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WW 0704 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 704 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW ACT TO 20 NNE DAL TO 20 SE DUA TO 30 S MLC TO 15 ESE MKO TO 5 NNE JLN. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2208 ..JEWELL..11/04/24 ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...SHV...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 704 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC001-021-023-041-061-077-079-089-127-135-042340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW DELAWARE HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE MCCURTAIN PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH TXC085-113-119-139-147-159-223-231-251-257-277-379-387-397-449- 467-499-042340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLLIN DALLAS DELTA ELLIS FANNIN FRANKLIN HOPKINS HUNT JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMAR RAINS RED RIVER ROCKWALL TITUS VAN ZANDT WOOD Read more

WW 0704 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 704 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW ACT TO 20 NNE DAL TO 20 SE DUA TO 30 S MLC TO 15 ESE MKO TO 5 NNE JLN. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2208 ..JEWELL..11/04/24 ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...SHV...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 704 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC001-021-023-041-061-077-079-089-127-135-042340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW DELAWARE HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE MCCURTAIN PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH TXC085-113-119-139-147-159-223-231-251-257-277-379-387-397-449- 467-499-042340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLLIN DALLAS DELTA ELLIS FANNIN FRANKLIN HOPKINS HUNT JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMAR RAINS RED RIVER ROCKWALL TITUS VAN ZANDT WOOD Read more

WW 704 TORNADO OK TX 041655Z - 050000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 704 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1055 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern Oklahoma Northeast Texas * Effective this Monday morning and evening from 1055 AM until 600 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify through the afternoon across the watch area, with supercells and bowing lines capable of damaging winds and tornadoes. A strong tornado or two is possible. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles south southeast of Fort Worth TX to 35 miles northwest of Grove OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Hart Read more

WW 0705 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 705 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW GMJ TO 55 ENE CNU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2207 ..MOORE..11/04/24 ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 705 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC007-009-015-033-047-071-083-087-097-101-113-115-127-131-143- 149-042240- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON BOONE CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON LOGAN MADISON MONTGOMERY NEWTON POLK POPE SCOTT SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON YELL MOC009-011-039-043-057-077-097-109-119-145-167-209-213-042240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARRY BARTON CEDAR CHRISTIAN DADE GREENE JASPER LAWRENCE MCDONALD NEWTON POLK STONE Read more

WW 0705 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 705 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW GMJ TO 55 ENE CNU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2207 ..MOORE..11/04/24 ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 705 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC007-009-015-033-047-071-083-087-097-101-113-115-127-131-143- 149-042240- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON BOONE CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON LOGAN MADISON MONTGOMERY NEWTON POLK POPE SCOTT SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON YELL MOC009-011-039-043-057-077-097-109-119-145-167-209-213-042240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARRY BARTON CEDAR CHRISTIAN DADE GREENE JASPER LAWRENCE MCDONALD NEWTON POLK STONE Read more

WW 0705 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 705 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW GMJ TO 55 ENE CNU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2207 ..MOORE..11/04/24 ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 705 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC007-009-015-033-047-071-083-087-097-101-113-115-127-131-143- 149-042240- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON BOONE CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON LOGAN MADISON MONTGOMERY NEWTON POLK POPE SCOTT SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON YELL MOC009-011-039-043-057-077-097-109-119-145-167-209-213-042240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARRY BARTON CEDAR CHRISTIAN DADE GREENE JASPER LAWRENCE MCDONALD NEWTON POLK STONE Read more

