National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map

Issued at 200 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 150843 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ileana Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024 200 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024 ...ILEANA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER THIS MORNING... SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.5N 109.3W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SW OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued all coastal warnings. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ileana was located near latitude 25.5 North, longitude 109.3 West. Ileana is moving toward the west-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A slow northwestward motion is expected to begin later today and continue through early Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Ileana will move over the Gulf of California near the coasts of northern Sinaloa and southern Sonora. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Ileana is expected to become a remnant low later this morning. The remnant low is forecast to dissipate on Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Ileana may bring an additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall to portions of northwest Sinaloa through today. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Ileana, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Gusty winds are still possible along the coasts of northern Sinaloa and southern Sonora through this morning. SURF: Swells generated by Ileana will continue to subside along the Gulf of California coasts of Sinaloa, southern Sonora, and southern Baja California Sur today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Berg

...ILEANA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER THIS MORNING... As of 2:00 AM MST Sun Sep 15 the center of Ileana was located near 25.5, -109.3 with movement WNW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Issued at 200 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024 ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Depression Ileana Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024 200 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024 All of Ileana's deep convection dissipated yesterday afternoon, and all that is left now is a swirl of low clouds off the coast of northern Sinaloa. An ASCAT-C pass from 0410 UTC showed maximum winds near 30 kt over the Gulf of California near northern Sinaloa, and a weather station in Topolobampo is no longer reporting winds to tropical storm force. As a result, Ileana is now designated as a 30-kt tropical depression, and all coastal warnings in Mexico have been discontinued. Ileana has been meandering, but the longer-term motion is west-northwestward, or 300/2 kt. Model guidance indicates that the cyclone should turn northwestward later today but maintain a generally slow motion while moving over the Gulf of California. Due to strong southwesterly shear and a very dry atmosphere, deep convection is not expected to redevelop, and it's likely that Gordon will be declared a remnant low later this morning. The remnant low is expected to dissipate on Monday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/0900Z 25.5N 109.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 15/1800Z 25.8N 109.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 16/0600Z 26.5N 110.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg NNNN

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 376 WTPZ24 KNHC 150843 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ILEANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092024 0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 109.3W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 109.3W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 109.3W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.8N 109.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.5N 110.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 109.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 15 Sep 2024 05:39:23 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 15 Sep 2024 03:28:37 GMT

Issued at 1100 PM MST Sat Sep 14 2024 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 150539 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ileana Intermediate Advisory Number 11A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024 1100 PM MST Sat Sep 14 2024 ...ILEANA WEAKENING WHILE MEANDERING JUST OFFSHORE NORTHERN SINALOA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM MST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.4N 109.2W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSW OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Altata to Huatabampito Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case during the next few hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM MST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ileana was located near latitude 25.4 North, longitude 109.2 West. Ileana is meandering off the coast of northern Sinaloa but has a longer-term motion toward the west-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected soon with an increase in forward speed. On the forecast track, the center of Ileana will move near the coastal region of northern Sinaloa overnight, and then move over the Gulf of California roughly parallel to the coast on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have begun decreasing and are now near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Ileana is expected to degenerate into a remnant low on Sunday. The remnant low is expected to dissipate by Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ileana can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC. RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Ileana is expected to bring additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with localized higher amounts up to 10 inches, across northwest coastal Sinaloa through this weekend. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Ileana, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions, especially in gusts, are expected across portions of the warning area in northern Sinaloa and southern Sonora during the next few hours. SURF: Swells generated by Ileana will affect portions of the Gulf of California coasts of Sinaloa, southern Sonora, and southern Baja California Sur during the next day or so. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Berg

...ILEANA WEAKENING WHILE MEANDERING JUST OFFSHORE NORTHERN SINALOA... As of 11:00 PM MST Sat Sep 14 the center of Ileana was located near 25.4, -109.2 with movement WNW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 150524
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Sep 14 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ileana, located near the coast of northern Sinaloa, Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 15 Sep 2024 02:39:47 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 15 Sep 2024 03:28:37 GMT

