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SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 272000Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE EAST COAST STATES...AND OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms remain possible across from parts of the Northeast southward across the Mid-Atlantic and into the Southeast this afternoon. More isolated activity is possible through this evening across much of central and eastern Texas, as well as southwest Oklahoma and the mid/upper Mississippi Valley. ...20Z Changes... Just a minor adjustment of the western edge of the risk areas across the East as scattered storms continue to develop within the moist pre-frontal air mass. Areas of locally stronger low-level shear may favor a brief/weak tornado over parts of the Mid Atlantic. See mesoscale discussion 1016 for more information. For the Southern Plains, extended the Slight Risk southwestward toward the Rio Grande Valley. Visible imagery shows increasing cumulus and hot temperatures should aid storm development with locally severe hail or wind gusts. Farther north into OK, concerns are growing for an early morning hail event as elevated instability develops northward across the 12Z day1/day2 outlook time frame. While most of the development is expected after 12Z, a few storms may produce hail earlier. As such, have brought low hail probabilities/Marginal Risk farther north, however, this does not necessarily mean hail will be small. ..Jewell.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1145 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Eastern States/Southeast... An initial ongoing focus for severe potential is across Georgia near an outflow boundary and in the wake of an MCV across the Carolinas Piedmont as of midday. Regional WSR-88D VWPs are sampling supercell-favorable wind profiles across this region, with additional storm development/intensification as the air mass modifies/destabilizes across Georgia/South Carolina/southeast Alabama. Another favored zone of severe storm development, including supercells, may occur across eastern North Carolina/southeast Virginia this afternoon near, or in the immediate wake of, the MCV, in the presence of a very moist and strongly unstable boundary layer. Farther north, a broad north-south zone of severe thunderstorm potential exists near, or more so in the immediate lee of, the Appalachians. For additional details, see Mesoscale Discussion 1013. Sufficient deep-layer shear and buoyancy will support potential for both supercells and organized multicells in lines or clusters. Damaging winds are expected to be the most common risks, but large hail is also possible, along the potential for a couple of tornadoes regionally. ...Southern Plains including North/Central Texas... Isolated to scattered thunderstorm development is possible across a broad part of North/central Texas by mid/late afternoon. Large hail and damaging winds gusts are the greatest concerns in the presence of large buoyancy and supercell-favorable deep-layer shear. The most probable area for potentially intense deep convection will be near the stalled/slow-moving front and east of the dryline, including a corridor across North Texas/Big Country into central Texas including the Concho Valley and Hill Country vicinity. Surface dewpoints commonly in the 70s F and steep mid-level lapse rates will support 4000-5000 J/kg MLCAPE. A few small clusters could evolve by evening. Later tonight, additional elevated/potentially severe storms will probably form across western/southern Oklahoma and western North Texas to the north of the surface front. ...Midwest including Iowa/Illinois... A clipper-type shortwave trough over southern Minnesota and northern Iowa this morning will continue southeastward today toward the Great Lakes. Low-level moisture (50s F surface dewpoints) and overall buoyancy will be limited in the wake of the primary cold front approaching the Appalachians, but adequate moisture in the presence of steepening low/mid-level lapse rates could yield some storms capable of strong/gusty winds and possibly some hail during the mid/late afternoon through early evening. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 272000Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE EAST COAST STATES...AND OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms remain possible across from parts of the Northeast southward across the Mid-Atlantic and into the Southeast this afternoon. More isolated activity is possible through this evening across much of central and eastern Texas, as well as southwest Oklahoma and the mid/upper Mississippi Valley. ...20Z Changes... Just a minor adjustment of the western edge of the risk areas across the East as scattered storms continue to develop within the moist pre-frontal air mass. Areas of locally stronger low-level shear may favor a brief/weak tornado over parts of the Mid Atlantic. See mesoscale discussion 1016 for more information. For the Southern Plains, extended the Slight Risk southwestward toward the Rio Grande Valley. Visible imagery shows increasing cumulus and hot temperatures should aid storm development with locally severe hail or wind gusts. Farther north into OK, concerns are growing for an early morning hail event as elevated instability develops northward across the 12Z day1/day2 outlook time frame. While most of the development is expected after 12Z, a few storms may produce hail earlier. As such, have brought low hail probabilities/Marginal Risk farther north, however, this does not necessarily mean hail will be small. ..Jewell.