SPC Nov 17, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 201200Z - 251200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Wednesday/Day 4... An upper-level trough is forecast to move through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday as a cold front advances eastward through the southern and central Appalachians. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints are forecast to be in the 60s F across much of the Carolinas into Virginia. Thunderstorms could develop ahead of the front during the day from the Mid Atlantic southward into the Carolinas, but instability is forecast to be very weak suggesting that any severe threat will remain marginal. ...Thursday/Day 5 to Sunday/Day 8... A dry and relatively stable airmass is forecast to be in place across the continental U.S. from Thursday through the weekend. As a result, severe thunderstorms are not expected during this period. Read more

SPC Nov 17, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 201200Z - 251200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Wednesday/Day 4... An upper-level trough is forecast to move through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday as a cold front advances eastward through the southern and central Appalachians. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints are forecast to be in the 60s F across much of the Carolinas into Virginia. Thunderstorms could develop ahead of the front during the day from the Mid Atlantic southward into the Carolinas, but instability is forecast to be very weak suggesting that any severe threat will remain marginal. ...Thursday/Day 5 to Sunday/Day 8... A dry and relatively stable airmass is forecast to be in place across the continental U.S. from Thursday through the weekend. As a result, severe thunderstorms are not expected during this period. Read more

SPC Nov 17, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 201200Z - 251200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Wednesday/Day 4... An upper-level trough is forecast to move through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday as a cold front advances eastward through the southern and central Appalachians. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints are forecast to be in the 60s F across much of the Carolinas into Virginia. Thunderstorms could develop ahead of the front during the day from the Mid Atlantic southward into the Carolinas, but instability is forecast to be very weak suggesting that any severe threat will remain marginal. ...Thursday/Day 5 to Sunday/Day 8... A dry and relatively stable airmass is forecast to be in place across the continental U.S. from Thursday through the weekend. As a result, severe thunderstorms are not expected during this period. Read more

SPC Nov 17, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 201200Z - 251200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Wednesday/Day 4... An upper-level trough is forecast to move through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday as a cold front advances eastward through the southern and central Appalachians. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints are forecast to be in the 60s F across much of the Carolinas into Virginia. Thunderstorms could develop ahead of the front during the day from the Mid Atlantic southward into the Carolinas, but instability is forecast to be very weak suggesting that any severe threat will remain marginal. ...Thursday/Day 5 to Sunday/Day 8... A dry and relatively stable airmass is forecast to be in place across the continental U.S. from Thursday through the weekend. As a result, severe thunderstorms are not expected during this period. Read more

SPC Nov 17, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 201200Z - 251200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Wednesday/Day 4... An upper-level trough is forecast to move through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday as a cold front advances eastward through the southern and central Appalachians. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints are forecast to be in the 60s F across much of the Carolinas into Virginia. Thunderstorms could develop ahead of the front during the day from the Mid Atlantic southward into the Carolinas, but instability is forecast to be very weak suggesting that any severe threat will remain marginal. ...Thursday/Day 5 to Sunday/Day 8... A dry and relatively stable airmass is forecast to be in place across the continental U.S. from Thursday through the weekend. As a result, severe thunderstorms are not expected during this period. Read more

SPC Nov 17, 2024 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with isolated severe gusts will be possible across parts of the central Gulf states on Tuesday. ...Central Gulf Coast States... Mid-level flow will remain southwesterly across much of the Southeast on Tuesday, as a cold front moves eastward into the Lower Mississippi Valley. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place across the central Gulf Coast states, where surface dewpoints from the mid 60s to low 70s F will contribute to weak destabilization. A relatively large complex of thunderstorms is forecast to move across this moist airmass during the day. A few of the storms could produce isolated severe gusts, but any severe threat is expected to be marginal due to the limited instability. ..Broyles.. 11/17/2024 Read more

SPC Nov 17, 2024 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with isolated severe gusts will be possible across parts of the central Gulf states on Tuesday. ...Central Gulf Coast States... Mid-level flow will remain southwesterly across much of the Southeast on Tuesday, as a cold front moves eastward into the Lower Mississippi Valley. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place across the central Gulf Coast states, where surface dewpoints from the mid 60s to low 70s F will contribute to weak destabilization. A relatively large complex of thunderstorms is forecast to move across this moist airmass during the day. A few of the storms could produce isolated severe gusts, but any severe threat is expected to be marginal due to the limited instability. ..Broyles.. 11/17/2024 Read more

