Aggregator

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 132312
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Jul 13 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Central and Western East Pacific:
A tropical wave located about 800 miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this
system, if any, should be slow to occur while it moves westward or
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the central and western
portion of the basin next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

000
ABNT20 KNHC 132309
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg

WW 0522 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 522 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW HVR TO 50 N HVR. ..LYONS..07/13/24 ATTN...WFO...TFX...GGW... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 522 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MTC005-021-033-041-055-069-071-079-083-085-105-109-140040- MT . MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLAINE DAWSON GARFIELD HILL MCCONE PETROLEUM PHILLIPS PRAIRIE RICHLAND ROOSEVELT VALLEY WIBAUX THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 522 SEVERE TSTM MT 132005Z - 140300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 522 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 205 PM MDT Sat Jul 13 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Montana * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 205 PM until 900 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Intense thunderstorms are expected to form over north-central and northeast Montana this afternoon and track east-southeastward across the watch area. Very large hail and damaging winds are possible with the stronger cells. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles south of Havre MT to 10 miles south southeast of Sidney MT. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29030. ...Hart Read more

WW 0524 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 524 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..07/13/24 ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 524 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC001-005-007-021-027-029-035-057-061-071-077-087-107-111-113- 119-125-159-167-140040- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AITKIN BECKER BELTRAMI CASS CLAY CLEARWATER CROW WING HUBBARD ITASCA KOOCHICHING LAKE OF THE WOODS MAHNOMEN NORMAN OTTER TAIL PENNINGTON POLK RED LAKE WADENA WILKIN NDC017-073-077-081-097-140040- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CASS RANSOM RICHLAND SARGENT TRAILL THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

WW 524 SEVERE TSTM MN ND 132240Z - 140500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 524 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 540 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern Minnesota Southeast North Dakota * Effective this Saturday afternoon from 540 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop this evening while posing a threat for both large hail mainly 1-1.75 inches in diameter and severe/damaging winds around 60-70 mph. A tornado or two may also occur. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 80 miles north northeast of Bemidji MN to 35 miles south southeast of Detroit Lakes MN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 522...WW 523... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0523 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 523 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE MSP TO 30 N LSE TO 30 NNW VOK TO 15 WSW CWA TO 25 ENE AUW. ..LYONS..07/13/24 ATTN...WFO...ARX...GRB...MKX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 523 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC039-045-055-099-109-157-169-140040- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DODGE FILLMORE HOUSTON MOWER OLMSTED WABASHA WINONA WIC001-009-011-015-021-027-039-047-053-057-063-077-078-081-083- 087-097-103-111-115-121-123-135-137-139-141-140040- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BROWN BUFFALO CALUMET COLUMBIA DODGE FOND DU LAC GREEN LAKE JACKSON JUNEAU LA CROSSE MARQUETTE MENOMINEE MONROE OCONTO OUTAGAMIE PORTAGE RICHLAND SAUK SHAWANO TREMPEALEAU VERNON WAUPACA WAUSHARA WINNEBAGO WOOD Read more

WW 523 SEVERE TSTM MN WI LM 132035Z - 140300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 523 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 335 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Minnesota Central Wisconsin Lake Michigan * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Clusters of thunderstorms are expected to intensify and track southeastward across the watch area through the afternoon and early evening. The strongest storms will pose a risk of locally damaging winds and hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles west northwest of La Crosse WI to 25 miles northeast of Oshkosh WI. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 522... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Hart Read more

WW 0524 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0524 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0502 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 211200Z The pattern in the extended D3/Mon-D8/Sat will feature a trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains before deepening into the Great Lakes and eastern US. As this occurs, strengthening lee troughing will increase surface winds as well as with downslope warming and drying across the central High Plains. Southwesterly breezes and relative humidity reductions to around 20 percent will overlap across portions of southwestern and central Kansas D3/Mon. Fuels in this region are currently too moist to support risk of fire spread, but fine fuels may experience some drying. An approaching front will sag southward across southern Kansas in Oklahoma by D4/Tue with chances for further wetting precipitation extending into the southern Plains through D5/Wed-D8/Saturday. Across the West Coast, high amplitude ridging will return with drying conditions and very warm temperatures returning. Monsoonal moisture will largely be scoured out of the Great Basin, residing across southern Arizona where thunderstorm chances will continue. Isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible across portions of northern Arizona/southern Utah, along the northern periphery of the better monsoonal moisture. Some portions of this region will receive wetting rainfall in the short term D2/Sun-D3/Mon leading to uncertainty in the status of fuels. Moisture will linger across portions of northern California into Washington D3/Mon-D4/Tue, with potential for a lingering high-based shower or two. A few isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible west of the Cascades in Washington D4/Tue-D5/Wed as southerly flow returns moisture across the Columbia Basin. Overall, coverage and confidence of these threats remain too low to include any isolated dry thunderstorm areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 07/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0502 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 211200Z The pattern in the extended D3/Mon-D8/Sat will feature a trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains before deepening into the Great Lakes and eastern US. As this occurs, strengthening lee troughing will increase surface winds as well as with downslope warming and drying across the central High Plains. Southwesterly breezes and relative humidity reductions to around 20 percent will overlap across portions of southwestern and central Kansas D3/Mon. Fuels in this region are currently too moist to support risk of fire spread, but fine fuels may experience some drying. An approaching front will sag southward across southern Kansas in Oklahoma by D4/Tue with chances for further wetting precipitation extending into the southern Plains through D5/Wed-D8/Saturday. Across the West Coast, high amplitude ridging will return with drying conditions and very warm temperatures returning. Monsoonal moisture will largely be scoured out of the Great Basin, residing across southern Arizona where thunderstorm chances will continue. Isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible across portions of northern Arizona/southern Utah, along the northern periphery of the better monsoonal moisture. Some portions of this region will receive wetting rainfall in the short term D2/Sun-D3/Mon leading to uncertainty in the status of fuels. Moisture will linger across portions of northern California into Washington D3/Mon-D4/Tue, with potential for a lingering high-based shower or two. A few isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible west of the Cascades in Washington D4/Tue-D5/Wed as southerly flow returns moisture across the Columbia Basin. Overall, coverage and confidence of these threats remain too low to include any isolated dry thunderstorm areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 07/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0502 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 211200Z The pattern in the extended D3/Mon-D8/Sat will feature a trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains before deepening into the Great Lakes and eastern US. As this occurs, strengthening lee troughing will increase surface winds as well as with downslope warming and drying across the central High Plains. Southwesterly breezes and relative humidity reductions to around 20 percent will overlap across portions of southwestern and central Kansas D3/Mon. Fuels in this region are currently too moist to support risk of fire spread, but fine fuels may experience some drying. An approaching front will sag southward across southern Kansas in Oklahoma by D4/Tue with chances for further wetting precipitation extending into the southern Plains through D5/Wed-D8/Saturday. Across the West Coast, high amplitude ridging will return with drying conditions and very warm temperatures returning. Monsoonal moisture will largely be scoured out of the Great Basin, residing across southern Arizona where thunderstorm chances will continue. Isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible across portions of northern Arizona/southern Utah, along the northern periphery of the better monsoonal moisture. Some portions of this region will receive wetting rainfall in the short term D2/Sun-D3/Mon leading to uncertainty in the status of fuels. Moisture will linger across portions of northern California into Washington D3/Mon-D4/Tue, with potential for a lingering high-based shower or two. A few isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible west of the Cascades in Washington D4/Tue-D5/Wed as southerly flow returns moisture across the Columbia Basin. Overall, coverage and confidence of these threats remain too low to include any isolated dry thunderstorm areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 07/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0502 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 211200Z The pattern in the extended D3/Mon-D8/Sat will feature a trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains before deepening into the Great Lakes and eastern US. As this occurs, strengthening lee troughing will increase surface winds as well as with downslope warming and drying across the central High Plains. Southwesterly breezes and relative humidity reductions to around 20 percent will overlap across portions of southwestern and central Kansas D3/Mon. Fuels in this region are currently too moist to support risk of fire spread, but fine fuels may experience some drying. An approaching front will sag southward across southern Kansas in Oklahoma by D4/Tue with chances for further wetting precipitation extending into the southern Plains through D5/Wed-D8/Saturday. Across the West Coast, high amplitude ridging will return with drying conditions and very warm temperatures returning. Monsoonal moisture will largely be scoured out of the Great Basin, residing across southern Arizona where thunderstorm chances will continue. Isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible across portions of northern Arizona/southern Utah, along the northern periphery of the better monsoonal moisture. Some portions of this region will receive wetting rainfall in the short term D2/Sun-D3/Mon leading to uncertainty in the status of fuels. Moisture will linger across portions of northern California into Washington D3/Mon-D4/Tue, with potential for a lingering high-based shower or two. A few isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible west of the Cascades in Washington D4/Tue-D5/Wed as southerly flow returns moisture across the Columbia Basin. Overall, coverage and confidence of these threats remain too low to include any isolated dry thunderstorm areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 07/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0502 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 211200Z The pattern in the extended D3/Mon-D8/Sat will feature a trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains before deepening into the Great Lakes and eastern US. As this occurs, strengthening lee troughing will increase surface winds as well as with downslope warming and drying across the central High Plains. Southwesterly breezes and relative humidity reductions to around 20 percent will overlap across portions of southwestern and central Kansas D3/Mon. Fuels in this region are currently too moist to support risk of fire spread, but fine fuels may experience some drying. An approaching front will sag southward across southern Kansas in Oklahoma by D4/Tue with chances for further wetting precipitation extending into the southern Plains through D5/Wed-D8/Saturday. Across the West Coast, high amplitude ridging will return with drying conditions and very warm temperatures returning. Monsoonal moisture will largely be scoured out of the Great Basin, residing across southern Arizona where thunderstorm chances will continue. Isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible across portions of northern Arizona/southern Utah, along the northern periphery of the better monsoonal moisture. Some portions of this region will receive wetting rainfall in the short term D2/Sun-D3/Mon leading to uncertainty in the status of fuels. Moisture will linger across portions of northern California into Washington D3/Mon-D4/Tue, with potential for a lingering high-based shower or two. A few isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible west of the Cascades in Washington D4/Tue-D5/Wed as southerly flow returns moisture across the Columbia Basin. Overall, coverage and confidence of these threats remain too low to include any isolated dry thunderstorm areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 07/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0502 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 211200Z The pattern in the extended D3/Mon-D8/Sat will feature a trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains before deepening into the Great Lakes and eastern US. As this occurs, strengthening lee troughing will increase surface winds as well as with downslope warming and drying across the central High Plains. Southwesterly breezes and relative humidity reductions to around 20 percent will overlap across portions of southwestern and central Kansas D3/Mon. Fuels in this region are currently too moist to support risk of fire spread, but fine fuels may experience some drying. An approaching front will sag southward across southern Kansas in Oklahoma by D4/Tue with chances for further wetting precipitation extending into the southern Plains through D5/Wed-D8/Saturday. Across the West Coast, high amplitude ridging will return with drying conditions and very warm temperatures returning. Monsoonal moisture will largely be scoured out of the Great Basin, residing across southern Arizona where thunderstorm chances will continue. Isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible across portions of northern Arizona/southern Utah, along the northern periphery of the better monsoonal moisture. Some portions of this region will receive wetting rainfall in the short term D2/Sun-D3/Mon leading to uncertainty in the status of fuels. Moisture will linger across portions of northern California into Washington D3/Mon-D4/Tue, with potential for a lingering high-based shower or two. A few isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible west of the Cascades in Washington D4/Tue-D5/Wed as southerly flow returns moisture across the Columbia Basin. Overall, coverage and confidence of these threats remain too low to include any isolated dry thunderstorm areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 07/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0502 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 211200Z The pattern in the extended D3/Mon-D8/Sat will feature a trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains before deepening into the Great Lakes and eastern US. As this occurs, strengthening lee troughing will increase surface winds as well as with downslope warming and drying across the central High Plains. Southwesterly breezes and relative humidity reductions to around 20 percent will overlap across portions of southwestern and central Kansas D3/Mon. Fuels in this region are currently too moist to support risk of fire spread, but fine fuels may experience some drying. An approaching front will sag southward across southern Kansas in Oklahoma by D4/Tue with chances for further wetting precipitation extending into the southern Plains through D5/Wed-D8/Saturday. Across the West Coast, high amplitude ridging will return with drying conditions and very warm temperatures returning. Monsoonal moisture will largely be scoured out of the Great Basin, residing across southern Arizona where thunderstorm chances will continue. Isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible across portions of northern Arizona/southern Utah, along the northern periphery of the better monsoonal moisture. Some portions of this region will receive wetting rainfall in the short term D2/Sun-D3/Mon leading to uncertainty in the status of fuels. Moisture will linger across portions of northern California into Washington D3/Mon-D4/Tue, with potential for a lingering high-based shower or two. A few isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible west of the Cascades in Washington D4/Tue-D5/Wed as southerly flow returns moisture across the Columbia Basin. Overall, coverage and confidence of these threats remain too low to include any isolated dry thunderstorm areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 07/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0502 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 211200Z The pattern in the extended D3/Mon-D8/Sat will feature a trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains before deepening into the Great Lakes and eastern US. As this occurs, strengthening lee troughing will increase surface winds as well as with downslope warming and drying across the central High Plains. Southwesterly breezes and relative humidity reductions to around 20 percent will overlap across portions of southwestern and central Kansas D3/Mon. Fuels in this region are currently too moist to support risk of fire spread, but fine fuels may experience some drying. An approaching front will sag southward across southern Kansas in Oklahoma by D4/Tue with chances for further wetting precipitation extending into the southern Plains through D5/Wed-D8/Saturday. Across the West Coast, high amplitude ridging will return with drying conditions and very warm temperatures returning. Monsoonal moisture will largely be scoured out of the Great Basin, residing across southern Arizona where thunderstorm chances will continue. Isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible across portions of northern Arizona/southern Utah, along the northern periphery of the better monsoonal moisture. Some portions of this region will receive wetting rainfall in the short term D2/Sun-D3/Mon leading to uncertainty in the status of fuels. Moisture will linger across portions of northern California into Washington D3/Mon-D4/Tue, with potential for a lingering high-based shower or two. A few isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible west of the Cascades in Washington D4/Tue-D5/Wed as southerly flow returns moisture across the Columbia Basin. Overall, coverage and confidence of these threats remain too low to include any isolated dry thunderstorm areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 07/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0502 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 211200Z The pattern in the extended D3/Mon-D8/Sat will feature a trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains before deepening into the Great Lakes and eastern US. As this occurs, strengthening lee troughing will increase surface winds as well as with downslope warming and drying across the central High Plains. Southwesterly breezes and relative humidity reductions to around 20 percent will overlap across portions of southwestern and central Kansas D3/Mon. Fuels in this region are currently too moist to support risk of fire spread, but fine fuels may experience some drying. An approaching front will sag southward across southern Kansas in Oklahoma by D4/Tue with chances for further wetting precipitation extending into the southern Plains through D5/Wed-D8/Saturday. Across the West Coast, high amplitude ridging will return with drying conditions and very warm temperatures returning. Monsoonal moisture will largely be scoured out of the Great Basin, residing across southern Arizona where thunderstorm chances will continue. Isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible across portions of northern Arizona/southern Utah, along the northern periphery of the better monsoonal moisture. Some portions of this region will receive wetting rainfall in the short term D2/Sun-D3/Mon leading to uncertainty in the status of fuels. Moisture will linger across portions of northern California into Washington D3/Mon-D4/Tue, with potential for a lingering high-based shower or two. A few isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible west of the Cascades in Washington D4/Tue-D5/Wed as southerly flow returns moisture across the Columbia Basin. Overall, coverage and confidence of these threats remain too low to include any isolated dry thunderstorm areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 07/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0502 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 211200Z The pattern in the extended D3/Mon-D8/Sat will feature a trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains before deepening into the Great Lakes and eastern US. As this occurs, strengthening lee troughing will increase surface winds as well as with downslope warming and drying across the central High Plains. Southwesterly breezes and relative humidity reductions to around 20 percent will overlap across portions of southwestern and central Kansas D3/Mon. Fuels in this region are currently too moist to support risk of fire spread, but fine fuels may experience some drying. An approaching front will sag southward across southern Kansas in Oklahoma by D4/Tue with chances for further wetting precipitation extending into the southern Plains through D5/Wed-D8/Saturday. Across the West Coast, high amplitude ridging will return with drying conditions and very warm temperatures returning. Monsoonal moisture will largely be scoured out of the Great Basin, residing across southern Arizona where thunderstorm chances will continue. Isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible across portions of northern Arizona/southern Utah, along the northern periphery of the better monsoonal moisture. Some portions of this region will receive wetting rainfall in the short term D2/Sun-D3/Mon leading to uncertainty in the status of fuels. Moisture will linger across portions of northern California into Washington D3/Mon-D4/Tue, with potential for a lingering high-based shower or two. A few isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible west of the Cascades in Washington D4/Tue-D5/Wed as southerly flow returns moisture across the Columbia Basin. Overall, coverage and confidence of these threats remain too low to include any isolated dry thunderstorm areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 07/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0502 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 211200Z The pattern in the extended D3/Mon-D8/Sat will feature a trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains before deepening into the Great Lakes and eastern US. As this occurs, strengthening lee troughing will increase surface winds as well as with downslope warming and drying across the central High Plains. Southwesterly breezes and relative humidity reductions to around 20 percent will overlap across portions of southwestern and central Kansas D3/Mon. Fuels in this region are currently too moist to support risk of fire spread, but fine fuels may experience some drying. An approaching front will sag southward across southern Kansas in Oklahoma by D4/Tue with chances for further wetting precipitation extending into the southern Plains through D5/Wed-D8/Saturday. Across the West Coast, high amplitude ridging will return with drying conditions and very warm temperatures returning. Monsoonal moisture will largely be scoured out of the Great Basin, residing across southern Arizona where thunderstorm chances will continue. Isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible across portions of northern Arizona/southern Utah, along the northern periphery of the better monsoonal moisture. Some portions of this region will receive wetting rainfall in the short term D2/Sun-D3/Mon leading to uncertainty in the status of fuels. Moisture will linger across portions of northern California into Washington D3/Mon-D4/Tue, with potential for a lingering high-based shower or two. A few isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible west of the Cascades in Washington D4/Tue-D5/Wed as southerly flow returns moisture across the Columbia Basin. Overall, coverage and confidence of these threats remain too low to include any isolated dry thunderstorm areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 07/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more