WW 705 TORNADO AR KS MO 041930Z - 050300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 705 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 130 PM CST Mon Nov 4 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Western Arkansas Extreme southeast Kansas Southwest Missouri * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until 900 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Multiple rounds of thunderstorms will affect the watch area this afternoon and evening. Strong winds aloft and a warm/moist environment will pose a risk of severe storms capable of damaging winds and a few tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north northeast of Joplin MO to 40 miles west southwest of Hot Springs AR. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 704... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Hart Read more

MD 2207 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 704...705... FOR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 2207 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0254 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024 Areas affected...Northeast Oklahoma...northwest Arkansas...and southwest Missouri Concerning...Tornado Watch 704...705... Valid 042054Z - 042230Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 704, 705 continues. SUMMARY...A favorable environment for a few tornadoes exists across northeast Oklahoma, northwest Arkansas, and southwest Missouri over the next 1 to 2 hours. DISCUSSION...A cluster of supercells is moving through northeast Oklahoma. Surface winds have backed somewhat ahead of these supercells as a surface low continues northeast along the frontal boundary just south of Tulsa. Temperatures have warmed into the upper 70s with dewpoints in the upper 60 ahead of these storms. Shear has started to increase over the last hour on the KSRX VWP with 0-1km SRH around 225 m2/s2 and 0-500m SRH around 150 m2/s2 as of 2035Z. This increase in shear, combined with a pocket of moderate instability has provided an environment favorable for a few tornadoes over the next 1 to 2 hours. The greatest threat will be with any supercells which can avoid interference which in the short term favors the storm entering southern Cherokee County in Oklahoma. ..Bentley/Hart.. 11/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA... LAT...LON 35259472 35729539 36119566 36699540 37289469 37029366 36349355 35509400 35179430 35259472 Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West through mid-week, before morphing into a cut-off low and ejecting into the Plains states by this weekend into early next week. As a result, a surface cyclone will develop over the Plains states late this week and progress eastward through the weekend while high pressure overspreads much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. Cool conditions west of the Rockies, combined with widespread rainfall and moist low-level conditions from the Plains to the East Coast, will foster mainly quiescent fire weather conditions. The main concern for wildfire-spread potential will be over California during the mid-week time frame. On Days 3-4 (Wednesday-Thursday), the western periphery of the aforementioned mid-level trough will overspread California, promoting deep-layer northwesterly flow over the northern/central California Valley region. Meanwhile, surface high pressure over the Great Basin will encourage a surface pressure gradient across the state. As such, dry and breezy surface conditions are likely over parts of the Sacramento Valley, toward the San Joaquin Valley area Wednesday afternoon, where 40% Critical probabilities have been introduced. Dry and strong offshore flow is also likely Wednesday evening into Thursday morning, from the Ventura Valley region to the Laguna Mountain range. 70% Critical probabilities are in place for Day 3 (Wednesday), where confidence is highest for prolonged strong offshore winds with low RH. ..Squitieri.. 11/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West through mid-week, before morphing into a cut-off low and ejecting into the Plains states by this weekend into early next week. As a result, a surface cyclone will develop over the Plains states late this week and progress eastward through the weekend while high pressure overspreads much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. Cool conditions west of the Rockies, combined with widespread rainfall and moist low-level conditions from the Plains to the East Coast, will foster mainly quiescent fire weather conditions. The main concern for wildfire-spread potential will be over California during the mid-week time frame. On Days 3-4 (Wednesday-Thursday), the western periphery of the aforementioned mid-level trough will overspread California, promoting deep-layer northwesterly flow over the northern/central California Valley region. Meanwhile, surface high pressure over the Great Basin will encourage a surface pressure gradient across the state. As such, dry and breezy surface conditions are likely over parts of the Sacramento Valley, toward the San Joaquin Valley area Wednesday afternoon, where 40% Critical probabilities have been introduced. Dry and strong offshore flow is also likely Wednesday evening into Thursday morning, from the Ventura Valley region to the Laguna Mountain range. 