SPC Nov 17, 2024 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with isolated severe gusts will be possible across parts of the central Gulf states on Tuesday. ...Central Gulf Coast States... Mid-level flow will remain southwesterly across much of the Southeast on Tuesday, as a cold front moves eastward into the Lower Mississippi Valley. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place across the central Gulf Coast states, where surface dewpoints from the mid 60s to low 70s F will contribute to weak destabilization. A relatively large complex of thunderstorms is forecast to move across this moist airmass during the day. A few of the storms could produce isolated severe gusts, but any severe threat is expected to be marginal due to the limited instability. ..Broyles.. 11/17/2024 Read more

SPC Nov 17, 2024 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with isolated severe gusts will be possible across parts of the central Gulf states on Tuesday. ...Central Gulf Coast States... Mid-level flow will remain southwesterly across much of the Southeast on Tuesday, as a cold front moves eastward into the Lower Mississippi Valley. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place across the central Gulf Coast states, where surface dewpoints from the mid 60s to low 70s F will contribute to weak destabilization. A relatively large complex of thunderstorms is forecast to move across this moist airmass during the day. A few of the storms could produce isolated severe gusts, but any severe threat is expected to be marginal due to the limited instability. ..Broyles.. 11/17/2024 Read more

SPC Nov 17, 2024 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with isolated severe gusts will be possible across parts of the central Gulf states on Tuesday. ...Central Gulf Coast States... Mid-level flow will remain southwesterly across much of the Southeast on Tuesday, as a cold front moves eastward into the Lower Mississippi Valley. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place across the central Gulf Coast states, where surface dewpoints from the mid 60s to low 70s F will contribute to weak destabilization. A relatively large complex of thunderstorms is forecast to move across this moist airmass during the day. A few of the storms could produce isolated severe gusts, but any severe threat is expected to be marginal due to the limited instability. ..Broyles.. 11/17/2024 Read more

SPC Nov 17, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with isolated severe gusts and perhaps a tornado will be possible across parts of north Texas and southern Oklahoma Monday morning. A marginal risk for severe gusts is expected across a relatively large area during the afternoon and evening from the eastern parts of the southern and central Plains eastward into the Ozarks and lower Mississippi Valley. ...Southern and Central Plains/Ozarks/Lower Missouri Valley... A negatively-tilted mid-level trough is forecast to be in the southern High Plains at the start of the period. A squall-line is expected to be ongoing ahead of the trough at 12Z from central and north Texas into southern Oklahoma. Along the leading edge of this organized linear MCS, a wind-damage threat is expected Monday morning. A tornado will also be possible with any rotating element within the line. The line is expected to weaken by midday as the mid-level trough moves away to the northeast, with the associated low moving into the central Plains. As surface heating takes place, additional thunderstorms are expected to develop during the afternoon across parts of the southern and central Plains. Isolated severe gusts and hail will be possible with the stronger cells. Ahead of the trough, an isolated wind-damage and/or tornado threat may develop across the lower Missouri Valley and Ozarks during the late afternoon. The severe threat is expected to be marginal due to very weak instability. ...Sabine Valley/Lower Mississippi Valley... In the wake of the mid-level trough, southwesterly mid-level flow will be in place across the western Gulf Coast states on Monday. A moist and unstable airmass is forecast to move from far southeast Texas late Monday afternoon into southern Louisiana during the evening. Thunderstorms will likely develop across much of the Lower Mississippi Valley, as low-level flow increases in the evening. Model consensus suggests that MCS development will be likely across parts of the lower Mississippi Valley. A relatively large number of storms should help to overturn much of the airmass. Also, the stronger mid-level flow is forecast to remain well to the north, suggesting that any wind-damage threat associated with the MCS should be marginal. ..Broyles.. 11/17/2024 Read more

SPC Nov 17, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with isolated severe gusts and perhaps a tornado will be possible across parts of north Texas and southern Oklahoma Monday morning. A marginal risk for severe gusts is expected across a relatively large area during the afternoon and evening from the eastern parts of the southern and central Plains eastward into the Ozarks and lower Mississippi Valley. ...Southern and Central Plains/Ozarks/Lower Missouri Valley... A negatively-tilted mid-level trough is forecast to be in the southern High Plains at the start of the period. A squall-line is expected to be ongoing ahead of the trough at 12Z from central and north Texas into southern Oklahoma. Along the leading edge of this organized linear MCS, a wind-damage threat is expected Monday morning. A tornado will also be possible with any rotating element within the line. The line is expected to weaken by midday as the mid-level trough moves away to the northeast, with the associated low moving into the central Plains. As surface heating takes place, additional thunderstorms are expected to develop during the afternoon across parts of the southern and central Plains. Isolated severe gusts and hail will be possible with the stronger cells. Ahead of the trough, an isolated wind-damage and/or tornado threat may develop across the lower Missouri Valley and Ozarks during the late afternoon. The severe threat is expected to be marginal due to very weak instability. ...Sabine Valley/Lower Mississippi Valley... In the wake of the mid-level trough, southwesterly mid-level flow will be in place across the western Gulf Coast states on Monday. A moist and unstable airmass is forecast to move from far southeast Texas late Monday afternoon into southern Louisiana during the evening. Thunderstorms will likely develop across much of the Lower Mississippi Valley, as low-level flow increases in the evening. Model consensus suggests that MCS development will be likely across parts of the lower Mississippi Valley. A relatively large number of storms should help to overturn much of the airmass. Also, the stronger mid-level flow is forecast to remain well to the north, suggesting that any wind-damage threat associated with the MCS should be marginal. ..Broyles.. 11/17/2024 Read more

