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SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CST Thu Dec 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible from southeast New Mexico to central Texas. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... On Friday, a mid-level trough will slowly drift eastward along the Arizona/Mexico border. Stronger mid-level flow will round the base of this trough Friday afternoon and emerge into the southern Plains Friday night and early Saturday. Some moisture return will occur above the surface front which will result in weak instability across Texas and perhaps into southeast New Mexico. As stronger mid-level flow emerges across the southern Plains, isolated to scattered elevated thunderstorms are possible from southeast New Mexico and Far West Texas, to parts of central Texas. However, weak instability should keep any severe weather threat limited. ..Bentley.. 12/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CST Thu Dec 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible from southeast New Mexico to central Texas. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... On Friday, a mid-level trough will slowly drift eastward along the Arizona/Mexico border. Stronger mid-level flow will round the base of this trough Friday afternoon and emerge into the southern Plains Friday night and early Saturday. Some moisture return will occur above the surface front which will result in weak instability across Texas and perhaps into southeast New Mexico. As stronger mid-level flow emerges across the southern Plains, isolated to scattered elevated thunderstorms are possible from southeast New Mexico and Far West Texas, to parts of central Texas. However, weak instability should keep any severe weather threat limited. ..Bentley.. 12/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CST Thu Dec 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible from southeast New Mexico to central Texas. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... On Friday, a mid-level trough will slowly drift eastward along the Arizona/Mexico border. Stronger mid-level flow will round the base of this trough Friday afternoon and emerge into the southern Plains Friday night and early Saturday. Some moisture return will occur above the surface front which will result in weak instability across Texas and perhaps into southeast New Mexico. As stronger mid-level flow emerges across the southern Plains, isolated to scattered elevated thunderstorms are possible from southeast New Mexico and Far West Texas, to parts of central Texas. However, weak instability should keep any severe weather threat limited. ..Bentley.. 12/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CST Thu Dec 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible from southeast New Mexico to central Texas. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... On Friday, a mid-level trough will slowly drift eastward along the Arizona/Mexico border. Stronger mid-level flow will round the base of this trough Friday afternoon and emerge into the southern Plains Friday night and early Saturday. Some moisture return will occur above the surface front which will result in weak instability across Texas and perhaps into southeast New Mexico. As stronger mid-level flow emerges across the southern Plains, isolated to scattered elevated thunderstorms are possible from southeast New Mexico and Far West Texas, to parts of central Texas. However, weak instability should keep any severe weather threat limited. ..Bentley.. 12/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CST Thu Dec 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible from southeast New Mexico to central Texas. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... On Friday, a mid-level trough will slowly drift eastward along the Arizona/Mexico border. Stronger mid-level flow will round the base of this trough Friday afternoon and emerge into the southern Plains Friday night and early Saturday. Some moisture return will occur above the surface front which will result in weak instability across Texas and perhaps into southeast New Mexico. As stronger mid-level flow emerges across the southern Plains, isolated to scattered elevated thunderstorms are possible from southeast New Mexico and Far West Texas, to parts of central Texas. However, weak instability should keep any severe weather threat limited. ..Bentley.. 12/05/2024 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Thu Dec 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be low on Friday, as much of the CONUS remains under a cool air mass with widespread precipitation across the eastern US. Weak midlevel trough will remain over the Southwest with upstream surface high pressure encouraging locally dry/breezy offshore flow across southern CA. Some locally Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible. Areas are expected to remain localized, which will preclude the need to add areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 12/05/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Thu Dec 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be low on Friday, as much of the CONUS remains under a cool air mass with widespread precipitation across the eastern US. Weak midlevel trough will remain over the Southwest with upstream surface high pressure encouraging locally dry/breezy offshore flow across southern CA. Some locally Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible. Areas are expected to remain localized, which will preclude the need to add areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 12/05/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Thu Dec 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be low on Friday, as much of the CONUS remains under a cool air mass with widespread precipitation