1 year ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 160503
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Sep 15 2024
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 152311
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Sep 15 2024
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151735
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Sep 15 2024
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Ileana, located over the Gulf of California.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 15 Sep 2024 14:41:29 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 15 Sep 2024 15:28:48 GMT
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
Issued at 800 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024
227
WTPZ44 KNHC 151440
TCDEP4
Post-Tropical Cyclone Ileana Discussion Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024
800 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024
Ileana has been devoid of deep convection since yesterday afternoon,
as the system has been within a strong wind shear and very dry
environment. Given the lack of convection, the system is being
designated as a post-tropical remnant low. An ASCAT-C pass from
late last night depicted winds near 30 kt over the Gulf of
California near northern Sinaloa. Given this, will hold the
intensity at 30 kt for this advisory, although that may be generous.
The system has been meandering over the Gulf of California with a
motion of 310/3 kt. The remnant low will increase forward speed
later today as it continues northwestward. The remnant low will
continue to weaken throughout the day, and is forecast to dissipate
on Monday.
This is the last advisory on this system. For additional
information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued
by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO
header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 15/1500Z 25.7N 109.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 16/0000Z 26.1N 110.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 16/1200Z 27.3N 111.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Kelly
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
Issued at 800 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024
247
WTPZ34 KNHC 151439
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Ileana Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024
800 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024
...ILEANA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.7N 109.6W
ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM W OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Ileana
was located near latitude 25.7 North, longitude 109.6 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6
km/h). A slow northwestward motion will continue through Monday. On
the forecast track, the remnant low will move over the Gulf of
California near the coasts of northern Sinaloa and southern Sonora.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The remnant low is forecast to weaken today and dissipate on Monday.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Ileana may bring an additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall
to portions of northwest Sinaloa through today.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Ileana, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf
WIND: Gusty winds are still possible along the coasts of northern
Sinaloa and southern Sonora through this morning.
SURF: Swells generated by Ileana will continue to subside along the
Gulf of California coasts of Sinaloa, southern Sonora, and southern
Baja California Sur today.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
$$
Forecaster Kelly
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
...ILEANA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
As of 8:00 AM MST Sun Sep 15
the center of Ileana was located near 25.7, -109.6
with movement NW at 3 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024
221
FOPZ14 KNHC 151439
PWSEP4
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092024
1500 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
$$
FORECASTER KELLY
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024
198
WTPZ24 KNHC 151438
TCMEP4
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ILEANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092024
1500 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 109.6W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 109.6W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 109.5W
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 26.1N 110.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.3N 111.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N 109.6W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER KELLY
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151138
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Sep 15 2024
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Ileana, located near the coast of northern Sinaloa,
Mexico.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 15 Sep 2024 08:45:00 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 15 Sep 2024 09:28:43 GMT
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
Issued at 200 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024
064
WTPZ44 KNHC 150844
TCDEP4
Tropical Depression Ileana Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024
200 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024
All of Ileana's deep convection dissipated yesterday afternoon, and
all that is left now is a swirl of low clouds off the coast of
northern Sinaloa. An ASCAT-C pass from 0410 UTC showed maximum
winds near 30 kt over the Gulf of California near northern Sinaloa,
and a weather station in Topolobampo is no longer reporting winds to
tropical storm force. As a result, Ileana is now designated as a
30-kt tropical depression, and all coastal warnings in Mexico have
been discontinued.
Ileana has been meandering, but the longer-term motion is
west-northwestward, or 300/2 kt. Model guidance indicates that the
cyclone should turn northwestward later today but maintain a
generally slow motion while moving over the Gulf of California.
Due to strong southwesterly shear and a very dry atmosphere, deep
convection is not expected to redevelop, and it's likely that
Gordon will be declared a remnant low later this morning. The
remnant low is expected to dissipate on Monday.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 15/0900Z 25.5N 109.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 15/1800Z 25.8N 109.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 16/0600Z 26.5N 110.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Berg
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024
164
FOPZ14 KNHC 150843
PWSEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092024
0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
$$
FORECASTER BERG
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
Issued at 200 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024
000
WTPZ34 KNHC 150843
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Ileana Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024
200 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024
...ILEANA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER THIS MORNING...
SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 109.3W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SW OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Mexico has discontinued all coastal warnings.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ileana
was located near latitude 25.5 North, longitude 109.3 West. Ileana
is moving toward the west-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A slow
northwestward motion is expected to begin later today and continue
through early Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Ileana
will move over the Gulf of California near the coasts of northern
Sinaloa and southern Sonora.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Ileana is
expected to become a remnant low later this morning. The remnant
low is forecast to dissipate on Monday.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Ileana may bring an additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall
to portions of northwest Sinaloa through today.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Ileana, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf
WIND: Gusty winds are still possible along the coasts of northern
Sinaloa and southern Sonora through this morning.
SURF: Swells generated by Ileana will continue to subside along the
Gulf of California coasts of Sinaloa, southern Sonora, and southern
Baja California Sur today.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.
$$
Forecaster Berg
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
...ILEANA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER THIS MORNING...
As of 2:00 AM MST Sun Sep 15
the center of Ileana was located near 25.5, -109.3
with movement WNW at 2 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
Issued at 200 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024
ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Depression Ileana Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024
200 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024
All of Ileana's deep convection dissipated yesterday afternoon, and
all that is left now is a swirl of low clouds off the coast of
northern Sinaloa. An ASCAT-C pass from 0410 UTC showed maximum
winds near 30 kt over the Gulf of California near northern Sinaloa,
and a weather station in Topolobampo is no longer reporting winds to
tropical storm force. As a result, Ileana is now designated as a
30-kt tropical depression, and all coastal warnings in Mexico have
been discontinued.
Ileana has been meandering, but the longer-term motion is
west-northwestward, or 300/2 kt. Model guidance indicates that the
cyclone should turn northwestward later today but maintain a
generally slow motion while moving over the Gulf of California.
Due to strong southwesterly shear and a very dry atmosphere, deep
convection is not expected to redevelop, and it's likely that
Gordon will be declared a remnant low later this morning. The
remnant low is expected to dissipate on Monday.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 15/0900Z 25.5N 109.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 15/1800Z 25.8N 109.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 16/0600Z 26.5N 110.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Berg
NNNN
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024
376
WTPZ24 KNHC 150843
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ILEANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092024
0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 109.3W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 109.3W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 109.3W
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.8N 109.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.5N 110.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 109.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 15 Sep 2024 05:39:23 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 15 Sep 2024 03:28:37 GMT
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
Issued at 1100 PM MST Sat Sep 14 2024
000
WTPZ34 KNHC 150539
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Ileana Intermediate Advisory Number 11A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024
1100 PM MST Sat Sep 14 2024
...ILEANA WEAKENING WHILE MEANDERING JUST OFFSHORE NORTHERN
SINALOA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM MST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.4N 109.2W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSW OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Altata to Huatabampito Mexico
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case during the
next few hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM MST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ileana was
located near latitude 25.4 North, longitude 109.2 West. Ileana is
meandering off the coast of northern Sinaloa but has a longer-term
motion toward the west-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A turn
toward the northwest is expected soon with an increase in forward
speed. On the forecast track, the center of Ileana will move near
the coastal region of northern Sinaloa overnight, and then move over
the Gulf of California roughly parallel to the coast on Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds have begun decreasing and are now near 40
mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast,
and Ileana is expected to degenerate into a remnant low on Sunday.
The remnant low is expected to dissipate by Monday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Ileana can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC.
RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Ileana is expected to bring additional
rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with localized higher amounts up
to 10 inches, across northwest coastal Sinaloa through this weekend.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Tropical Storm Ileana, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf
WIND: Tropical storm conditions, especially in gusts, are expected
across portions of the warning area in northern Sinaloa and
southern Sonora during the next few hours.
SURF: Swells generated by Ileana will affect portions of the
Gulf of California coasts of Sinaloa, southern Sonora, and southern
Baja California Sur during the next day or so. These swells could
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.
$$
Forecaster Berg
NHC Webmaster
1 year ago
...ILEANA WEAKENING WHILE MEANDERING JUST OFFSHORE NORTHERN SINALOA...
As of 11:00 PM MST Sat Sep 14
the center of Ileana was located near 25.4, -109.2
with movement WNW at 2 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
NHC Webmaster
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
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