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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z A series of progressive mid-level troughs will traverse the CONUS through this weekend into the middle of next week. As this occurs, multiple instances of surface cyclone development are expected over the central U.S., supporting the southerly transport of low-level moisture and accumulating precipitation from the Plains states to the Appalachians. The progression of multiple mid-level troughs from the Pacific Ocean will also encourage meaningful precipitation accumulations over the Pacific Northwest. The net result will be overall quiescent fire weather conditions across much of the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 11/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z A series of progressive mid-level troughs will traverse the CONUS through this weekend into the middle of next week. As this occurs, multiple instances of surface cyclone development are expected over the central U.S., supporting the southerly transport of low-level moisture and accumulating precipitation from the Plains states to the Appalachians. The progression of multiple mid-level troughs from the Pacific Ocean will also encourage meaningful precipitation accumulations over the Pacific Northwest. The net result will be overall quiescent fire weather conditions across much of the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 11/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z A series of progressive mid-level troughs will traverse the CONUS through this weekend into the middle of next week. As this occurs, multiple instances of surface cyclone development are expected over the central U.S., supporting the southerly transport of low-level moisture and accumulating precipitation from the Plains states to the Appalachians. The progression of multiple mid-level troughs from the Pacific Ocean will also encourage meaningful precipitation accumulations over the Pacific Northwest. The net result will be overall quiescent fire weather conditions across much of the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 11/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z A series of progressive mid-level troughs will traverse the CONUS through this weekend into the middle of next week. As this occurs, multiple instances of surface cyclone development are expected over the central U.S., supporting the southerly transport of low-level moisture and accumulating precipitation from the Plains states to the Appalachians. The progression of multiple mid-level troughs from the Pacific Ocean will also encourage meaningful precipitation accumulations over the Pacific Northwest. The net result will be overall quiescent fire weather conditions across much of the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 11/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z A series of progressive mid-level troughs will traverse the CONUS through this weekend into the middle of next week. As this occurs, multiple instances of surface cyclone development are expected over the central U.S., supporting the southerly transport of low-level moisture and accumulating precipitation from the Plains states to the Appalachians. The progression of multiple mid-level troughs from the Pacific Ocean will also encourage meaningful precipitation accumulations over the Pacific Northwest. The net result will be overall quiescent fire weather conditions across much of the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 11/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z A series of progressive mid-level troughs will traverse the CONUS through this weekend into the middle of next week. As this occurs, multiple instances of surface cyclone development are expected over the central U.S., supporting the southerly transport of low-level moisture and accumulating precipitation from the Plains states to the Appalachians. The progression of multiple mid-level troughs from the Pacific Ocean will also encourage meaningful precipitation accumulations over the Pacific Northwest. The net result will be overall quiescent fire weather conditions across much of the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 11/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z A series of progressive mid-level troughs will traverse the CONUS through this weekend into the middle of next week. As this occurs, multiple instances of surface cyclone development are expected over the central U.S., supporting the southerly transport of low-level moisture and accumulating precipitation from the Plains states to the Appalachians. The progression of multiple mid-level troughs from the Pacific Ocean will also encourage meaningful precipitation accumulations over the Pacific Northwest. The net result will be overall quiescent fire weather conditions across much of the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 11/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z A series of progressive mid-level troughs will traverse the CONUS through this weekend into the middle of next week. As this occurs, multiple instances of surface cyclone development are expected over the central U.S., supporting the southerly transport of low-level moisture and accumulating precipitation from the Plains states to the Appalachians. The progression of multiple mid-level troughs from the Pacific Ocean will also encourage meaningful precipitation accumulations over the Pacific Northwest. The net result will be overall quiescent fire weather conditions across much of the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 11/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z A series of progressive mid-level troughs will traverse the CONUS through this weekend into the middle of next week. As this occurs, multiple instances of surface cyclone development are expected over the central U.S., supporting the southerly transport of low-level moisture and accumulating precipitation from the Plains states to the Appalachians. The progression of multiple mid-level troughs from the Pacific Ocean will also encourage meaningful precipitation accumulations over the Pacific Northwest. The net result will be overall quiescent fire weather conditions across much of the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 11/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z A series of progressive mid-level troughs will traverse the CONUS through this weekend into the middle of next week. As this occurs, multiple instances of surface cyclone development are expected over the central U.S., supporting the southerly transport of low-level moisture and accumulating precipitation from the Plains states to the Appalachians. The progression of multiple mid-level troughs from the Pacific Ocean will also encourage meaningful precipitation accumulations over the Pacific Northwest. The net result will be overall quiescent fire weather conditions across much of the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 11/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z A series of progressive mid-level troughs will traverse the CONUS through this weekend into the middle of next week. As this occurs, multiple instances of surface cyclone development are expected over the central U.S., supporting the southerly transport of low-level moisture and accumulating precipitation from the Plains states to the Appalachians. The progression of multiple mid-level troughs from the Pacific Ocean will also encourage meaningful precipitation accumulations over the Pacific Northwest. The net result will be overall quiescent fire weather conditions across much of the CONUS. ..Squitieri.. 