. 6 for the season, instead of at the end of September, due to drought and high demand on the water treatment plant. In July, splash pad hours were shortened due to the drought. KBTX (Bryan, Texas), Sept 5, 2023

A late March freeze killed many honey bee populations in Louisiana and also the plants for pollination and honey production. Drought has continued to present challenges for honey bees as plants were not growing or blooming. Bee farmers were even hauling water to some locations that have never gone dry before this. The heat, absence of water and scarcity of pollinating plants has dropped honey production on a Deville honey farm by 65%, but overhead costs for honey production, like water, feed supplements and fuel, have increased. The fire risk and concern about the danger has kept them from mowing, driving trucks onto lots or smoking out the bees. The beekeeper will send more hives to California to offset the honey losses, but he’d prefer not to. KALB-TV (Alexandria, La.), Aug 30, 2023

Firefighters in Louisiana battled more than 500 large fires across the state, which is comparable to the normal number of fires in an entire year. More than 50,000 acres, or about 75 square miles of property, have burned statewide. Much of the burned area was forest land. The statewide burn ban remained in effect. FOX 8 (New Orleans, La.), Aug 30, 2023

Ponds on a horse ranch near Winnie have dried up for the first time that a 79-year-old rancher can remember. The ponds were being cleaned out to improve the capacity of the ponds when the rain does return. In the meantime, he waters livestock with tubs and buckets of water. The water bill has doubled amid the drought as he waters the animals with city water. Drought has also caused a decrease in forage production. Hay production was insufficient for the coming winter so livestock were being sold or transferred to better pasture in another state for the winter. Area ranchers were also turning to a program that offers financial support to offset costs for feed, hay or water to help sustain the cattle. The producer already sold his calves to lower stress on the cows as the suckling requires extra nutrients. Beaumont Enterprise (Texas), Aug 27, 2023

Blue Hole Regional Park in Wimberley will be closed for the rest of the summer due to low water levels that were not safe for swimming. Austin American-Statesman (Texas), Aug 31, 2023 Blue Hole in Wimberley was closed to swimming for the next two weeks, starting Aug. 22, due to low water levels that pose a safety concern. Conditions will be reassessed in two weeks to determine whether Blue Hole could reopen. Jacob’s Well, also in Wimberley, was closed due to no water flow. Austin American-Statesman (Texas), Aug 22, 2023

Temperatures remained extremely high and dry in North Texas. The heat has led to stressed plants across the region. Some trees started to show significant drought stress, especially elms, honey locusts, maples and hackberry. Summer grasses were still declining. Many small creeks dried up entirely due to the extreme heat and no rainfall. Corn and grain sorghum were nearing harvest completion, and the soybean harvest was completed. Many bean fields were being rolled up for hay. Nuisance flies and tabanid flies were still active. Livestock conditions were good and continuing to improve. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), Aug 29, 2023 North Texas pasture and rangeland conditions were fair to good, and topsoil was very short to short in most counties. Temperatures ranged from 100-110 degrees, resulting in burn ban warnings and signs of severe drought. The hot, dry conditions were starting to speed crop maturity and slow grass growth. Many counties needed moisture. Soybeans looked heat stressed. Forage and hay fields were beginning to show heat stress as well. Cattle and other livestock were in good condition, but most were consuming a considerable amount of water to stay cool. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), Aug 15, 2023 North Texas pastures and rangeland were good to fair for most of the counties. Both subsoil and topsoil moisture were reported to be adequate to short for most of the counties. Temperatures remained in the triple digits over the past week and the region was in need of rain. Grass stands were severely declining. Pastures were becoming a little stressed due to excessive heat. A few counties started cutting corn for silage and it was yielding well. Overall, the production looked good but needed rain soon. Harvest is expected in August. Grasshopper populations were extremely high and increasing. A good amount of hay was harvested in a few counties. No major insect or disease outbreaks occurred during these times. Livestock conditions were looking good and continuing to improve. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), Aug 1, 2023

The cotton crop was about 80% harvested in South Texas, with others still defoliating in hopes of harvesting in the next few weeks. The stalk destruction deadline was approaching quickly, with no extension being planned. Pastures continued to suffer due to the hot and dry conditions. Irrigation districts were reaching a critical point regarding water availability, with almost certain water restrictions to come soon. Forages in rangelands and pastures were beginning to improve. Rapid green-up was already noted, and most were hopeful there was still enough time this season to produce some grass. Beef cattle markets continued to run average volumes and reported solid prices for all classes of beef cattle. All corn and grain sorghum were harvested with very little cotton left in the field, and sunflower and sesame harvest had yet to start. Livestock managers hoped for enough green-up from rains to limit haying and reduce supplemental feeding. Farmers began preparing fields for the next planting season. Stock tanks were slightly replenished. Cotton harvest continued, and it looked to be 75% harvested. Sesame harvest also continued. Citrus, sugarcane and hay meadows continued to be irrigated. Wildlife were abundant and found near water sources. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), Aug 29, 2023 Conditions in South Texas remained hot and dry, and topsoil and subsoil moisture was very short. Most corn and sorghum fields were harvested with some very late planted fields remaining. Cotton fields without irrigation were suffering due to the extreme heat and dry conditions. Cotton harvest was in full swing in some areas. Poor cotton yields were expected in many areas. Peanut crops were under irrigation. Corn, grain sorghum, sunflowers and soybeans were harvested. Citrus and sugarcane continued to receive irrigation. Watermelon and cantaloupe harvests continued. Producers were baling irrigated Bermuda grass fields. Grain stubble was being harvested and baled. Fieldwork was underway for next season’s crop. Pastures were in poor condition unless irrigated. Rangeland was in very poor to poor condition. Hay bales were being trucked around the district, and prices were $70-$80 per round bale. Cattle producers were supplementing with hay and protein. Many ponds were completely dry, and some producers were hauling water for livestock and wildlife. Higher volumes of cattle were being sold at auctions, and prices were steady. Many coveys of quail were spotted on ranches. Fawns were spotted and wildlife were staying close to water sources. A good dove season was predicted, and hunters were spotted hauling water and supplemental feed for wildlife on ranches they hunt. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), Aug 15, 2023 Conditions were hot and dry in South Texas. Soil conditions were very short. A few scattered showers delivered up to half an inch of rain. Sorghum fields reached maturity and harvest should begin soon. Corn harvest started. Some areas were wrapping up sorghum and corn harvests. Irrigated cotton fields were extremely stressed due to high temperatures. Some cotton was setting bolls. Peanut crops continued to progress and develop pods under irrigation, but some fields were struggling. Sesame fields looked good, and sunflowers were drying down. Fieldwork for strawberries continued but rain was needed for soil preparation. Irrigated watermelons and cantaloupes were in good condition. Pecan orchards continued to progress. Citrus and sugarcane were being irrigated, and vegetable farmers were preparing fields. Irrigated Bermuda grass fields were cut and baled. Rangeland and pasture conditions continued to decline and stress due to high temperatures. Grazing was limited, and producers were feeding livestock hay and cubes. Feed prices were high. Stock tanks were declining, and beef cattle producers were thinning herds. Cattle prices were high, and one report showed a slight decline in sale volumes. Wildlife were in fair condition but reliant on landowner water sources. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), Aug 1, 2023

WW 0671 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0671 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 671 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 052230Z - 060500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 671 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 530 PM CDT Tue Sep 5 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Far southeast Kansas Southwest to central Missouri * Effective this Tuesday afternoon from 530 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Multicell clusters should develop along a cold front and spread east-southeast this evening with a primary threat of damaging winds. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles east and west of a line from 65 miles north northwest of Columbia MO to 15 miles south southwest of Monett MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 669...WW 670... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29030. ...Grams Read more

WW 0669 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 669 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..09/05/23 ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ARX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 669 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC001-003-009-013-017-019-021-025-031-035-037-039-043-045-047- 049-053-055-059-061-065-075-079-085-093-095-097-099-103-109-115- 123-131-137-139-141-143-145-147-157-161-163-169-171-052340- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AITKIN ANOKA BENTON BLUE EARTH CARLTON CARVER CASS CHISAGO COOK CROW WING DAKOTA DODGE FARIBAULT FILLMORE FREEBORN GOODHUE HENNEPIN HOUSTON ISANTI ITASCA KANABEC LAKE LE SUEUR MCLEOD MEEKER MILLE LACS MORRISON MOWER NICOLLET OLMSTED PINE RAMSEY RICE ST. LOUIS SCOTT SHERBURNE SIBLEY STEARNS STEELE WABASHA WASECA WASHINGTON WINONA WRIGHT WIC003-005-007-011-013-031-033-051-091-093-095-107-109-113-129- 052340- Read more

WW 669 SEVERE TSTM MN WI LS 052055Z - 060400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 669 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 355 PM CDT Tue Sep 5 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Eastern Minnesota Western Wisconsin Lake Superior * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop through late afternoon and early evening, initially across the eastern half of Minnesota, with large hail and damaging winds as the primary hazards. Storms are expected to develop into western Wisconsin by early/mid-evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles north of Ely MN to 40 miles southwest of Rochester MN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 23025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0670 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0670 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 670 SEVERE TSTM AR OK 052200Z - 060500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 670 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 500 PM CDT Tue Sep 5 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northwest Arkansas Southwest to northeast Oklahoma * Effective this Tuesday afternoon from 500 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will develop along a northeast to southwest-oriented front in Oklahoma and should grow upscale into multicell clusters, especially over eastern Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas. Damaging winds will be the main threat. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northeast of Grove OK to 40 miles southeast of Chickasha OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 669... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 32025. ...Grams Read more

The Warren County Fire and Rescue banned all outdoor burning, due to the Drought Warning that covers all of the Shenandoah Valley. The River 95.3 WZRV (Front Royal, Va.), Sept 5, 2023

MD 2085 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF MO...SOUTHEAST KS...NORTHEAST/CENTRAL OK...AND FAR NORTHWEST AR
Mesoscale Discussion 2085 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0404 PM CDT Tue Sep 05 2023 Areas affected...Portions of MO...southeast KS...northeast/central OK...and far northwest AR Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 052104Z - 052330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...The severe-storm risk should increase during the next few hours. Severe gusts and isolated hail are both possible. A watch issuance is possible this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis shows a northeast/southwest- oriented cold front extending from northwest MO into parts of central OK this afternoon -- where shallow boundary-layer cumulus is beginning to develop. Continued diurnal heating amid rich boundary-layer moisture (lower 70s surface dewpoints) along/immediately ahead of the east-southeastward-moving front should support convective initiation in the next few hours. Steep low/mid-level lapse rates and 20-30-kt midlevel west-southwesterly flow oriented oblique to the surface front (strongest across MO) will initially support semi-discrete storms capable of marginally severe hail and locally severe gusts. However, a fairly quick transition from cells to an organized line of storms is expected as storms maintain residence time in the frontal circulation amid increasing outflow generation. This mode transition will favor an increasing severe-wind threat as the front continues slowly east-southeastward into the evening hours. Currently, the potential for an organized QLCS appears greatest over parts of MO -- where deep-layer shear and large-scale ascent will be stronger compared to areas farther southwest. However, 100 deg surface temperatures and related steep low-level lapse rates will still support severe-thunderstorm gusts into central OK. A watch issuance is possible this afternoon for parts of the area. ..Weinman/Guyer.. 09/05/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...ICT...OUN... LAT...LON 36569631 37239540 38389426 39019377 39809340 40159304 40189255 39939190 39489136 38849125 37679171 36929252 36239377 35159582 35069665 35229703 35569727 35839723 36569631 Read more

The low level of the Potomac River has affected the Canal Boat in Georgetown. Tours were cancelled Aug. 30 through Sept. 1, and a banner was posted on its website saying, “We are experiencing historically low water levels on the Potomac, which has temporarily made it impossible for us to operate the Canal boat. We will continue to assess the situation and resume tours as water levels return to a normal level. Thank you for understanding!” The Georgetowner (Washington, D.C.), Sept 5, 2023

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 05 Sep 2023 20:52:07 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 05 Sep 2023 21:29:32 GMT

Issued at 300 PM MDT Tue Sep 05 2023 742 WTPZ41 KNHC 052049 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Jova Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112023 300 PM MDT Tue Sep 05 2023 Jova continues to look better organized on visible and infrared satellite imagery, with sharp curved banding on the south side of the system wrapping into the center. Deep convection has continued over the center with cold cloud tops near -80C. ASCAT and GMI microwave instruments both sampled Jova this afternoon, and indicated that the low-level center has redeveloped farther south than indicated in the previous advisory, under the burst of deep convection. The GMI 89-GHz microwave imagery depicted a mid-level eye-wall feature starting to develop. Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB were at T3.5 and T3.0, respectively, with this advisory, and objective ADT estimates were around 50 kt. Given the mid-level feature depicted on microwave imagery and the improved structure, the initial intensity leans toward the higher satellite estimates at 55kt. The initial motion is a little uncertain given the relocation of the low-level center, but an average motion is west-northwestward around 8 kt. Jova is forecast to continue on a general west-northwest motion the next several days along the southern side of a ridge extending westward over the southwestern United States. The track guidance is in fairly good agreement, with the main differences being on the forward speed of Jova in the short term. The NHC forecast is shifted slightly south of the previous one, given the re-formation of the center southward, and lies near the consensus aids. Jova is in a favorable environment to rapidly intensify, with relatively low vertical wind shear, warm sea surface temperatures and moist mid-level RH values. The various model Rapid Intensification (RI) indices are quite high compared to the climatological mean, and the NHC forecast depicts rapid intensification. Jova is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane on Wednesday and into a major hurricane in about 36-48 h. The intensity forecast lies at the higher end of the guidance envelope given the favorable parameters and above climatological mean for RI, closest to the SHIPS guidance. Later in the forecast period, the system is forecast to move over a sharp SST gradient with much cooler ocean temperatures inducing a weakening trend. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/2100Z 12.9N 108.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 06/0600Z 13.3N 109.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 24H 06/1800Z 14.3N 111.6W 85 KT 100 MPH 36H 07/0600Z 15.1N 114.0W 100 KT 115 MPH 48H 07/1800Z 16.2N 116.5W 110 KT 125 MPH 60H 08/0600Z 17.3N 118.9W 115 KT 130 MPH 72H 08/1800Z 18.8N 121.4W 105 KT 120 MPH 96H 09/1800Z 21.5N 126.3W 75 KT 85 MPH 120H 10/1800Z 23.5N 130.7W 60 KT 70 MPH $$ Forecaster Kelly/Blake

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 05 2023 128 FOPZ11 KNHC 052049 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM JOVA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112023 2100 UTC TUE SEP 05 2023 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOVA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 1 30(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 63(64) 26(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) 24(24) 36(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) 11(11) 27(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 1(22) X(22) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 54(55) 4(59) X(59) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 3(23) X(23) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 60(66) 1(67) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 33(34) 1(35) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 32(35) 25N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 25N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) $$ FORECASTER KELLY/BLAKE