SPC Nov 17, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with isolated severe gusts and perhaps a tornado will be possible across parts of north Texas and southern Oklahoma Monday morning. A marginal risk for severe gusts is expected across a relatively large area during the afternoon and evening from the eastern parts of the southern and central Plains eastward into the Ozarks and lower Mississippi Valley. ...Southern and Central Plains/Ozarks/Lower Missouri Valley... A negatively-tilted mid-level trough is forecast to be in the southern High Plains at the start of the period. A squall-line is expected to be ongoing ahead of the trough at 12Z from central and north Texas into southern Oklahoma. Along the leading edge of this organized linear MCS, a wind-damage threat is expected Monday morning. A tornado will also be possible with any rotating element within the line. The line is expected to weaken by midday as the mid-level trough moves away to the northeast, with the associated low moving into the central Plains. As surface heating takes place, additional thunderstorms are expected to develop during the afternoon across parts of the southern and central Plains. Isolated severe gusts and hail will be possible with the stronger cells. Ahead of the trough, an isolated wind-damage and/or tornado threat may develop across the lower Missouri Valley and Ozarks during the late afternoon. The severe threat is expected to be marginal due to very weak instability. ...Sabine Valley/Lower Mississippi Valley... In the wake of the mid-level trough, southwesterly mid-level flow will be in place across the western Gulf Coast states on Monday. A moist and unstable airmass is forecast to move from far southeast Texas late Monday afternoon into southern Louisiana during the evening. Thunderstorms will likely develop across much of the Lower Mississippi Valley, as low-level flow increases in the evening. Model consensus suggests that MCS development will be likely across parts of the lower Mississippi Valley. A relatively large number of storms should help to overturn much of the airmass. Also, the stronger mid-level flow is forecast to remain well to the north, suggesting that any wind-damage threat associated with the MCS should be marginal. ..Broyles.. 11/17/2024 Read more

SPC Nov 17, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with isolated severe gusts and perhaps a tornado will be possible across parts of north Texas and southern Oklahoma Monday morning. A marginal risk for severe gusts is expected across a relatively large area during the afternoon and evening from the eastern parts of the southern and central Plains eastward into the Ozarks and lower Mississippi Valley. ...Southern and Central Plains/Ozarks/Lower Missouri Valley... A negatively-tilted mid-level trough is forecast to be in the southern High Plains at the start of the period. A squall-line is expected to be ongoing ahead of the trough at 12Z from central and north Texas into southern Oklahoma. Along the leading edge of this organized linear MCS, a wind-damage threat is expected Monday morning. A tornado will also be possible with any rotating element within the line. The line is expected to weaken by midday as the mid-level trough moves away to the northeast, with the associated low moving into the central Plains. As surface heating takes place, additional thunderstorms are expected to develop during the afternoon across parts of the southern and central Plains. Isolated severe gusts and hail will be possible with the stronger cells. Ahead of the trough, an isolated wind-damage and/or tornado threat may develop across the lower Missouri Valley and Ozarks during the late afternoon. The severe threat is expected to be marginal due to very weak instability. ...Sabine Valley/Lower Mississippi Valley... In the wake of the mid-level trough, southwesterly mid-level flow will be in place across the western Gulf Coast states on Monday. A moist and unstable airmass is forecast to move from far southeast Texas late Monday afternoon into southern Louisiana during the evening. Thunderstorms will likely develop across much of the Lower Mississippi Valley, as low-level flow increases in the evening. Model consensus suggests that MCS development will be likely across parts of the lower Mississippi Valley. A relatively large number of storms should help to overturn much of the airmass. Also, the stronger mid-level flow is forecast to remain well to the north, suggesting that any wind-damage threat associated with the MCS should be marginal. ..Broyles.. 11/17/2024 Read more

