National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 020530
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Nov 1 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Thirteen-E, located over the western portion of the
eastern Pacific basin.

Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
Satellite data indicate a broad area of low pressure has formed well
offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico, with some recent
increase in disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Gradual
development of this system is possible through the early to middle
part of next week while the system drifts generally eastward to
east-northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 02 Nov 2024 02:35:25 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 02 Nov 2024 03:22:51 GMT

Issued at 800 PM PDT Fri Nov 01 2024 586 WTPZ43 KNHC 020234 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132024 800 PM PDT Fri Nov 01 2024 The depression has changed little in organization during the past several hours, with visible and microwave satellite imagery showing a cluster of convection near or a little east of the low-level center. Satellite intensity estimates have changed little since the last advisory, and thus the initial intensity remains 30 kt. The initial motion remains 270/6 kt. The depression is expected to continue moving generally westward during its lifetime as it is steered by a broad mid-level ridge to the north. The latest track guidance is similar to, but a little slower than, the earlier guidance. Based on the latest aids, the new forecast track is also a little slower, in the middle of the track guidance envelope. The depression is currently in an environment of light shear and over relatively warm water, and this should persist through 48 h. While this environment seems favorable, the regional-hurricane models and the global models show little strengthening during this time. The intensity forecast follows these models and therefore calls for little change in strength. However, any strengthening would bring the system to tropical-storm strength, and the statistical-dynamical models do forecast some intensification. After 48 h, increasing shear is expected to cause this small system to degenerate to a remnant low pressure area. A 72-h point as a remnant low was added based on the global model guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/0300Z 11.1N 129.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 02/1200Z 11.1N 129.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 03/0000Z 11.1N 131.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 03/1200Z 11.2N 132.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 04/0000Z 11.3N 133.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 60H 04/1200Z 11.3N 135.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 05/0000Z 11.3N 136.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 020234 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132024 0300 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 130W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 10N 135W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 020234 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132024 0300 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 129.0W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 129.0W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 128.7W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 11.1N 129.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 11.1N 131.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 11.2N 132.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 11.3N 133.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 11.3N 135.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 11.3N 136.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N 129.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

Issued at 800 PM PDT Fri Nov 01 2024 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 020234 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132024 800 PM PDT Fri Nov 01 2024 ...DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.1N 129.0W ABOUT 1500 MI...2410 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Thirteen-E was located near latitude 11.1 North, longitude 129.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Beven

...DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... As of 8:00 PM PDT Fri Nov 1 the center of Thirteen-E was located near 11.1, -129.0 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011137
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Nov 1 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Central East Pacific (EP92):
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low
pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula has continued to persist this
morning. Some further development of this system is possible during
the next couple of days while the low moves slowly westward. By
late this weekend, however, environmental conditions are expected
to become less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form well offshore of southwestern
Mexico during the early to middle part of next week. Afterward,
some slow development is possible while the system drifts slowly
eastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hogsett

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 312343
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Oct 31 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Central East Pacific (EP92):
Satellite-derived winds indicate that the area of low pressure
located a little over 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula has become better defined this
afternoon. However, shower and thunderstorm activity remains
disorganized. Some further development of this system is possible
during the next couple of days while the low moves slowly to the
west-northwest. By late this weekend, environmental conditions are
expected to become less conducive to development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form well offshore of southwestern
Mexico during the early to middle part of next week. Afterward,
some slow development is possible while the system meanders or
drifts generally eastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

