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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2023 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA INTO CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... The current Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook is on track with no changes needed. See previous discussion below. ..Thornton.. 06/16/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Fri Jun 16 2023/ ...Synopsis... A midlevel shortwave trough is forecast to move across the southern/central Rockies on Saturday with an enhanced belt of westerly flow. Meanwhile, a surface low-pressure system is expected to deepen in eastern New Mexico by the afternoon, resulting in strong westerly surface winds across most of New Mexico. A persistent, dry airmass across the region is expected to yield afternoon RH values in the single digits concurrent with 20 mph sustained westerly surface winds. A critical area has been delineated where meteorological conditions and dry fuels overlap. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0317 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 317 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE SBY TO 35 SE ACY. WW 317 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 162200Z. ..LYONS..06/16/23 ATTN...WFO...PHI...LWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 317 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ANZ455-162200- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2023 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS OKLAHOMA...AND PORTIONS OF SURROUNDING STATES...... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN PARTS OF MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA/GEORGIA AND MUCH OF FLORIDA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of the central and southern Great Plains Saturday through Saturday night, with additional strong to severe thunderstorms expected from the central Gulf Coast region into much of Florida. ...Synopsis... Moderately strong southern-stream flow will persist across the southern U.S. Saturday, with one trough within this stream to move across the Southeast, and a second to shift out of the Rockies and into the Kansas/Oklahoma area later in the period. Meanwhile in the northern stream, lows are forecast to reside over western Canada and the Northeast U.S. through the period. At the surface, a baroclinic zone will remain generally in place east-to-west across the Southeast and Gulf Coast states and into Texas, while a second/weak front shifts southeastward across the Plains through Sunday morning. ...Southeastern Colorado southeastward to the Ozarks and Arklatex... Daytime heating of a moist boundary layer near and south of the remnant surface front is expected across the southern Plains area Saturday, and to a somewhat lesser degree northward into Colorado and Kansas ahead of a weaker/secondary front, which will result in moderate to strong destabilization across a large area. This will result in diurnal development of storms -- across portions of the southeastern Colorado area during the afternoon, and in more limited/uncertain degree southward along a west Texas dryline, where capping will be stronger. Developing storms are expected to quickly intensify given the thermodynamic environment, and with moderately strong westerly mid-level flow persisting atop the area, supercells are expected, accompanied by potential for very large hail and damaging winds. With time, one or more areas of convection will likely grow upscale, with some CAMs suggesting two separate clusters evolving (one moving southeastward out of Colorado and a second across central/northern Texas), while others suggest one larger MCS evolving (across the southern Kansas/Oklahoma area as a southwesterly low-level jet intensifies during the evening). In any case, any upscale growth should enhance potential for very strong/damaging winds, given the background kinematic environment. As such, an upgrade to enhanced risk is being introduced at this time, which will likely require refinement as the scenario becomes a bit more clear with time. Risk will likely continue through the evening and into the overnight hours, as the convection propagates eastward/east-southeastward toward southern Missouri/Arkansas/northern Louisiana later in the period. ...Southern portions of Mississippi/Alabama/Georgia and into much of Florida... A complex scenario is forecast across parts of Southeast Saturday, as ongoing convection is expected across parts of Florida, and perhaps portions of the central Gulf Coast states, near and south of the remnant surface front lying west-to-east across the