70% Critical probabilities are in place for Day 3 (Wednesday), where confidence is highest for prolonged strong offshore winds with low RH. ..Squitieri.. 11/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West through mid-week, before morphing into a cut-off low and ejecting into the Plains states by this weekend into early next week. As a result, a surface cyclone will develop over the Plains states late this week and progress eastward through the weekend while high pressure overspreads much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. Cool conditions west of the Rockies, combined with widespread rainfall and moist low-level conditions from the Plains to the East Coast, will foster mainly quiescent fire weather conditions. The main concern for wildfire-spread potential will be over California during the mid-week time frame. On Days 3-4 (Wednesday-Thursday), the western periphery of the aforementioned mid-level trough will overspread California, promoting deep-layer northwesterly flow over the northern/central California Valley region. Meanwhile, surface high pressure over the Great Basin will encourage a surface pressure gradient across the state. As such, dry and breezy surface conditions are likely over parts of the Sacramento Valley, toward the San Joaquin Valley area Wednesday afternoon, where 40% Critical probabilities have been introduced. Dry and strong offshore flow is also likely Wednesday evening into Thursday morning, from the Ventura Valley region to the Laguna Mountain range. 70% Critical probabilities are in place for Day 3 (Wednesday), where confidence is highest for prolonged strong offshore winds with low RH. ..Squitieri.. 11/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West through mid-week, before morphing into a cut-off low and ejecting into the Plains states by this weekend into early next week. As a result, a surface cyclone will develop over the Plains states late this week and progress eastward through the weekend while high pressure overspreads much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. Cool conditions west of the Rockies, combined with widespread rainfall and moist low-level conditions from the Plains to the East Coast, will foster mainly quiescent fire weather conditions. The main concern for wildfire-spread potential will be over California during the mid-week time frame. On Days 3-4 (Wednesday-Thursday), the western periphery of the aforementioned mid-level trough will overspread California, promoting deep-layer northwesterly flow over the northern/central California Valley region. Meanwhile, surface high pressure over the Great Basin will encourage a surface pressure gradient across the state. As such, dry and breezy surface conditions are likely over parts of the Sacramento Valley, toward the San Joaquin Valley area Wednesday afternoon, where 40% Critical probabilities have been introduced. Dry and strong offshore flow is also likely Wednesday evening into Thursday morning, from the Ventura Valley region to the Laguna Mountain range. 70% Critical probabilities are in place for Day 3 (Wednesday), where confidence is highest for prolonged strong offshore winds with low RH. ..Squitieri.. 11/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West through mid-week, before morphing into a cut-off low and ejecting into the Plains states by this weekend into early next week. As a result, a surface cyclone will develop over the Plains states late this week and progress eastward through the weekend while high pressure overspreads much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. Cool conditions west of the Rockies, combined with widespread rainfall and moist low-level conditions from the Plains to the East Coast, will foster mainly quiescent fire weather conditions. The main concern for wildfire-spread potential will be over California during the mid-week time frame. On Days 3-4 (Wednesday-Thursday), the western periphery of the aforementioned mid-level trough will overspread California, promoting deep-layer northwesterly flow over the northern/central California Valley region. Meanwhile, surface high pressure over the Great Basin will encourage a surface pressure gradient across the state. As such, dry and breezy surface conditions are likely over parts of the Sacramento Valley, toward the San Joaquin Valley area Wednesday afternoon, where 40% Critical probabilities have been introduced. Dry and strong offshore flow is also likely Wednesday evening into Thursday morning, from the Ventura Valley region to the Laguna Mountain range. 70% Critical probabilities are in place for Day 3 (Wednesday), where confidence is highest for prolonged strong offshore winds with low RH. ..Squitieri.. 