11/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 072000Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF WEST AND WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Large hail, isolated severe thunderstorm gusts, and a few tornadoes are possible this evening and tonight across parts of west Texas. ...20Z Update... Primary change to the outlook was to adjust tornado probabilities along the surface boundary in central Texas. Storm coverage still appears it will be isolated, but low-level shear would favor some tornado risk. Elsewhere, only minor adjustments were made to the general thunder area. See the previous discussion for additional details. ..Wendt.. 11/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1042 AM CST Thu Nov 07 2024/ ...West and Central TX... A large upper low will remain over the Four Corners states through tonight, with model guidance suggesting a rather strong shortwave trough will rotate through the base of the low and move into West TX overnight. The primary surface boundary currently extends E-W across central TX and will lift northward through the day, allowing very moist air to stream into parts of western and west-central TX. Current indications are that storms will become more numerous through the afternoon and evening across the region. Vertical shear profiles over a rather large area would support rotating updrafts, but stable near-surface conditions will limit the severe threat to the north of the front. Along and to the south of the boundary, forecast soundings suggest some concern for supercells capable of damaging winds, hail, and a few tornadoes this evening. Have extended the SLGT farther northeast into the ABI area where morning CAM solutions show the warm front and several intense storms later today. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 072000Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF WEST AND WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Large hail, isolated severe thunderstorm gusts, and a few tornadoes are possible this evening and tonight across parts of west Texas. ...20Z Update... Primary change to the outlook was to adjust tornado probabilities along the surface boundary in central Texas. Storm coverage still appears it will be isolated, but low-level shear would favor some tornado risk. Elsewhere, only minor adjustments were made to the general thunder area. See the previous discussion for additional details. ..Wendt.. 11/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1042 AM CST Thu Nov 07 2024/ ...West and Central TX... A large upper low will remain over the Four Corners states through tonight, with model guidance suggesting a rather strong shortwave trough will rotate through the base of the low and move into West TX overnight. The primary surface boundary currently extends E-W across central TX and will lift northward through the day, allowing very moist air to stream into parts of western and west-central TX. Current indications are that storms will become more numerous through the afternoon and evening across the region. Vertical shear profiles over a rather large area would support rotating updrafts, but stable near-surface conditions will limit the severe threat to the north of the front. Along and to the south of the boundary, forecast soundings suggest some concern for supercells capable of damaging winds, hail, and a few tornadoes this evening. Have extended the SLGT farther northeast into the ABI area where morning CAM solutions show the warm front and several intense storms later today. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 072000Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF WEST AND WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Large hail, isolated severe thunderstorm gusts, and a few tornadoes are possible this evening and tonight across parts of west Texas. ...20Z Update... Primary change to the outlook was to adjust tornado probabilities along the surface boundary in central Texas. Storm coverage still appears it will be isolated, but low-level shear would favor some tornado risk. Elsewhere, only minor adjustments were made to the general thunder area. See the previous discussion for additional details. ..Wendt.. 11/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1042 AM CST Thu Nov 07 2024/ ...West and Central TX... A large upper low will remain over the Four Corners states through tonight, with model guidance suggesting a rather strong shortwave trough will rotate through the base of the low and move into West TX overnight. The primary surface boundary currently extends E-W across central TX and will lift northward through the day, allowing very moist air to stream into parts of western and west-central TX. Current indications are that storms will become more numerous through the afternoon and evening across the region. Vertical shear profiles over a rather large area would support rotating updrafts, but stable near-surface conditions will limit the severe threat to the north of the front. Along and to the south of the boundary, forecast soundings suggest some concern for supercells capable of damaging winds, hail, and a few tornadoes this evening. Have extended the SLGT farther northeast into the ABI area where morning CAM solutions show the warm front and several intense storms later today. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 072000Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF WEST AND WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Large hail, isolated severe thunderstorm gusts, and a few tornadoes are possible this evening and tonight across parts of west Texas. ...20Z Update... Primary change to the outlook was to adjust tornado probabilities along the surface boundary in central Texas. Storm coverage still appears it will be isolated, but low-level shear would favor some tornado risk. Elsewhere, only minor adjustments were made to the general thunder area. See the previous discussion for additional details. ..Wendt.. 11/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1042 AM CST Thu Nov 07 2024/ ...West and Central TX... A large upper low will remain over the Four Corners states through tonight, with model guidance suggesting a rather strong shortwave trough will rotate through the base of the low and move into West TX overnight. The primary surface boundary currently extends E-W across central TX and will lift northward through the day, allowing very moist air to stream into parts of western and west-central TX. Current indications are that storms will become more numerous through the afternoon and evening across the region. Vertical shear profiles over a rather large area would support rotating updrafts, but stable near-surface conditions will limit the severe threat to the north of the front. Along and to the south of the boundary, forecast soundings suggest some concern for supercells capable of damaging winds, hail, and a few tornadoes this evening. Have extended the SLGT farther northeast into the ABI area where morning CAM solutions show the warm front and several intense storms later today. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 072000Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF WEST AND WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Large hail, isolated severe thunderstorm gusts, and a few tornadoes are possible this evening and tonight across parts of west Texas. ...20Z Update... Primary change to the outlook was to adjust tornado probabilities along the surface boundary in central Texas. Storm coverage still appears it will be isolated, but low-level shear would favor some tornado risk. Elsewhere, only minor adjustments were made to the general thunder area. See the previous discussion for additional details. ..Wendt.. 11/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1042 AM CST Thu Nov 07 2024/ ...West and Central TX... A large upper low will remain over the Four Corners states through tonight, with model guidance suggesting a rather strong shortwave trough will rotate through the base of the low and move into West TX overnight. The primary surface boundary currently extends E-W across central TX and will lift northward through the day, allowing very moist air to stream into parts of western and west-central TX. Current indications are that storms will become more numerous through the afternoon and evening across the region. Vertical shear profiles over a rather large area would support rotating updrafts, but stable near-surface conditions will limit the severe threat to the north of the front. Along and to the south of the boundary, forecast soundings suggest some concern for supercells capable of damaging winds, hail, and a few tornadoes this evening. Have extended the SLGT farther northeast into the ABI area where morning CAM solutions show the warm front and several intense storms later today. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 072000Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF WEST AND WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Large hail, isolated severe thunderstorm gusts, and a few tornadoes are possible this evening and tonight across parts of west Texas. ...20Z Update... Primary change to the outlook was to adjust tornado probabilities along the surface boundary in central Texas. Storm coverage still appears it will be isolated, but low-level shear would favor some tornado risk. Elsewhere, only minor adjustments were made to the general thunder area. See the previous discussion for additional details. ..Wendt.. 11/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1042 AM CST Thu Nov 07 2024/ ...West and Central TX... A large upper low will remain over the Four Corners states through tonight, with model guidance suggesting a rather strong shortwave trough will rotate through the base of the low and move into West TX overnight. The primary surface boundary currently extends E-W across central TX and will lift northward through the day, allowing very moist air to stream into parts of western and west-central TX. Current indications are that storms will become more numerous through the afternoon and evening across the region. Vertical shear profiles over a rather large area would support rotating updrafts, but stable near-surface conditions will limit the severe threat to the north of the front. Along and to the south of the boundary, forecast soundings suggest some concern for supercells capable of damaging winds, hail, and a few tornadoes this evening. Have extended the SLGT farther northeast into the ABI area where morning CAM solutions show the warm front and several intense storms later today. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 072000Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF WEST AND WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Large hail, isolated severe thunderstorm gusts, and a few tornadoes are possible this evening and tonight across parts of west Texas. ...20Z Update... Primary change to the outlook was to adjust tornado probabilities along the surface boundary in central Texas. Storm coverage still appears it will be isolated, but low-level shear would favor some tornado risk. Elsewhere, only minor adjustments were made to the general thunder area. See the previous discussion for additional details. ..Wendt.. 11/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1042 AM CST Thu Nov 07 2024/ ...West and Central TX... A large upper low will remain over the Four Corners states through tonight, with model guidance suggesting a rather strong shortwave trough will rotate through the base of the low and move into West TX overnight. The primary surface boundary currently extends E-W across central TX and will lift northward through the day, allowing very moist air to stream into parts of western and west-central TX. Current indications are that storms will become more numerous through the afternoon and evening across the region. Vertical shear profiles over a rather large area would support rotating updrafts, but stable near-surface conditions will limit the severe threat to the north of the front. Along and to the south of the boundary, forecast soundings suggest some concern for supercells capable of damaging winds, hail, and a few tornadoes this evening. Have extended the SLGT farther northeast into the ABI area where morning CAM solutions show the warm front and several intense storms later today. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Valid 072000Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF WEST AND WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Large hail, isolated severe thunderstorm gusts, and a few tornadoes are possible this evening and tonight across parts of west Texas. ...20Z Update... Primary change to the outlook was to adjust tornado probabilities along the surface boundary in central Texas. Storm coverage still appears it will be isolated, but low-level shear would favor some tornado risk. Elsewhere, only minor adjustments were made to the general thunder area. See the previous discussion for additional details. ..Wendt.. 11/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1042 AM CST Thu Nov 07 2024/ ...West and Central TX... A large upper low will remain over the Four Corners states through tonight, with model guidance suggesting a rather strong shortwave trough will rotate through the base of the low and move into West TX overnight. The primary surface boundary currently extends E-W across central TX and will lift northward through the day, allowing very moist air to stream into parts of western and west-central TX. Current indications are that storms will become more numerous through the afternoon and evening across the region. Vertical shear profiles over a rather large area would support rotating updrafts, but stable near-surface conditions will limit the severe threat to the north of the front. Along and to the south of the boundary, forecast soundings suggest some concern for supercells capable of damaging winds, hail, and a few tornadoes this evening. Have extended the SLGT farther northeast into the ABI area where morning CAM solutions show the warm front and several intense storms later today. Read more