National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map

...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES SHOULD CONTINUE FROM JULIA ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHERN MEXICO THROUGH TUESDAY... As of 10:00 AM CDT Mon Oct 10 the center of Julia was located near 14.1, -90.3 with movement WNW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 10 2022 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 101442 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182022 1500 UTC MON OCT 10 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 90.3W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 90.3W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 89.7W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.2N 92.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 90.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 091708
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Oct 9 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Storm Julia, located inland over Nicaragua.

Off the coast of Central America and Southern Mexico:
Julia is expected to complete its westward crossing of Central
America today and emerge over the extreme eastern Pacific tonight.
The system is forecast to dissipate near the southern coast of
Central America in couple of days, and significant re-development
of the remaining disturbance is not anticipated as it passes to the
south of southern Mexico by the middle of this week. More
information on Tropical Storm Julia can be found on the web at
hurricanes.gov.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

&&
The last Atlantic basin intermediate public advisory at 100 PM CDT
on Tropical Storm Julia will be issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.

The next public advisory at 400 PM CDT on Tropical Storm Julia
will be issued under Eastern Pacific WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and
under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
The next forecast/advisory at 400 PM CDT on Tropical Storm Julia
will be issued under Eastern Pacific WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and
under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 081737
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Oct 8 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Off the coast of Central America and Southern Mexico:
Tropical Storm Julia is located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea
and is forecast to cross portions of Central America Sunday and
Sunday night. Although the system is expected to dissipate over the
extreme eastern Pacific in a few days, environmental conditions
appear conducive for some development of the remaining disturbance
as it passes to the south of southern Mexico by the middle of next
week. More information on Tropical Storm Julia can be found on the
web at hurricanes.gov.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Julia are issued under
WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Julia are issued under
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

$$
Forecaster Latto

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 071712
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 7 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Latto

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 061739
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Oct 6 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Latto

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 051736
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Oct 5 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Paine, located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Latto

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 05 Oct 2022 14:39:36 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 05 Oct 2022 15:28:13 GMT

Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 05 2022 795 FOPZ12 KNHC 051438 PWSEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172022 1500 UTC WED OCT 05 2022 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 6 6(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 20N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

Issued at 900 AM MDT Wed Oct 05 2022 000 WTPZ42 KNHC 051438 TCDEP2 Tropical Depression Paine Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172022 900 AM MDT Wed Oct 05 2022 Organized deep convection has been absent from Paine for the past 12 hours, but a couple of small bursts of convection have pulsed over the past few hours. Therefore, it is prudent to wait to see if that convection increases through this morning's diurnal maximum before declaring the system post-tropical. Given the expected increase in westerly shear and dry mid-level environment it is unlikely the convection will persist or gain any organization. The initial intensity has been lowered to 30 kt, in agreement with the latest TAFB Dvorak classification. Continued weakening is expected due to the aforementioned unfavorable conditions and Paine should become a remnant low this afternoon, and the circulation is foreast to become an open trough within 48 hours. Paine is moving northwestward or 305/4 kt. The cyclone's motion should bend toward the west-northwest and west over the next 24 to 36 hours as it becomes increasingly shallow and is steered by the low-level flow. No significant changes were required to the previous track forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/1500Z 18.4N 114.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 06/0000Z 18.6N 114.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 06/1200Z 18.8N 115.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 07/0000Z 18.9N 115.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown

Issued at 900 AM MDT Wed Oct 05 2022 114 WTPZ32 KNHC 051438 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Paine Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172022 900 AM MDT Wed Oct 05 2022 ...PAINE EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL THIS AFTERNOON... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.4N 114.5W ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Paine was located near latitude 18.4 North, longitude 114.5 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest and west are expected during the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Paine is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone this afternoon. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Brown

...PAINE EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL THIS AFTERNOON... As of 9:00 AM MDT Wed Oct 5 the center of Paine was located near 18.4, -114.5 with movement NW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 05 2022 000 WTPZ22 KNHC 051438 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172022 1500 UTC WED OCT 05 2022 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 114.5W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 15SE 30SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 114.5W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 114.3W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.6N 114.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.8N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.9N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 114.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

950
ABPZ20 KNHC 041733
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Oct 4 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Paine, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

South of southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles
south of Acapulco, Mexico, is currently producing only a few
showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this system over
the next few days is likely to be slow to occur due to strong
upper-level winds and nearby dry air. The low is forecast to
move generally westward to west-northwestward remaining
south of the coasts of southern and southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Paine are issued under WMO
header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Paine are issued under WMO
header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

$$
Forecaster Brown

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 04 Oct 2022 14:47:26 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 04 Oct 2022 15:23:38 GMT

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 04 2022 000 FOPZ12 KNHC 041445 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM PAINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172022 1500 UTC TUE OCT 04 2022 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 9 18(27) 4(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) ISLA CLARION 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 115W 34 1 4( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

Issued at 900 AM MDT Tue Oct 04 2022 000 WTPZ42 KNHC 041445 TCDEP2 Tropical Storm Paine Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172022 900 AM MDT Tue Oct 04 2022 Deep convection continues to burst around the western portion of Paine's circulation. Infrared and early-light visible satellite imagery suggests that there has been some increase in convective banding, and that the center is slightly more embedded within the colder cloud tops. Despite the slight increase in organization, subjective and objective Dvorak classifications have not changed much and still support an initial intensity of 35 kt. Hopefully scatterometer data will provide additional information on the size and intensity of Paine this afternoon. Paine still has a very brief window of opportunity in which to intensify. The deep-layer shear is forecast to remain low today, but is expected to increase significantly tonight and Wednesday. Therefore, some slight strengthening is predicted, followed by gradual weakening due to the unfavorable upper-level environment and an increasing dry mid-level air mass. Paine is expected to become a remnant low in about 48 hours, and dissipate around day 3. The cyclone is moving northwestward or 325/6 kt. Paine should continue northwestward for the 24-36 hours around the western side of a mid-level ridge. After that time, a bend to the west-northwest and west is predicted as Paine becomes increasingly shallow and is steered by the low-level tradewind flow. The latest NHC track forecast is similar to the previous advisory and lies near the simple consensus aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/1500Z 17.5N 113.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 05/0000Z 18.1N 113.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 05/1200Z 18.6N 114.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 06/0000Z 18.9N 114.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 06/1200Z 19.2N 114.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 07/0000Z 19.4N 115.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 07/1200Z 19.4N 116.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown

Issued at 900 AM MDT Tue Oct 04 2022 000 WTPZ32 KNHC 041445 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Paine Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172022 900 AM MDT Tue Oct 04 2022 ...PAINE CONTINUES OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WITH NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.5N 113.0W ABOUT 425 MI...680 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paine was located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 113.0 West. Paine is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A general northwestward motion is expected through tonight, followed by a gradual turn toward the west on Wednesday and Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible today. Weakening is expected to begin tonight, with Paine degenerating into a remnant low in a couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Brown

...PAINE CONTINUES OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WITH NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY... As of 9:00 AM MDT Tue Oct 4 the center of Paine was located near 17.5, -113.0 with movement NW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 04 2022 000 WTPZ22 KNHC 041444 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM PAINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172022 1500 UTC TUE OCT 04 2022 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 113.0W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 45SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 113.0W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 112.9W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.1N 113.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.6N 114.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.9N 114.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.2N 114.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.4N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.4N 116.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 113.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN