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SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible across eastern New Mexico on Sunday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level low in the Four Corners region will initially be moving slowly eastward through the Southwest on Sunday. This feature will trend more progressive towards Sunday evening into Monday morning as it ejects into the parts of the central/southern High Plains. On the western periphery of the Ohio/Tennessee Valley anticyclone, modest surface moisture will be maintained as far north as the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles. ...Eastern New Mexico... Early precipitation/cloud cover is probable in the region, particularly across northeastern New Mexico. However, some mid-level dry air is expected to help promote some surface heating in parts of east-central into southeastern New Mexico during the afternoon. Mid-level ascent will not be overly strong, especially with southern extent, but forcing will increase during the evening/overnight. Terrain will likely be the main focus for initiation until this occurs. Mid/upper 50s F dewpoints are most probable, though low 60s F are not out of the question in southeastern New Mexico. MLCAPE of around 1000 J/kg is possible where the strongest heating occurs. Long hodographs and 35-40 kts of effective shear will favor potential for supercells capable of large hail and isolated severe gusts. Low-level shear will not be overly strong, but should be sufficient for a risk of a tornado with the most organized supercells--a risk that will be maximized between 00-01Z. As forcing for ascent increases in northeast New Mexico, some linear structures may develop during mid/late evening. These storms could produce occasional, marginally severe hail and perhaps strong winds. The overall threat should be more marginal given limited buoyancy. ..Wendt.. 10/19/2024 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible across eastern New Mexico on Sunday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level low in the Four Corners region will initially be moving slowly eastward through the Southwest on Sunday. This feature will trend more progressive towards Sunday evening into Monday morning as it ejects into the parts of the central/southern High Plains. On the western periphery of the Ohio/Tennessee Valley anticyclone, modest surface moisture will be maintained as far north as the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles. ...Eastern New Mexico... Early precipitation/cloud cover is probable in the region, particularly across northeastern New Mexico. However, some mid-level dry air is expected to help promote some surface heating in parts of east-central into southeastern New Mexico during the afternoon. Mid-level ascent will not be overly strong, especially with southern extent, but forcing will increase during the evening/overnight. Terrain will likely be the main focus for initiation until this occurs. Mid/upper 50s F dewpoints are most probable, though low 60s F are not out of the question in southeastern New Mexico. MLCAPE of around 1000 J/kg is possible where the strongest heating occurs. Long hodographs and 35-40 kts of effective shear will favor potential for supercells capable of large hail and isolated severe gusts. Low-level shear will not be overly strong, but should be sufficient for a risk of a tornado with the most organized supercells--a risk that will be maximized between 00-01Z. As forcing for ascent increases in northeast New Mexico, some linear structures may develop during mid/late evening. These storms could produce occasional, marginally severe hail and perhaps strong winds. The overall threat should be more marginal given limited buoyancy. ..Wendt.. 10/19/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across eastern New Mexico and portions of far West Texas later this afternoon and evening. Large hail will be the primary threat, though isolated severe winds and some tornado threat does exist. ...Eastern New Mexico Region... Notable upper low has settled into AZ late this evening as stronger mid-level flow translates into the base of the trough. Latest model guidance suggests this feature will not begin to eject northeast until later Sunday when 500mb speed max rotates into the southern Rockies. As a result, not only are height falls not anticipated across the southern Rockies/adjacent High Plains, but rather height rises appear likely as this feature gradually fills. Even so, modest-strong mid-level southwesterly flow will persist across northern Mexico into eastern New Mexico through the period. Dominant surface anticyclone over the OH Valley will ensure southeasterly boundary-layer flow across west TX into the southern Rockies, and this will maintain moist low-level upslope trajectories (surface dew points in the 50s). Latest model guidance suggests strongest boundary-layer heating will develop across northern Mexico into southwest NM, primarily west of the San Andres Mountains. Forecast soundings depict weak inhibition near/west of this higher terrain by 20z. Greatest corridor of instability should extend across the TX Big Bend into eastern NM, just east of the highest terrain. Latest thinking is scattered-numerous thunderstorms will evolve over the mountains, and within the favored upslope regime. This activity will spread northeast within the mean flow and supercells are likely. Some consideration was given to increasing severe probabilities as storm coverage should be extensive later this afternoon compared to Friday afternoon/evening. Large hail, along with some tornado risk can be expected. Will maintain MRGL Risk for now, but an upgrade may be warranted in later outlooks. ..Darrow/Moore.. 10/19/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across eastern New Mexico and portions of far West Texas later this afternoon and evening. Large hail will be the primary threat, though isolated severe winds and some tornado threat does exist. ...Eastern New Mexico Region... Notable upper low has settled into AZ late this evening as stronger mid-level flow translates into the base of the trough. Latest model guidance suggests this feature will not begin to eject northeast until later Sunday when 500mb speed max rotates into the southern Rockies. As a result, not only are height falls not anticipated across the southern Rockies/adjacent High Plains, but rather height rises appear likely as this feature gradually fills. Even so, modest-strong mid-level southwesterly flow will persist across northern Mexico into eastern New Mexico through the period. Dominant surface anticyclone over the OH Valley will ensure southeasterly boundary-layer flow across west TX into the southern Rockies, and this will maintain moist low-level upslope trajectories (surface dew points in the 50s). Latest model guidance suggests strongest boundary-layer heating will develop across northern Mexico into southwest NM, primarily west of the San Andres Mountains. Forecast soundings depict weak inhibition near/west of this higher terrain by 20z. Greatest corridor of instability should extend across the TX Big Bend into eastern NM, just east of the highest terrain. Latest thinking is scattered-numerous thunderstorms will evolve over the mountains, and within the favored upslope regime. This activity will spread northeast within the mean flow and supercells are likely. Some consideration was given to increasing severe probabilities as storm coverage should be extensive later this afternoon compared to Friday afternoon/evening. Large hail, along with some tornado risk can be expected. Will maintain MRGL Risk for now, but an upgrade may be warranted in later outlooks. ..Darrow/Moore.. 10/19/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across eastern New Mexico and portions of far West Texas later this afternoon and evening. Large hail will be the primary threat, though isolated severe winds and some tornado threat does exist. ...Eastern New Mexico Region... Notable upper low has settled into AZ late this evening as stronger mid-level flow translates into the base of the trough. Latest model guidance suggests this feature will not begin to eject northeast until later Sunday when 500mb speed max rotates into the southern Rockies. As a result, not only are height falls not anticipated across the southern Rockies/adjacent High Plains, but rather height rises appear likely as this feature gradually fills. Even so, modest-strong mid-level southwesterly flow will persist across northern Mexico into eastern New Mexico through the period. Dominant surface anticyclone over the OH Valley will ensure southeasterly boundary-layer flow across west TX into the southern Rockies, and this will maintain moist low-level upslope trajectories (surface dew points in the 50s). Latest model guidance suggests strongest boundary-layer heating will develop across northern Mexico into southwest NM, primarily west of the San Andres Mountains. Forecast soundings depict weak inhibition near/west of this higher terrain by 20z. Greatest corridor of instability should extend across the TX Big Bend into eastern NM, just east of the highest terrain. Latest thinking is scattered-numerous thunderstorms will evolve over the mountains, and within the favored upslope regime. This activity will spread northeast within the mean flow and supercells are likely. Some consideration was given to increasing severe probabilities as storm coverage should be extensive later this afternoon compared to Friday afternoon/evening. Large hail, along with some tornado risk can be expected. Will maintain MRGL Risk for now, but an upgrade may be warranted in later outlooks. ..Darrow/Moore.. 10/19/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across eastern New Mexico and portions of far West Texas later this afternoon and evening. Large hail will be the primary threat, though isolated severe winds and some tornado threat does exist. ...Eastern New Mexico Region... Notable upper low has settled into AZ late this evening as stronger mid-level flow translates into the base of the trough. Latest model guidance suggests this feature will not begin to eject northeast until later Sunday when 500mb speed max rotates into the southern Rockies. As a result, not only are height falls not anticipated across the southern Rockies/adjacent High Plains, but rather height rises appear likely as this feature gradually fills. Even so, modest-strong mid-level southwesterly flow will persist across northern Mexico into eastern New Mexico through the period. Dominant surface anticyclone over the OH Valley will ensure southeasterly boundary-layer flow across west TX into the southern Rockies, and this will maintain moist low-level upslope trajectories (surface dew points in the 50s). Latest model guidance suggests strongest boundary-layer heating will develop across northern Mexico into southwest NM, primarily west of the San Andres Mountains. Forecast soundings depict weak inhibition near/west of this higher terrain by 20z. Greatest corridor of instability should extend across the TX Big Bend into eastern NM, just east of the highest terrain. Latest thinking is scattered-numerous thunderstorms will evolve over the mountains, and within the favored upslope regime. This activity will spread northeast within the mean flow and supercells are likely. Some consideration was given to increasing severe probabilities as storm coverage should be extensive later this afternoon compared to Friday afternoon/evening. Large hail, along with some tornado risk can be expected. Will maintain MRGL Risk for now, but an upgrade may be warranted in later outlooks. ..Darrow/Moore.. 10/19/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across eastern New Mexico and portions of far West Texas later this afternoon and evening. Large hail will be the primary threat, though isolated severe winds and some tornado threat does exist. ...Eastern New Mexico Region... Notable upper low has settled into AZ late this evening as stronger mid-level flow translates into the base of the trough. Latest model guidance suggests this feature will not begin to eject northeast until later Sunday when 500mb speed max rotates into the southern Rockies. As a result, not only are height falls not anticipated across the southern Rockies/adjacent High Plains, but rather height rises appear likely as this feature gradually fills. Even so, modest-strong mid-level southwesterly flow will persist across northern Mexico into eastern New Mexico through the period. Dominant surface anticyclone over the OH Valley will ensure southeasterly boundary-layer flow across west TX into the southern Rockies, and this will maintain moist low-level upslope trajectories (surface dew points in the 50s). Latest model guidance suggests strongest boundary-layer heating will develop across northern Mexico into southwest NM, primarily west of the San Andres Mountains. Forecast soundings depict weak inhibition near/west of this higher terrain by 20z. Greatest corridor of instability should extend across the TX Big Bend into eastern NM, just east of the highest terrain. Latest thinking is scattered-numerous thunderstorms will evolve over the mountains, and within the favored upslope regime. This activity will spread northeast within the mean flow and supercells are likely. Some consideration was given to increasing severe probabilities as storm coverage should be extensive later this afternoon compared to Friday afternoon/evening. Large hail, along with some tornado risk can be expected. Will maintain MRGL Risk for now, but an upgrade may be warranted in later outlooks. ..Darrow/Moore.. 10/19/2024 Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 190517