343
ABPZ20 KNHC 310501
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Oct 30 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Western East Pacific (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure located about 1700 miles west-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
producing limited showers and thunderstorms. Development, if
any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur during the next
couple of days while the system moves generally westward at about
15 mph. This system is forecast to cross into the Central Pacific
Basin by the weekend, where environmental conditions look
unfavorable for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Central East Pacific:
An area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some development of this system is possible during the next few
days while the low moves slowly to the west-northwest. By the end
of the week, however, upper-level winds should become less
conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 302336
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Oct 30 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Western East Pacific (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure located about 1700 miles west-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
producing limited showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development
of this system is possible during the next couple of days while the
system moves generally westward at about 15 mph. This system is
expected to cross into the Central Pacific Basin by the end of the
week, where environmental conditions look unfavorable for further
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Central East Pacific:
An area of low pressure located about 1100 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing a large
area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development
of this system is possible during the next few days while the low
moves slowly to the west-northwest. By the end of the week,
however, upper-level winds should become less conducive for
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 300507
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Oct 29 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Western East Pacific (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
producing disorganized shower activity. Some development of
this system is possible during the next few days while the system
moves generally westward at about 15 mph. This system is expected
to cross into the Central Pacific Basin by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Central East Pacific:
An area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula has become slightly
better organized since yesterday. Further development of this
system is possible during the next few days while the low moves
slowly to the west-northwest. By the end of the week, however,
upper-level winds should become less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 292325
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Oct 29 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Western East Pacific (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
producing disorganized shower activity. While this system isn't
any better organized since yesterday, a tropical depression could
still form within a few days while the system moves generally
westward at about 15 mph. This system is expected to cross into the
Central Pacific Basin by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Central East Pacific:
A weak area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development is
possible during the next few days while the low moves slowly to
the west-northwest. By the end of the week, however, upper-level
winds should become less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 282320
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Oct 28 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Western East Pacific (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized shower activity. Although the chances of development
appear to be decreasing, a tropical depression could still form in a
few days while the system moves westward at about 15 mph. This
system is expected to cross into the Central Pacific Basin by the
end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Central East Pacific:
A weak area of low pressure located about 900 miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development is
possible during the next few days while the low moves slowly to
the west-northwest. By the end of the week, however, upper-level
winds should become less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281157
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Oct 28 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Western East Pacific (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions appear
generally conducive for gradual development of this system, and a
tropical depression could form within the next few days while it
moves westward at about 15 mph. This system is expected to move
into the central Pacific basin by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Central East Pacific:
A weak area of low pressure has formed about 1000 miles southwest of
the southwestern coast of Mexico. Some slow development is possible
during the next 3 to 4 days while the low moves slowly to the
west-northwest. By the end of the week, however, strong upper-level
winds should end the chances of development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Adams

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272324
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Oct 27 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Western East Pacific (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a
tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while
it moves westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph over the
western portion of the eastern Pacific basin. This system is
expected to move into the central Pacific basin by Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Central East Pacific:
A low pressure system could form within the next day or two several
hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula. Some slow development is possible thereafter
while the system moves slowly toward the west-northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Issued at 800 AM PDT Sat Oct 26 2024 084 WTPZ42 KNHC 261434 TCDEP2 Hurricane Kristy Discussion Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122024 800 AM PDT Sat Oct 26 2024 Kristy is rapidly weakening. Satellite images show the center of the hurricane on the southern edge of the central dense overcast, with the southern part of the circulation exposed due to strong shear. The current intensity is set to 65 kt, consistent with the latest estimates. Further rapid weakening is anticipated due to a continuation of strong shear and Kristy moving over cooler waters. The new intensity forecast is reduced from the previous one, similar to the intensity consensus aids. Kristy should become post-tropical without any organized convection in about 24 h. The hurricane continues to move northwestward at about 12 kt this morning. This general motion is expected until late today when the mid-level circulation of the cyclone becomes decoupled with the low-level center. Kristy should then turn westward on Sunday and southwestward late that day as a remnant low. Very little change was made to the previous forecast, which remains steady in showing this course. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/1500Z 19.7N 128.4W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 27/0000Z 21.1N 129.2W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 27/1200Z 22.3N 130.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 36H 28/0000Z 22.5N 131.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 28/1200Z 21.9N 132.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 29/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 26 2024 000 WTPZ22 KNHC 261432 TCMEP2 HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024 1500 UTC SAT OCT 26 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 128.4W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 240SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 128.4W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 128.1W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 21.1N 129.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 22.3N 130.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 22.5N 131.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.9N 132.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 128.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE=

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 26 Oct 2024 14:34:12 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 26 Oct 2024 14:34:13 GMT

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 26 2024 000 FOPZ12 KNHC 261433 PWSEP2 HURRICANE KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024 1500 UTC SAT OCT 26 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 130W 34 23 X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 25N 130W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE