Aggregator

Produce was not abundant at the first Farmers' Market in Coldwater and mostly sold out in the first hour. Farmers and gardeners alike struggled to grow produce amid the drought. The Daily Reporter (Coldwater, Mich.), June 26, 2023

WW 0394 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 394 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WENDT..06/26/23 ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...CAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 394 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC001-003-007-023-025-027-035-037-045-051-057-059-063-067-069- 071-077-081-085-093-097-101-105-109-111-119-123-125-135-145-149- 151-153-159-161-165-167-179-181-183-185-262240- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON BURKE CABARRUS CALDWELL CATAWBA CHATHAM CLEVELAND CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON DAVIE DURHAM FORSYTH FRANKLIN GASTON GRANVILLE GUILFORD HARNETT HOKE IREDELL JOHNSTON LEE LINCOLN MCDOWELL MECKLENBURG MONTGOMERY MOORE ORANGE PERSON POLK RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROWAN RUTHERFORD SCOTLAND STANLY UNION VANCE WAKE WARREN SCC021-023-025-057-083-087-091-262240- SC Read more

WW 394 SEVERE TSTM NC SC 262050Z - 270300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 394 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 450 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western to central North Carolina Northern South Carolina * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 450 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A few supercells should develop off the higher terrain of western North Carolina and northwest South Carolina, likely growing upscale into one or more clusters across the Piedmont later this evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north of Greenville SC to 25 miles east southeast of Raleigh NC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 391...WW 392...WW 393... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Grams Read more

WW 0392 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 392 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WENDT..06/26/23 ATTN...WFO...LWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 392 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DCC001-262240- DC . DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA MDC001-003-005-013-015-017-021-025-027-031-033-043-510-262240- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGANY ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CARROLL CECIL CHARLES FREDERICK HARFORD HOWARD MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES WASHINGTON MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY Read more

WW 392 SEVERE TSTM DC MD VA WV CW 261815Z - 270100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 392 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 215 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Maryland Northern Virginia Eastern West Virginia Panhandle Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms developing along the eastern West Virginia Panhandle and northern Virginia border area should evolve into an east-northeast moving cluster towards the I-95 corridor later this afternoon into early evening. Damaging winds will be the main threat. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles northwest of Staunton VA to 30 miles east northeast of Baltimore MD. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 391... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 25025. ...Grams Read more

WW 0393 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 393 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WENDT..06/26/23 ATTN...WFO...RNK...AKQ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 393 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC005-033-157-169-171-193-197-262240- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGHANY CASWELL ROCKINGHAM STOKES SURRY WILKES YADKIN VAC007-009-011-019-023-025-029-031-033-035-036-037-041-045-049- 053-057-063-065-067-075-077-081-083-085-087-089-095-097-101-109- 111-117-121-127-135-141-143-145-147-149-155-161-163-175-181-183- 197-530-570-590-595-620-640-670-678-680-690-730-750-760-770-775- 830-262240- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX BEDFORD BOTETOURT BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CAROLINE CARROLL CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE CHESTERFIELD CRAIG CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE ESSEX FLOYD FLUVANNA FRANKLIN GOOCHLAND Read more

WW 393 SEVERE TSTM NC VA 261915Z - 270200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 393...CORRECTED NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 320 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2023 CORRECTED FOR MISSING INDEPENDENT CITY The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northwest North Carolina Southern Virginia * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Initially discrete cells over southwest Virginia into northwest North Carolina should consolidate into an eastward-moving cluster across southern Virginia through this evening. Damaging winds and isolated severe hail will be the main threats. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles east southeast of Richmond VA to 35 miles southwest of Dublin VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 391...WW 392... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26030. ...Grams Read more

WW 0391 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 391 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE ERI TO 30 NNE BFD TO 60 N ROC. ..WENDT..06/26/23 ATTN...WFO...PHI...BUF...BGM...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 391 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NJC005-007-015-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-037-041-262240- NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BURLINGTON CAMDEN GLOUCESTER HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN SALEM SOMERSET SUSSEX WARREN NYC003-007-011-015-017-023-045-049-051-053-055-065-067-069-075- 097-099-101-107-109-117-123-262240- NY . NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGANY BROOME CAYUGA CHEMUNG CHENANGO CORTLAND JEFFERSON LEWIS LIVINGSTON MADISON MONROE ONEIDA ONONDAGA ONTARIO OSWEGO SCHUYLER SENECA STEUBEN TIOGA TOMPKINS WAYNE Read more

WW 391 SEVERE TSTM DE NJ NY PA LE LO CW 261710Z - 270100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 391 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 110 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern Delaware New Jersey Western New York Central and eastern Pennsylvania Lake Erie Lake Ontario Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 110 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Multiple areas of multicell clustering are expected with a few transient supercells across parts of New York and Pennsylvania into New Jersey. Strong to localized severe gusts producing damaging winds will be the main threat. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north northeast of Rochester NY to 45 miles southeast of Harrisburg PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 21025. ...Grams Read more

MD 1288 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHEAST/COASTAL GA...COASTAL/CENTRAL SC...AND FAR SOUTHERN NC
Mesoscale Discussion 1288 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2023 Areas affected...Portions of far southeast/coastal GA...coastal/central SC...and far southern NC Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 262055Z - 262230Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Trends are being monitored for signs of increasing thunderstorm coverage/intensity, which may eventually prompt watch issuance. DISCUSSION...A thunderstorm has recently formed in far southeast/coastal GA in a weak low-level confluence regime, with other towering cu also developing in recent visible satellite imagery. Around 1500-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE is present downstream into coastal/central SC and far southern NC, with a very moist low-level airmass in place. Weak surface winds gradually increase through the boundary layer to around 30 kt around 2-3 km AGL based on recent VWPs from KCLX/KLTX. This region is on the southern fringe of enhanced mid-level westerly winds associated with an upper trough/low centered over the Great Lakes. Even so, around 25-35 kt of effective bulk shear should foster some organization with any convection that can form and be sustained. If robust convection can develop, a mix of multicells and marginal supercells, with an associated hail/damaging wind threat, appear possible. High-resolution guidance shows varying solutions regarding the number of thunderstorms which may develop across this area. Trends will be monitored for signs of increasing thunderstorm coverage/intensity, which may eventually prompt watch issuance. ..Gleason/Grams.. 06/26/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE... LAT...LON 32688195 33518119 34347924 33877852 33097916 32028086 32688195 Read more