SPC Nov 17, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with isolated severe gusts and perhaps a tornado will be possible across parts of north Texas and southern Oklahoma Monday morning. A marginal risk for severe gusts is expected across a relatively large area during the afternoon and evening from the eastern parts of the southern and central Plains eastward into the Ozarks and lower Mississippi Valley. ...Southern and Central Plains/Ozarks/Lower Missouri Valley... A negatively-tilted mid-level trough is forecast to be in the southern High Plains at the start of the period. A squall-line is expected to be ongoing ahead of the trough at 12Z from central and north Texas into southern Oklahoma. Along the leading edge of this organized linear MCS, a wind-damage threat is expected Monday morning. A tornado will also be possible with any rotating element within the line. The line is expected to weaken by midday as the mid-level trough moves away to the northeast, with the associated low moving into the central Plains. As surface heating takes place, additional thunderstorms are expected to develop during the afternoon across parts of the southern and central Plains. Isolated severe gusts and hail will be possible with the stronger cells. Ahead of the trough, an isolated wind-damage and/or tornado threat may develop across the lower Missouri Valley and Ozarks during the late afternoon. The severe threat is expected to be marginal due to very weak instability. ...Sabine Valley/Lower Mississippi Valley... In the wake of the mid-level trough, southwesterly mid-level flow will be in place across the western Gulf Coast states on Monday. A moist and unstable airmass is forecast to move from far southeast Texas late Monday afternoon into southern Louisiana during the evening. Thunderstorms will likely develop across much of the Lower Mississippi Valley, as low-level flow increases in the evening. Model consensus suggests that MCS development will be likely across parts of the lower Mississippi Valley. A relatively large number of storms should help to overturn much of the airmass. Also, the stronger mid-level flow is forecast to remain well to the north, suggesting that any wind-damage threat associated with the MCS should be marginal. ..Broyles.. 11/17/2024 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A strong trough will progress into the Mississippi Valley. Flow across the West will become broadly cyclonic with the strongest flow remaining roughly parallel to the California coast. Fire weather concerns are expected to remain minimal as dry and windy conditions will remain removed from the driest fuels. With the strong flow along the California coast and low-level ridging extending north of the Transverse Ranges, some stronger downslope winds are possible. RH reductions in the immediate lee of the terrain could near 20% briefly. Locally elevated conditions may occur Monday afternoon along the Santa Barbara Coast. Offshore flow in other portions of southern California will increase towards Tuesday morning. RH reductions do not appear sufficient for elevated conditions. ..Wendt.. 11/17/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A strong trough will progress into the Mississippi Valley. Flow across the West will become broadly cyclonic with the strongest flow remaining roughly parallel to the California coast. Fire weather concerns are expected to remain minimal as dry and windy conditions will remain removed from the driest fuels. With the strong flow along the California coast and low-level ridging extending north of the Transverse Ranges, some stronger downslope winds are possible. RH reductions in the immediate lee of the terrain could near 20% briefly. Locally elevated conditions may occur Monday afternoon along the Santa Barbara Coast. Offshore flow in other portions of southern California will increase towards Tuesday morning. RH reductions do not appear sufficient for elevated conditions. ..Wendt.. 11/17/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A strong trough will progress into the Mississippi Valley. Flow across the West will become broadly cyclonic with the strongest flow remaining roughly parallel to the California coast. Fire weather concerns are expected to remain minimal as dry and windy conditions will remain removed from the driest fuels. With the strong flow along the California coast and low-level ridging extending north of the Transverse Ranges, some stronger downslope winds are possible. RH reductions in the immediate lee of the terrain could near 20% briefly. Locally elevated conditions may occur Monday afternoon along the Santa Barbara Coast. Offshore flow in other portions of southern California will increase towards Tuesday morning. RH reductions do not appear sufficient for elevated conditions. ..Wendt.. 11/17/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A strong trough will progress into the Mississippi Valley. Flow across the West will become broadly cyclonic with the strongest flow remaining roughly parallel to the California coast. Fire weather concerns are expected to remain minimal as dry and windy conditions will remain removed from the driest fuels. With the strong flow along the California coast and low-level ridging extending north of the Transverse Ranges, some stronger downslope winds are possible. RH reductions in the immediate lee of the terrain could near 20% briefly. Locally elevated conditions may occur Monday afternoon along the Santa Barbara Coast. Offshore flow in other portions of southern California will increase towards Tuesday morning. RH reductions do not appear sufficient for elevated conditions. ..Wendt.. 11/17/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

9 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A strong trough will progress into the Mississippi Valley. Flow across the West will become broadly cyclonic with the strongest flow remaining roughly parallel to the California coast. Fire weather concerns are expected to remain minimal as dry and windy conditions will remain removed from the driest fuels. With the strong flow along the California coast and low-level ridging extending north of the Transverse Ranges, some stronger downslope winds are possible. RH reductions in the immediate lee of the terrain could near 20% briefly. Locally elevated conditions may occur Monday afternoon along the Santa Barbara Coast. Offshore flow in other portions of southern California will increase towards Tuesday morning. RH reductions do not appear sufficient for elevated conditions. ..Wendt.. 11/17/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more