region. Away from early/ongoing convection and associated cloud cover, diurnal destabilization of the moist boundary layer will support additional/widespread convective development, aided by the southeastward advance of mid-level short-wave troughing across the Southeast states. While narrowing down specific corridors of potentially greater severe-weather coverage is difficult at this time, the broadly favorable kinematic environment combined with moderately strong deep-layer flow (40 to 60 kt in the 850 to 500 mb layer) that will spread across the region in conjunction with the aforementioned mid-level troughing suggests risk for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado or two, with episodic storms/storm clusters across this area through most if not all of the period. ..Goss.. 06/16/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2023 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS OKLAHOMA...AND PORTIONS OF SURROUNDING STATES...... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN PARTS OF MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA/GEORGIA AND MUCH OF FLORIDA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of the central and southern Great Plains Saturday through Saturday night, with additional strong to severe thunderstorms expected from the central Gulf Coast region into much of Florida. ...Synopsis... Moderately strong southern-stream flow will persist across the southern U.S. Saturday, with one trough within this stream to move across the Southeast, and a second to shift out of the Rockies and into the Kansas/Oklahoma area later in the period. Meanwhile in the northern stream, lows are forecast to reside over western Canada and the Northeast U.S. through the period. At the surface, a baroclinic zone will remain generally in place east-to-west across the Southeast and Gulf Coast states and into Texas, while a second/weak front shifts southeastward across the Plains through Sunday morning. ...Southeastern Colorado southeastward to the Ozarks and Arklatex... Daytime heating of a moist boundary layer near and south of the remnant surface front is expected across the southern Plains area Saturday, and to a somewhat lesser degree northward into Colorado and Kansas ahead of a weaker/secondary front, which will result in moderate to strong destabilization across a large area. This will result in diurnal development of storms -- across portions of the southeastern Colorado area during the afternoon, and in more limited/uncertain degree southward along a west Texas dryline, where capping will be stronger. Developing storms are expected to quickly intensify given the thermodynamic environment, and with moderately strong westerly mid-level flow persisting atop the area, supercells are expected, accompanied by potential for very large hail and damaging winds. With time, one or more areas of convection will likely grow upscale, with some CAMs suggesting two separate clusters evolving (one moving southeastward out of Colorado and a second across central/northern Texas), while others suggest one larger MCS evolving (across the southern Kansas/Oklahoma area as a southwesterly low-level jet intensifies during the evening). In any case, any upscale growth should enhance potential for very strong/damaging winds, given the background kinematic environment. As such, an upgrade to enhanced risk is being introduced at this time, which will likely require refinement as the scenario becomes a bit more clear with time. Risk will likely continue through the evening and into the overnight hours, as the convection propagates eastward/east-southeastward toward southern Missouri/Arkansas/northern Louisiana later in the period. ...Southern portions of Mississippi/Alabama/Georgia and into much of Florida... A complex scenario is forecast across parts of Southeast Saturday, as ongoing convection is expected across parts of Florida, and perhaps portions of the central Gulf Coast states, near and south of the remnant surface front lying west-to-east across the region. Away from early/ongoing convection and associated cloud cover, diurnal destabilization of the moist boundary layer will support additional/widespread convective development, aided by the southeastward advance of mid-level short-wave troughing across the Southeast states. While narrowing down specific corridors of potentially greater severe-weather coverage is difficult at this time, the broadly favorable kinematic environment combined with moderately strong deep-layer flow (40 to 60 kt in the 850 to 500 mb layer) that will spread across the region in conjunction with the aforementioned mid-level troughing suggests risk for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado or two, with episodic storms/storm clusters across this area through most if not all of the period. ..Goss.. 06/16/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2023 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS OKLAHOMA...AND PORTIONS OF SURROUNDING STATES...... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN PARTS OF MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA/GEORGIA AND MUCH OF FLORIDA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of the central and southern Great Plains Saturday through Saturday night, with additional strong to severe thunderstorms expected from the central Gulf Coast region into much of Florida. ...Synopsis... Moderately strong southern-stream flow will persist across the southern U.S. Saturday, with one trough within this stream to move across the Southeast, and a second to shift out of the Rockies and into the Kansas/Oklahoma area later in the period. Meanwhile in the northern stream, lows are forecast to reside over western Canada and the Northeast U.S. through the period. At the surface, a baroclinic zone will remain generally in place east-to-west across the Southeast and Gulf Coast states and into Texas, while a second/weak front shifts southeastward across the Plains through Sunday morning. ...Southeastern Colorado southeastward to the Ozarks and Arklatex... Daytime heating of a moist boundary layer near and south of the remnant surface front is expected across the southern Plains area Saturday, and to a somewhat lesser degree northward into Colorado and Kansas ahead of a weaker/secondary front, which will result in moderate to strong destabilization across a large area. This will result in diurnal development of storms -- across portions of the southeastern Colorado area during the afternoon, and in more limited/uncertain degree southward along a west Texas dryline, where capping will be stronger. Developing storms are expected to quickly intensify given the thermodynamic environment, and with moderately strong westerly mid-level flow persisting atop the area, supercells are expected, accompanied by potential for very large hail and damaging winds. With time, one or more areas of convection will likely grow upscale, with some CAMs suggesting two separate clusters evolving (one moving southeastward out of Colorado and a second across central/northern Texas), while others suggest one larger MCS evolving (across the southern Kansas/Oklahoma area as a southwesterly low-level jet intensifies during the evening). In any case, any upscale growth should enhance potential for very strong/damaging winds, given the background kinematic environment. As such, an upgrade to enhanced risk is being introduced at this time, which will likely require refinement as the scenario becomes a bit more clear with time. Risk will likely continue through the evening and into the overnight hours, as the convection propagates eastward/east-southeastward toward southern Missouri/Arkansas/northern Louisiana later in the period. ...Southern portions of Mississippi/Alabama/Georgia and into much of Florida... A complex scenario is forecast across parts of Southeast Saturday, as ongoing convection is expected across parts of Florida, and perhaps portions of the central Gulf Coast states, near and south of the remnant surface front lying west-to-east across the region. Away from early/ongoing convection and associated cloud cover, diurnal destabilization of the moist boundary layer will support additional/widespread convective development, aided by the southeastward advance of mid-level short-wave troughing across the Southeast states. While narrowing down specific corridors of potentially greater severe-weather coverage is difficult at this time, the broadly favorable kinematic environment combined with moderately strong deep-layer flow (40 to 60 kt in the 850 to 500 mb layer) that will spread across the region in conjunction with the aforementioned mid-level troughing suggests risk for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado or two, with episodic storms/storm clusters across this area through most if not all of the period. ..Goss.. 06/16/2023 Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161748
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Jun 16 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Eastern East Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form by this weekend several hundred
miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear
favorable for some development of this system thereafter while it
moves westward to west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