across the eastern US. Weak midlevel trough will remain over the Southwest with upstream surface high pressure encouraging locally dry/breezy offshore flow across southern CA. Some locally Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible. Areas are expected to remain localized, which will preclude the need to add areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 12/05/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Thu Dec 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be low on Friday, as much of the CONUS remains under a cool air mass with widespread precipitation across the eastern US. Weak midlevel trough will remain over the Southwest with upstream surface high pressure encouraging locally dry/breezy offshore flow across southern CA. Some locally Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible. Areas are expected to remain localized, which will preclude the need to add areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 12/05/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 AM CST Thu Dec 05 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A midlevel trough will advance eastward across the Northeast today as cold upstream air infiltrates the eastern US. Across the western US, a weak midlevel trough will remain over the Southwest with upstream surface high pressure encouraging locally dry/breezy offshore flow across southern CA. Some locally Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible, though areas will remain isolated with sparse availability of fuels. This will preclude the need to add areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 12/05/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 AM CST Thu Dec 05 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A midlevel trough will advance eastward across the Northeast today as cold upstream air infiltrates the eastern US. Across the western US, a weak midlevel trough will remain over the Southwest with upstream surface high pressure encouraging locally dry/breezy offshore flow across southern CA. Some locally Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible, though areas will remain isolated with sparse availability of fuels. This will preclude the need to add areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 12/05/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 AM CST Thu Dec 05 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A midlevel trough will advance eastward across the Northeast today as cold upstream air infiltrates the eastern US. Across the western US, a weak midlevel trough will remain over the Southwest with upstream surface high pressure encouraging locally dry/breezy offshore flow across southern CA. Some locally Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible, though areas will remain isolated with sparse availability of fuels. This will preclude the need to add areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 12/05/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 AM CST Thu Dec 05 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A midlevel trough will advance eastward across the Northeast today as cold upstream air infiltrates the eastern US. Across the western US, a weak midlevel trough will remain over the Southwest with upstream surface high pressure encouraging locally dry/breezy offshore flow across southern CA. Some locally Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible, though areas will remain isolated with sparse availability of fuels. This will preclude the need to add areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 12/05/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1137 PM CST Wed Dec 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Early day thunderstorms are possible across parts of northern Gulf Coast. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... A deep upper low within the broader cyclonic flow regime will move quickly from the Great Lakes across the Northeast, with secondary speed max moving southeastward into the mid MS Valley late. Meanwhile, a weaker upper low will meander about northwest MX, just east of the West Coast ridge. At the surface, low pressure will exist coincident with the aforementioned northeastern low, while high pressure spreads south across the Plains, and eventually, into the Gulf of Mexico. ...Northern Gulf Coast... Related to the northeastern trough, a cold front will extend south from the low, across the Appalachian Front and toward the northern Gulf Coast where it may be quasi-stationary early this morning. Showers and elevated thunderstorms may be ongoing at that time, but will diminish by midday due to strong drying out of the northwest. Weak instability and poor low-level lapse rates suggest little if any risk of severe weather. ..Jewell/Thornton.. 12/05/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1137 PM CST Wed Dec 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Early day thunderstorms are possible across parts of northern Gulf Coast. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... A deep upper low within the broader cyclonic flow regime will move quickly from the Great Lakes across the Northeast, with secondary speed max moving southeastward into the mid MS Valley late. Meanwhile, a weaker upper low will meander about northwest MX, just east of the West Coast ridge. At the surface, low pressure will exist coincident with the aforementioned northeastern low, while high pressure spreads south across the Plains, and eventually, into the Gulf of Mexico. ...Northern Gulf Coast... Related to the northeastern trough, a cold front will extend south from the low, across the Appalachian Front and toward the northern Gulf Coast where it may be quasi-stationary early this morning. Showers and elevated thunderstorms may be ongoing at that time, but will diminish by midday due to strong drying out of the northwest. Weak instability and poor low-level lapse rates suggest little if any risk of severe weather. ..Jewell/Thornton.. 