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SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA... ...SUMMARY... A tornado threat is expected to develop today from parts of eastern North Carolina into central Virginia. ...Eastern North Carolina/Central Virginia... Tropical Storm Debby will move northward across eastern South Carolina today and into southern Virginia by this evening. Rainbands associated with Debby are forecast to move from North Carolina this morning into Virginia by afternoon. Although the strongest destabilization is expected in the coastal areas of eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia, the strongest low-level winds associated with Debby are forecast to be further to the west. RAP forecast sounding along the path of the strongest low-level winds have 0-3 km storm-relative helicity in the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range with precipitable water values above 2.5 inches and MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg. This should be favorable for a tornado threat, associated with the more discrete storms embedded in the rainbands of Debby. The tornado threat is expected to continue this evening, as Debby approaches southern Virginia, and gradually weakens in the process. ..Broyles/Thornton.. 08/08/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA... ...SUMMARY... A tornado threat is expected to develop today from parts of eastern North Carolina into central Virginia. ...Eastern North Carolina/Central Virginia... Tropical Storm Debby will move northward across eastern South Carolina today and into southern Virginia by this evening. Rainbands associated with Debby are forecast to move from North Carolina this morning into Virginia by afternoon. Although the strongest destabilization is expected in the coastal areas of eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia, the strongest low-level winds associated with Debby are forecast to be further to the west. RAP forecast sounding along the path of the strongest low-level winds have 0-3 km storm-relative helicity in the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range with precipitable water values above 2.5 inches and MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg. This should be favorable for a tornado threat, associated with the more discrete storms embedded in the rainbands of Debby. The tornado threat is expected to continue this evening, as Debby approaches southern Virginia, and gradually weakens in the process. ..Broyles/Thornton.. 08/08/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA... ...SUMMARY... A tornado threat is expected to develop today from parts of eastern North Carolina into central Virginia. ...Eastern North Carolina/Central Virginia... Tropical Storm Debby will move northward across eastern South Carolina today and into southern Virginia by this evening. Rainbands associated with Debby are forecast to move from North Carolina this morning into Virginia by afternoon. Although the strongest destabilization is expected in the coastal areas of eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia, the strongest low-level winds associated with Debby are forecast to be further to the west. RAP forecast sounding along the path of the strongest low-level winds have 0-3 km storm-relative helicity in the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range with precipitable water values above 2.5 inches and MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg. This should be favorable for a tornado threat, associated with the more discrete storms embedded in the rainbands of Debby. The tornado threat is expected to continue this evening, as Debby approaches southern Virginia, and gradually weakens in the process. ..Broyles/Thornton.. 08/08/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA... ...SUMMARY... A tornado threat is expected to develop today from parts of eastern North Carolina into central Virginia. ...Eastern North Carolina/Central Virginia... Tropical Storm Debby will move northward across eastern South Carolina today and into southern Virginia by this evening. Rainbands associated with Debby are forecast to move from North Carolina this morning into Virginia by afternoon. Although the strongest destabilization is expected in the coastal areas of eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia, the strongest low-level winds associated with Debby are forecast to be further to the west. RAP forecast sounding along the path of the strongest low-level winds have 0-3 km storm-relative helicity in the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range with precipitable water values above 2.5 inches and MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg. This should be favorable for a tornado threat, associated with the more discrete storms embedded in the rainbands of Debby. The tornado threat is expected to continue this evening, as Debby approaches southern Virginia, and gradually weakens in the process. ..Broyles/Thornton.. 08/08/2024 Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 080549
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Aug 7 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Emilia, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

South of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave moving over Central America is expected to emerge
over the far eastern portion of the east Pacific Ocean later today.
Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for gradual
development of the system while it moves west-northwestward at 15 to
20 mph, parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

WW 0612 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 612 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..08/08/24 ATTN...WFO...MHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 612 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-031-049-055-061-095-103-133-137-177-187-080640- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT CARTERET CRAVEN DARE DUPLIN HYDE JONES ONSLOW PAMLICO TYRRELL WASHINGTON AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-080640- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE ALLIGATOR RIVER PAMLICO SOUND PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM Read more

WW 0612 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 612 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..08/08/24 ATTN...WFO...MHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 612 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-031-049-055-061-095-103-133-137-177-187-080640- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT CARTERET CRAVEN DARE DUPLIN HYDE JONES ONSLOW PAMLICO TYRRELL WASHINGTON AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-080640- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE ALLIGATOR RIVER PAMLICO SOUND PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM Read more

WW 0612 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 612 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..08/08/24 ATTN...WFO...MHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 612 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-031-049-055-061-095-103-133-137-177-187-080640- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT CARTERET CRAVEN DARE DUPLIN HYDE JONES ONSLOW PAMLICO TYRRELL WASHINGTON AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-080640- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE ALLIGATOR RIVER PAMLICO SOUND PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM Read more

WW 0612 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 612 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..08/08/24 ATTN...WFO...MHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 612 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-031-049-055-061-095-103-133-137-177-187-080640- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT CARTERET CRAVEN DARE DUPLIN HYDE JONES ONSLOW PAMLICO TYRRELL WASHINGTON AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-080640- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE ALLIGATOR RIVER PAMLICO SOUND PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM Read more