A farmer in north central South Dakota “lost their oats and some spring wheat due to the lack of rain. Getting too late for a rain to do any good on some ground. Some corn is getting very stressed. We are real close to disaster in Western Potter County.” KELOLAND Media Group (Sioux Falls, S.D.), June 15, 2023

Farmers and gardeners in the Michiana area were irrigating to keep strawberries and other crops alive and growing despite the lack of rain. ABC 57 WBND-TV South Bend News (Ind.), June 15, 2023

Vegetation was turning brown and was stressed across the Chicago area. Livestock were receiving supplemental feeding due to limited grazing. Farmers were worried about their parched crops. Drought conditions were the worst the area has experienced since the summer of 2012. Precipitation has been 25% of normal in the past 30 days, and rainfall looked to remain below normal in the next 10 days. NBC Chicago (Ill.), June 15, 2023

A strawberry grower in Ithaca irrigates his berries daily at an estimated cost of $1,000 per acre for the season, due to drought conditions. Spectrum News 1 NY (Syracuse, NY), June 15, 2023

MD 1082 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 307... FOR PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN OK/TX PANHANDLES INTO WESTERN/SOUTHERN OK AND WESTERN NORTH TX
Mesoscale Discussion 1082 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023 Areas affected...Portions of the eastern OK/TX Panhandles into western/southern OK and western north TX Concerning...Tornado Watch 307... Valid 152152Z - 152315Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 307 continues. SUMMARY...Very large hail, severe/damaging winds, and tornadoes will remain a threat with multiple supercells. DISCUSSION...A pair of supercells that developed over southwestern OK have matured as they approach Lawton OK. Very large hail up to 2.75" has been reported with one of these cells, and the threat for giant hail (3-4+ inches) will continue with any supercell given the very favorable thermodynamic and kinematic environment. Both of these cells have recently exhibited rightward deviant motion, and are ingesting sufficient low-level helicity to support updraft rotation. Indeed, the leading cell has shown signs of intense low-level rotation in the past 15-20 minutes, and a tornado may occur. Destructive RFD winds may occur as well. Additional intense supercells will likely develop rapidly in the next couple of hours across the eastern TX Panhandle into western north TX along/east of a surface dryline. Very large hail, severe/damaging winds, and tornadoes will be possible as these supercells strengthen into western OK and western north TX. A more favored location for tornadoes may exist across west-central into southwestern OK along/near the intersection of the dryline and what appears to be an outflow/instability gradient laid out from the leading pair of supercells. Low-level winds are backed to more easterly across this area, which should locally enhance effective SRH and tornado potential with any sustained supercell. Finally, severe/damaging wind potential will likely increase across the far eastern OK Panhandle into northwestern OK over the next couple of hours. Convection in southwestern KS has grown upscale into an MCS with multiple measured severe wind gusts up to 56 kt. Very large hail and tornadoes will also remain a concern with any embedded supercells, particularly with southward extent where convection may remain semi-discrete. ..Gleason.. 06/15/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 36709939 35399842 34419735 33959720 34029769 33709849 33759957 34260033 34840070 35440097 36690097 36970023 36709939 Read more

MD 1083 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 306... FOR SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS...EASTERN OKLAHOMA/TEXAS PANHANDLES...AND NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 1083 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023 Areas affected...southwestern Kansas...eastern Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles...and northwestern Oklahoma Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 306... Valid 152153Z - 160000Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 306 continues. SUMMARY...The severe wind threat is increasing across the southeast portion of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 306 as storms continue to organize and grow upscale and move eastward through the late afternoon and evening. DISCUSSION...The convective line is beginning to orient north-south across southwest Kansas into the northern Texas Panhandle with occasional severe gusts already being measured. Westerly shear vectors through the low-to-midlevels should favor this orientation for forward propagation to the east as the storms/cold pools continue to merge. The downstream environment and latest WoFs runs support this organization and eastward movement, including the potential for significant severe wind gusts. ..Jirak/Grams.. 06/15/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA... LAT...LON 36370111 37280101 37900079 38050014 38019949 37809867 37299803 36809802 36319839 36079894 36070041 36370111 Read more

WW 0306 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 306 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM EHA TO 25 SSW LAA. ..LYONS..06/15/23 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 306 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC011-017-061-099-152240- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENT CHEYENNE KIOWA PROWERS KSC025-033-055-057-063-067-069-071-075-081-083-093-101-109-119- 129-171-175-187-189-199-203-152240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK COMANCHE FINNEY FORD GOVE GRANT GRAY GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY LANE LOGAN MEADE MORTON SCOTT SEWARD STANTON STEVENS WALLACE WICHITA Read more

WW 306 SEVERE TSTM CO KS 151820Z - 160100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 306 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 120 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Colorado Southwest Kansas * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 120 PM until 800 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to increase in coverage and intensity through the afternoon, with a mix of supercells and multicell clusters as the main storm modes. Large hail up to 2.5 inches in diameter and severe outflow gusts of 60-70 mph will be the main threats, though an isolated tornado or two may also occur with favorable storm interactions. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles east and west of a line from 85 miles north northwest of Garden City KS to 15 miles west of Liberal KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 302...WW 303...WW 304...WW 305... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26020. ...Thompson Read more