MD 1286 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN WYOMING...FAR SOUTHEASTERN MONTANA...FAR WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1286 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0324 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2023 Areas affected...portions of northern Wyoming...far southeastern Montana...far western South Dakota Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 262024Z - 262300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...The severe threat is increasing across portions of the northern High Plains. A few supercells may develop, supporting a risk for large hail (including an instance or two of 2+ inch stones), as well as a couple of severe gusts. Convective trends are being monitored for the need of a Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance later this afternoon. DISCUSSION...MRMS mosaic radar imagery and satellite data suggests that convection is gradually deepening along the higher terrain of the Rockies. Though convection has yet to move off of the higher terrain, stronger forcing should begin to overspread the northern High Plains in the next few hours in association with an approaching 500 mb vort max over northwestern UT. While low-level moisture is not overly rich, 8+ C/km lapse rates from the surface to 500 mb is supporting 2000+ J/kg SBCAPE/MUCAPE, which is adequate for supercell development given the presence of 40+ kt effective bulk shear values (driven by straight, long hodographs). The deep-layer speed shear may support sufficient enough hail growth for stones to exceed 1 inches in diameter, with a couple of 2+ inch diameter stones possible. A few severe gusts may also occur with the heavier supercell precipitation cores given the steep low-level lapse rates. It is unclear exactly when a significant uptick in convective intensity and relatively robust supercell development will occur. It is possible that such development may not occur for at least a few more hours. Nonetheless, Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance will likely be needed at some point this afternoon or evening and convective trends are being monitored closely for more precise timing of the watch issuance. ..Squitieri/Grams.. 06/26/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...UNR...CYS...BYZ...RIW... LAT...LON 43391037 44540896 45490731 45640592 45640456 45070351 44510309 44180317 43120370 42680452 42390547 42400736 42570816 43391037 Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0252 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2023 Valid 262000Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CAROLINAS INTO PARTS OF NEW YORK... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds are most likely from the Carolinas to parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast States through this evening. Minor adjustments to the marginal risk line were made across western PA as the stronger activity should remain east where watches are ongoing. The marginal risk area was also removed from southern LA as activity tonight will be focused farther north. Otherwise, a large area of instability remains from NY into the Carolinas, with scattered severe storms producing damaging wind gusts expected. For more information see MCDs 1283 1284 1285. ..Jewell.. 06/26/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2023/ ...Carolinas to southern VA... The more favorable thermodynamic and kinematic environment will be across this portion of the broader severe threat in the East. In the wake of a couple MCVs progressing through the central portions of Carolinas and VA, nearly full insolation across the western portions of these states, coincident with moderately steep mid-level lapse rates around 7 C/km, will support moderate buoyancy with MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg towards early evening. The most consistent signal for scattered thunderstorm development is across the higher terrain of western NC later this afternoon. While low-level shear will be weak, a belt of 35-45 kt 500-mb westerlies will support a few cells with mid-level updraft rotation, mainly early before convection tends to consolidate into one or more organized clusters. This will likely support multiple swaths of damaging winds, centered mainly on the Piedmont, before convection tends to gradually weaken across the coastal plain tonight. ...Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States... Mid-level westerlies should be weaker north of southern VA, and become increasingly meridional from PA northward, yielding a more marginal deep-layer shear environment relative to farther south. In addition, isolated to scattered thunderstorms are already ongoing across parts of NJ/NY/PA and this will tend to subdue greater destabilization with north and east extent. The primary severe threat within this region will likely emanate from a later afternoon round of thunderstorms that form over the higher terrain from central PA to western VA. Morning CAM guidance is more consistent with convection being maintained east across eastern PA/central MD and parts of the DE and Potomac Valleys where multicell clustering should support scattered damaging winds. An MCV over north-central VA and relative instability minimum in its vicinity may be suppressive to maintaining multicell clustering into the Delmarva region later today. ...Lee of the north-central Rockies and Black Hills... A narrow zone of moderate low-level moisture return is expected to persist over the central High Plains beneath a low-amplitude mid-level ridge. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms appear most likely to develop along the northern periphery of this confined buoyancy plume where steep mid-level lapse rates support MLCAPE of 1000-2000 J/kg. A belt of moderate westerly mid-level flow between strong jets over the Southwest and Mid-MS Valley should be adequate to support a few supercells. Significant severe hail will be the main threat initially, especially with potential for a long-track supercell. An attempt at clustering towards the Black Hills/NE Panhandle vicinity might occur as the High Plains low-level jet strengthens this evening, but the confined spatial extent of the buoyancy plume and nocturnal increase in MLCIN yields low confidence in maintaining severe coverage beyond an isolated threat tonight. ...Ark-La-Tex vicinity... In the wake of a decaying MCS over southeast LA (see MCD 1281 for near-term discussion), regenerative convection may yield an isolated severe hail threat for a few more hours, but convection should become more suppressed later this afternoon amid difluent low-level flow. A separate round of elevated convection is anticipated overnight with weak 850-700 warm theta-e advection. Isolated large hail may occur initially owing to the large elevated buoyancy, but deep-layer shear magnitude/orientation will tend to favor a predominant cluster mode which should serve to marginalize the overall severe hail threat and support isolated damaging winds. ...Southern High Plains... Isolated storm development is possible across the southern High Plains, within a hot and well-mixed environment. Any deep convection would pose a threat for microbursts and perhaps marginally severe hail, though storm longevity appears limited at this time within this weakly forced regime. Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2023 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE FOUR CORNERS... Based on latest guidance, only minor changes have been made to this forecast. The Elevated area was expanded slightly farther into western Colorado and north-central New Mexico, whereas the Critical area expanded slightly westward across northern Arizona and farther northeast into western Colorado. The meteorological reasoning remains the same as discussed below. ..Marsh.. 06/26/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0155 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2023/ ...Synopsis... A broad mid-level trough will remain in place over portions of the Southwest Day2/Tuesday. Strong winds aloft and dry surface conditions will again favor another day of critical fire concerns over portions of the Southwest and Four Corners region. ...Southwest... With the upper trough moving slowly over the Four Corners, strong flow aloft will remain in place over the exceedingly dry and warm air mass across the Southwest. Very poor overnight humidity recoveries of only 25-30% will support single digit RH values Day2/Tuesday afternoon. In combination with widespread surface winds of 25-30 mph and higher gusts, critical fire-weather conditions will be common across portions of eastern AZ, northwestern NM, into southwest CO and southeast UT. A few hours of localized extremely critical fire-weather conditions are also possible across northeast AZ owing to terrain-enhanced winds and occasional gusts of 35+ mph with single digit RH. Fire-weather concerns may linger into the overnight hours as poor humidity recoveries and gusty winds priest after sunset. ...Dry Thunderstorms... As the upper trough continues to deepen and overspread the region, broad forcing for ascent and orographic lift will support isolated to widely scattered thunderstorm Day2/Tuesday afternoon. Area model soundings show deep and dry profiles in the lowest 3 km with PWATs near 0.75 inches. The combination of dry sub-cloud layers and moderate storm motions of 25-30 kt will favor very low precipitation efficiency. Thus, wetting rainfall is unlikely to occur with any thunderstorms. Dry lightning strikes appear likely over receptive fuels across central NM, necessitating IsoDryT highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

746
ABPZ20 KNHC 261751
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Jun 26 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Off the Southern and Southwestern Coast of Mexico (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms have become a little more concentrated
along a surface trough of low pressure located several hundred miles
south of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions
appear generally favorable for development of this system, and a
tropical depression is likely to form during the middle part of this
week as the system moves slowly west-northwestward, parallel to the
southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

South of Southern Mexico and Central America:
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of
the coasts of Guatemala and El Salvador is associated with an area
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development
of this system is possible during the next several days, and a
tropical depression is likely to form during the middle to latter
part of this week while it moves slowly west-northwestward to
northwestward, roughly parallel to the southern and southwestern
coasts of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Pasch

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1233 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2023 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN A CORRIDOR MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms producing damaging winds are most probable in a corridor from southwest Kansas and the Oklahoma Panhandle eastward across those states. Sporadic severe hail will be possible over parts of the northern Plains, with locally damaging gusts over parts of the Mid Atlantic. ...Southern KS/northern OK area... Models have come into relatively good agreement depicting a corridor of damaging wind potential, and the area has been upgraded. Storms are expected to initiate over northeast NM into southeast CO during the late afternoon, and grow upscale into an MCS as outflow is produced. Strong instability with steep lapse rates will support such an MCS, despite capping farther east during the evening. Midlevel winds around 40 kt combined with the steep lapse rates should result in a long swath of wind damage potential, but perhaps narrow. Wind gusts over 65 kt will be possible. In addition, wind-driven hail may occur, especially during the first few hours of development from late afternoon into the early evening. ...Mainly the coastal Mid Atlantic... Cool midlevel temperatures will remain as an upper trough slowly moves east over the area. Low-level moisture will remain over the area despite weak westerlies aloft, though midlevel subsidence may exist. Daytime heating and weak convergence should however lead to scattered thunderstorms, and a few may produce locally strong wind gusts. ...Black Hills region/northern Plains... A surface trough will develop from the Dakotas into western NE, near the northern edge of the upper ridge. Models indicate minor disturbances rotating around the ridge, where 40-50 kt midlevel winds will exist. Storms are expected to form over northeast WY into western SD during the afternoon with straight hodographs favoring hail, and near the surface trough from western NE into SD. Capping will likely limit coverage over the moist sector with eastward extent, but wind profiles here will favor supercells. ..Jewell.. 06/26/2023 Read more

Prayer sessions for rain and relief from the drought crisis will be held on Tuesday mornings in the courtyard in Bloomfield. Bloomfield Democrat (Iowa), June 26, 2023

The Twin Cities received about one-fourth of an inch of rain from mid-May through mid-June, for the least rain in one month since the 1870s. Customers at a garden center in south Minneapolis were aware of the dry conditions and were buying more soaker hoses and rain barrels to be able to use water more wisely. CBS News Minnesota (Minneapolis), June 24, 2023

The Missouri state fire marshal warned the public to be safe with fireworks and enjoy public displays as drought affected most of the state. KY3 (Springfield, Mo.), June 23, 2023 With most of Missouri abnormally dry or in drought, experts recommend that people take in the public fireworks displays or take precautions to avoid sparking a fire. WDAF-TV Online (Kansas City, Mo.), June 26, 2023

MD 1265 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA/GEORGIA
Mesoscale Discussion 1265 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0510 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2023 Areas affected...portions of central into southern Alabama/Georgia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 252210Z - 252345Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Ongoing cluster of strong to severe storms may continue southeastward with a risk primarily for damaging gusts and some hail. Conditions are being monitored for a possible downstream Watch. DISCUSSION...As of 22 UTC, regional radar analysis showed a cluster of ongoing strong to severe storms across portions of AL and GA within WW377. Over the last couple of hours, this cluster has gradually become loosely organized into an MCS, as surface cold pools have consolidated. Intensity has fluctuated somewhat, but moderate buoyancy should continue to be sufficient for strong updraft maintenance. Vertical shear decreases with southward extent, but 20-25 kt of effective shear from area VADs may remain supportive of organized multicells. The presence of a strong cold pool also suggests storms may remain organized despite limited vertical shear. Damaging wind gusts and some hail are possible as storms track south and east with time. Greater buoyancy across portions of southeastern AL may favor preferential propagation along the southwestern most portions of the line tonight. Recent HRRR runs are also supportive of this scenario with the main MCS shifting toward the AL/GA border later this evening. Given the potential for damaging wind gusts and hail this evening, a Watch is being considered. ..Lyons/Guyer.. 06/25/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB... LAT...LON 32188711 33348710 33928379 33958331 33338295 32608326 31598407 31468459 31488541 31538614 31598652 31698668 32188711 Read more

WW 0382 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 382 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1261 ..WEINMAN..06/25/23 ATTN...WFO...DTX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 382 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MIC017-049-063-087-093-099-111-125-145-147-151-155-157-252340- MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY GENESEE HURON LAPEER LIVINGSTON MACOMB MIDLAND OAKLAND SAGINAW ST. CLAIR SANILAC SHIAWASSEE TUSCOLA LCZ422-460-LHZ421-422-441-442-443-462-463-464-252340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE ST. CLAIR RIVER LAKE ST. CLAIR OPEN LAKE (U.S. PORTION) OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY Read more