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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No change is needed to the ongoing forecast. Please see below for additional details. ..Marsh.. 09/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... No fire weather concerns are expected on Sunday. A cool post-frontal air mass is expected across the Plains with potential for widespread precipitation. Dry conditions will continue across the southwestern US. As the upper low moves eastward across the Rockies, winds will also decrease with cooler temperatures expected across the region which will aid in keeping fire weather concerns low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No change is needed to the ongoing forecast. Please see below for additional details. ..Marsh.. 09/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... No fire weather concerns are expected on Sunday. A cool post-frontal air mass is expected across the Plains with potential for widespread precipitation. Dry conditions will continue across the southwestern US. As the upper low moves eastward across the Rockies, winds will also decrease with cooler temperatures expected across the region which will aid in keeping fire weather concerns low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No change is needed to the ongoing forecast. Please see below for additional details. ..Marsh.. 09/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... No fire weather concerns are expected on Sunday. A cool post-frontal air mass is expected across the Plains with potential for widespread precipitation. Dry conditions will continue across the southwestern US. As the upper low moves eastward across the Rockies, winds will also decrease with cooler temperatures expected across the region which will aid in keeping fire weather concerns low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No change is needed to the ongoing forecast. Please see below for additional details. ..Marsh.. 09/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... No fire weather concerns are expected on Sunday. A cool post-frontal air mass is expected across the Plains with potential for widespread precipitation. Dry conditions will continue across the southwestern US. As the upper low moves eastward across the Rockies, winds will also decrease with cooler temperatures expected across the region which will aid in keeping fire weather concerns low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No change is needed to the ongoing forecast. Please see below for additional details. ..Marsh.. 09/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... No fire weather concerns are expected on Sunday. A cool post-frontal air mass is expected across the Plains with potential for widespread precipitation. Dry conditions will continue across the southwestern US. As the upper low moves eastward across the Rockies, winds will also decrease with cooler temperatures expected across the region which will aid in keeping fire weather concerns low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No change is needed to the ongoing forecast. Please see below for additional details. ..Marsh.. 09/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... No fire weather concerns are expected on Sunday. A cool post-frontal air mass is expected across the Plains with potential for widespread precipitation. Dry conditions will continue across the southwestern US. As the upper low moves eastward across the Rockies, winds will also decrease with cooler temperatures expected across the region which will aid in keeping fire weather concerns low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No change is needed to the ongoing forecast. Please see below for additional details. ..Marsh.. 09/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... No fire weather concerns are expected on Sunday. A cool post-frontal air mass is expected across the Plains with potential for widespread precipitation. Dry conditions will continue across the southwestern US. As the upper low moves eastward across the Rockies, winds will also decrease with cooler temperatures expected across the region which will aid in keeping fire weather concerns low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No change is needed to the ongoing forecast. Please see below for additional details. ..Marsh.. 09/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... No fire weather concerns are expected on Sunday. A cool post-frontal air mass is expected across the Plains with potential for widespread precipitation. Dry conditions will continue across the southwestern US. As the upper low moves eastward across the Rockies, winds will also decrease with cooler temperatures expected across the region which will aid in keeping fire weather concerns low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No change is needed to the ongoing forecast. Please see below for additional details. ..Marsh.. 09/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... No fire weather concerns are expected on Sunday. A cool post-frontal air mass is expected across the Plains with potential for widespread precipitation. Dry conditions will continue across the southwestern US. As the upper low moves eastward across the Rockies, winds will also decrease with cooler temperatures expected across the region which will aid in keeping fire weather concerns low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No change is needed to the ongoing forecast. Please see below for additional details. ..Marsh.. 09/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... No fire weather concerns are expected on Sunday. A cool post-frontal air mass is expected across the Plains with potential for widespread precipitation. Dry conditions will continue across the southwestern US. As the upper low moves eastward across the Rockies, winds will also decrease with cooler temperatures expected across the region which will aid in keeping fire weather concerns low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No change is needed to the ongoing forecast. Please see below for additional details. ..Marsh.. 09/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... No fire weather concerns are expected on Sunday. A cool post-frontal air mass is expected across the Plains with potential for widespread precipitation. Dry conditions will continue across the southwestern US. As the upper low moves eastward across the Rockies, winds will also decrease with cooler temperatures expected across the region which will aid in keeping fire weather concerns low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211742