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Oct 18 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

South of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days several
hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for subsequent
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form around the
middle of next week while moving westward at about 15 mph away from
the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

MD 2148 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO...FAR SOUTHEAST COLORADO
Mesoscale Discussion 2148 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0817 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024 Areas affected...Northeast New Mexico...Far Southeast Colorado Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 190117Z - 190345Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat will likely continue across parts of northeast New Mexico this evening, and could also affect far southeast Colorado. Large hail and a few marginally severe gusts will be possible. Weather watch issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...The latest water vapor imagery shows an upper-level low over central Arizona with cyclonic southwesterly mid-level flow located over the southern Rockies. Large-scale ascent appears to be maximized over northeastern New Mexico where widely scattered thunderstorms are ongoing. The airmass across eastern New Mexico is weakly unstable with the RAP estimating MLCAPE in the 750 to 1000 J/kg range. In addition, forecast soundings in northeast New Mexico have 0-6 km shear near 40 knots with somewhat steep lapse rates above 700 mb. This may be enough for a supercell with potential for large hail. A severe gust or two will may also occur. The severe threat is expected to remain very isolated this evening. ..Broyles/Guyer.. 10/19/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ... LAT...LON 36780483 35970510 35170528 34770503 34600472 34540426 34680384 35060354 36180321 36860311 37230328 37420369 37400403 37270443 36780483 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0730 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024 Valid 190100Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO REGION... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail, damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado remain possible this evening over parts of eastern New Mexico region. ...01z Update... Well-defined upper low is settling into northern AZ as the primary 500mb speed max translates into the base of the trough near the international border. This evolution will not contribute to appreciable height falls over the southern High Plains tonight, but strong deep-layer shear and moist/weakly buoyant profiles continue to favor some risk for supercells. One longer-lived updraft/supercell is lifting north-northeast across western De Baca County NM. This storm has some characteristics that favor small hail, but otherwise might be producing some wind gusts. Otherwise, scattered strong/severe convection should continue across parts of eastern NM this evening as moist, weak upslope flow will persist through the overnight hours. Strong convection will struggle to advance into TX later tonight as 00z soundings at both MAF and AMA exhibit only modestly steep lapse rates with substantial inhibition in the 750-700mb layer. ..Darrow.. 10/19/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0730 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024 Valid 190100Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO REGION... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail, damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado remain possible this evening over parts of eastern New Mexico region. ...01z Update... Well-defined upper low is settling into northern AZ as the primary 500mb speed max translates into the base of the trough near the international border. This evolution will not contribute to appreciable height falls over the southern High Plains tonight, but strong deep-layer shear and moist/weakly buoyant profiles continue to favor some risk for supercells. One longer-lived updraft/supercell is lifting north-northeast across western De Baca County NM. This storm has some characteristics that favor small hail, but otherwise might be producing some wind gusts. Otherwise, scattered strong/severe convection should continue across parts of eastern NM this evening as moist, weak upslope flow will persist through the overnight hours. Strong convection will struggle to advance into TX later tonight as 00z soundings at both MAF and AMA exhibit only modestly steep lapse rates with substantial inhibition in the 750-700mb layer. ..Darrow.. 10/19/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0730 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024 Valid 190100Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO REGION... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail, damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado remain possible this evening over parts of eastern New Mexico region. ...01z Update... Well-defined upper low is settling into northern AZ as the primary 500mb speed max translates into the base of the trough near the international border. This evolution will not contribute to appreciable height falls over the southern High Plains tonight, but strong deep-layer shear and moist/weakly buoyant profiles continue to favor some risk for supercells. One longer-lived updraft/supercell is lifting north-northeast across western De Baca County NM. This storm has some characteristics that favor small hail, but otherwise might be producing some wind gusts. Otherwise, scattered strong/severe convection should continue across parts of eastern NM this evening as moist, weak upslope flow will persist through the overnight hours. Strong convection will struggle to advance into TX later tonight as 00z soundings at both MAF and AMA exhibit only modestly steep lapse rates with substantial inhibition in the 750-700mb layer. ..Darrow.. 