11/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West through mid-week, before morphing into a cut-off low and ejecting into the Plains states by this weekend into early next week. As a result, a surface cyclone will develop over the Plains states late this week and progress eastward through the weekend while high pressure overspreads much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. Cool conditions west of the Rockies, combined with widespread rainfall and moist low-level conditions from the Plains to the East Coast, will foster mainly quiescent fire weather conditions. The main concern for wildfire-spread potential will be over California during the mid-week time frame. On Days 3-4 (Wednesday-Thursday), the western periphery of the aforementioned mid-level trough will overspread California, promoting deep-layer northwesterly flow over the northern/central California Valley region. Meanwhile, surface high pressure over the Great Basin will encourage a surface pressure gradient across the state. As such, dry and breezy surface conditions are likely over parts of the Sacramento Valley, toward the San Joaquin Valley area Wednesday afternoon, where 40% Critical probabilities have been introduced. Dry and strong offshore flow is also likely Wednesday evening into Thursday morning, from the Ventura Valley region to the Laguna Mountain range. 70% Critical probabilities are in place for Day 3 (Wednesday), where confidence is highest for prolonged strong offshore winds with low RH. ..Squitieri.. 11/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West through mid-week, before morphing into a cut-off low and ejecting into the Plains states by this weekend into early next week. As a result, a surface cyclone will develop over the Plains states late this week and progress eastward through the weekend while high pressure overspreads much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. Cool conditions west of the Rockies, combined with widespread rainfall and moist low-level conditions from the Plains to the East Coast, will foster mainly quiescent fire weather conditions. The main concern for wildfire-spread potential will be over California during the mid-week time frame. On Days 3-4 (Wednesday-Thursday), the western periphery of the aforementioned mid-level trough will overspread California, promoting deep-layer northwesterly flow over the northern/central California Valley region. Meanwhile, surface high pressure over the Great Basin will encourage a surface pressure gradient across the state. As such, dry and breezy surface conditions are likely over parts of the Sacramento Valley, toward the San Joaquin Valley area Wednesday afternoon, where 40% Critical probabilities have been introduced. Dry and strong offshore flow is also likely Wednesday evening into Thursday morning, from the Ventura Valley region to the Laguna Mountain range. 70% Critical probabilities are in place for Day 3 (Wednesday), where confidence is highest for prolonged strong offshore winds with low RH. ..Squitieri.. 11/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West through mid-week, before morphing into a cut-off low and ejecting into the Plains states by this weekend into early next week. As a result, a surface cyclone will develop over the Plains states late this week and progress eastward through the weekend while high pressure overspreads much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. Cool conditions west of the Rockies, combined with widespread rainfall and moist low-level conditions from the Plains to the East Coast, will foster mainly quiescent fire weather conditions. The main concern for wildfire-spread potential will be over California during the mid-week time frame. On Days 3-4 (Wednesday-Thursday), the western periphery of the aforementioned mid-level trough will overspread California, promoting deep-layer northwesterly flow over the northern/central California Valley region. Meanwhile, surface high pressure over the Great Basin will encourage a surface pressure gradient across the state. As such, dry and breezy surface conditions are likely over parts of the Sacramento Valley, toward the San Joaquin Valley area Wednesday afternoon, where 40% Critical probabilities have been introduced. Dry and strong offshore flow is also likely Wednesday evening into Thursday morning, from the Ventura Valley region to the Laguna Mountain range. 70% Critical probabilities are in place for Day 3 (Wednesday), where confidence is highest for prolonged strong offshore winds with low RH. ..Squitieri.. 11/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West through mid-week, before morphing into a cut-off low and ejecting into the Plains states by this weekend into early next week. As a result, a surface cyclone will develop over the Plains states late this week and progress eastward through the weekend while high pressure overspreads much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. Cool conditions west of the Rockies, combined with widespread rainfall and moist low-level conditions from the Plains to the East Coast, will foster mainly quiescent fire weather conditions. The main concern for wildfire-spread potential will be over California during the mid-week time frame. On Days 3-4 (Wednesday-Thursday), the western periphery of the aforementioned mid-level trough will overspread California, promoting deep-layer northwesterly flow over the northern/central California Valley region. Meanwhile, surface high pressure over the Great Basin will encourage a surface pressure gradient across the state. As such, dry and breezy surface conditions are likely over parts of the Sacramento Valley, toward the San Joaquin Valley area Wednesday afternoon, where 40% Critical probabilities have been introduced. Dry and strong offshore flow is also likely Wednesday evening into Thursday morning, from the Ventura Valley region to the Laguna Mountain range. 