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MD 1436 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS...SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1436 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0619 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Areas affected...Southern Texas Panhandle...South Plains...southwest Oklahoma and western North Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 262319Z - 270045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...A few severe wind gusts and isolated marginal hail are possible late this afternoon into early evening. Isolated storm coverage is expected to preclude watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Storms have developed along an outflow boundary where temperatures along and near it have risen into the low 100s F. Shear is not overly strong, particularly with western extent, but southerly surface winds and modest northerly mid-level flow has contributed to around 30-35 kts of effective shear. Very steep lapse rates through about 3 km and large temperature-dewpoint spreads will foster some risk of severe wind gusts (via evaporative cooling) as storms intensify and then collapse. If storms can cluster, a locally greater wind threat would exist. Currently this appears possible in southwest Oklahoma into parts of western North Texas. Additionally, some clustering could occur out of convection in the northwest Texas Panhandle and move south/southeast into the greater buoyancy. ..Wendt/Smith.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 34370296 34930287 35310241 35399980 34749835 34329828 33839853 33549943 33730118 33860208 34200277 34370296 Read more

WW 0470 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0470 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0464 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 464 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE UNV TO 10 WSW IPT TO 30 S ELM TO 25 SW BGM TO 25 NE MSV. ..GOSS..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...BUF...BGM...CLE...PBZ...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 464 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NYC105-262340- NY . NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE SULLIVAN PAC005-015-019-037-069-079-081-093-097-103-107-109-113-115-119- 127-131-262340- PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRADFORD BUTLER COLUMBIA LACKAWANNA LUZERNE LYCOMING MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND PIKE SCHUYLKILL SNYDER SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA UNION WAYNE WYOMING THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 0464 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 464 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE UNV TO 10 WSW IPT TO 30 S ELM TO 25 SW BGM TO 25 NE MSV. ..GOSS..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...BUF...BGM...CLE...PBZ...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 464 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NYC105-262340- NY . NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE SULLIVAN PAC005-015-019-037-069-079-081-093-097-103-107-109-113-115-119- 127-131-262340- PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRADFORD BUTLER COLUMBIA LACKAWANNA LUZERNE LYCOMING MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND PIKE SCHUYLKILL SNYDER SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA UNION WAYNE WYOMING THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 0464 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 464 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE UNV TO 10 WSW IPT TO 30 S ELM TO 25 SW BGM TO 25 NE MSV. ..GOSS..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...BUF...BGM...CLE...PBZ...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 464 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NYC105-262340- NY . NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE SULLIVAN PAC005-015-019-037-069-079-081-093-097-103-107-109-113-115-119- 127-131-262340- PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRADFORD BUTLER COLUMBIA LACKAWANNA LUZERNE LYCOMING MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND PIKE SCHUYLKILL SNYDER SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA UNION WAYNE WYOMING THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 0464 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 464 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE UNV TO 10 WSW IPT TO 30 S ELM TO 25 SW BGM TO 25 NE MSV. ..GOSS..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...BUF...BGM...CLE...PBZ...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 464 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NYC105-262340- NY . NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE SULLIVAN PAC005-015-019-037-069-079-081-093-097-103-107-109-113-115-119- 127-131-262340- PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRADFORD BUTLER COLUMBIA LACKAWANNA LUZERNE LYCOMING MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND PIKE SCHUYLKILL SNYDER SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA UNION WAYNE WYOMING THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 0464 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 464 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE UNV TO 10 WSW IPT TO 30 S ELM TO 25 SW BGM TO 25 NE MSV. ..GOSS..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...BUF...BGM...CLE...PBZ...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 464 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NYC105-262340- NY . NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE SULLIVAN PAC005-015-019-037-069-079-081-093-097-103-107-109-113-115-119- 127-131-262340- PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRADFORD BUTLER COLUMBIA LACKAWANNA LUZERNE LYCOMING MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND PIKE SCHUYLKILL SNYDER SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA UNION WAYNE WYOMING THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 464 SEVERE TSTM NY OH PA LE 261710Z - 270100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 464 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 110 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southern New York Northeast Ohio Northern Pennsylvania Lake Erie * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 110 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will develop along a surface boundary across northern Pennsylvania through the afternoon. The more intense storms will pose a risk of locally damaging wind gusts and some hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west northwest of Youngstown OH to 10 miles east southeast of Monticello NY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Hart Read more

WW 0465 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S TYR TO 10 NE LFK TO 35 SW IER TO 15 NE IER TO 25 WSW MLU TO 35 N MLU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1430 ..HALBERT..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC021-043-059-069-073-127-262140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL GRANT LA SALLE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA WINN TXC005-403-262140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA SABINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0465 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S TYR TO 10 NE LFK TO 35 SW IER TO 15 NE IER TO 25 WSW MLU TO 35 N MLU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1430 ..HALBERT..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC021-043-059-069-073-127-262140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL GRANT LA SALLE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA WINN TXC005-403-262140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA SABINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0465 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S TYR TO 10 NE LFK TO 35 SW IER TO 15 NE IER TO 25 WSW MLU TO 35 N MLU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1430 ..HALBERT..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC021-043-059-069-073-127-262140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL GRANT LA SALLE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA WINN TXC005-403-262140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA SABINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0465 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S TYR TO 10 NE LFK TO 35 SW IER TO 15 NE IER TO 25 WSW MLU TO 35 N MLU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1430 ..HALBERT..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC021-043-059-069-073-127-262140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL GRANT LA SALLE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA WINN TXC005-403-262140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA SABINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0465 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S TYR TO 10 NE LFK TO 35 SW IER TO 15 NE IER TO 25 WSW MLU TO 35 N MLU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1430 ..HALBERT..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 465 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC021-043-059-069-073-127-262140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL GRANT LA SALLE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA WINN TXC005-403-262140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA SABINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0466 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 466 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N ESF TO 30 ESE GWO TO 40 S MSL. ..GOSS..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 466 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC007-057-063-065-075-091-105-107-119-125-127-133-262340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB FAYETTE GREENE HALE LAMAR MARENGO PERRY PICKENS SUMTER TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON LAC025-029-041-065-107-262340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CATAHOULA CONCORDIA FRANKLIN MADISON TENSAS MSC001-007-019-021-025-029-049-051-063-069-075-079-087-089-099- 101-103-105-121-123-149-159-163-262340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0466 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 466 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N ESF TO 30 ESE GWO TO 40 S MSL. ..GOSS..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 466 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC007-057-063-065-075-091-105-107-119-125-127-133-262340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB FAYETTE GREENE HALE LAMAR MARENGO PERRY PICKENS SUMTER TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON LAC025-029-041-065-107-262340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CATAHOULA CONCORDIA FRANKLIN MADISON TENSAS MSC001-007-019-021-025-029-049-051-063-069-075-079-087-089-099- 101-103-105-121-123-149-159-163-262340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0466 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 466 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N ESF TO 30 ESE GWO TO 40 S MSL. ..GOSS..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 466 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC007-057-063-065-075-091-105-107-119-125-127-133-262340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB FAYETTE GREENE HALE LAMAR MARENGO PERRY PICKENS SUMTER TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON LAC025-029-041-065-107-262340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CATAHOULA CONCORDIA FRANKLIN MADISON TENSAS MSC001-007-019-021-025-029-049-051-063-069-075-079-087-089-099- 101-103-105-121-123-149-159-163-262340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0466 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 466 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N ESF TO 30 ESE GWO TO 40 S MSL. ..GOSS..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 466 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC007-057-063-065-075-091-105-107-119-125-127-133-262340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB FAYETTE GREENE HALE LAMAR MARENGO PERRY PICKENS SUMTER TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON LAC025-029-041-065-107-262340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CATAHOULA CONCORDIA FRANKLIN MADISON TENSAS MSC001-007-019-021-025-029-049-051-063-069-075-079-087-089-099- 101-103-105-121-123-149-159-163-262340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0466 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 466 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N ESF TO 30 ESE GWO TO 40 S MSL. ..GOSS..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 466 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC007-057-063-065-075-091-105-107-119-125-127-133-262340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB FAYETTE GREENE HALE LAMAR MARENGO PERRY PICKENS SUMTER TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON LAC025-029-041-065-107-262340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CATAHOULA CONCORDIA FRANKLIN MADISON TENSAS MSC001-007-019-021-025-029-049-051-063-069-075-079-087-089-099- 101-103-105-121-123-149-159-163-262340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0467 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 467 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW UNI TO 25 N PIT. ..GOSS..06/26/24 ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...PBZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 467 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC011-019-025-043-051-063-065-069-071-089-095-109-115-119-121- 125-127-129-131-133-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-199-203- 205-237-262340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATH BOYD BREATHITT CARTER CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE LEE LESLIE LETCHER MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY PIKE POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN WOLFE OHC009-013-053-059-067-079-081-087-105-111-115-121-127-163-167- 262340- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0469 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0469 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more