Issued at 800 PM MST Sat Sep 14 2024 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 150237 TCDEP4 Tropical Storm Ileana Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024 800 PM MST Sat Sep 14 2024 Ileana has stalled near the coast of northwestern Mexico, offshore of the state of Sinaloa. All of the deep convection has moved inland, as indicated by both the radar and satellite imagery, leaving the low-level circulation exposed. Surface observations from Topolobampo and Los Mochis recently measured sustained winds of 39 kt, with higher gusts. Based on these data, the initial intensity for this cycle is raised to 40 kt. The storm is drifting with an uncertain motion of 360/1 kt. Ileana is still expected to turn northwestward soon and gradually accelerate, bringing the center across the northern coastal region of Sinaloa during the next 12 h. By Sunday, the cyclone is forecast to be near the coast of southern Sonora and stay roughly parallel to the coast of Mexico over the Gulf of California until the system dissipates. The new track forecast is again nudged to the north and east of the previous track and lies near the various consensus models. Despite strong southwesterly vertical wind shear decoupling Ileana's surface circulation from its deep convection, the surface winds have yet to weaken. Global models indicated that deep organized convection should not reform and therefore Ileana is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by Sunday. The system should gradually weaken due to the interaction with land and surrounding dry air and strong vertical wind shear. The official forecast shows Ileana dissipating by late Monday, though some numerical guidance suggests this could occur sooner. Key Messages: 1. Tropical Storm Ileana will bring heavy rainfall to portions of coastal Sinaloa, Mexico through this weekend. This heavy rainfall will bring a risk of flash flooding and mudslides to portions of the area. 2. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area of northern Sinaloa and southern Sonora through Sunday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/0300Z 25.5N 109.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 15/1200Z 25.7N 109.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 24H 16/0000Z 26.4N 109.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 16/1200Z 27.4N 110.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Bucci

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 150236 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092024 0300 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LOS MOCHIS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BUCCI

Issued at 800 PM MST Sat Sep 14 2024 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 150235 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ileana Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024 800 PM MST Sat Sep 14 2024 ...ILEANA MEANDERING NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... ...BRINGING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO SINALOA... SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.5N 109.0W ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM S OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Altata to Huatabampito Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 12 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Mexican states of Sinaloa and Sonora should closely monitor the progress of Ileana. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ileana was located near latitude 25.5 North, longitude 109.0 West. Ileana is drifting toward the north near 2 mph (4 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected soon with an increase in forward speed. On the forecast track, the center of Ileana will move near, or over the coastal region of northern Sinaloa during the next several hours, and then move over the Gulf of California roughly parallel to the coast on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast to begin overnight, and Ileana is likely to degenerate into a remnant low on Sunday. The remnant low is expected to dissipate by Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The Mexican Navy station at Topolobampo recently reported sustained winds of 45 mph (72 km/h) and a wind gust of 58 mph (93 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ileana can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC. RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Ileana is expected to bring additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with localized higher amounts up to 10 inches, across northwest coastal Sinaloa through this weekend. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Ileana, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the warning area in northern Sinaloa and southern Sonora into Sunday. SURF: Swells generated by Ileana will affect portions of the Gulf of California coasts of Sinaloa, southern Sonora, and southern Baja California Sur during the next day or so. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1100 PM MST. Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Bucci

...ILEANA MEANDERING NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... ...BRINGING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO SINALOA... As of 8:00 PM MST Sat Sep 14 the center of Ileana was located near 25.5, -109.0 with movement N at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 150235 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM ILEANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092024 0300 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 109.0W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 109.0W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 25.7N 109.2W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 26.4N 109.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.4N 110.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 109.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 15/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI

Issued at 500 PM MST Sat Sep 14 2024 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 142346 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ileana Intermediate Advisory Number 10A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024 500 PM MST Sat Sep 14 2024 ...ILEANA DRIFTING NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE SPREADING INLAND OVER SINALOA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM MST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.4N 109.0W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSE OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 180 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...3 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Altata to Huatabampito Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 12 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Mexican states of Sinaloa and Sonora should closely monitor the progress of Ileana. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM MST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ileana was located near latitude 25.4 North, longitude 109.0 West. Ileana is drifting toward the south near 2 mph (3 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected later tonight or on Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Ileana will move near, over the coastal region of northern Sinaloa during the next several hours, and then move over the Gulf of California roughly parallel to the coast on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast to begin this evening, and Ileana is likely to degenerate into a remnant low tonight or on Sunday. The remnant low is expected to dissipate by Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The Mexican Navy station at Topolobampo recently reported sustained winds of 44 mph (71 km/h) and a wind gust of 55 mph (89 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ileana can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC. RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Ileana is expected to bring additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with localized higher amounts up to 10 inches, across northwest coastal Sinaloa through this weekend. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Ileana, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the warning area in northern Sinaloa and southern Sonora into this evening. SURF: Swells generated by Ileana will affect portions of the Gulf of California coasts of Sinaloa, southern Sonora, and southern Baja California Sur during the next day or so. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Bucci

...ILEANA DRIFTING NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE SPREADING INLAND OVER SINALOA... As of 5:00 PM MST Sat Sep 14 the center of Ileana was located near 25.4, -109.0 with movement S at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 14 Sep 2024 23:46:56 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 14 Sep 2024 21:28:42 GMT

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 142341
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Sep 14 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ileana, located near the coast of northwest Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 142320
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Sep 14 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ileana, located inland near the coast of northwest Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 14 Sep 2024 20:34:52 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 14 Sep 2024 21:28:42 GMT