70% Critical probabilities are in place for Day 3 (Wednesday), where confidence is highest for prolonged strong offshore winds with low RH. ..Squitieri.. 11/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West through mid-week, before morphing into a cut-off low and ejecting into the Plains states by this weekend into early next week. As a result, a surface cyclone will develop over the Plains states late this week and progress eastward through the weekend while high pressure overspreads much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. Cool conditions west of the Rockies, combined with widespread rainfall and moist low-level conditions from the Plains to the East Coast, will foster mainly quiescent fire weather conditions. The main concern for wildfire-spread potential will be over California during the mid-week time frame. On Days 3-4 (Wednesday-Thursday), the western periphery of the aforementioned mid-level trough will overspread California, promoting deep-layer northwesterly flow over the northern/central California Valley region. Meanwhile, surface high pressure over the Great Basin will encourage a surface pressure gradient across the state. As such, dry and breezy surface conditions are likely over parts of the Sacramento Valley, toward the San Joaquin Valley area Wednesday afternoon, where 40% Critical probabilities have been introduced. Dry and strong offshore flow is also likely Wednesday evening into Thursday morning, from the Ventura Valley region to the Laguna Mountain range. 70% Critical probabilities are in place for Day 3 (Wednesday), where confidence is highest for prolonged strong offshore winds with low RH. ..Squitieri.. 11/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West through mid-week, before morphing into a cut-off low and ejecting into the Plains states by this weekend into early next week. As a result, a surface cyclone will develop over the Plains states late this week and progress eastward through the weekend while high pressure overspreads much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. Cool conditions west of the Rockies, combined with widespread rainfall and moist low-level conditions from the Plains to the East Coast, will foster mainly quiescent fire weather conditions. The main concern for wildfire-spread potential will be over California during the mid-week time frame. On Days 3-4 (Wednesday-Thursday), the western periphery of the aforementioned mid-level trough will overspread California, promoting deep-layer northwesterly flow over the northern/central California Valley region. Meanwhile, surface high pressure over the Great Basin will encourage a surface pressure gradient across the state. As such, dry and breezy surface conditions are likely over parts of the Sacramento Valley, toward the San Joaquin Valley area Wednesday afternoon, where 40% Critical probabilities have been introduced. Dry and strong offshore flow is also likely Wednesday evening into Thursday morning, from the Ventura Valley region to the Laguna Mountain range. 70% Critical probabilities are in place for Day 3 (Wednesday), where confidence is highest for prolonged strong offshore winds with low RH. ..Squitieri.. 11/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z A mid-level trough will amplify across the Interior West through mid-week, before morphing into a cut-off low and ejecting into the Plains states by this weekend into early next week. As a result, a surface cyclone will develop over the Plains states late this week and progress eastward through the weekend while high pressure overspreads much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. Cool conditions west of the Rockies, combined with widespread rainfall and moist low-level conditions from the Plains to the East Coast, will foster mainly quiescent fire weather conditions. The main concern for wildfire-spread potential will be over California during the mid-week time frame. On Days 3-4 (Wednesday-Thursday), the western periphery of the aforementioned mid-level trough will overspread California, promoting deep-layer northwesterly flow over the northern/central California Valley region. Meanwhile, surface high pressure over the Great Basin will encourage a surface pressure gradient across the state. As such, dry and breezy surface conditions are likely over parts of the Sacramento Valley, toward the San Joaquin Valley area Wednesday afternoon, where 40% Critical probabilities have been introduced. Dry and strong offshore flow is also likely Wednesday evening into Thursday morning, from the Ventura Valley region to the Laguna Mountain range. 70% Critical probabilities are in place for Day 3 (Wednesday), where confidence is highest for prolonged strong offshore winds with low RH. ..Squitieri.. 11/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more