WW 0307 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 307 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..06/15/23 ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-039-043-045- 049-051-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-073-075-083-085-087-093-095- 099-109-123-125-129-133-137-139-141-149-151-153-152240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BEAVER BECKHAM BLAINE BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND COAL COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS GARVIN GRADY GREER HARMON HARPER HUGHES JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSTON KINGFISHER KIOWA LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN MAJOR MARSHALL MURRAY OKLAHOMA PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE STEPHENS TEXAS TILLMAN WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD TXC009-023-075-077-087-155-179-195-197-211-275-295-357-393-483- 485-487-152240- Read more

WW 307 TORNADO OK TX 151930Z - 160300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 307 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 230 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Western, southern and central Oklahoma and the eastern Oklahoma Panhandle The eastern Texas Panhandle and northwest Texas * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 5 inches in diameter expected Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 90 mph likely SUMMARY...Intense supercell development is expected this afternoon from the eastern Texas Panhandle into western Oklahoma and northwest Texas, and storms will spread eastward through late evening. The initial, more discrete supercells will be capable of producing giant hail (4-5 inches in diameter) and a few tornadoes. Upscale growth into a cluster or two is possible this evening, with an increasing threat for intense outflow winds of 80-90 mph. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles east northeast of Guymon OK to 40 miles southeast of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 302...WW 303...WW 304...WW 305...WW 306... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 80 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 650. Mean storm motion vector 27025. ...Thompson Read more

WW 0308 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 308 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW GZH TO 30 SW DHN TO 20 NE MAI TO 30 SW ABY. ..LYONS..06/15/23 ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 308 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-053-097-152240- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN ESCAMBIA MOBILE FLC005-013-029-033-037-039-045-059-063-065-067-073-077-079-091- 113-123-129-131-133-152240- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN DIXIE ESCAMBIA FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF HOLMES JACKSON JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON LIBERTY MADISON OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA TAYLOR WAKULLA WALTON WASHINGTON GMZ630-631-632-633-634-635-636-650-655-730-750-752-755-765- 152240- Read more

WW 308 SEVERE TSTM AL FL CW 151955Z - 160200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 308 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 255 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southern Alabama The Florida Panhandle Coastal Waters * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Clusters of storms, including embedded supercells, will continue to move east-southeastward toward Alabama and Florida Panhandle coasts through this evening. Large hail of 1-2 inches in diameter and damaging outflow gusts of 60-70 mph will be the main threats, though an isolated tornado or two could occur with embedded circulations. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles west northwest of Mobile AL to 105 miles east of Apalachicola FL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This severe thunderstorm watch replaces tornado watch number 302...tornado watch number 303. Watch number 302 303 will not be in effect after 255 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 304...WW 305...WW 306...WW 307... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 30025. ...Thompson Read more

WW 0309 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 309 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..06/15/23 ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 309 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC027-035-049-059-083-085-093-097-099-113-121-133-139-143-145- 181-193-217-221-237-251-257-281-293-307-309-319-333-337-349-363- 367-397-411-417-425-429-439-447-497-503-152240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BELL BOSQUE BROWN CALLAHAN COLEMAN COLLIN COMANCHE COOKE CORYELL DALLAS DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH FALLS GRAYSON HAMILTON HILL HOOD JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMPASAS LIMESTONE MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN MASON MILLS MONTAGUE NAVARRO PALO PINTO PARKER ROCKWALL SAN SABA SHACKELFORD SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT THROCKMORTON WISE YOUNG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 309 TORNADO TX 152045Z - 160300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 309 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 345 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Central and north Texas * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 5 inches in diameter likely SUMMARY...Intense supercells are expected to form along and east of a dryline from central into northwest Texas and the storms will move eastward through this evening. The storm environment is on the extremes for supercells, such that giant hail of 4-5 inches in diameter will be possible. The threat for a couple of tornadoes will be greater with northward extent in the watch area, while the threat for intense/damaging outflow winds up to 80 mph will increase this evening with any storm clustering across north Texas. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles west of Temple TX to 55 miles north of Mineral Wells TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 304...WW 306...WW 307...WW 308... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 650. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Thompson Read more