SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 021200Z - 081200Z Mid-level ridging is forecast to amplify significantly over the Pacific Coast through the extended forecast period. As the ridge builds, stronger flow aloft will be shunted to the northeast over parts of the Great Basin and northern Rockies through much of next week. While several perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the ridge, much of the Southwest will see extreme heat and dry conditions persist. Fire-weather concerns should increase through the period, especially as the upper ridge breaks down next weekend. ...Great Basin and Southwest... With ridge building through the first part of the extended period, very warm and dry surface conditions are likely to develop across parts of the Southwest. However, much of the stronger flow will remain displaced to the northeast, keeping surface winds modest through the first part of the work week. A slight increase in wind speeds is possible D4/Wed behind a dry cold front over parts of the northern Great Basin. 15-20 mph gusts and afternoon humidity of 10-20% could support several hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions within dry fuels. Flow aloft should weaken again toward the end of the week as the ridge temporarily strengthens. However, heading into the weekend, another weak trough should pass east of the ridge, potentially increasing dry and windy conditions over the Southwest. Through the reminder of the weekend into week 2, most guidance shows a decrease in ridge strength with a possible pattern shift toward western US troughing. Confidence in the result of this transition period remains very low as multiple model solutions are present. Some guidance shows an increase in showers and thunderstorm potential with increasing mid-level moisture, while others show a more substantial increase in hot, dry and windy conditions post ridging. Regardless of the outcome, an increase in fire-weather potential is very likely over parts of the Great Basin and Southwest, owing to the antecedent hot and dry period followed by ridge break down. ...CA... Beneath the upper ridge, extreme heat is expected over much of CA and the West Coast this week and into the weekend. While background winds should remain light, a low-level thermal trough may locally enhance dry and windy conditions across the northern and central parts of the state. A period of somewhat stronger northerly Sundowner winds may also develop D5/Thur into D6/Friday over southwest CA behind the weak trough passing to the east. While uncertain, locally higher fire-weather concerns could develop. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 021200Z - 081200Z Mid-level ridging is forecast to amplify significantly over the Pacific Coast through the extended forecast period. As the ridge builds, stronger flow aloft will be shunted to the northeast over parts of the Great Basin and northern Rockies through much of next week. While several perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the ridge, much of the Southwest will see extreme heat and dry conditions persist. Fire-weather concerns should increase through the period, especially as the upper ridge breaks down next weekend. ...Great Basin and Southwest... With ridge building through the first part of the extended period, very warm and dry surface conditions are likely to develop across parts of the Southwest. However, much of the stronger flow will remain displaced to the northeast, keeping surface winds modest through the first part of the work week. A slight increase in wind speeds is possible D4/Wed behind a dry cold front over parts of the northern Great Basin. 15-20 mph gusts and afternoon humidity of 10-20% could support several hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions within dry fuels. Flow aloft should weaken again toward the end of the week as the ridge temporarily strengthens. However, heading into the weekend, another weak trough should pass east of the ridge, potentially increasing dry and windy conditions over the Southwest. Through the reminder of the weekend into week 2, most guidance shows a decrease in ridge strength with a possible pattern shift toward western US troughing. Confidence in the result of this transition period remains very low as multiple model solutions are present. Some guidance shows an increase in showers and thunderstorm potential with increasing mid-level moisture, while others show a more substantial increase in hot, dry and windy conditions post ridging. Regardless of the outcome, an increase in fire-weather potential is very likely over parts of the Great Basin and Southwest, owing to the antecedent hot and dry period followed by ridge break down. ...CA... Beneath the upper ridge, extreme heat is expected over much of CA and the West Coast this week and into the weekend. While background winds should remain light, a low-level thermal trough may locally enhance dry and windy conditions across the northern and central parts of the state. A period of somewhat stronger northerly Sundowner winds may also develop D5/Thur into D6/Friday over southwest CA behind the weak trough passing to the east. While uncertain, locally higher fire-weather concerns could develop. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 021200Z - 081200Z Mid-level ridging is forecast to amplify significantly over the Pacific Coast through the extended forecast period. As the ridge builds, stronger flow aloft will be shunted to the northeast over parts of the Great Basin and northern Rockies through much of next week. While several perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the ridge, much of the Southwest will see extreme heat and dry conditions persist. Fire-weather concerns should increase through the period, especially as the upper ridge breaks down next weekend. ...Great Basin and Southwest... With ridge building through the first part of the extended period, very warm and dry surface conditions are likely to develop across parts of the Southwest. However, much of the stronger flow will remain displaced to the northeast, keeping surface winds modest through the first part of the work week. A slight increase in wind speeds is possible D4/Wed behind a dry cold front over parts of the northern Great Basin. 15-20 mph gusts and afternoon humidity of 10-20% could support several hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions within dry fuels. Flow aloft should weaken again toward the end of the week as the ridge temporarily strengthens. However, heading into the weekend, another weak trough should pass east of the ridge, potentially increasing dry and windy conditions over the Southwest. Through the reminder of the weekend into week 2, most guidance shows a decrease in ridge strength with a possible pattern shift toward western US troughing. Confidence in the result of this transition period remains very low as multiple model solutions are present. Some guidance shows an increase in showers and thunderstorm potential with increasing mid-level moisture, while others show a more substantial increase in hot, dry and windy conditions post ridging. Regardless of the outcome, an increase in fire-weather potential is very likely over parts of the Great Basin and Southwest, owing to the antecedent hot and dry period followed by ridge break down. ...CA... Beneath the upper ridge, extreme heat is expected over much of CA and the West Coast this week and into the weekend. While background winds should remain light, a low-level thermal trough may locally enhance dry and windy conditions across the northern and central parts of the state. A period of somewhat stronger northerly Sundowner winds may also develop D5/Thur into D6/Friday over southwest CA behind the weak trough passing to the east. While uncertain, locally higher fire-weather concerns could develop. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 021200Z - 081200Z Mid-level ridging is forecast to amplify significantly over the Pacific Coast through the extended forecast period. As the ridge builds, stronger flow aloft will be shunted to the northeast over parts of the Great Basin and northern Rockies through much of next week. While several perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the ridge, much of the Southwest will see extreme heat and dry conditions persist. Fire-weather concerns should increase through the period, especially as the upper ridge breaks down next weekend. ...Great Basin and Southwest... With ridge building through the first part of the extended period, very warm and dry surface conditions are likely to develop across parts of the Southwest. However, much of the stronger flow will remain displaced to the northeast, keeping surface winds modest through the first part of the work week. A slight increase in wind speeds is possible D4/Wed behind a dry cold front over parts of the northern Great Basin. 15-20 mph gusts and afternoon humidity of 10-20% could support several hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions within dry fuels. Flow aloft should weaken again toward the end of the week as the ridge temporarily strengthens. However, heading into the weekend, another weak trough should pass east of the ridge, potentially increasing dry and windy conditions over the Southwest. Through the reminder of the weekend into week 2, most guidance shows a decrease in ridge strength with a possible pattern shift toward western US troughing. Confidence in the result of this transition period remains very low as multiple model solutions are present. Some guidance shows an increase in showers and thunderstorm potential with increasing mid-level moisture, while others show a more substantial increase in hot, dry and windy conditions post ridging. Regardless of the outcome, an increase in fire-weather potential is very likely over parts of the Great Basin and Southwest, owing to the antecedent hot and dry period followed by ridge break down. ...CA... Beneath the upper ridge, extreme heat is expected over much of CA and the West Coast this week and into the weekend. While background winds should remain light, a low-level thermal trough may locally enhance dry and windy conditions across the northern and central parts of the state. A period of somewhat stronger northerly Sundowner winds may also develop D5/Thur into D6/Friday over southwest CA behind the weak trough passing to the east. While uncertain, locally higher fire-weather concerns could develop. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 021200Z - 081200Z Mid-level ridging is forecast to amplify significantly over the Pacific Coast through the extended forecast period. As the ridge builds, stronger flow aloft will be shunted to the northeast over parts of the Great Basin and northern Rockies through much of next week. While several perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the ridge, much of the Southwest will see extreme heat and dry conditions persist. Fire-weather concerns should increase through the period, especially as the upper ridge breaks down next weekend. ...Great Basin and Southwest... With ridge building through the first part of the extended period, very warm and dry surface conditions are likely to develop across parts of the Southwest. However, much of the stronger flow will remain displaced to the northeast, keeping surface winds modest through the first part of the work week. A slight increase in wind speeds is possible D4/Wed behind a dry cold front over parts of the northern Great Basin. 15-20 mph gusts and afternoon humidity of 10-20% could support several hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions within dry fuels. Flow aloft should weaken again toward the end of the week as the ridge temporarily strengthens. However, heading into the weekend, another weak trough should pass east of the ridge, potentially increasing dry and windy conditions over the Southwest. Through the reminder of the weekend into week 2, most guidance shows a decrease in ridge strength with a possible pattern shift toward western US troughing. Confidence in the result of this transition period remains very low as multiple model solutions are present. Some guidance shows an increase in showers and thunderstorm potential with increasing mid-level moisture, while others show a more substantial increase in hot, dry and windy conditions post ridging. Regardless of the outcome, an increase in fire-weather potential is very likely over parts of the Great Basin and Southwest, owing to the antecedent hot and dry period followed by ridge break down. ...CA... Beneath the upper ridge, extreme heat is expected over much of CA and the West Coast this week and into the weekend. While background winds should remain light, a low-level thermal trough may locally enhance dry and windy conditions across the northern and central parts of the state. A period of somewhat stronger northerly Sundowner winds may also develop D5/Thur into D6/Friday over southwest CA behind the weak trough passing to the east. While uncertain, locally higher fire-weather concerns could develop. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 021200Z - 081200Z Mid-level ridging is forecast to amplify significantly over the Pacific Coast through the extended forecast period. As the ridge builds, stronger flow aloft will be shunted to the northeast over parts of the Great Basin and northern Rockies through much of next week. While several perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the ridge, much of the Southwest will see extreme heat and dry conditions persist. Fire-weather concerns should increase through the period, especially as the upper ridge breaks down next weekend. ...Great Basin and Southwest... With ridge building through the first part of the extended period, very warm and dry surface conditions are likely to develop across parts of the Southwest. However, much of the stronger flow will remain displaced to the northeast, keeping surface winds modest through the first part of the work week. A slight increase in wind speeds is possible D4/Wed behind a dry cold front over parts of the northern Great Basin. 15-20 mph gusts and afternoon humidity of 10-20% could support several hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions within dry fuels. Flow aloft should weaken again toward the end of the week as the ridge temporarily strengthens. However, heading into the weekend, another weak trough should pass east of the ridge, potentially increasing dry and windy conditions over the Southwest. Through the reminder of the weekend into week 2, most guidance shows a decrease in ridge strength with a possible pattern shift toward western US troughing. Confidence in the result of this transition period remains very low as multiple model solutions are present. Some guidance shows an increase in showers and thunderstorm potential with increasing mid-level moisture, while others show a more substantial increase in hot, dry and windy conditions post ridging. Regardless of the outcome, an increase in fire-weather potential is very likely over parts of the Great Basin and Southwest, owing to the antecedent hot and dry period followed by ridge break down. ...CA... Beneath the upper ridge, extreme heat is expected over much of CA and the West Coast this week and into the weekend. While background winds should remain light, a low-level thermal trough may locally enhance dry and windy conditions across the northern and central parts of the state. A period of somewhat stronger northerly Sundowner winds may also develop D5/Thur into D6/Friday over southwest CA behind the weak trough passing to the east. While uncertain, locally higher fire-weather concerns could develop. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 021200Z - 081200Z Mid-level ridging is forecast to amplify significantly over the Pacific Coast through the extended forecast period. As the ridge builds, stronger flow aloft will be shunted to the northeast over parts of the Great Basin and northern Rockies through much of next week. While several perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the ridge, much of the Southwest will see extreme heat and dry conditions persist. Fire-weather concerns should increase through the period, especially as the upper ridge breaks down next weekend. ...Great Basin and Southwest... With ridge building through the first part of the extended period, very warm and dry surface conditions are likely to develop across parts of the Southwest. However, much of the stronger flow will remain displaced to the northeast, keeping surface winds modest through the first part of the work week. A slight increase in wind speeds is possible D4/Wed behind a dry cold front over parts of the northern Great Basin. 15-20 mph gusts and afternoon humidity of 10-20% could support several hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions within dry fuels. Flow aloft should weaken again toward the end of the week as the ridge temporarily strengthens. However, heading into the weekend, another weak trough should pass east of the ridge, potentially increasing dry and windy conditions over the Southwest. Through the reminder of the weekend into week 2, most guidance shows a decrease in ridge strength with a possible pattern shift toward western US troughing. Confidence in the result of this transition period remains very low as multiple model solutions are present. Some guidance shows an increase in showers and thunderstorm potential with increasing mid-level moisture, while others show a more substantial increase in hot, dry and windy conditions post ridging. Regardless of the outcome, an increase in fire-weather potential is very likely over parts of the Great Basin and Southwest, owing to the antecedent hot and dry period followed by ridge break down. ...CA... Beneath the upper ridge, extreme heat is expected over much of CA and the West Coast this week and into the weekend. While background winds should remain light, a low-level thermal trough may locally enhance dry and windy conditions across the northern and central parts of the state. A period of somewhat stronger northerly Sundowner winds may also develop D5/Thur into D6/Friday over southwest CA behind the weak trough passing to the east. While uncertain, locally higher fire-weather concerns could develop. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 021200Z - 081200Z Mid-level ridging is forecast to amplify significantly over the Pacific Coast through the extended forecast period. As the ridge builds, stronger flow aloft will be shunted to the northeast over parts of the Great Basin and northern Rockies through much of next week. While several perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the ridge, much of the Southwest will see extreme heat and dry conditions persist. Fire-weather concerns should increase through the period, especially as the upper ridge breaks down next weekend. ...Great Basin and Southwest... With ridge building through the first part of the extended period, very warm and dry surface conditions are likely to develop across parts of the Southwest. However, much of the stronger flow will remain displaced to the northeast, keeping surface winds modest through the first part of the work week. A slight increase in wind speeds is possible D4/Wed behind a dry cold front over parts of the northern Great Basin. 15-20 mph gusts and afternoon humidity of 10-20% could support several hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions within dry fuels. Flow aloft should weaken again toward the end of the week as the ridge temporarily strengthens. However, heading into the weekend, another weak trough should pass east of the ridge, potentially increasing dry and windy conditions over the Southwest. Through the reminder of the weekend into week 2, most guidance shows a decrease in ridge strength with a possible pattern shift toward western US troughing. Confidence in the result of this transition period remains very low as multiple model solutions are present. Some guidance shows an increase in showers and thunderstorm potential with increasing mid-level moisture, while others show a more substantial increase in hot, dry and windy conditions post ridging. Regardless of the outcome, an increase in fire-weather potential is very likely over parts of the Great Basin and Southwest, owing to the antecedent hot and dry period followed by ridge break down. ...CA... Beneath the upper ridge, extreme heat is expected over much of CA and the West Coast this week and into the weekend. While background winds should remain light, a low-level thermal trough may locally enhance dry and windy conditions across the northern and central parts of the state. A period of somewhat stronger northerly Sundowner winds may also develop D5/Thur into D6/Friday over southwest CA behind the weak trough passing to the east. While uncertain, locally higher fire-weather concerns could develop. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 021200Z - 081200Z Mid-level ridging is forecast to amplify significantly over the Pacific Coast through the extended forecast period. As the ridge builds, stronger flow aloft will be shunted to the northeast over parts of the Great Basin and northern Rockies through much of next week. While several perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the ridge, much of the Southwest will see extreme heat and dry conditions persist. Fire-weather concerns should increase through the period, especially as the upper ridge breaks down next weekend. ...Great Basin and Southwest... With ridge building through the first part of the extended period, very warm and dry surface conditions are likely to develop across parts of the Southwest. However, much of the stronger flow will remain displaced to the northeast, keeping surface winds modest through the first part of the work week. A slight increase in wind speeds is possible D4/Wed behind a dry cold front over parts of the northern Great Basin. 15-20 mph gusts and afternoon humidity of 10-20% could support several hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions within dry fuels. Flow aloft should weaken again toward the end of the week as the ridge temporarily strengthens. However, heading into the weekend, another weak trough should pass east of the ridge, potentially increasing dry and windy conditions over the Southwest. Through the reminder of the weekend into week 2, most guidance shows a decrease in ridge strength with a possible pattern shift toward western US troughing. Confidence in the result of this transition period remains very low as multiple model solutions are present. Some guidance shows an increase in showers and thunderstorm potential with increasing mid-level moisture, while others show a more substantial increase in hot, dry and windy conditions post ridging. Regardless of the outcome, an increase in fire-weather potential is very likely over parts of the Great Basin and Southwest, owing to the antecedent hot and dry period followed by ridge break down. ...CA... Beneath the upper ridge, extreme heat is expected over much of CA and the West Coast this week and into the weekend. While background winds should remain light, a low-level thermal trough may locally enhance dry and windy conditions across the northern and central parts of the state. A period of somewhat stronger northerly Sundowner winds may also develop D5/Thur into D6/Friday over southwest CA behind the weak trough passing to the east. While uncertain, locally higher fire-weather concerns could develop. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 021200Z - 081200Z Mid-level ridging is forecast to amplify significantly over the Pacific Coast through the extended forecast period. As the ridge builds, stronger flow aloft will be shunted to the northeast over parts of the Great Basin and northern Rockies through much of next week. While several perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the ridge, much of the Southwest will see extreme heat and dry conditions persist. Fire-weather concerns should increase through the period, especially as the upper ridge breaks down next weekend. ...Great Basin and Southwest... With ridge building through the first part of the extended period, very warm and dry surface conditions are likely to develop across parts of the Southwest. However, much of the stronger flow will remain displaced to the northeast, keeping surface winds modest through the first part of the work week. A slight increase in wind speeds is possible D4/Wed behind a dry cold front over parts of the northern Great Basin. 15-20 mph gusts and afternoon humidity of 10-20% could support several hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions within dry fuels. Flow aloft should weaken again toward the end of the week as the ridge temporarily strengthens. However, heading into the weekend, another weak trough should pass east of the ridge, potentially increasing dry and windy conditions over the Southwest. Through the reminder of the weekend into week 2, most guidance shows a decrease in ridge strength with a possible pattern shift toward western US troughing. Confidence in the result of this transition period remains very low as multiple model solutions are present. Some guidance shows an increase in showers and thunderstorm potential with increasing mid-level moisture, while others show a more substantial increase in hot, dry and windy conditions post ridging. Regardless of the outcome, an increase in fire-weather potential is very likely over parts of the Great Basin and Southwest, owing to the antecedent hot and dry period followed by ridge break down. ...CA... Beneath the upper ridge, extreme heat is expected over much of CA and the West Coast this week and into the weekend. While background winds should remain light, a low-level thermal trough may locally enhance dry and windy conditions across the northern and central parts of the state. A period of somewhat stronger northerly Sundowner winds may also develop D5/Thur into D6/Friday over southwest CA behind the weak trough passing to the east. While uncertain, locally higher fire-weather concerns could develop. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 021200Z - 081200Z Mid-level ridging is forecast to amplify significantly over the Pacific Coast through the extended forecast period. As the ridge builds, stronger flow aloft will be shunted to the northeast over parts of the Great Basin and northern Rockies through much of next week. While several perturbations will pass along the eastern periphery of the ridge, much of the Southwest will see extreme heat and dry conditions persist. Fire-weather concerns should increase through the period, especially as the upper ridge breaks down next weekend. ...Great Basin and Southwest... With ridge building through the first part of the extended period, very warm and dry surface conditions are likely to develop across parts of the Southwest. However, much of the stronger flow will remain displaced to the northeast, keeping surface winds modest through the first part of the work week. A slight increase in wind speeds is possible D4/Wed behind a dry cold front over parts of the northern Great Basin. 15-20 mph gusts and afternoon humidity of 10-20% could support several hours of near-critical fire-weather conditions within dry fuels. Flow aloft should weaken again toward the end of the week as the ridge temporarily strengthens. However, heading into the weekend, another weak trough should pass east of the ridge, potentially increasing dry and windy conditions over the Southwest. Through the reminder of the weekend into week 2, most guidance shows a decrease in ridge strength with a possible pattern shift toward western US troughing. Confidence in the result of this transition period remains very low as multiple model solutions are present. Some guidance shows an increase in showers and thunderstorm potential with increasing mid-level moisture, while others show a more substantial increase in hot, dry and windy conditions post ridging. Regardless of the outcome, an increase in fire-weather potential is very likely over parts of the Great Basin and Southwest, owing to the antecedent hot and dry period followed by ridge break down. ...CA... Beneath the upper ridge, extreme heat is expected over much of CA and the West Coast this week and into the weekend. While background winds should remain light, a low-level thermal trough may locally enhance dry and windy conditions across the northern and central parts of the state. A period of somewhat stronger northerly Sundowner winds may also develop D5/Thur into D6/Friday over southwest CA behind the weak trough passing to the east. While uncertain, locally higher fire-weather concerns could develop. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 490 Status Reports

1 year ago
WW 0490 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 490 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW EEN TO 10 ESE AUG TO 50 S HUL. ..WEINMAN..06/30/24 ATTN...WFO...GYX...CAR...BTV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 490 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MEC001-005-009-013-015-023-027-029-031-302240- ME . MAINE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDROSCOGGIN CUMBERLAND HANCOCK KNOX LINCOLN SAGADAHOC WALDO WASHINGTON YORK NHC001-005-011-013-015-017-019-302240- NH . NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BELKNAP CHESHIRE HILLSBOROUGH MERRIMACK ROCKINGHAM STRAFFORD SULLIVAN ANZ050-051-052-150-151-152-153-154-302240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 490 Status Reports

1 year ago
WW 0490 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 490 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW EEN TO 10 ESE AUG TO 50 S HUL. ..WEINMAN..06/30/24 ATTN...WFO...GYX...CAR...BTV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 490 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MEC001-005-009-013-015-023-027-029-031-302240- ME . MAINE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDROSCOGGIN CUMBERLAND HANCOCK KNOX LINCOLN SAGADAHOC WALDO WASHINGTON YORK NHC001-005-011-013-015-017-019-302240- NH . NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BELKNAP CHESHIRE HILLSBOROUGH MERRIMACK ROCKINGHAM STRAFFORD SULLIVAN ANZ050-051-052-150-151-152-153-154-302240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 490 Status Reports

1 year ago
WW 0490 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 490 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW EEN TO 10 ESE AUG TO 50 S HUL. ..WEINMAN..06/30/24 ATTN...WFO...GYX...CAR...BTV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 490 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MEC001-005-009-013-015-023-027-029-031-302240- ME . MAINE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDROSCOGGIN CUMBERLAND HANCOCK KNOX LINCOLN SAGADAHOC WALDO WASHINGTON YORK NHC001-005-011-013-015-017-019-302240- NH . NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BELKNAP CHESHIRE HILLSBOROUGH MERRIMACK ROCKINGHAM STRAFFORD SULLIVAN ANZ050-051-052-150-151-152-153-154-302240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 490

1 year ago
WW 490 SEVERE TSTM ME NH VT CW 301650Z - 010000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 490 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Maine New Hampshire Eastern Vermont Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1250 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify this afternoon while moving quickly eastward. Scattered severe/damaging winds up to 60-70 mph should be the main threat, but isolated hail around 1-1.5 inches in diameter may occur with any supercell. A brief tornado also appears possible. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles north northwest of Caribou ME to 20 miles southwest of Portsmouth NH. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 489... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27040. ...Gleason Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 Status Reports

1 year ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW HGR TO 25 SSE AVP TO 20 E MSV TO 10 S CON. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1496 ..WEINMAN..06/30/24 ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS CTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-302240- CT . CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FAIRFIELD HARTFORD LITCHFIELD MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN NEW LONDON TOLLAND WINDHAM DEC003-302240- DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NEW CASTLE MAC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-025-027-302240- MA . MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 Status Reports

1 year ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW HGR TO 25 SSE AVP TO 20 E MSV TO 10 S CON. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1496 ..WEINMAN..06/30/24 ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS CTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-302240- CT . CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FAIRFIELD HARTFORD LITCHFIELD MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN NEW LONDON TOLLAND WINDHAM DEC003-302240- DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NEW CASTLE MAC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-025-027-302240- MA . MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 Status Reports

1 year ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW HGR TO 25 SSE AVP TO 20 E MSV TO 10 S CON. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1496 ..WEINMAN..06/30/24 ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS CTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-302240- CT . CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FAIRFIELD HARTFORD LITCHFIELD MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN NEW LONDON TOLLAND WINDHAM DEC003-302240- DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NEW CASTLE MAC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-025-027-302240- MA . MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 Status Reports

1 year ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW HGR TO 25 SSE AVP TO 20 E MSV TO 10 S CON. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1496 ..WEINMAN..06/30/24 ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS CTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-302240- CT . CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FAIRFIELD HARTFORD LITCHFIELD MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN NEW LONDON TOLLAND WINDHAM DEC003-302240- DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NEW CASTLE MAC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-025-027-302240- MA . MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 Status Reports

1 year ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW HGR TO 25 SSE AVP TO 20 E MSV TO 10 S CON. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1496 ..WEINMAN..06/30/24 ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS CTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-302240- CT . CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FAIRFIELD HARTFORD LITCHFIELD MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN NEW LONDON TOLLAND WINDHAM DEC003-302240- DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NEW CASTLE MAC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-025-027-302240- MA . MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more