12/05/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1137 PM CST Wed Dec 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Early day thunderstorms are possible across parts of northern Gulf Coast. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... A deep upper low within the broader cyclonic flow regime will move quickly from the Great Lakes across the Northeast, with secondary speed max moving southeastward into the mid MS Valley late. Meanwhile, a weaker upper low will meander about northwest MX, just east of the West Coast ridge. At the surface, low pressure will exist coincident with the aforementioned northeastern low, while high pressure spreads south across the Plains, and eventually, into the Gulf of Mexico. ...Northern Gulf Coast... Related to the northeastern trough, a cold front will extend south from the low, across the Appalachian Front and toward the northern Gulf Coast where it may be quasi-stationary early this morning. Showers and elevated thunderstorms may be ongoing at that time, but will diminish by midday due to strong drying out of the northwest. Weak instability and poor low-level lapse rates suggest little if any risk of severe weather. ..Jewell/Thornton.. 12/05/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1137 PM CST Wed Dec 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Early day thunderstorms are possible across parts of northern Gulf Coast. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... A deep upper low within the broader cyclonic flow regime will move quickly from the Great Lakes across the Northeast, with secondary speed max moving southeastward into the mid MS Valley late. Meanwhile, a weaker upper low will meander about northwest MX, just east of the West Coast ridge. At the surface, low pressure will exist coincident with the aforementioned northeastern low, while high pressure spreads south across the Plains, and eventually, into the Gulf of Mexico. ...Northern Gulf Coast... Related to the northeastern trough, a cold front will extend south from the low, across the Appalachian Front and toward the northern Gulf Coast where it may be quasi-stationary early this morning. Showers and elevated thunderstorms may be ongoing at that time, but will diminish by midday due to strong drying out of the northwest. Weak instability and poor low-level lapse rates suggest little if any risk of severe weather. ..Jewell/Thornton.. 12/05/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1137 PM CST Wed Dec 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Early day thunderstorms are possible across parts of northern Gulf Coast. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... A deep upper low within the broader cyclonic flow regime will move quickly from the Great Lakes across the Northeast, with secondary speed max moving southeastward into the mid MS Valley late. Meanwhile, a weaker upper low will meander about northwest MX, just east of the West Coast ridge. At the surface, low pressure will exist coincident with the aforementioned northeastern low, while high pressure spreads south across the Plains, and eventually, into the Gulf of Mexico. ...Northern Gulf Coast... Related to the northeastern trough, a cold front will extend south from the low, across the Appalachian Front and toward the northern Gulf Coast where it may be quasi-stationary early this morning. Showers and elevated thunderstorms may be ongoing at that time, but will diminish by midday due to strong drying out of the northwest. Weak instability and poor low-level lapse rates suggest little if any risk of severe weather. ..Jewell/Thornton.. 12/05/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1137 PM CST Wed Dec 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Early day thunderstorms are possible across parts of northern Gulf Coast. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... A deep upper low within the broader cyclonic flow regime will move quickly from the Great Lakes across the Northeast, with secondary speed max moving southeastward into the mid MS Valley late. Meanwhile, a weaker upper low will meander about northwest MX, just east of the West Coast ridge. At the surface, low pressure will exist coincident with the aforementioned northeastern low, while high pressure spreads south across the Plains, and eventually, into the Gulf of Mexico. ...Northern Gulf Coast... Related to the northeastern trough, a cold front will extend south from the low, across the Appalachian Front and toward the northern Gulf Coast where it may be quasi-stationary early this morning. Showers and elevated thunderstorms may be ongoing at that time, but will diminish by midday due to strong drying out of the northwest. Weak instability and poor low-level lapse rates suggest little if any risk of severe weather. ..Jewell/Thornton.. 12/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0657 PM CST Wed Dec 04 2024 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms remain possible through tonight from eastern Texas to the ArkLaMiss. Severe thunderstorms remain unlikely. ...Eastern TX into LA... A few elevated thunderstorms persist this evening over east TX, and primarily north of the warm front. Very little warm sector remains over land, but a small wedge of upper 60s F dewpoints does exist with apex near Liberty, TX. Just to the east, Beaumont is north of the warm front. While a cell or two near the warm front could exhibit weak rotation due to favorable low-level shear, the boundary layer will not become any more buoyant than it currently is, as temperatures cool. General thunderstorms are therefore forecast to continue spreading east into LA tonight, as 850 mb winds continue to veer. ..Jewell.. 12/05/2024 Read more