10/19/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0730 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024 Valid 190100Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO REGION... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail, damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado remain possible this evening over parts of eastern New Mexico region. ...01z Update... Well-defined upper low is settling into northern AZ as the primary 500mb speed max translates into the base of the trough near the international border. This evolution will not contribute to appreciable height falls over the southern High Plains tonight, but strong deep-layer shear and moist/weakly buoyant profiles continue to favor some risk for supercells. One longer-lived updraft/supercell is lifting north-northeast across western De Baca County NM. This storm has some characteristics that favor small hail, but otherwise might be producing some wind gusts. Otherwise, scattered strong/severe convection should continue across parts of eastern NM this evening as moist, weak upslope flow will persist through the overnight hours. Strong convection will struggle to advance into TX later tonight as 00z soundings at both MAF and AMA exhibit only modestly steep lapse rates with substantial inhibition in the 750-700mb layer. ..Darrow.. 10/19/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0730 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024 Valid 190100Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO REGION... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail, damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado remain possible this evening over parts of eastern New Mexico region. ...01z Update... Well-defined upper low is settling into northern AZ as the primary 500mb speed max translates into the base of the trough near the international border. This evolution will not contribute to appreciable height falls over the southern High Plains tonight, but strong deep-layer shear and moist/weakly buoyant profiles continue to favor some risk for supercells. One longer-lived updraft/supercell is lifting north-northeast across western De Baca County NM. This storm has some characteristics that favor small hail, but otherwise might be producing some wind gusts. Otherwise, scattered strong/severe convection should continue across parts of eastern NM this evening as moist, weak upslope flow will persist through the overnight hours. Strong convection will struggle to advance into TX later tonight as 00z soundings at both MAF and AMA exhibit only modestly steep lapse rates with substantial inhibition in the 750-700mb layer. ..Darrow.. 10/19/2024 Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 182329
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Oct 18 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

South of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days well
offshore of southwestern Mexico. Gradual development is possible
thereafter, and a tropical depression could form around the
middle of next week as the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

No watches are valid as of Fri Oct 18 22:46:02 UTC 2024.

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Oct 18 22:46:02 UTC 2024.

MD 2147 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO INTO SOUTHEAST COLORADO
Mesoscale Discussion 2147 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0346 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024 Areas affected...northeast New Mexico into southeast Colorado Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 182046Z - 182245Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...A few storms may produce marginally severe hail later this afternoon from northeast New Mexico into southeast Colorado. DISCUSSION...Surface analysis shows a cold front from east-central CO into northern NM, with low pressure developing ahead of it from northwest NM into southeast CO. Gusty southerly winds are aiding moisture advection into the region with lower 50s F dewpoints. Visible imagery shows clearing east of a dryline and south of the cold front, where MUCAPE up to 1000 J/kg has developed. Continued heating should result in scattered storms developing over eastern NM, with meridional flow resulting in northeastward storm motions. Veering and increasing winds with height is resulting in elongated hodographs with around 40 kt effective shear. Lapse rates are not particularly steep today, but sufficient moisture and instability combined with favorable shear should yield a few supercells with a hail threat. ..Jewell.. 10/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ... LAT...LON 34210505 35180507 36050512 36800483 37470452 37570401 37390355 36910319 36170315 34690311 34130319 33920427 33950484 34040495 34210505 Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 261200Z Fire weather concerns will remain low in the extended. A closed mid-level low will continue east-northeastward across the central Rockies into early next week, with breezy winds expected across the Plains. Behind this system, post-frontal northwesterly breezes will be possible across the Central/High plains. However, low-level moisture return and eventual precipitation will limit RH reductions and the overall fire-weather risk. ..Thornton.. 10/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024 Valid 201200Z - 261200Z Fire weather concerns will remain low in the extended. A closed mid-level low will continue east-northeastward across the central Rockies into early next week, with breezy winds expected across the Plains. Behind this system, post-frontal northwesterly breezes will be possible across the Central/High plains. However, low-level moisture return and eventual precipitation will limit RH reductions and the overall fire-weather risk. ..Thornton.. 10/18/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more