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WW 0558 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 558 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW LAR TO 10 WNW TOR TO 15 SE CDR. WW 558 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 300600Z. ..GRAMS..07/30/25 ATTN...WFO...CYS...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 558 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC013-157-165-300600- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOX BUTTE SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX WYC015-021-300600- WY . WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GOSHEN LARAMIE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0558 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 558 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW LAR TO 10 WNW TOR TO 15 SE CDR. WW 558 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 300600Z. ..GRAMS..07/30/25 ATTN...WFO...CYS...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 558 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC013-157-165-300600- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOX BUTTE SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX WYC015-021-300600- WY . WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GOSHEN LARAMIE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0558 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 558 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW LAR TO 10 WNW TOR TO 15 SE CDR. WW 558 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 300600Z. ..GRAMS..07/30/25 ATTN...WFO...CYS...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 558 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC013-157-165-300600- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOX BUTTE SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX WYC015-021-300600- WY . WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GOSHEN LARAMIE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0558 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 558 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW LAR TO 10 WNW TOR TO 15 SE CDR. WW 558 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 300600Z. ..GRAMS..07/30/25 ATTN...WFO...CYS...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 558 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC013-157-165-300600- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOX BUTTE SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX WYC015-021-300600- WY . WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GOSHEN LARAMIE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0558 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 558 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW LAR TO 10 WNW TOR TO 15 SE CDR. WW 558 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 300600Z. ..GRAMS..07/30/25 ATTN...WFO...CYS...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 558 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC013-157-165-300600- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOX BUTTE SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX WYC015-021-300600- WY . WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GOSHEN LARAMIE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 558 SEVERE TSTM NE SD WY 300005Z - 300600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 558 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 605 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northwest Nebraska Panhandle Southwest South Dakota Eastern Wyoming * Effective this Tuesday night from 605 PM until Midnight MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms currently ongoing across central WY are expected to persist eastward this evening while also trending towards a more linear structure. The environmental across eastern WY and adjacent southwest SD/NE Panhandle supports a continued risk for damaging gusts through the evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 65 miles east northeast of Gillette WY to 10 miles southwest of Torrington WY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 556...WW 557... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Mosier Read more

000
ABNT20 KNHC 300518
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jul 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

058
ABPZ20 KNHC 300515
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 29 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Iona, located in the central Pacific basin well south of the
Hawaiian Islands, and on Tropical Storm Keli also located in the
central Pacific basin well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.

Western East Pacific (EP98):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located around 1150 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands
remain limited and have changed little since this morning. However,
if persistent showers and thunderstorms re-develop during the next
day or so, a short-lived tropical depression could still form. The
system will enter the Central Pacific basin shortly.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

South of Southwestern Mexico (EP99):
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves
west-northwestward around 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the
southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Central East Pacific:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop well south of
southern or southwestern Mexico late this week. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system and a tropical depression could develop over the weekend or
early next week as the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema

Soil moisture levels declined in East Texas with continued high temperatures and little to no rainfall. Subsoil and topsoil moisture conditions were adequate. Pasture and rangeland conditions were good overall. Hay production remained in full swing. Pond and creek levels began to drop. Cattle markets were strong and active in some counties. Livestock were in fair to good condition. Feral hog control was underway to mitigate damage. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), July 29, 2025

Montana ranchers were dealing with a lot of anxiety and depression as they contemplated many weighty decisions concerning management of their operations. Flathead Beacon (Kalispell, Mont.), July 29, 2025

Tropical moisture brought hit-and-miss showers to South Texas, and there was a chance of rain in the forecast. Weed problems were reported. Warmer temperatures and little rain allowed row crop farmers to proceed with corn and grain sorghum harvests. Crops looked good overall. Grain sorghum, corn and sunflower harvests neared completion in some areas and attention was turning to peanuts, cotton and sesame. Peanut fields continued to progress under irrigation and develop pods. Sesame harvest was awaiting the appropriate harvest window. Cotton bolls were setting and beginning to open in most fields. Cotton defoliation was expected to begin soon. Some citrus orchards were irrigated, and fruit was developing. Range and pasture conditions were still good, but soil moisture continued to decline due to extremely high temperatures. Falcon Reservoir levels remained critically low, affecting water quality for municipalities, irrigation and livestock. Beef cattle supplementation was increasing, and beef cattle prices remained very high. Wildlife such as deer, quail and turkey remained in good shape, but water and cover will be critical going into August. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), July 29, 2025 Conditions were warm and humid, with periodic rain showers in some parts of South Texas, but drought conditions persisted in others, and there was no water available in the local irrigation canals. Topsoil and subsoil moisture was adequate due to the scattered showers, but moisture was drying up due to the heat. The rains halted the grain sorghum harvest. Corn was in the denting stage, and cotton was setting bolls. Verde bugs on cotton were an emerging issue. Peanut planting was completed, with most fields in the pegging stage. Vegetable growers were harvesting. Strawberry fields were being prepared. Turfgrass harvest was underway. The watermelon harvest ended. Midge and sorghum aphid issues occurred on flowering sorghum. Hay fields and pastures were in excellent condition. Some grass was starting to dry out and turn yellow. Cattle supplementation decreased due to the improved range and pasture conditions. Beef cattle prices remained strong, and feed prices were still high. Livestock and wildlife were in good condition. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), July 1, 2025

Central Texas experienced hot temperatures with minimal rainfall, causing soil moisture levels to decline and drought stress to emerge in some areas. Burn bans were in place for some counties. Pastures showed mixed conditions with some areas maintaining good grazing while others began showing stress. Stock tanks and reservoirs remained full. Corn reached maturity, and harvest operations began. Hay production remained active with armyworms present in some hayfields. Some grasshopper activity was also reported. Cattle maintained good body condition with minimal supplemental feeding required. The cattle market remained strong, and sheep and goat markets held steady. Producers continued to rebuild livestock herds after previous drought years. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), July 29, 2025 Counties across Central Texas experienced warm and dry conditions over the past week, characterized by dramatically warming temperatures and declining soil moisture levels. Corn crops performed well, with silage harvests beginning and better-than-average yield expectations. Cotton needed additional rainfall. Temperatures approaching the mid-90s and forecasts reaching 100 degrees raised concerns about continued drought stress and declining pasture conditions. Hay production was in full swing, with exceptional yields and good quality, as producers capitalized on previous rainfall. Many producers were preparing for second hay cuttings. Livestock remained in good condition. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), July 1, 2025

MD 1842 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 556...558... FOR FAR SOUTHEAST MONTANA...NORTHEAST WYOMING...WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1842 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0943 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025 Areas affected...Far Southeast Montana...Northeast Wyoming...Western South Dakota Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 556...558... Valid 300243Z - 300445Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 556, 558 continues. SUMMARY...A severe threat will likely continue for a few more hours from northeast Wyoming into western South Dakota. Isolated large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible. DISCUSSION...The latest hi-res radar imagery from Rapid City, South Dakota shows a small cluster of severe storms in far southeastern Montana. These storms are located within an upslope regime near an axis of low-level moisture where surface dewpoints are in the lower to mid 60s F. This is contributing to moderate instability, with the RAP estimating MLCAPE in the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range. Over the next couple of hours, short-term model forecasts move the storms southeastward across far northeast Wyoming and into western South Dakota, with convective coverage gradually increasing. RAP forecast soundings to the north of Rapid City have 0-6 km shear of 35 to 40 knots and 700-500 mb lapse rates near 7.5 C/km. This environment should continue to support a threat for supercells with severe gusts and isolated large hail. Intense multicell line segments could also produce strong to severe wind gusts. ..Broyles.. 07/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...UNR...BYZ... LAT...LON 45110291 45000226 44680204 44170196 43760221 43680280 43680405 43780451 44080495 44530509 44800484 45000430 45110291 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

WW 0558 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 558 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE RWL TO 50 NNW TOR TO 30 SE 4BQ. ..BROYLES..07/30/25 ATTN...WFO...CYS...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 558 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC013-045-157-165-300540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOX BUTTE DAWES SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX SDC019-033-047-081-093-103-300540- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUTTE CUSTER FALL RIVER LAWRENCE MEADE PENNINGTON WYC001-011-015-021-031-045-300540- WY . WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALBANY CROOK GOSHEN LARAMIE PLATTE WESTON Read more

WW 0558 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 558 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E RWL TO 40 NE DGW TO 30 ENE GCC TO 35 WNW GCC. ..BROYLES..07/30/25 ATTN...WFO...CYS...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 558 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC013-045-157-165-300440- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOX BUTTE DAWES SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX SDC019-033-047-081-093-103-300440- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUTTE CUSTER FALL RIVER LAWRENCE MEADE PENNINGTON WYC001-011-015-021-027-031-045-300440- WY . WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALBANY CROOK GOSHEN LARAMIE NIOBRARA PLATTE Read more

MD 1841 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 557...559... FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEBRASKA INTO WESTERN IOWA
Mesoscale Discussion 1841 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0926 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025 Areas affected...portions of eastern Nebraska into western Iowa Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 557...559... Valid 300226Z - 300400Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 557, 559 continues. SUMMARY...Severe gusts will continue with the ongoing MCS for at least a few more hours. DISCUSSION...The earlier MCS that progressed across southern SD has merged with the NE line to form an elongated MCS structure. Nonetheless, the merged remnants of the older MCS continues to propagate southeast along a baroclinic boundary with continued reports of severe gusts. Though vertical wind shear is weak, the MCS continues to thrive amid strong to extreme buoyancy. The MCS will begin to merge with preceding storms that have formed off of another frontal boundary, but is nonetheless poised to continue producing severe gusts. Local watch extensions and/or a new Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance farther south may be needed. ..Squitieri.. 07/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...GID... LAT...LON 43489698 42759451 42319418 41849419 41389464 41039537 40879594 40919668 41189735 41669762 41879778 42119781 42389780 42649751 42889728 43489698 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

MD 1840 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA
Mesoscale Discussion 1840 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0836 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025 Areas affected...portions of central into eastern Nebraska Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 300136Z - 300300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Some increase in severe gusts may be noted with a strengthening MCS across central Nebraska. Convective trends are being monitored for the need of a Severe Thunderstorm Watch. DISCUSSION...A cold-pool-driven, elongated convective system has recently oriented more normal to the deep-layer shear vector, which may be supporting bowing features. Furthermore, the MCS is propagating into the axis of maximum buoyancy (5000-6000 J/kg MLCAPE) and minimal MLCINH. Therefore, it is plausible to witness an increase in severe wind gusts over the next few hours, and a Severe Thunderstorm Watch may be needed to address this threat. ..Squitieri/Mosier.. 07/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF... LAT...LON 41559939 41859844 41969717 41729645 41229594 40659588 40519607 40359657 40139796 40169883 40189947 41559939 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH Read more

WW 0560 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0560 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0560 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0560 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more