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Sep 21 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles
south of the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a trough
of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is possible
while it meanders offshore through early next week, then moves
slowly eastward or northeastward toward the coast of southern Mexico
during the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Central Portion of the East Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form well to the southwest of the
southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for some slow development
of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the
early or middle part of next week while the system moves slowly
eastward or northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TEXAS TO SOUTHERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Sunday from west Texas to central/southern Missouri. ...Synopsis... A filling mid-level low will move toward the central High Plains on Sunday afternoon/evening. Moderate mid-level flow will maintain southeast of this low and overspread the Oklahoma/southern Kansas vicinity. At the surface, a cold front will extend from southern Michigan across Illinois and Missouri and into Oklahoma and Texas. ...Southern Missouri across Oklahoma and into West Texas... Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing along and ahead of the surface front across the TX Panhandle and into Oklahoma and from central Kansas, across Missouri, and to southern Illinois Sunday morning. A seasonally moist airmass featuring upper 60s to perhaps low 70s dewpoints will exist ahead of the surface front Sunday afternoon/evening. Surface heating ahead of the front should result in moderate instability amid a marginally sheared airmass. A few stronger/organized storms are possible with a primary threat of damaging wind gusts, especially where any clustering or line segments can develop. Some large hail is also possible, where a few supercells are possible across northwest Texas and West Texas. The severe threat will be primarily diurnally driven with minimal severe concerns after 1-3 UTC. ..Bentley.. 09/21/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TEXAS TO SOUTHERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Sunday from west Texas to central/southern Missouri. ...Synopsis... A filling mid-level low will move toward the central High Plains on Sunday afternoon/evening. Moderate mid-level flow will maintain southeast of this low and overspread the Oklahoma/southern Kansas vicinity. At the surface, a cold front will extend from southern Michigan across Illinois and Missouri and into Oklahoma and Texas. ...Southern Missouri across Oklahoma and into West Texas... Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing along and ahead of the surface front across the TX Panhandle and into Oklahoma and from central Kansas, across Missouri, and to southern Illinois Sunday morning. A seasonally moist airmass featuring upper 60s to perhaps low 70s dewpoints will exist ahead of the surface front Sunday afternoon/evening. Surface heating ahead of the front should result in moderate instability amid a marginally sheared airmass. A few stronger/organized storms are possible with a primary threat of damaging wind gusts, especially where any clustering or line segments can develop. Some large hail is also possible, where a few supercells are possible across northwest Texas and West Texas. The severe threat will be primarily diurnally driven with minimal severe concerns after 1-3 UTC. ..Bentley.. 09/21/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TEXAS TO SOUTHERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Sunday from west Texas to central/southern Missouri. ...Synopsis... A filling mid-level low will move toward the central High Plains on Sunday afternoon/evening. Moderate mid-level flow will maintain southeast of this low and overspread the Oklahoma/southern Kansas vicinity. At the surface, a cold front will extend from southern Michigan across Illinois and Missouri and into Oklahoma and Texas. ...Southern Missouri across Oklahoma and into West Texas... Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing along and ahead of the surface front across the TX Panhandle and into Oklahoma and from central Kansas, across Missouri, and to southern Illinois Sunday morning. A seasonally moist airmass featuring upper 60s to perhaps low 70s dewpoints will exist ahead of the surface front Sunday afternoon/evening. Surface heating ahead of the front should result in moderate instability amid a marginally sheared airmass. A few stronger/organized storms are possible with a primary threat of damaging wind gusts, especially where any clustering or line segments can develop. Some large hail is also possible, where a few supercells are possible across northwest Texas and West Texas. The severe threat will be primarily diurnally driven with minimal severe concerns after 1-3 UTC. ..Bentley.. 09/21/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TEXAS TO SOUTHERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Sunday from west Texas to central/southern Missouri. ...Synopsis... A filling mid-level low will move toward the central High Plains on Sunday afternoon/evening. Moderate mid-level flow will maintain southeast of this low and overspread the Oklahoma/southern Kansas vicinity. At the surface, a cold front will extend from southern Michigan across Illinois and Missouri and into Oklahoma and Texas. ...Southern Missouri across Oklahoma and into West Texas... Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing along and ahead of the surface front across the TX Panhandle and into Oklahoma and from central Kansas, across Missouri, and to southern Illinois Sunday morning. A seasonally moist airmass featuring upper 60s to perhaps low 70s dewpoints will exist ahead of the surface front Sunday afternoon/evening. Surface heating ahead of the front should result in moderate instability amid a marginally sheared airmass. A few stronger/organized storms are possible with a primary threat of damaging wind gusts, especially where any clustering or line segments can develop. Some large hail is also possible, where a few supercells are possible across northwest Texas and West Texas. The severe threat will be primarily diurnally driven with minimal severe concerns after 1-3 UTC. ..Bentley.. 09/21/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TEXAS TO SOUTHERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Sunday from west Texas to central/southern Missouri. ...Synopsis... A filling mid-level low will move toward the central High Plains on Sunday afternoon/evening. Moderate mid-level flow will maintain southeast of this low and overspread the Oklahoma/southern Kansas vicinity. At the surface, a cold front will extend from southern Michigan across Illinois and Missouri and into Oklahoma and Texas. ...Southern Missouri across Oklahoma and into West Texas... Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing along and ahead of the surface front across the TX Panhandle and into Oklahoma and from central Kansas, across Missouri, and to southern Illinois Sunday morning. A seasonally moist airmass featuring upper 60s to perhaps low 70s dewpoints will exist ahead of the surface front Sunday afternoon/evening. Surface heating ahead of the front should result in moderate instability amid a marginally sheared airmass. A few stronger/organized storms are possible with a primary threat of damaging wind gusts, especially where any clustering or line segments can develop. Some large hail is also possible, where a few supercells are possible across northwest Texas and West Texas. The severe threat will be primarily diurnally driven with minimal severe concerns after 1-3 UTC. ..Bentley.. 09/21/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TEXAS TO SOUTHERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Sunday from west Texas to central/southern Missouri. ...Synopsis... A filling mid-level low will move toward the central High Plains on Sunday afternoon/evening. Moderate mid-level flow will maintain southeast of this low and overspread the Oklahoma/southern Kansas vicinity. At the surface, a cold front will extend from southern Michigan across Illinois and Missouri and into Oklahoma and Texas. ...Southern Missouri across Oklahoma and into West Texas... Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing along and ahead of the surface front across the TX Panhandle and into Oklahoma and from central Kansas, across Missouri, and to southern Illinois Sunday morning. A seasonally moist airmass featuring upper 60s to perhaps low 70s dewpoints will exist ahead of the surface front Sunday afternoon/evening. Surface heating ahead of the front should result in moderate instability amid a marginally sheared airmass. A few stronger/organized storms are possible with a primary threat of damaging wind gusts, especially where any clustering or line segments can develop. Some large hail is also possible, where a few supercells are possible across northwest Texas and West Texas. The severe threat will be primarily diurnally driven with minimal severe concerns after 1-3 UTC. ..Bentley.. 09/21/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TEXAS TO SOUTHERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Sunday from west Texas to central/southern Missouri. ...Synopsis... A filling mid-level low will move toward the central High Plains on Sunday afternoon/evening. Moderate mid-level flow will maintain southeast of this low and overspread the Oklahoma/southern Kansas vicinity. At the surface, a cold front will extend from southern Michigan across Illinois and Missouri and into Oklahoma and Texas. ...Southern Missouri across Oklahoma and into West Texas... Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing along and ahead of the surface front across the TX Panhandle and into Oklahoma and from central Kansas, across Missouri, and to southern Illinois Sunday morning. A seasonally moist airmass featuring upper 60s to perhaps low 70s dewpoints will exist ahead of the surface front Sunday afternoon/evening. Surface heating ahead of the front should result in moderate instability amid a marginally sheared airmass. A few stronger/organized storms are possible with a primary threat of damaging wind gusts, especially where any clustering or line segments can develop. Some large hail is also possible, where a few supercells are possible across northwest Texas and West Texas. The severe threat will be primarily diurnally driven with minimal severe concerns after 1-3 UTC. ..Bentley.. 09/21/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TEXAS TO SOUTHERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Sunday from west Texas to central/southern Missouri. ...Synopsis... A filling mid-level low will move toward the central High Plains on Sunday afternoon/evening. Moderate mid-level flow will maintain southeast of this low and overspread the Oklahoma/southern Kansas vicinity. At the surface, a cold front will extend from southern Michigan across Illinois and Missouri and into Oklahoma and Texas. ...Southern Missouri across Oklahoma and into West Texas... Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing along and ahead of the surface front across the TX Panhandle and into Oklahoma and from central Kansas, across Missouri, and to southern Illinois Sunday morning. A seasonally moist airmass featuring upper 60s to perhaps low 70s dewpoints will exist ahead of the surface front Sunday afternoon/evening. Surface heating ahead of the front should result in moderate instability amid a marginally sheared airmass. A few stronger/organized storms are possible with a primary threat of damaging wind gusts, especially where any clustering or line segments can develop. Some large hail is also possible, where a few supercells are possible across northwest Texas and West Texas. The severe threat will be primarily diurnally driven with minimal severe concerns after 1-3 UTC. ..Bentley.. 09/21/2024 Read more