WW 0612 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 612 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..08/08/24 ATTN...WFO...MHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 612 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-031-049-055-061-095-103-133-137-177-187-080640- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT CARTERET CRAVEN DARE DUPLIN HYDE JONES ONSLOW PAMLICO TYRRELL WASHINGTON AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-080640- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE ALLIGATOR RIVER PAMLICO SOUND PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM Read more

WW 612 TORNADO NC CW 080230Z - 081200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 612 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1030 PM EDT Wed Aug 7 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern North Carolina Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 1030 PM until 800 AM EDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible SUMMARY...A couple of tornadoes will be possible overnight across eastern North Carolina as occasional supercells move inland within rain bands northeast of the center of Tropical Storm Debby. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles east and west of a line from 100 miles northeast of New Bern NC to 25 miles south southeast of Jacksonville NC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 610...WW 611... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 14025. ...Thompson Read more

MD 1862 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 611... FOR SOUTHERN NEBRASKA
Mesoscale Discussion 1862 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1057 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Areas affected...Southern Nebraska Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 611... Valid 080357Z - 080530Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 611 continues. SUMMARY...Gusty winds and some hail threat remain possible with convection across southern Nebraska the next several hours. New ww is not anticipated. DISCUSSION...Scattered strong/severe thunderstorms have congregated along a frontal zone that is advancing south across the central Plains this evening. The primary corridor of convection extends from Boone County-northeast of IML, coincident with the wind shift. This activity has likely peaked in intensity as it is currently propagating through a prefrontal instability axis that will be overturned within a few hours, especially with continued boundary-layer cooling. Convection across northwestern KS should negatively affect these storms as they move south. In the absence of further destabilization, the prospect for organized severe is expected to gradually wane. ..Darrow.. 08/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...GLD... LAT...LON 40560165 40670025 41509815 40779842 40100010 40190133 40560165 Read more

A Fayetteville golf course uses water from its ponds to irrigate the greens. Pond levels were dropping, but none were dry yet. Rainfall from Tropical Storm Debby may bring pond levels up a few inches. WOAY-TV (Oak Hill, W.V.), Aug 6, 2024

WW 0612 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 612 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..08/08/24 ATTN...WFO...MHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 612 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-031-049-055-061-095-103-133-137-177-187-080440- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT CARTERET CRAVEN DARE DUPLIN HYDE JONES ONSLOW PAMLICO TYRRELL WASHINGTON AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-080440- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE ALLIGATOR RIVER PAMLICO SOUND PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM Read more

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 08 Aug 2024 02:50:11 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 08 Aug 2024 03:29:14 GMT

Issued at 800 PM PDT Wed Aug 07 2024 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 080240 TCDEP5 Tropical Storm Emilia Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052024 800 PM PDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Emilia seems to be in the final stages of fully absorbing the remnants of Fabio, which now appear fully enveloped in Emilia's larger circulation. With that said, the merger has not benefited Emilia, and most of its deep central convection has collapsed as the system approaches cooler waters. While there hasn't been recent microwave data over the system, subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates have either stayed the same or decreased slightly. The initial intensity is nudged downward to 50 kt for this advisory. The interaction with Fabio may have resulted in a brief acceleration in Emilia's forward motion, but the longer term motion is now off to the west-northwest at 290/16-kt. The steering associated with a mid-level ridge to the north should continue to result in a west-northwestward motion for most of the forecast period. The NHC track forecast is very similar to the prior advisory, and still lies in the middle of the track guidance envelope. As mentioned in the prior advisory, the shear is forecast to remain low over Emilia, but the tropical storm is also forecast to cross the 26 C isotherm tonight and move over increasingly cool ocean waters. In addition, the storm will also be traversing an increasingly dry and stable air mass along the forecast track. Thus, gradual weakening is forecast to continue, with Emilia expected to become a remnant low in about 48 hours, about the time when the GFS and ECMWF simulated satellite shows organized convection dissipating. It will likely take a few more days for the circulation to spin down to the point it opens up into a trough, sometime between days 4 to 5. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0300Z 20.5N 119.9W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 08/1200Z 21.5N 122.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 09/0000Z 22.3N 124.8W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 09/1200Z 23.1N 127.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 48H 10/0000Z 23.7N 129.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 10/1200Z 24.4N 131.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 11/0000Z 25.0N 133.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 12/0000Z 25.5N 136.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Papin

Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 08 2024 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 080239 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052024 0300 UTC THU AUG 08 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 120W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 20N 120W 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 125W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 25N 125W 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PAPIN

Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 08 2024 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 080238 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052024 0300 UTC THU AUG 08 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 119.9W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 100SE 70SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 150SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 119.9W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 119.1W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.5N 122.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.3N 124.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.1N 127.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.7N 129.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 24.4N 131.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.0N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 25.5N 136.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 119.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN

Issued at 800 PM PDT Wed Aug 07 2024 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 080238 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Emilia Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052024 800 PM PDT Wed Aug 07 2024 ...EMILIA ABSORBING FABIO BUT ALSO WEAKENING... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.5N 119.9W ABOUT 660 MI...1065 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Emilia was located near latitude 20.5 North, longitude 119.9 West. Emilia is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h) and this motion with a slower forward speed is expected over the next several days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days and Emilia is likely to become a post-tropical remnant low by the end of this week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Papin

...EMILIA ABSORBING FABIO BUT ALSO WEAKENING... As of 8:00 PM PDT Wed Aug 7 the center of Emilia was located near 20.5, -119.9 with movement WNW at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 993 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.