SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0145 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be relatively minimal for Monday. Although the very dry air mass currently in place across NM and western TX will linger into early next week, winds will be calmer amid building surface high pressure. Some areas of Far West Texas and far southeastern New Mexico may see localized elevated fire weather conditions, as some high-resolution guidance hints at 10-15 mph sustained winds around peak heating. However, the overall poor agreement among ensemble guidance for sustaining elevated wind speeds (15+ mph), coupled with the spatially limited nature of the threat, precludes introducing any risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... Widespread elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon across a large swath of New Mexico and the southern High Plains. As with previous days, a very dry air mass, characterized by overnight single-digit dewpoints and RH values, remains in place across much NM and the southern High Plains. With no appreciable moisture return through the weekend, another day of very dry conditions is expected. Surface winds will be weaker today compared to Saturday, as a mid-level wave and attendant surface low shift east away from the region. However, building surface high pressure across the Intermountain West, combined with modest lee troughing along the Rio Grande Valley, should promote 15 mph northwesterly winds across NM, eastern CO, and adjacent portions of KS, OK, and TX. While elevated fire weather conditions may be somewhat widespread, wildfire concerns will be greatest across NM and western TX, where fuels are currently receptive after several days of minimal rainfall and hot/dry conditions. Drier/windier solutions - namely the HRRR and RAP, which tend to over-mix the boundary layer - suggest localized critical conditions are possible. While this potential is noted, confidence in sufficiently widespread, sustained 20+ mph winds is too limited to warrant critical risk areas. ..Moore.. 05/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more