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1145 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Eastern States/Southeast... An initial ongoing focus for severe potential is across Georgia near an outflow boundary and in the wake of an MCV across the Carolinas Piedmont as of midday. Regional WSR-88D VWPs are sampling supercell-favorable wind profiles across this region, with additional storm development/intensification as the air mass modifies/destabilizes across Georgia/South Carolina/southeast Alabama. Another favored zone of severe storm development, including supercells, may occur across eastern North Carolina/southeast Virginia this afternoon near, or in the immediate wake of, the MCV, in the presence of a very moist and strongly unstable boundary layer. Farther north, a broad north-south zone of severe thunderstorm potential exists near, or more so in the immediate lee of, the Appalachians. For additional details, see Mesoscale Discussion 1013. Sufficient deep-layer shear and buoyancy will support potential for both supercells and organized multicells in lines or clusters. Damaging winds are expected to be the most common risks, but large hail is also possible, along the potential for a couple of tornadoes regionally. ...Southern Plains including North/Central Texas... Isolated to scattered thunderstorm development is possible across a broad part of North/central Texas by mid/late afternoon. Large hail and damaging winds gusts are the greatest concerns in the presence of large buoyancy and supercell-favorable deep-layer shear. The most probable area for potentially intense deep convection will be near the stalled/slow-moving front and east of the dryline, including a corridor across North Texas/Big Country into central Texas including the Concho Valley and Hill Country vicinity. Surface dewpoints commonly in the 70s F and steep mid-level lapse rates will support 4000-5000 J/kg MLCAPE. A few small clusters could evolve by evening. Later tonight, additional elevated/potentially severe storms will probably form across western/southern Oklahoma and western North Texas to the north of the surface front. ...Midwest including Iowa/Illinois... A clipper-type shortwave trough over southern Minnesota and northern Iowa this morning will continue southeastward today toward the Great Lakes. Low-level moisture (50s F surface dewpoints) and overall buoyancy will be limited in the wake of the primary cold front approaching the Appalachians, but adequate moisture in the presence of steepening low/mid-level lapse rates could yield some storms capable of strong/gusty winds and possibly some hail during the mid/late afternoon through early evening. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 272000Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE EAST COAST STATES...AND OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms remain possible across from parts of the Northeast southward across the Mid-Atlantic and into the Southeast this afternoon. More isolated activity is possible through this evening across much of central and eastern Texas, as well as southwest Oklahoma and the mid/upper Mississippi Valley. ...20Z Changes... Just a minor adjustment of the western edge of the risk areas across the East as scattered storms continue to develop within the moist pre-frontal air mass. Areas of locally stronger low-level shear may favor a brief/weak tornado over parts of the Mid Atlantic. See mesoscale discussion 1016 for more information. For the Southern Plains, extended the Slight Risk southwestward toward the Rio Grande Valley. Visible imagery shows increasing cumulus and hot temperatures should aid storm development with locally severe hail or wind gusts. Farther north into OK, concerns are growing for an early morning hail event as elevated instability develops northward across the 12Z day1/day2 outlook time frame. While most of the development is expected after 12Z, a few storms may produce hail earlier. As such, have brought low hail probabilities/Marginal Risk farther north, however, this does not necessarily mean hail will be small. ..Jewell.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1145 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Eastern States/Southeast... An initial ongoing focus for severe potential is across Georgia near an outflow boundary and in the wake of an MCV across the Carolinas Piedmont as of midday. Regional WSR-88D VWPs are sampling supercell-favorable wind profiles across this region, with additional storm development/intensification as the air mass modifies/destabilizes across Georgia/South Carolina/southeast Alabama. Another favored zone of severe storm development, including supercells, may occur across eastern North Carolina/southeast Virginia this afternoon near, or in the immediate wake of, the MCV, in the presence of a very moist and strongly unstable boundary layer. Farther north, a broad north-south zone of severe thunderstorm potential exists near, or more so in the immediate lee of, the Appalachians. For additional details, see Mesoscale Discussion 1013. Sufficient deep-layer shear and buoyancy will support potential for both supercells and organized multicells in lines or clusters. Damaging winds are expected to be the most common risks, but large hail is also possible, along the potential for a couple of tornadoes regionally. ...Southern Plains including North/Central Texas... Isolated to scattered thunderstorm development is possible across a broad part of North/central Texas by mid/late afternoon. Large hail and damaging winds gusts are the greatest concerns in the presence of large buoyancy and supercell-favorable deep-layer shear. The most probable area for potentially intense deep convection will be near the stalled/slow-moving front and east of the dryline, including a corridor across North Texas/Big Country into central Texas including the Concho Valley and Hill Country vicinity. Surface dewpoints commonly in the 70s F and steep mid-level lapse rates will support 4000-5000 J/kg MLCAPE. A few small clusters could evolve by evening. Later tonight, additional elevated/potentially severe storms will probably form across western/southern Oklahoma and western North Texas to the north of the surface front. ...Midwest including Iowa/Illinois... A clipper-type shortwave trough over southern Minnesota and northern Iowa this morning will continue southeastward today toward the Great Lakes. Low-level moisture (50s F surface dewpoints) and overall buoyancy will be limited in the wake of the primary cold front approaching the Appalachians, but adequate moisture in the presence of steepening low/mid-level lapse rates could yield some storms capable of strong/gusty winds and possibly some hail during the mid/late afternoon through early evening. Read more

MD 1016 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA...EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA
Mesoscale Discussion 1016 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0137 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Areas affected...portions of northern South Carolina...eastern North Carolina...southeastern Virginia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 271837Z - 272000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The severe threat is increasing across portions of northeast SC into southeastern VA. Multicells, line segments, and supercells will likely develop this afternoon and pose a threat for large hail and damaging gusts. A tornado or two also cannot be ruled out. A WW issuance will likely be needed in the next hour or so. DISCUSSION...Strong diurnal heating is contributing to destabilization of the boundary layer, with surface temperatures rising into the 80s F amid upper 60s to low 70s F dewpoints, boosting MLCAPE over 2000 J/kg over many locales. As the 500 mb vort max over northern NC continues to progress east, and as MLCINH continues to erode, thunderstorms should develop in the next couple of hours, and increase in both coverage and intensity through the afternoon. A 35+ kt southwesterly low-level jet is overspreading the Carolinas, beneath a westerly 60+ kt 500 mb jet, contributing to modestly curved and elongated hodographs. As such, multicells, short line segments, and occasional supercells, will all be possible convective modes, accompanied by a large hail/damaging gust threat. Some forecast soundings show large enough low-level hodograph curvature to support an isolated tornado threat closer to the NC/VA coastline. Given the expected coverage of potential severe weather this afternoon, a WW issuance will likely be needed in the next hour or two. ..Squitieri/Guyer.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP... LAT...LON 33808109 35218011 36897880 37467706 37087627 36277594 35437607 34677684 34007768 33707848 33127912 33808109 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again for Tuesday as a weak disturbance migrates across the southern High Plains. The very dry air mass currently in place across the region will remain in place at least through Tuesday. Low-amplitude shortwave ridging aloft will shift east through the day as a weak upper disturbance approaches from northwest Mexico. Although the surface mass response will be fairly modest, breezy westerly winds should be somewhat more widespread as compared to Monday with similar relative humidity and fuel conditions. As such, another day of slightly more widespread elevated conditions is expected across southern NM and portions of southwest/far West TX. Drier/windier solutions hint that localized critical conditions are possible in the lee of more prominent terrain features, but confidence in widespread critical conditions is too low to warrant additional highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more