National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 170545
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 16 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Well Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99):
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles off the
southwestern coast of Mexico is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms to the west of its center.
Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for gradual
development of this system over the weekend, and a tropical
depression is likely to form early next week while it moves
west-northwestward at about 10 mph across the central portion of the
eastern Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Western Portion of the East Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week
more than one thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula. Slow development of this system is
anticipated, and a tropical depression will likely form during the
middle part of next week while it moves westward to
west-northwestward across the western portion of the basin and into
the Central Pacific basin. Information on this system's development
can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central
Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
A small area of low pressure has formed well southeast of the
Hawaiian islands. Some development of this system is possible this
weekend into early next week while it moves across the western
portion of the East Pacific and into the Central Pacific basin. By
the middle of next week, the system could merge with a larger system
to the east. Information on this system's development can also be
found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

&&
The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on
the web at hurricanes.gov

$$
Forecaster Kelly

245
ABPZ20 KNHC 162334
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Aug 16 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Well Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99):
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles off the
southwestern coast of Mexico is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms to the west of its center.
Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for gradual
development of this system over the weekend, and a tropical
depression is likely to form early next week while it moves
west-northwestward at about 10 mph across the central portion of the
East Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Western Portion of the East Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week
more than one thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula. Some slow development of this system
is possible, and a tropical depression could form during the middle
part of next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward
across the western portion of the East Pacific and into the Central
Pacific basin. Information on this system's development can also be
found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

&&
The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on
the web at hurricanes.gov

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161743
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 16 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred
miles off the southwestern coast of Mexico are associated with a
tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development of this system during the next few days, and a
tropical depression is likely to form early next week while it moves
west-northwestward at about 10 mph away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Western Portion of the East Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form by early next week more than a
thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula. Some slow development of this system is
possible, and a tropical depression could form during the middle to
latter part of next week while it moves generally westward across
the western portion of the East Pacific and into the Central Pacific
basin. Information on this system's development can also be found
in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

&&
The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on
the web at hurricanes.gov

$$
Forecaster Berg

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161143
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Aug 16 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a
few hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico are
associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development of this system during the next few
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week
while it moves west-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Western Portion of the East Pacific:
A broad area of low pressure could form by this weekend well to the
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
Some slow development of this system is possible during the early
and middle parts of next week while it moves generally westward
across the western portion of the East Pacific and into the Central
Pacific basin. Information on this system's development can also
be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific
basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on
the web at hurricanes.gov

$$
Forecaster Berg

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 160532
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Aug 15 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a
few hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico are
associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development of this system during the next few
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week
while it moves west-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Western Portion of the East Pacific:
A broad area of low pressure could form by this weekend well to the
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
Some slow development of this system is possible during the early
and middle parts of next week while it moves generally westward
across the western portion of the East Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 152324
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Aug 15 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles
south of the southwestern coast of Mexico are associated with a
tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system during the next few days, and a tropical
depression is likely to form early next week while moving
west-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Western Portion of the East Pacific:
A broad area of low pressure could form by this weekend well to the
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
Some slow development of this system is possible during the early
and middle parts of next week while it moves generally westward
across the western portion of the East Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151739
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Aug 15 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about a thousand
miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands are associated with a
trough of low pressure, which has moved into the Central Pacific
Hurricane Center's area of responsibility. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
and a tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week
while moving west-northwestward at about 10 mph. All future
information on this system will be found in the Tropical Weather
Outlook for the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development
of this system during the next few days, and a tropical depression
could form early next week while moving west-northwestward away
from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

&&
The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on
the web at hurricanes.gov

$$
Forecaster Berg

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151136
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Aug 15 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about a thousand
miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands are associated with a
trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive
for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form this weekend or early next week while moving
west-northwestward at about 10 mph. Information on this system can
also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central
Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure will likely form during the next couple of
days well offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this
system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form early next
week while moving toward the west-northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

&&
The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on
the web at hurricanes.gov

$$
Forecaster Berg

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 150519
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Aug 14 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
A broad area of low pressure will likely form during the next couple
of days well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development thereafter, and
a tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week
while the system moves westward. Information on this system can
also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central
Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure will likely form this weekend well offshore
of southwestern Mexico. Some subsequent slow development is
possible, and a tropical depression could form early next week as
the low moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on
the web at hurricanes.gov

$$
Forecaster Kelly

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 142342
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Aug 14 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
A broad area of low pressure will likely form during the next couple
of days well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development thereafter, and
a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next
week while the system moves westward. Information on this system
can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central
Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure will likely form this weekend well offshore
of southwestern Mexico. Some subsequent slow development is
possible, and a tropical depression could form early next week as
the low moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on
the web at hurricanes.gov

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141751
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 14 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend well offshore of
southern Mexico. Some slow development is possible by early next
week as the low moves west-northwestward, remaining offshore of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week
far southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical
depression could form as it moves westward. Information on this
system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather
Outlook for the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on
the web at hurricanes.gov

$$
Forecaster Bucci

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141153
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Aug 14 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend well offshore of
southern Mexico. Some slow development is possible by early next
week as the low moves west-northwestward, remaining offshore of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week
far southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Some slow development is then
possible as the low moves westward. Information on this system's
development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for
the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

&&
The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on
the web at hurricanes.gov

$$
Forecaster Bucci

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 140534
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Aug 13 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend well offshore of
southern Mexico. Some slow development is possible by early next
week as the low moves west-northwestward, remaining offshore of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week
far southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Some slow development is then
possible as the low moves westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 132330
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Aug 13 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend well offshore of
southern Mexico. Some slow development is possible by early next
week as the low moves west-northwestward, remaining offshore of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131724
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Aug 13 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend well offshore of
southern Mexico. Some slow development is possible by early next
week as the low moves west-northwestward, remaining offshore of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Berg

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131139
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Aug 13 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend well offshore of
southern Mexico. Some slow development is possible by early next
week as the low moves west-northwestward, remaining offshore of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Berg

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 130509
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Aug 12 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 122311
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Aug 12 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Papin

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 121714
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 12 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Cangialosi

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 121111
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Aug 12 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Reinhart